Mesa Air Group Inc
NASDAQ:MESA
Intrinsic Value
Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as a commercial aviation holding company, which engages in the provision of regional air carrier and passenger transportation services. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
MESA
stock under the Base Case scenario is
9.504
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.8075 USD,
Mesa Air Group Inc
is
Undervalued by 92%.
Mesa Air Group Inc's market capitalization is 33.1m USD.
MESA stock price is 0.8075 USD.
MESA stock price (0.8075 USD) is 92% less than its Intrinsic Value (9.504 USD).
MESA stock price (0.8075 USD) is 89% less than its Relative Value (7.5193 USD). Open Relative Valuation
MESA has upside potential of 148% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
MESA's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from -4% to -4%, and is approaching profitability.
MESA's Revenue has dropped by 6% over the past 12 months.
MESA's Revenue has been falling by 3% per year for the last 3 years.
MESA's long-term assets (898m USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (698m USD).
MESA has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
MESA's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -4%.
MESA has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
MESA's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.82.
MESA's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 7% to -47%.
MESA has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
MESA has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -2%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
MESA has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
MESA's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -47%.
MESA's short-term liabilties (268m USD) exceed its short-term assets (139m USD).
MESA has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (365m USD) than cash and short-term investments (33m USD).
MESA has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -19%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
MESA's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.12.
MESA doesn't generate enough operating income (-37m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (38m USD).
Fundamental Analysis
Mesa Air Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Mesa Air Group Inc
| Current Assets | 138.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 32.9m |
| Receivables | 8.3m |
| Other Current Assets | 97.4m |
| Non-Current Assets | 759.9m |
| Long-Term Investments | 20.3m |
| PP&E | 707.7m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 31.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 267.9m |
| Accounts Payable | 59m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 40.5m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 168.4m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 430.5m |
| Long-Term Debt | 364.7m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 65.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
Mesa Air Group Inc
|
Revenue
|
498.1m
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-422.6m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
75.5m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-112.6m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-37.2m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-83m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-120.1m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Mesa Air Group Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
MESA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Mesa Air Group Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Mesa Air Group Inc's profitability score is 30/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MESA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Mesa Air Group Inc's solvency score is 18/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Mesa Air Group Inc's solvency score is 18/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MESA Price Targets Summary
Mesa Air Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
MESA
is 2 USD
.
Ownership
MESA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
MESA Price
Mesa Air Group Inc
| Average Annual Return | -25.17% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 32.09% |
| Max Drawdown | -97% |
| Market Capitalization | 33.1m USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 40 940 300 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 5.17% |
MESA News
Last Important Events
Mesa Air Group Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Mesa Air Group Inc
Company Profile
Mesa Air Group Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as a commercial aviation holding company, which engages in the provision of regional air carrier and passenger transportation services. The company is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona and currently employs 2,999 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-08-10. Mesa Airlines operates as a regional air carrier provider, which schedules flight service to approximately 120 cities in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and Mexico, as well as cargo services out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport. Mesa Airlines operates a fleet of approximately 167 aircraft with approximately 457 daily departures and also leases approximately 12 aircraft to a third party. Its partners include American Airlines, Inc. (American), United Airlines, Inc. (United) and DHL Network Operations (United States), Inc. (DHL). Mesa Airlines operates all of its flights on behalf of partners as either American Eagle, United Express, or DHL Express flights.
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