Airbnb Inc
NASDAQ:ABNB

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Airbnb Inc
NASDAQ:ABNB
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Price: 116.99 USD 0.21% Market Closed
Market Cap: 72.7B USD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 30, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one ABNB stock is 117.18 USD. Compared to the current market price of 116.99 USD, the stock is Fairly Valued.

ABNB DCF Value
Base Case
117.18 USD
Fairly Valued
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 117.18 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 18.2B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 43B USD. The total present value equals 61.1B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Model
Year 1

forecasted

Year 2

forecasted

Year 3

forecasted

Year 4

forecasted

Year 5

forecasted

Terminal

forecasted

Operating Income
Revenue13 21214 56616 02817 23518 10018 554
Absolute Value
Growth
Operating Margin21.44%22.08%23.75%23.61%23.48%23.34%
Absolute Value
Operating Income2 8333 2163 8064 0694 2494 331
Net Operating Profit After Taxes
Taxes34-150-401-668-947-1 219
Absolute Value
As % of Operating Income
NOPAT2 8673 0663 4053 4023 3033 112
Free Cash Flow to Firm
Net CapEx1 2001 2411 2761 2751 2371 164
Absolute Value
As % of Revenue
FCFF4 0674 3074 6814 6774 5404 276
Present Value
Discount Rate7.07%7.07%7.07%7.07%7.07%7.07%
Present Value3 7983 7573 8133 5593 22642 983
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 61.1B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 7.5B USD
+ Investments 4.2B USD
Firm Value 72.8B USD
Equity Value 72.8B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 621.4m
ABNB DCF Value 117.18 USD
Fairly Valued

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
13.2B 18.6B
Operating Income
2.8B 4.3B
FCFF
4.1B 4.3B

What is the DCF value of one ABNB stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one ABNB stock is 117.18 USD. Compared to the current market price of 116.99 USD, the stock is Fairly Valued.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Airbnb Inc's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 61.1B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 117.18 USD per share.

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