Obsidian Energy Ltd
TSX:OBE
Intrinsic Value
Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an exploration and production company. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
OBE
stock under the Base Case scenario is
13.05
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 12.11 CAD,
Obsidian Energy Ltd
is
Undervalued by 7%.
Obsidian Energy Ltd's market capitalization is 939.6m CAD.
OBE stock price is 12.11 CAD.
OBE stock price (12.11 CAD) is 7% less than its Intrinsic Value (13.05 CAD).
OBE stock price (12.11 CAD) is 27% less than its Relative Value (16.61 CAD). Open Relative Valuation
OBE's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 7%.
OBE's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 6%.
OBE's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 0% to 7%.
OBE's Revenue has dropped by 15% over the past 12 months.
OBE has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
OBE's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 88% to 6%.
OBE has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 22%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
OBE's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 33% per year for the last 3 years.
OBE has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
OBE has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
OBE has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
OBE's short-term liabilties (230m CAD) exceed its short-term assets (95m CAD).
OBE has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 38%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
OBE's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.14.
OBE's long-term assets (2B CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (607m CAD).
OBE's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.83.
OBE has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (224m CAD) than cash and short-term investments (500k CAD).
OBE earns more than enough operating income (169m CAD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (800k CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
OBE
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Obsidian Energy Ltd
| Current Assets | 94.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 500k |
| Receivables | 70m |
| Other Current Assets | 24.1m |
| Non-Current Assets | 2.2B |
| PP&E | 1.9B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 211.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 230m |
| Accounts Payable | 193.5m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 36.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 376.6m |
| Long-Term Debt | 224.1m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 152.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Obsidian Energy Ltd
|
Revenue
|
660.5m
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-188.9m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
471.6m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-302.4m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
169.2m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-61.2m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
108m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Obsidian Energy Ltd
OBE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Obsidian Energy Ltd's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Obsidian Energy Ltd's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
OBE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Obsidian Energy Ltd's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Obsidian Energy Ltd's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
OBE Price Targets Summary
Obsidian Energy Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
OBE
is 12.83 CAD
with a low forecast of 10.61 CAD and a high forecast of 14.7 CAD.
Shareholder Return
OBE Price
Obsidian Energy Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 131.98% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 292.8% |
| Max Drawdown | -93% |
| Market Capitalization | 939.6m CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 77 303 500 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.98% |
Company Profile
Obsidian Energy Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an exploration and production company. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 173 full-time employees. The firm operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. The firm operates a portfolio of opportunities with an oil position in the Cardium, Peace River and Viking areas of Alberta. Its Cardium development play is located in West Central Alberta and extends over 300 kilometers from Calgary to Grande Prairie, Alberta. The Viking development area is located in Eastern Alberta along the Alberta/Saskatchewan border. The Peace River development area is a heavy oil play located in Northwestern Alberta.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
OBE
stock under the Base Case scenario is
13.05
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 12.11 CAD,
Obsidian Energy Ltd
is
Undervalued by 7%.
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