Wayfair Inc
NYSE:W
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Wayfair Inc
NYSE:W
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Wayfair Inc (W) under the Base Case is 72.689 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 113.275 USD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 36% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes revenue returns to growth: about 6% a year over the next five years, after falling about 3% a year over the last five years. If revenue grew at its five-year pace of -3%, the estimate would be about $47.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Wayfair Does
Wayfair sells furniture, home decor, and household goods through its online stores. It does not make most of the products itself; instead, it acts as a digital retailer that helps shoppers find a very wide selection of items for bedrooms, kitchens, bathrooms, patios, and more. Its main customers are consumers furnishing or refreshing their homes, along with some business buyers such as hotels and offices.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 11 800
- IPO date
- Oct 2, 2014
Wayfair has no economic moat
Shoppers can find home goods at many online, big-box, furniture, and specialty retailers, and switching from Wayfair does not require giving up a critical service or making a costly change. Its brand and assortment do not make customers dependent on its site or clearly let it charge more than alternatives.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Wayfair Inc
Earnings Waterfall
Wayfair Inc
The intrinsic value for Wayfair Inc (W) under the Base Case is 72.689 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 113.275 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 36% .