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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one XOM stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.59 USD. Compared to the current market price of 123.61 USD, Exxon Mobil Corp is Undervalued by 5%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Exxon Mobil Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Exxon Mobil Corporation, a global leader in the energy sector, stands as a pillar of resilience and innovation in the oil and gas industry. Founded in 1870, this integrated oil and gas company operates through various segments, including upstream (exploration and production), downstream (refining and marketing), and chemical manufacturing. With a diverse portfolio of assets spread across worldwide markets, ExxonMobil not only engages in extracting oil and gas but also processes and sells petrochemicals that are essential in a multitude of everyday products. The company has consistently delivered strong financial performance, supported by its vast reserves and advanced technological capabilit...
Exxon Mobil Corporation, a global leader in the energy sector, stands as a pillar of resilience and innovation in the oil and gas industry. Founded in 1870, this integrated oil and gas company operates through various segments, including upstream (exploration and production), downstream (refining and marketing), and chemical manufacturing. With a diverse portfolio of assets spread across worldwide markets, ExxonMobil not only engages in extracting oil and gas but also processes and sells petrochemicals that are essential in a multitude of everyday products. The company has consistently delivered strong financial performance, supported by its vast reserves and advanced technological capabilities, positioning it to adapt to the dynamics of the global energy landscape, including the growing emphasis on sustainability and renewable energy.
For investors, Exxon Mobil represents both a robust dividend-paying stock and a strategic player in energy transition. The company has a long history of strong cash flow generation, enabling it to return value to shareholders while investing in capital projects and exploring cleaner energy solutions. As the world gradually shifts toward renewable energy, ExxonMobil is also investing in carbon capture and storage technologies, ensuring it remains relevant in an evolving landscape. With a solid balance sheet and a commitment to navigating the challenges posed by environmental concerns and changing regulations, Exxon Mobil stands out as a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the energy sector while balancing the imperatives of sustainability and growth.
Exxon Mobil Corporation, one of the largest publicly traded oil and gas companies in the world, operates through several core business segments. These segments broadly encompass its activities across the energy value chain. As of my latest data up to October 2023, here are the primary business segments of Exxon Mobil:
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Upstream:
- This segment focuses on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. It includes activities such as geological surveys, drilling, and extraction. Exxon Mobil operates in multiple regions around the world, including North America, Europe, Asia, and Africa, leveraging advanced technologies to enhance recovery and maintain competitive advantages.
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Downstream:
- The downstream segment deals with refining, marketing, and distribution of petroleum products. It involves converting crude oil into various products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, lubricants, and petrochemicals. Exxon Mobil operates refineries, distribution terminals, and service stations globally, and emphasizes efficiency and safety in its operations.
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Chemical:
- Exxon Mobil’s chemical segment produces a range of petrochemicals, including polymers, elastomers, and specialty products. These chemicals are used in various industries such as packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods. Exxon Mobil focuses on innovation and sustainability in its chemical operations, investing in research and development to create high-performance materials.
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Natural Gas and Power Marketing:
- This segment encompasses the marketing and trading of natural gas, power, and other energy products. Exxon Mobil engages in the sale and transportation of natural gas, as well as participating in the development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. The segment aims to meet the growing demand for cleaner energy sources while optimizing market opportunities.
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Renewable and Alternative Energy:
- In response to the global energy transition, Exxon Mobil has been investing in renewable energy technologies and carbon capture and storage (CCS) initiatives. This segment is part of the company's strategy to diversify its energy portfolio and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, positioning itself in the evolving energy landscape.
Exxon Mobil's business segments are designed to operate synergistically, allowing the company to leverage its strengths across the energy spectrum while navigating market dynamics and regulatory challenges. The focus on operational efficiency, technological innovation, and sustainable practices is central to its long-term growth strategy.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the oil and gas industry:
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Scale and Efficiency: Exxon Mobil is one of the largest publicly traded oil and gas companies in the world. Its scale enables it to achieve significant economies of scale, reducing per-unit costs and allowing for greater efficiency in operations compared to smaller competitors.
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Integrated Business Model: Exxon Mobil operates across the entire oil and gas value chain, including exploration, production, refining, and marketing. This vertical integration allows the company to manage costs better and mitigate risks associated with volatile oil prices, as it can balance the performance of its upstream and downstream segments.
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Strong Financial Position: With a robust balance sheet, Exxon Mobil has the financial agility to weather downturns in the energy market. This position enables it to undertake large-scale projects and investments in research and development (R&D) that some competitors may not be able to afford.
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Technological Innovation: Exxon Mobil invests heavily in technology and R&D, which enhances its exploration and production capabilities. This includes advanced drilling techniques and digital technologies that optimize operations and reduce environmental impact.
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Global Presence: Exxon Mobil has a well-diversified geographical footprint, allowing it to access a wide range of markets and resources. This global presence also helps the company react strategically to geopolitical dynamics and supply chain disruptions.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Reputation: As a well-established brand in the energy sector, Exxon Mobil enjoys strong customer loyalty and trust. Its history of reliability and performance gives it an advantage in attracting long-term contracts and partnerships.
