Polynovo Ltd
ASX:PNV

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Polynovo Ltd
ASX:PNV
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Price: 1.195 AUD 1.27% Market Closed
Market Cap: 825.6m AUD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 10, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one PNV stock is 0.691 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 1.195 AUD, the stock is Overvalued by 42%.

PNV DCF Value
Base Case
0.691 AUD
Overvaluation 42%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 0.691 AUD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 105.4m AUD. The present value of the terminal value is 354.7m AUD. The total present value equals 460.1m AUD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 460.1m AUD
+ Cash & Equivalents 30.5m AUD
+ Investments 50k AUD
Firm Value 490.6m AUD
- Debt 13.4m AUD
Equity Value 477.3m AUD
/ Shares Outstanding 690.8m
PNV DCF Value 0.691 AUD
Overvalued by 42%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
144m 323.3m
Operating Income
10.9m 61.3m
FCFF
8m 40.1m

What is the DCF value of one PNV stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one PNV stock is 0.691 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 1.195 AUD, the stock is Overvalued by 42%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Polynovo Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 460.1m AUD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 0.691 AUD per share.

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