Alamos Gold Inc
NYSE:AGI
Intrinsic Value
Alamos Gold, Inc. engages in the exploration, development, mining and extraction of precious metals. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one AGI stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.34 USD. Compared to the current market price of 13.38 USD, Alamos Gold Inc is Overvalued by 23%.
Valuation Backtest
Alamos Gold Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Record Gold Production Drives Robust Financials
2023-Q4 Earnings Call
With a record-breaking year, the company reached the high end of its gold production guidance, delivering 529,000 ounces, marking a 15% increase from the previous year. Cost-efficiency improved with a 4% reduction in expenses, achieving $1,160 per ounce. Financially, revenue surged by 25% to hit $1 billion with operating cash flow following suit, rising 44% to $520 million and free cash flow reaching $124 million. Looking ahead, the company anticipates further growth, with production expected to climb by 3% in 2024 and 7% by 2026, while costs are predicted to drop by 11% to approximately $1,000 per ounce. Additionally, further potential developments at Lynn Lake may come to fruition by the second half of 2027. The company remains alert to inflationary pressures, notably a 4-5% impact from labor costs, which are built into the budget. The mill's potential expandability is strategic for scaling production.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alamos Gold Inc
Current Assets | 586m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 237.8m |
Receivables | 53.4m |
Other Current Assets | 294.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.4B |
PP&E | 3.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 55.1m |
Current Liabilities | 247.9m |
Accounts Payable | 167.8m |
Accrued Liabilities | 22.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 57.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 829.8m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 829.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
Alamos Gold Inc
Revenue
|
1B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-447.5m
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
575.8m
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-257.7m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
318.1m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-108.1m
USD
|
Net Income
|
210m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alamos Gold Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
AGI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Alamos Gold Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Alamos Gold Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AGI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Alamos Gold Inc's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Alamos Gold Inc's solvency score is 73/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AGI Price Targets Summary
Alamos Gold Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AGI is 16.61 USD with a low forecast of 14.77 USD and a high forecast of 19.44 USD.
Shareholder Return
AGI Price
Alamos Gold Inc
Average Annual Return | 26.32% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 37.3% |
Max Drawdown | -45% |
Market Capitalization | 7.2B CAD |
Shares Outstanding | 396 771 008 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.28% |
Company Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Alamos Gold, Inc. engages in the exploration, development, mining and extraction of precious metals. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company went IPO on 2015-07-06. The firm owns and operates the Young-Davidson and Island Gold mines in Canada, as well as the Mulatos mine in Mexico. In addition, the Company owns the Lynn Lake gold project in Manitoba, the Esperanza gold project in Mexico and the Kirazl, Ag Dag and amyurt gold development projects in Turkey. The Young-Davidson gold mine is Canada’s underground gold mines. The Young-Davidson gold mine is located near the town of Matachewan, approximately 60 kilometers west of Kirkland Lake in Northern Ontario, within the Abitibi Greenstone Belt. Island Gold mine is located east of the town of Dubreuilville, approximately 83 kilometers northeast of Wawa in Northern Ontario. The Mulatos mine is the Company’s founding operation, which is located in the Sierra Madre Occidental mountain range in the east-central portion of the State of Sonora, Mexico. The mine is approximately 220 kilometers directly east of the City of Hermosillo.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AGI stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.34 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 13.38 USD, Alamos Gold Inc is Overvalued by 23%.