` Comparison: AAV, COP - Alpha Spread

AAV
vs
COP

Over the past 12 months, AAV has significantly outperformed COP, delivering a return of +41% compared to the COP's 4% drop.

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AAV
COP
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Valuation Comparison

AAV Intrinsic Value
18.83 CAD
Undervaluation 35%
Intrinsic Value
Price
COP Intrinsic Value
116.9 USD
Undervaluation 18%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Advantage Energy Ltd
TSX:AAV
12.18 CAD
Conocophillips
NYSE:COP
95.54 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
AAV, COP

AAV
COP
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Advantage Energy Ltd
Revenue
Conocophillips
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
AAV, COP

AAV
COP
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Advantage Energy Ltd
TSX:AAV
Conocophillips
NYSE:COP
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

AAV
76%
COP
46.1%

Operating Margin

AAV
14%
COP
21.1%

Net Margin

AAV
9.7%
COP
14.8%

FCF Margin

AAV
-7.2%
COP
11.9%

ROE

AAV
3.7%
COP
15.4%

ROA

AAV
2.1%
COP
8.1%

ROIC

AAV
2.2%
COP
8.6%

ROCE

AAV
3.3%
COP
12.9%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
AAV, COP

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Performance Gap
AAV, COP

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AAV
COP
Difference
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Performance By Year
AAV, COP

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AAV
COP
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