Vistra Corp
NYSE:VST
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Vistra Corp
NYSE:VST
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US |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Vistra Corp (VST) under the Base Case is 156.916 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 139.635 USD, the stock appears
Undervalued by 11% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Vistra's net margin rises to 19% by 2031, above its six-year high of 14%. If its margin stayed at its five-year average of 1.4%, the estimate would be about -$1.68.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Vistra Does
Vistra is an electricity company that sits in the middle of the power market. It owns and runs a large fleet of power plants, including natural gas, nuclear, solar, and battery storage assets, and it also sells electricity and related energy products to homes and businesses through retail brands. In simple terms, it makes and sells power.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 6 390
- IPO date
- Sep 28, 2016
Vistra has no economic moat
Customers can choose among competing electricity suppliers, and rival generators can sell similar power in the same markets. Vistra’s size and mix of generation and retail businesses may help it compete, but they do not prevent rivals from offering customers similar service or lower prices.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Vistra Corp
Earnings Waterfall
Vistra Corp
The intrinsic value for Vistra Corp (VST) under the Base Case is 156.916 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 139.635 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 11% .