
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG

Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
CMG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
38.27
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 50.08 USD,
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
is
Overvalued by 24%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

Valuation History
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Fundamental Analysis

Heightened exposure to volatile ingredient costs, particularly for high-demand items like avocados and responsibly sourced meats, could erode margins if price hikes drive away price-sensitive consumers.
Chipotle’s differentiated focus on fresh, customizable offerings and strong brand loyalty enable consistent same-store sales growth, supported further by strategic menu additions such as Lifestyle Bowls and limited-time offerings.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Current Assets | 1.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.4B |
Receivables | 211.2m |
Other Current Assets | 146.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 7.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 896.1m |
PP&E | 6.4B |
Intangibles | 21.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 115.5m |
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Earnings Waterfall
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Revenue
|
11.3B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-7.4B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
3.9B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.9B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
1.9B
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-409.2m
USD
|
Net Income
|
1.5B
USD
|
CMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Score
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Score
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CMG Price Targets Summary
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CMG
is 66.9 USD
with a low forecast of 46.58 USD and a high forecast of 76.65 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CMG is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
The intrinsic value of one
CMG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
38.27
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 50.08 USD,
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
is
Overvalued by 24%.