Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC

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Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC
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Price: 9.67 AUD 16.65% Market Closed
Market Cap: 9B AUD

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one LYC stock under the Base Case scenario is 7.73 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 9.67 AUD, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd is Overvalued by 20%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

LYC Relative Value
Base Case
7.73 AUD
Overvaluation 20%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
0
vs Industry
31
Median 3Y
9.2
Median 5Y
11
Industry
1.8
Forward
15.6
vs History
9
vs Industry
1
Median 3Y
26.6
Median 5Y
30.4
Industry
16.6
Forward
119.8
vs History
19
vs Industry
2
Median 3Y
26.6
Median 5Y
33.1
Industry
9.8
vs History
vs Industry
5
Median 3Y
-11.8
Median 5Y
29.5
Industry
16.3
vs History
42
vs Industry
22
Median 3Y
3.1
Median 5Y
3.3
Industry
1.7
vs History
0
vs Industry
30
Median 3Y
8.2
Median 5Y
9.8
Industry
2.1
Forward
15.3
vs History
0
vs Industry
6
Median 3Y
20.8
Median 5Y
29.4
Industry
7.5
vs History
9
vs Industry
1
Median 3Y
28.7
Median 5Y
31
Industry
10.7
Forward
68.8
vs History
9
vs Industry
1
Median 3Y
28.7
Median 5Y
31
Industry
13.7
Forward
52.8
vs History
19
vs Industry
3
Median 3Y
23.9
Median 5Y
30.8
Industry
11.2
vs History
vs Industry
8
Median 3Y
-11.1
Median 5Y
25.8
Industry
15
vs History
53
vs Industry
24
Median 3Y
3.2
Median 5Y
3.7
Industry
1.5

Multiples Across Competitors

LYC Competitors Multiples
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd Competitors

Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
MY
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC
9B AUD 18.7 177.8 166.8 166.8
AU
BHP Group Ltd
ASX:BHP
199.7B AUD 2.5 11.5 5.2 6.5
AU
Rio Tinto Ltd
ASX:RIO
180.3B AUD 2.2 10.3 5.6 7.7
UK
Rio Tinto PLC
LSE:RIO
72.4B GBP 1.8 8.5 25 34.4
CH
Glencore PLC
LSE:GLEN
38B GBP 0.2 -31.4 222.5 564.2
MX
Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
BMV:GMEXICOB
894.4B MXN 2.9 12.9 5.6 6.6
SA
Saudi Arabian Mining Company SJSC
SAU:1211
154.3B SAR 4.6 44.8 16.5 29.4
UK
Anglo American PLC
LSE:AAL
30.2B GBP 1.5 -13.3 104.7 169.2
ZA
African Rainbow Minerals Ltd
JSE:ARI
35.5B Zac 0 0 0 0
CN
CMOC Group Ltd
SSE:603993
175.4B CNY 0.8 11.4 5.2 5.2
CN
China Molybdenum Co Ltd
OTC:CMCLF
21.6B USD 0.7 10.1 4.5 4.5
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth PEG
MY
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC
Average P/E: 35.9
177.8
74%
2.4
AU
BHP Group Ltd
ASX:BHP
11.5
-13%
N/A
AU
Rio Tinto Ltd
ASX:RIO
10.3
-1%
N/A
UK
Rio Tinto PLC
LSE:RIO
8.5
-1%
N/A
CH
Glencore PLC
LSE:GLEN
Negative Multiple: -31.4 N/A N/A
MX
Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
BMV:GMEXICOB
12.9
9%
1.4
SA
Saudi Arabian Mining Company SJSC
SAU:1211
44.8
33%
1.4
UK
Anglo American PLC
LSE:AAL
Negative Multiple: -13.3 N/A N/A
ZA
A
African Rainbow Minerals Ltd
JSE:ARI
Not Available
-76%
N/A
CN
CMOC Group Ltd
SSE:603993
11.4
12%
1
CN
C
China Molybdenum Co Ltd
OTC:CMCLF
10.1
12%
0.8
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
MY
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd
ASX:LYC
Average EV/EBITDA: 56.2
166.8
120%
1.4
AU
BHP Group Ltd
ASX:BHP
5.2
-4%
N/A
AU
Rio Tinto Ltd
ASX:RIO
5.6
5%
1.1
UK
Rio Tinto PLC
LSE:RIO
25
6%
4.2
CH
Glencore PLC
LSE:GLEN
222.5
17%
13.1
MX
Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
BMV:GMEXICOB
5.6
7%
0.8
SA
Saudi Arabian Mining Company SJSC
SAU:1211
16.5
2%
8.2
UK
Anglo American PLC
LSE:AAL
104.7
7%
15
ZA
A
African Rainbow Minerals Ltd
JSE:ARI
Not Available
283%
N/A
CN
CMOC Group Ltd
SSE:603993
5.2
14%
0.4
CN
C
China Molybdenum Co Ltd
OTC:CMCLF
4.5
14%
0.3