Firefly Aerospace Inc
NASDAQ:FLY
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) under the Base Case is 0.32 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 25.21 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 99% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Firefly Aerospace's net margin turns positive, reaching 12% by 2031 versus -209% last year. Revenue growth starts at 110%, below last year's pace, then slows to average 43% a year over the next five years. The value of the years after 2031 exceeds the whole estimate; the forecast years subtract value.
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Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Firefly Aerospace Does
Firefly Aerospace builds and sells space transportation systems. Its main products are small rockets for putting satellites into orbit, lunar landers for reaching the Moon, and related spacecraft hardware and mission services. In simple terms, it is a space company that helps customers move payloads from Earth to orbit and beyond.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 1 414
- IPO date
- Aug 7, 2025
Earnings Waterfall
Firefly Aerospace Inc
What is the Intrinsic Value of one FLY stock?
The intrinsic value for Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) under the Base Case is 0.32 USD.
Is FLY stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 25.21 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 99% .