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Access to Reserves: The company has access to significant proven oil and gas reserves globally. This access protects it from supply shortages and positions it well in a world where energy demand continues to grow.
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Commitment to Sustainability and Energy Transition: Exxon Mobil is investing in cleaner technologies and renewable energy sources, which may enhance its competitive edge as the industry shifts toward sustainability. Commitment to carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies also positions it favorably in discussions around climate change and regulatory pressures.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: Exxon Mobil has established various strategic partnerships and joint ventures that facilitate access to new technologies, markets, and resources, further strengthening its competitive position.
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Strong Operational Expertise: Years of experience and operational know-how provide Exxon Mobil with a competitive edge in executing complex projects effectively and efficiently, which is critical in the capital-intensive oil and gas industry.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Exxon Mobil to maintain its leadership position in the oil and gas sector, navigate market fluctuations, and adapt to the evolving energy landscape successfully.
Exxon Mobil Corp faces several risks and challenges in the near future, considering the ever-evolving landscape of the energy sector, regulatory environments, and market conditions. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in oil and gas prices can significantly impact revenue. A downturn in prices due to oversupply, reduced global demand, or geopolitical factors could affect profitability.
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Regulatory Changes: Increasing regulations around environmental standards, emissions reductions, and carbon pricing could impose additional costs and operational restrictions. Governments worldwide are pushing for stricter climate policies, impacting fossil fuel companies.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: The global shift towards renewable energy poses a long-term threat to traditional oil and gas businesses. Exxon must adapt its portfolio and strategy to either invest in alternative energy sources or risk becoming less relevant as the energy landscape evolves.
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Climate Change Concerns: Enhanced focus on climate change and environmental sustainability can lead to reputational risks, litigation, and demands from investors for better environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. This pressure can impact funding and investor relations.
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Technological Disruption: The emergence of new technologies in energy production, such as solar and wind, and advancements in battery storage could disrupt traditional oil and gas business models. Adapting to or integrating these technologies will be crucial.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability in key oil-producing regions, trade tensions, and sanctions can affect operations and supply chains. Exxon operates in several jurisdictions with varying levels of risk associated with political and economic conditions.
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Operational Challenges: Aging infrastructure, safety incidents, and workforce challenges can impact output and increase operational costs. Ensuring operational efficiency while maintaining safety is essential.
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Investor Sentiment: Shareholder attitudes are shifting towards sustainability. Exxon could face pressure from investors to diversify its energy portfolio and enhance its commitment to sustainability practices.
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Debt Management: High levels of debt, particularly in a low-price environment, can strain financial stability. Effective debt management will be necessary to ensure long-term viability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Ongoing disruptions (e.g., due to health crises, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions) could impact operations and costs.
Overall, while Exxon Mobil enjoys significant assets and market presence, navigating these challenges will require strategic foresight, adaptability, and a commitment to sustainable practices to secure its future in a transforming energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Exxon Mobil Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Exxon Mobil Corp
Current Assets | 96.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 26.5B |
Receivables | 43.1B |
Other Current Assets | 26.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 364.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 47.9B |
PP&E | 298.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 18.2B |
Current Liabilities | 70.8B |
Accounts Payable | 60.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 10.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 121.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 36.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 85B |
Earnings Waterfall
Exxon Mobil Corp
Revenue
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340.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-238.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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101.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-56.9B
USD
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Operating Income
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45.1B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-10.9B
USD
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Net Income
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34.2B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
ExxonMobil continues to demonstrate strong performance, achieving $9.2 billion in earnings for Q2 2024, marking its second-best second quarter in a decade. The period saw record production levels in Guyana and the Permian Basin, the latter reaching 1.2 million barrels per day with the inclusion of Pioneer. The successful integration of Pioneer, completed in just six months, is expected to deliver more synergies than initially announced. The company's high-return performance product sales rose 5%, supporting a $9.5 billion shareholder distribution. Looking forward, ExxonMobil anticipates generating $80 to $140 billion in cumulative surplus cash from 2024 to 2027, with a focus on advancing low-carbon solutions.
What is Earnings Call?
XOM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Exxon Mobil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Exxon Mobil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
XOM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Exxon Mobil Corp's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Exxon Mobil Corp's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
XOM Price Targets Summary
Exxon Mobil Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XOM is 133.55 USD with a low forecast of 111.1 USD and a high forecast of 156.45 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for XOM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
XOM Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas and currently employs 63,000 full-time employees. The Company’s principal business involves exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas, and the manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals and a range of specialty products. The firm's segments include Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment is organized and operates to explore for and produce crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures, trades and sells petroleum products. The refining and supply operations encompass a global network of manufacturing plants, transportation systems, and distribution centers that provide a range of fuels, lubricants and other products and feedstocks to its customers around the world. The Chemical segment is organized and operates to manufacture and sell petrochemicals. The Chemical business supplies olefins, polyolefins, aromatics, and a variety of other petrochemicals.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one XOM stock under the Base Case scenario is 129.59 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 123.61 USD, Exxon Mobil Corp is Undervalued by 5%.