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Alamos Gold Inc
NYSE:AGI

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Alamos Gold Inc Logo
Alamos Gold Inc
NYSE:AGI
Watchlist
Price: 13.38 USD -1.55% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 19, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Alamos Gold, Inc. engages in the exploration, development, mining and extraction of precious metals. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one AGI stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.34 USD. Compared to the current market price of 13.38 USD, Alamos Gold Inc is Overvalued by 23%.

Key Points:
AGI Intrinsic Value
Base Case
10.34 USD
Overvaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Alamos Gold Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Record Gold Production Drives Robust Financials
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Record Gold Production Drives Robust Financials

With a record-breaking year, the company reached the high end of its gold production guidance, delivering 529,000 ounces, marking a 15% increase from the previous year. Cost-efficiency improved with a 4% reduction in expenses, achieving $1,160 per ounce. Financially, revenue surged by 25% to hit $1 billion with operating cash flow following suit, rising 44% to $520 million and free cash flow reaching $124 million. Looking ahead, the company anticipates further growth, with production expected to climb by 3% in 2024 and 7% by 2026, while costs are predicted to drop by 11% to approximately $1,000 per ounce. Additionally, further potential developments at Lynn Lake may come to fruition by the second half of 2027. The company remains alert to inflationary pressures, notably a 4-5% impact from labor costs, which are built into the budget. The mill's potential expandability is strategic for scaling production.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alamos Gold Inc

Current Assets 586m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 237.8m
Receivables 53.4m
Other Current Assets 294.8m
Non-Current Assets 3.4B
PP&E 3.4B
Other Non-Current Assets 55.1m
Current Liabilities 247.9m
Accounts Payable 167.8m
Accrued Liabilities 22.7m
Other Current Liabilities 57.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 829.8m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 829.8m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Alamos Gold Inc

Revenue
1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-447.5m USD
Gross Profit
575.8m USD
Operating Expenses
-257.7m USD
Operating Income
318.1m USD
Other Expenses
-108.1m USD
Net Income
210m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alamos Gold Inc

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Fundamental Scores

AGI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Alamos Gold Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Operating Income
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Free Cash Flow
50/100
Profitability
Score

Alamos Gold Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AGI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Alamos Gold Inc's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
73/100
Solvency
Score

Alamos Gold Inc's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AGI Price Targets Summary
Alamos Gold Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AGI stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AGI is 16.61 USD with a low forecast of 14.77 USD and a high forecast of 19.44 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
14.77 USD
10% Upside
Average
Price Target
16.61 USD
24% Upside
Highest
Price Target
19.44 USD
45% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Shareholder Return

AGI Price
Alamos Gold Inc

1M 1M
+14%
6M 6M
+6%
1Y 1Y
+17%
3Y 3Y
+79%
5Y 5Y
+182%
10Y 10Y
+92%
Annual Price Range
18.12
52w Low
14.94
52w High
20.11
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 26.32%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 37.3%
Max Drawdown -45%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 7.2B CAD
Shares Outstanding 396 771 008
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.28%

AGI Return Decomposition
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AGI News

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Company Profile

Alamos Gold Inc Logo
Alamos Gold Inc

Country

Canada

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

7.2B USD

Dividend Yield

0.75%

Description

Alamos Gold, Inc. engages in the exploration, development, mining and extraction of precious metals. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company went IPO on 2015-07-06. The firm owns and operates the Young-Davidson and Island Gold mines in Canada, as well as the Mulatos mine in Mexico. In addition, the Company owns the Lynn Lake gold project in Manitoba, the Esperanza gold project in Mexico and the Kirazl, Ag Dag and amyurt gold development projects in Turkey. The Young-Davidson gold mine is Canada’s underground gold mines. The Young-Davidson gold mine is located near the town of Matachewan, approximately 60 kilometers west of Kirkland Lake in Northern Ontario, within the Abitibi Greenstone Belt. Island Gold mine is located east of the town of Dubreuilville, approximately 83 kilometers northeast of Wawa in Northern Ontario. The Mulatos mine is the Company’s founding operation, which is located in the Sierra Madre Occidental mountain range in the east-central portion of the State of Sonora, Mexico. The mine is approximately 220 kilometers directly east of the City of Hermosillo.

Contact

ONTARIO
TORONTO
181 Bay St Suite 3910
+14163689932.0
https://www.alamosgold.com

IPO

2015-07-06

Employees

1 719

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. John A. McCluskey
Senior Vice President of Mexico
Dr. Luis Chavez-Martinez B.A., M.Sc., Ph.D.
Senior Vice President of Technical Services
Mr. Christopher Bostwick B.Sc., FAusIMM
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Greg Fisher B.Comm, CPA, CA
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Luc Guimond B.Sc., P.Eng.
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Scott Parsons CFA
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Senior VP & General Counsel
Mr. Nils Frederik Jonas Engelstad BA, LL.B, LL.M, M.A.
Vice President of Public Affairs
Ms. Rebecca Thompson B.A.
Vice President of Human Resource
Ms. Nicole Lichowit M.B.A., M.S.W.
Vice President of Sustainability & External Affairs
Mr. Colin Webster B.Sc., P.Eng.
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AGI stock?

The intrinsic value of one AGI stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.34 USD.

Is AGI stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 13.38 USD, Alamos Gold Inc is Overvalued by 23%.