Forestar Group Inc
NYSE:FOR

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Forestar Group Inc
NYSE:FOR
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Price: 28.36 USD 0.85% Market Closed
Market Cap: $1.4B

P/OCF

15.1
Current
310%
More Expensive
vs 3-y average of 3.7

Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.

P/OCF
15.1
=
Market Cap
$1.5B
/
Operating Cash Flow
$95.3m

Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.

P/OCF
15.1
=
Market Cap
$1.5B
/
Operating Cash Flow
$95.3m

Valuation Scenarios

Forestar Group Inc is trading above its 3-year average

If P/OCF returns to its 3-Year Average (3.7), the stock would be worth $6.92 (76% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
0/3
Maximum Downside
-76%
Maximum Upside
No Upside Scenarios
Average Downside
33%
Scenario P/OCF Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 15.1 $28.36
0%
3-Year Average 3.7 $6.92
-76%
Industry Average 13.4 $25.05
-12%
Country Average 13.3 $24.98
-12%

Forward P/OCF
Today’s price vs future operating cash flow

Not enough data available to calculate forward P/OCF

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
P/OCF
P/E
All Countries
Close

Market Distribution

In line with most companies in the United States of America
Percentile
57th
Based on 9 488 companies
57th percentile
15.1
Low
0 — 8.8
Typical Range
8.8 — 20.1
High
20.1 —
Distribution Statistics
the United States of America
Min 0
30th Percentile 8.8
Median 13.3
70th Percentile 20.1
Max 3 188 432.5

Forestar Group Inc
Glance View

Market Cap
1.4B USD
Industry
Real Estate

Forestar Group Inc., originally a part of the more diversified conglomerate Temple-Inland, has carved out a niche in the real estate sector as a nimble player focused on residential lot development. Positioned as a key supplier for homebuilders, the company’s core business lies in its strategic ability to transform raw land into ready-to-build residential lots. This process involves acquiring and entitling land, primarily in high-growth corridors across the United States, where urban sprawl and demand for new housing continue to rise. Forestar employs a disciplined investment approach focused on the fundamentals of land supply and demand, enabling it to deftly navigate the cyclical nature of the real estate market. Forestar's revenue model is intricately tied to its partnerships with national and regional homebuilders, providing these clients with a steady and scalable pipeline of lot inventory, thereby allowing them to focus on the vertical construction of homes. By selling entitled and developed lots, the company monetizes its inventory through both single-payment land sales and longer-term lot option contracts. This dual approach allows Forestar to maintain liquidity while capitalizing on future land value appreciation. Their strategic alignment with homebuilding giant D.R. Horton, which owns a controlling interest, further bolsters Forestar’s market position, providing a symbiotic relationship that enhances operational efficiency and accelerates market penetration. Through this efficient sales model, Forestar is well-positioned to capture value in a perpetually evolving housing market landscape.

FOR Intrinsic Value
38.17 USD
Undervaluation 26%
Intrinsic Value
Price $28.36
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