Johnson Controls International PLC
NYSE:JCI
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Johnson Controls International PLC
NYSE:JCI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) under the Base Case is 115.11 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 148.12 USD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 22% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Johnson Controls' net margin rises from 11% last year to 14% by 2031, near its recent high. If its margin stayed at its five-year average of 9.6%, the estimate would be about $80.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Johnson Controls International Does
Johnson Controls makes equipment and software that help buildings run safely and efficiently. Its main products include heating, cooling, ventilation, fire protection, security systems, and building controls. It sells to owners and operators of offices, factories, hospitals, schools, data centers, airports, and other large facilities.
- Headquarters
- Ireland IE
- Employees
- 87 000
- IPO date
- Aug 22, 1991
Johnson Controls International has a narrow economic moat
Replacing building controls can mean changing equipment, reprogramming systems and retraining staff, making it easier for customers to stay with Johnson Controls. Its Metasys upgrade path preserves existing investments, helping it retain maintenance and upgrade work even when rivals offer alternatives.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Johnson Controls International PLC
Earnings Waterfall
Johnson Controls International PLC
The intrinsic value for Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) under the Base Case is 115.11 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 148.12 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 22% .