Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
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Price: 50.08 USD -3.73% Market Closed
Market Cap: 67.9B USD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.27 USD. Compared to the current market price of 50.08 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Overvalued by 24%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CMG Intrinsic Value
38.27 USD
Overvaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Intrinsic Value History
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Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation History. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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CMG
Valuation History
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Historical valuation for CMG cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

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Fundamental Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
US
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Market Cap
68B USD
IPO
Jan 26, 2006
US
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Market Cap
68B USD
IPO
Jan 26, 2006
Price
$false
EPS
$false
Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

Heightened exposure to volatile ingredient costs, particularly for high-demand items like avocados and responsibly sourced meats, could erode margins if price hikes drive away price-sensitive consumers.

Bull Theses

Chipotle’s differentiated focus on fresh, customizable offerings and strong brand loyalty enable consistent same-store sales growth, supported further by strategic menu additions such as Lifestyle Bowls and limited-time offerings.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Current Assets 1.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.4B
Receivables 211.2m
Other Current Assets 146.5m
Non-Current Assets 7.4B
Long-Term Investments 896.1m
PP&E 6.4B
Intangibles 21.9m
Other Non-Current Assets 115.5m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Revenue
11.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-7.4B USD
Gross Profit
3.9B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.9B USD
Operating Income
1.9B USD
Other Expenses
-409.2m USD
Net Income
1.5B USD
Fundamental Scores

CMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
69/100
Profitability
Score

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
69/100
Solvency
Score

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CMG Price Targets Summary
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMG is 66.9 USD with a low forecast of 46.58 USD and a high forecast of 76.65 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
46.58 USD
7% Downside
Average
Price Target
66.9 USD
34% Upside
Highest
Price Target
76.65 USD
53% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CMG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

CMG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

CMG News

Other Videos
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.27 USD.

Is CMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 50.08 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Overvalued by 24%.

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