Universal Music Group NV
VSE:UMG

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Universal Music Group NV Logo
Universal Music Group NV
VSE:UMG
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Price: 23.13 EUR 1.14%
Market Cap: 42.3B EUR
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.08 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 23.13 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Overvalued by 5%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

UMG Intrinsic Value
22.08 EUR
Overvaluation 5%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Universal Music Group NV

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Universal Music Group NV (UMG) stands as a formidable player in the global music industry, renowned for its extensive roster of artists and vast catalog of music. With a legacy that traces back over a century, UMG has evolved from a traditional record label to a multifaceted entertainment powerhouse, leveraging digital platforms to adapt to changing consumer behaviors. The company operates through various segments, including recorded music, music publishing, and merchandising, enabling it to diversify its revenue streams and capture growth across multiple areas. Major artists from varied genres, such as Taylor Swift, The Weeknd, and Billie Eilish, are part of UMG's impressive lineup, solidif...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Universal Music Group NV

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Universal Music Group NV

Current Assets 4.2B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 457m
Receivables 2.4B
Other Current Assets 1.4B
Non-Current Assets 11B
Long-Term Investments 2.9B
PP&E 652m
Intangibles 6.8B
Other Non-Current Assets 576m
Current Liabilities 7.2B
Accounts Payable 5.6B
Short-Term Debt 24m
Other Current Liabilities 1.5B
Non-Current Liabilities 4.5B
Long-Term Debt 2.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Universal Music Group NV

Revenue
11.5B EUR
Cost of Revenue
-6.5B EUR
Gross Profit
5B EUR
Operating Expenses
-3.4B EUR
Operating Income
1.6B EUR
Other Expenses
-35m EUR
Net Income
1.5B EUR

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Universal Music Group NV

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

UMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
67/100
Profitability
Score

Universal Music Group NV's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

UMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
50/100
Solvency
Score

Universal Music Group NV's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

UMG Price Targets Summary
Universal Music Group NV

Wall Street analysts forecast UMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UMG is 26.5 EUR with a low forecast of 15.1 EUR and a high forecast of 33.5 EUR.

Lowest
Price Target
15.1 EUR
35% Downside
Average
Price Target
26.5 EUR
15% Upside
Highest
Price Target
33.5 EUR
45% Upside
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Dividends

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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for UMG is .

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Shareholder Yield
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UMG News

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Profile

Universal Music Group NV Logo
Universal Music Group NV

Country

Netherlands

Industry

Media

Market Cap

42.4B EUR

Dividend Yield

2.2%

Description

Universal Music Group NV engages in the music entertainment business. The company is headquartered in Hilversum, Noord-Holland. The company went IPO on 2021-09-21. The firm is focused on the discovery and development of artists and songwriters and the marketing, promotion, distribution, sales and licensing of audio and audio-visual content. Universal Music Group BV includes music publishing companies Universal Music Publishing Group. Its recorded music catalog consists more than three million recordings includes a wide array of performers such as ABBA, Louis Armstrong, The Beatles, The Beach Boys, The Bee Gees, Ariana Grande, Imagine Dragons, Lady Gaga, James Brown, Bon Jovi, Neil Diamond, Marvin Gaye, Drake, Billie Eilish, Eminem, Selena Gomez Guns N’ Roses, Elton John, Bob Marley, Paul McCartney, Nirvana, Luciano Pavarotti, Queen, The Rolling Stones, Frank Sinatra, U2, Amy Winehouse and Stevie Wonder among others.

Contact

NOORD-HOLLAND
Hilversum
S-Gravelandseweg 80
universalmusic.nl

IPO

2021-09-21

Employees

8 800

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Sir Lucian Grainge CBE
Deputy CEO, Corporate & Executive Director
Mr. Vincent Vallejo
Executive VP, CFO & President of Operations
Mr. Boyd Muir
Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Will Tanous
General Counsel and Executive VP of Business & Legal Affairs
Mr. Jeffrey Harleston
Executive VP and Chief People & Inclusion Officer
Mr. Eric Hutcherson
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Executive VP & Chief Digital Officer
Mr. Michael Nash
Executive VP & Controller
Mr. Philippe Flageul
Chairman & CEO for Universal Music Publishing Group
Ms. Jody Gerson
Chairman & CEO of Universal Music Greater China
Mr. Timothy Xu
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one UMG stock?

The intrinsic value of one UMG stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.08 EUR.

Is UMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 23.13 EUR, Universal Music Group NV is Overvalued by 5%.

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