XOM Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Exxon Mobil Corp - Alpha Spread

Exxon Mobil Corp
NYSE:XOM

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Exxon Mobil Corp Logo
Exxon Mobil Corp
NYSE:XOM
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Price: 123.61 USD 0.38% Market Closed
Market Cap: 549.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one XOM stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.59 USD. Compared to the current market price of 123.61 USD, Exxon Mobil Corp is Undervalued by 5%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

XOM Intrinsic Value
129.59 USD
Undervaluation 5%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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Exxon Mobil Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Summary

 

 

 

 

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Business Breakdown

Exxon Mobil Corporation, a global leader in the energy sector, stands as a pillar of resilience and innovation in the oil and gas industry. Founded in 1870, this integrated oil and gas company operates through various segments, including upstream (exploration and production), downstream (refining and marketing), and chemical manufacturing. With a diverse portfolio of assets spread across worldwide markets, ExxonMobil not only engages in extracting oil and gas but also processes and sells petrochemicals that are essential in a multitude of everyday products. The company has consistently delivered strong financial performance, supported by its vast reserves and advanced technological capabilit...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Exxon Mobil Corp

Current Assets 96.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 26.5B
Receivables 43.1B
Other Current Assets 26.7B
Non-Current Assets 364.5B
Long-Term Investments 47.9B
PP&E 298.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 18.2B
Current Liabilities 70.8B
Accounts Payable 60.1B
Other Current Liabilities 10.7B
Non-Current Liabilities 121.5B
Long-Term Debt 36.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 85B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Exxon Mobil Corp

Revenue
340.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-238.7B USD
Gross Profit
101.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-56.9B USD
Operating Income
45.1B USD
Other Expenses
-10.9B USD
Net Income
34.2B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

ExxonMobil continues to demonstrate strong performance, achieving $9.2 billion in earnings for Q2 2024, marking its second-best second quarter in a decade. The period saw record production levels in Guyana and the Permian Basin, the latter reaching 1.2 million barrels per day with the inclusion of Pioneer. The successful integration of Pioneer, completed in just six months, is expected to deliver more synergies than initially announced. The company's high-return performance product sales rose 5%, supporting a $9.5 billion shareholder distribution. Looking forward, ExxonMobil anticipates generating $80 to $140 billion in cumulative surplus cash from 2024 to 2027, with a focus on advancing low-carbon solutions.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

XOM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Exxon Mobil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
ROE is Increasing
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
59/100
Profitability
Score

Exxon Mobil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

XOM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Exxon Mobil Corp's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
66/100
Solvency
Score

Exxon Mobil Corp's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

XOM Price Targets Summary
Exxon Mobil Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast XOM stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XOM is 133.55 USD with a low forecast of 111.1 USD and a high forecast of 156.45 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
111.1 USD
10% Downside
Average
Price Target
133.55 USD
8% Upside
Highest
Price Target
156.45 USD
27% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
25
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100
Previous Payment
-
Today
Next Payment
-
Today
Oct 12, 2024
Previous Payment
-
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-
Ex-Dividend Date
-
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for XOM is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Average
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

XOM Insider Trading
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Profile

Exxon Mobil Corp Logo
Exxon Mobil Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

549.2B USD

Dividend Yield

3.07%

Description

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas and currently employs 63,000 full-time employees. The Company’s principal business involves exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas, and the manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals and a range of specialty products. The firm's segments include Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment is organized and operates to explore for and produce crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures, trades and sells petroleum products. The refining and supply operations encompass a global network of manufacturing plants, transportation systems, and distribution centers that provide a range of fuels, lubricants and other products and feedstocks to its customers around the world. The Chemical segment is organized and operates to manufacture and sell petrochemicals. The Chemical business supplies olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and a variety of other petrochemicals.

Contact

TEXAS
Irving
5959 Las Colinas Blvd
+19729406000.0
corporate.exxonmobil.com

IPO

1980-03-17

Employees

63 000

Officers

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one XOM stock?

The intrinsic value of one XOM stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.59 USD.

Is XOM stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 123.61 USD, Exxon Mobil Corp is Undervalued by 5%.

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