` Comparison: ESTC vs SPNS - Alpha Spread

ESTC
vs
SPNS

Over the past 12 months, ESTC has underperformed SPNS, delivering a return of -45% compared to the SPNS's +61% growth.

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ESTC
SPNS
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Valuation Comparison

ESTC Intrinsic Value
63.22 USD
Undervaluation 17%
Intrinsic Value
Price
SPNS Intrinsic Value
27.03 USD
Overvaluation 38%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Elastic NV
NYSE:ESTC
52.18 USD
Sapiens International Corporation NV
NASDAQ:SPNS
43.45 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
ESTC, SPNS

ESTC
SPNS
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Elastic NV
Revenue
Sapiens International Corporation NV
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
ESTC, SPNS

ESTC
SPNS
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Elastic NV
NYSE:ESTC
Sapiens International Corporation NV
NASDAQ:SPNS
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

ESTC
76%
SPNS
44.3%

Operating Margin

ESTC
-1.6%
SPNS
13.7%

Net Margin

ESTC
-5%
SPNS
11.4%

FCF Margin

ESTC
15.3%
SPNS
12.5%

ROE

ESTC
-10.2%
SPNS
13.1%

ROA

ESTC
-3.5%
SPNS
9%

ROIC

ESTC
76.3%
SPNS
10.9%

ROCE

ESTC
-1.9%
SPNS
13.9%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
ESTC, SPNS

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Performance Gap
ESTC, SPNS

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ESTC
SPNS
Difference
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Performance By Year
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ESTC
SPNS
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett