Thungela Resources Ltd
JSE:TGA
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P/FCFE
Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.
Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.
Valuation Scenarios
If P/FCFE returns to its 3-Year Average (3.7), the stock would be worth Zac-2 378.05 (116% downside from current price).
| Scenario | P/FCFE Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | -22.6 | Zac14 525 |
0%
|
| 3-Year Average | 3.7 | Zac-2 378.05 |
-116%
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| 5-Year Average | 3.3 | Zac-2 108.96 |
-115%
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| Country Average | 21.1 | Zac-13 568.04 |
-193%
|
Forward P/FCFE
Today’s price vs future free cash flow to equity
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | P/FCFE | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZA |
T
|
Thungela Resources Ltd
JSE:TGA
|
20.4B ZAR | -22.6 | -2.9 | |
| ID |
|
Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk PT
F:A640
|
161.3B EUR | 2 865.7 | 417 | |
| CN |
|
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd
SSE:601088
|
953.7B CNY | 70.9 | 18 | |
| ZA |
E
|
Exxaro Resources Ltd
JSE:EXX
|
75.2B ZAR | 13.5 | 9.9 | |
| CA |
C
|
Cameco Corp
NYSE:CCJ
|
52.5B USD | 95.5 | 121.1 | |
| CN |
|
Shaanxi Coal Industry Co Ltd
SSE:601225
|
253.3B CNY | 9.5 | 13.2 | |
| CN |
|
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
SSE:601898
|
248.2B CNY | 16.1 | 13.9 | |
| CN |
|
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd
SSE:600188
|
228.5B CNY | 13.4 | 23.7 | |
| IN |
|
Coal India Ltd
NSE:COALINDIA
|
3T INR | 15.7 | 9.9 | |
| ID |
|
Bayan Resources Tbk PT
IDX:BYAN
|
380T IDR | 49.7 | 29.6 | |
| ID |
|
Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk PT
IDX:DSSA
|
311.1T IDR | 258.8 | 78.7 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 11.2 |
| 30th Percentile | 21.1 |
| Median | 21.1 |
| 70th Percentile | 22.7 |
| Max | 26.3 |
Other Multiples
Thungela Resources Ltd
Glance View
Thungela Resources Ltd., carved out of South African mining giant Anglo American, stands as a testament to both opportunity and challenge in the volatile realm of thermal coal. This Johannesburg-based company emerged into the public eye in June 2021, armed with seven mining operations spread across the coal-rich landscapes of Mpumalanga, South Africa. These locations not only provide a steady stream of thermal coal but also highlight Thungela's strategic focus on high-quality resources suited for export markets. What sets Thungela apart is its integration of mining and selling operations, allowing it to control the entire supply chain which extends from the extraction of coal to its export. Essential relationships with the Richards Bay Coal Terminal facilitate the smooth shipping of coal to international power producers, predominantly in Asia and Europe, thus sustaining its revenue engine. The heart of Thungela's business model lies in extracting thermal coal, a staple demand from coal-fired power stations globally, and selling it on the international market. Its earnings are directly tethered to the fluctuating prices of this commodity, driven by global market dynamics, regulatory developments, and geopolitical shifts. However, Thungela's journey is not without its hurdles: the company maneuvers through the complex terrains of environmental regulations and the rising global shift towards renewable energy. Nevertheless, its coal remains in demand, catering to regions still reliant on thermal coal due to infrastructural and energy transition timelines. Through adept management and strategic foresight, Thungela balances these pressures, striving to maximize profitability while navigating its place in an ever-evolving energy landscape.