Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) under the Base Case is 91.54 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 83.16 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 9% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method.

Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .

CHDN Intrinsic Value
$91.54
Undervaluation 9%
Intrinsic Value
Price $83.16

CHDN is cheaper than usual. It was this cheap or cheaper on just 8% of days in the past 5 years.

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20% below Intrinsic Value $73.23
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Intrinsic Value $91.54
Current Price $83.16
Margin of Safety 20% $73.23
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Fundamental Analysis

What Churchill Downs Does

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Consumer Discretionary

Churchill Downs Inc. runs horse racing venues, casinos, and online betting services. Its best-known property is Churchill Downs Racetrack in Kentucky, home of the Kentucky Derby. The company also owns and operates gaming properties in several states and offers digital wagering through its TwinSpires brand. It makes money from admission, wagering takeout, gaming revenue, hotel and entertainment spending, and online betting activity.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
6 600
IPO date
Mar 29, 1993
Read the full company overview
View Company Overview

Churchill Downs has no economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Churchill Downs Inc lacks an economic moat, leaving it vulnerable to competitive pressures and market challenges.

Read the full moat analysis

Latest Earnings Call

Q2 2026 · July 30, 2026

Open the earnings call
EPS
$3.45
Expected
$3.51
Surprise
−1.7%
Stock, day of the call
−6.6%
View Earnings Call
Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Churchill Downs Inc

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

CHDN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one CHDN stock?

The intrinsic value for Churchill Downs Inc (CHDN) under the Base Case is 91.54 USD.

Is CHDN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 83.16 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 9% .

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