` Comparison: GEVO vs MPC - Alpha Spread

GEVO
vs
MPC

Over the past 12 months, GEVO has underperformed MPC, delivering a return of +9% compared to the MPC's +28% growth.

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GEVO
MPC
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Valuation Comparison

GEVO Intrinsic Value
1.37 USD
Overvaluation 27%
Intrinsic Value
Price
MPC Intrinsic Value
241.69 USD
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Gevo Inc
NASDAQ:GEVO
1.88 USD
Marathon Petroleum Corp
NYSE:MPC
203 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
GEVO, MPC

GEVO
MPC
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Gevo Inc
Revenue
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
GEVO, MPC

GEVO
MPC
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Gevo Inc
NASDAQ:GEVO
Marathon Petroleum Corp
NYSE:MPC
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

GEVO
44.8%
MPC
10.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Operating Margin

GEVO
-23.3%
MPC
5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Net Margin

GEVO
-37.3%
MPC
2.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

FCF Margin

GEVO
-70.9%
MPC
3.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

ROE

GEVO
-9.3%
MPC
16%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

ROA

GEVO
-7%
MPC
3.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

ROIC

GEVO
-5.7%
MPC
8.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

ROCE

GEVO
-4.7%
MPC
10.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Gevo Inc
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
GEVO, MPC

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Performance Gap
GEVO, MPC

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GEVO
MPC
Difference
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Performance By Year
GEVO, MPC

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GEVO
MPC
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