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West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
TSX:WFG

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West Fraser Timber Co Ltd Logo
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd
TSX:WFG
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Price: 100.62 CAD -4.11%
Market Cap: CA$7.9B
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one WFG stock under the Base Case scenario is 89.9 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 100.62 CAD, West Fraser Timber Co Ltd is Overvalued by 11%.

Valuation Methods:
DCF Value
CA$111.05
Relative Value
CA$68.75
DCF Value
CA$111.05
Relative Value
CA$68.75
WFG Intrinsic Value
89.9 CAD
Overvaluation 11%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

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Why is WFG valued this way?

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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

A prolonged downturn in North American housing starts could sharply reduce demand for West Fraser’s key construction-oriented products, jeopardizing overall revenue and forcing mill curtailments.

The company’s high exposure to regional timber supply constraints—especially wildfire risks in Western Canada—may lead to rising log costs and reduced production efficiency, damaging margins.

Current geopolitical uncertainties around export duties and tariffs threaten West Fraser’s U.S. market access, potentially eroding pricing power and profitability in cross-border sales.

Bull Theses

West Fraser’s diversified product mix—including lumber, OSB, pulp, and EWP—mitigates commodity risk and positions the firm to capture upside as regional housing markets recover.

Large-scale production capacity, supported by modernized mills, enables the company to benefit substantially from any increase in North American housing construction and repair-and-remodel activity.

A relatively strong balance sheet gives West Fraser financial flexibility to fund strategic acquisitions and mill upgrades, strengthening its competitiveness and potential for long-term market share gains.

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Earnings Waterfall
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

Wall St
Price Targets

WFG Price Targets Summary
West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast WFG stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WFG is 89.21 CAD with a low forecast of 69.99 CAD and a high forecast of 102.9 CAD.

WFG Lowest Forecast
Wall Street Target
69.99 CAD
-30% Downside
WFG Average Forecast
Wall Street Target
89.21 CAD
-11% Downside
WFG Highest Forecast
Wall Street Target
102.9 CAD
2% Upside
Lowest
Price Target
69.99 CAD
30% Downside
Average
Price Target
89.21 CAD
11% Downside
Highest
Price Target
102.9 CAD
2% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

See Also

Summary
WFG intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
WFG stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
WFG stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
WFG price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
WFG stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one WFG stock?

The intrinsic value of one WFG stock under the Base Case scenario is 89.9 CAD.

Is WFG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 100.62 CAD, West Fraser Timber Co Ltd is Overvalued by 11%.

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