Alcon AG
SIX:ALC

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Alcon AG
SIX:ALC
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Price: 71.72 CHF -0.06% Market Closed
Market Cap: 35.8B CHF

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 6, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one ALC stock is 42.56 CHF. Compared to the current market price of 71.72 CHF, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

ALC DCF Value
Base Case
42.56 CHF
Overvaluation 41%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 42.56 CHF

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 8B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 18B USD. The total present value equals 26B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 26B USD
Equity Value 26B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 499.7m
Value per Share 51.96 USD
USD / CHF Exchange Rate 0.8192
ALC DCF Value 42.56 CHF
Overvalued by 41%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
26B CHF
/
Number of Shares
499.7m
=
DCF Value
42.56 CHF

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
10.7B 13.7B
Net Income
1.7B 2.4B

What is the DCF value of one ALC stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one ALC stock is 42.56 CHF. Compared to the current market price of 71.72 CHF, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Alcon AG's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 26B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 42.56 CHF per share.

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