First Time Loading...

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG

Watchlist Manager
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
Watchlist
Price: 3 153.38 USD -0.61% Market Closed
Updated: May 23, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. engages in the development and operation of classically-cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 601.01 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3 153.38 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Overvalued by 49%.

Key Points:
CMG Intrinsic Value
Base Case
1 601.01 USD
Overvaluation 49%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling CMG stocks based on their intrinsic value.

Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.

Run Backtest
Settings
Valuation Methods
Buy/Sell Thresholds
Buy When:
%
Sell When:
%
B
S
Run Backtest
How does it work?

Fundamental Analysis

Beta
Ask me anything about
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

What unique competitive advantages
does Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc face in the near future?

Has there been any significant insider trading activity
in Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc recently?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

What significant events have occurred
in Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc over the past months?

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide P/S
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide P/E
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide P/OCF
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide P/FCFE
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide P/B
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/S
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/GP
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/OCF
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide EV/IC
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Show me price targets
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

What are the Net Income projections
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

What are the EPS projections
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

What are the EBIT projections
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide ROE
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide ROA
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide ROIC
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide ROCE
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Gross Margin
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Operating Margin
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Net Margin
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide FCF Margin
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Show all solvency ratios
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Current Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Current Assets 1.6B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.4B
Receivables 89.8m
Other Current Assets 136.1m
Non-Current Assets 6.8B
Long-Term Investments 785.2m
PP&E 5.9B
Intangibles 21.9m
Other Non-Current Assets 84.6m
Current Liabilities 997.4m
Accounts Payable 196.9m
Accrued Liabilities 568.2m
Other Current Liabilities 232.3m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 4.1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Revenue
10.2B USD
Cost of Revenue
-7B USD
Gross Profit
3.2B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.6B USD
Operating Income
1.7B USD
Other Expenses
-370.6m USD
Net Income
1.3B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
Fundamental Scores

CMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
ROE is Increasing
Positive Free Cash Flow
68/100
Profitability
Score

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
70/100
Solvency
Score

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CMG Price Targets Summary
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMG is 3 300.35 USD with a low forecast of 2 222 USD and a high forecast of 3 780 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
2 222 USD
30% Downside
Average
Price Target
3 300.35 USD
5% Upside
Highest
Price Target
3 780 USD
20% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Competitors Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Ownership

CMG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

CMG Price
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

1M 1M
+8%
6M 6M
+42%
1Y 1Y
+54%
3Y 3Y
+135%
5Y 5Y
+373%
10Y 10Y
+504%
Annual Price Range
3 153.38
52w Low
1 781.48
52w High
3 239.23
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 22.91%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 30.32%
Max Drawdown -50%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 86.6B USD
Shares Outstanding 27 624 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 2.9%

CMG Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

CMG News

Other Videos

Last Important Events
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

All
Positive
Negative

Sentiment Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Today
Last 7 Days 7D
Last 30 Days 30D
Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Market Cap

86.6B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. engages in the development and operation of classically-cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. The company is headquartered in Newport Beach, California and currently employs 97,660 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-01-26. The firm develops and operates restaurants that serve a relevant menu of burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The firm's Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla), tacos, and salads. The firm sells gift cards, which do not have an expiration date. The company operates Chipotle restaurants throughout the United States, international Chipotle restaurants, and non-Chipotle restaurants. Its serves only meats in its Chipotle restaurants. The firm brand these meats as Responsibly Raised.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Newport Beach
610 Newport Center Dr, Suite 1400
+19495244000.0
https://www.chipotle.com/

IPO

2006-01-26

Employees

97 660

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Mr. Brian R. Niccol
CFO & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. John R. Hartung
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Scott Boatwright
Chief Customer & Technology Officer
Mr. Curtis E. Garner III
Chief Brand Officer
Mr. Christopher Brandt
Head of Investor Relations & Strategy
Ms. Cynthia Henn Olsen CFA
Show More
Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Roger E. Theodoredis
Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. D Ilene Eskenazi
Managing Director of Europe
Mr. Jim Slater
Chief Corporate Affairs & Food Safety Officer
Ms. Laurie Schalow
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one CMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 601.01 USD.

Is CMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 3 153.38 USD, Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is Overvalued by 49%.