Forestar Group Inc
NYSE:FOR
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P/OCF
Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.
Price to Operating Cash Flow (P/OCF) ratio compares a company`s market value to the cash it generates from its core operations.
Valuation Scenarios
If P/OCF returns to its 3-Year Average (3.7), the stock would be worth $6.92 (76% downside from current price).
| Scenario | P/OCF Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 15.1 | $28.36 |
0%
|
| 3-Year Average | 3.7 | $6.92 |
-76%
|
| Industry Average | 13.4 | $25.05 |
-12%
|
| Country Average | 13.3 | $24.98 |
-12%
|
Forward P/OCF
Today’s price vs future operating cash flow
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | P/OCF | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US |
|
Forestar Group Inc
NYSE:FOR
|
1.4B USD | 15.1 | 8.7 | |
| HK |
|
China Resources Land Ltd
HKEX:1109
|
229.6B HKD | 6.8 | 7.5 | |
| VN |
V
|
Vinhomes JSC
VN:VHM
|
580T VND | 14.1 | 13.8 | |
| HK |
|
CK Asset Holdings Ltd
HKEX:1113
|
169.9B HKD | 11.5 | 15.6 | |
| HK |
|
Henderson Land Development Co Ltd
HKEX:12
|
147B HKD | 13.2 | 25.8 | |
| HK |
|
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd
HKEX:688
|
135.5B HKD | 2.7 | 9.5 | |
| HK |
|
Sino Land Co Ltd
HKEX:83
|
117B HKD | 43.8 | 31.4 | |
| CN |
|
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
SZSE:001979
|
75.4B CNY | 7.8 | 73.6 | |
| CN |
|
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
SSE:600048
|
68.7B CNY | 2.4 | -71.4 | |
| IN |
|
Macrotech Developers Ltd
NSE:LODHA
|
839.8B INR | 93.2 | 26.1 | |
| CN |
|
Longfor Group Holdings Ltd
HKEX:960
|
58B HKD | 1.4 | 50.1 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 0 |
| 30th Percentile | 8.8 |
| Median | 13.3 |
| 70th Percentile | 20.1 |
| Max | 3 188 432.5 |
Other Multiples
Forestar Group Inc
Glance View
Forestar Group Inc., originally a part of the more diversified conglomerate Temple-Inland, has carved out a niche in the real estate sector as a nimble player focused on residential lot development. Positioned as a key supplier for homebuilders, the company’s core business lies in its strategic ability to transform raw land into ready-to-build residential lots. This process involves acquiring and entitling land, primarily in high-growth corridors across the United States, where urban sprawl and demand for new housing continue to rise. Forestar employs a disciplined investment approach focused on the fundamentals of land supply and demand, enabling it to deftly navigate the cyclical nature of the real estate market. Forestar's revenue model is intricately tied to its partnerships with national and regional homebuilders, providing these clients with a steady and scalable pipeline of lot inventory, thereby allowing them to focus on the vertical construction of homes. By selling entitled and developed lots, the company monetizes its inventory through both single-payment land sales and longer-term lot option contracts. This dual approach allows Forestar to maintain liquidity while capitalizing on future land value appreciation. Their strategic alignment with homebuilding giant D.R. Horton, which owns a controlling interest, further bolsters Forestar’s market position, providing a symbiotic relationship that enhances operational efficiency and accelerates market penetration. Through this efficient sales model, Forestar is well-positioned to capture value in a perpetually evolving housing market landscape.