` Comparison: PBPB vs CMG - Alpha Spread

PBPB
vs
CMG

Over the past 12 months, PBPB has significantly outperformed CMG, delivering a return of +77% compared to the CMG's 26% drop.

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PBPB
CMG
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Valuation Comparison

PBPB Intrinsic Value
13.26 USD
Overvaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price
CMG Intrinsic Value
35.49 USD
Overvaluation 4%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Potbelly Corp
NASDAQ:PBPB
17.12 USD
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
36.92 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
PBPB, CMG

PBPB
CMG
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Potbelly Corp
Revenue
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
PBPB, CMG

PBPB
CMG
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Potbelly Corp
NASDAQ:PBPB
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

PBPB
74.6%
CMG
33.7%

Operating Margin

PBPB
3.1%
CMG
16.5%

Net Margin

PBPB
2.3%
CMG
12.9%

FCF Margin

PBPB
3.6%
CMG
12.1%

ROE

PBPB
28.5%
CMG
47.4%

ROA

PBPB
4.4%
CMG
16.9%

ROIC

PBPB
7.8%
CMG
19.6%

ROCE

PBPB
8.2%
CMG
24.8%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
PBPB, CMG

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Performance Gap
PBPB, CMG

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PBPB
CMG
Difference
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Performance By Year
PBPB, CMG

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PBPB
CMG
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Compare PBPB to other stocks
MCD
McDonald's Corp
More expensive
vs PBPB
SBUX
Starbucks Corp
More expensive
vs PBPB
CPG
Compass Group PLC
Cheaper
vs PBPB
YUM
Yum! Brands Inc
Cheaper
vs PBPB
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett