` Comparison: DUK vs NG - Alpha Spread

DUK
vs
NG

Over the past 12 months, DUK has underperformed NG, delivering a return of +7% compared to the NG's +26% growth.

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DUK
NG
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Valuation Comparison

DUK Intrinsic Value
154.76 USD
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price
NG Intrinsic Value
598.44 GBX
Overvaluation 51%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
129.99 USD
National Grid PLC
LSE:NG
1 233.5 GBX
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
DUK, NG

Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Duke Energy Corp
Revenue
National Grid PLC
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
DUK, NG

Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
National Grid PLC
LSE:NG
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

DUK
72%
NG
0%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

Operating Margin

DUK
26.6%
NG
29.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

Net Margin

DUK
15.2%
NG
16.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

FCF Margin

DUK
-5.3%
NG
-10.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

ROE

DUK
9.6%
NG
7.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

ROA

DUK
2.6%
NG
2.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

ROIC

DUK
4.1%
NG
4.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

ROCE

DUK
5%
NG
5.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duke Energy Corp
National Grid PLC

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
DUK, NG

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Performance Gap
DUK, NG

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DUK
NG
Difference
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Performance By Year
DUK, NG

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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett