` Comparison: HMSP vs 2914 - Alpha Spread

HMSP
vs
2914

Over the past 12 months, HMSP has underperformed Japan Tobacco Inc, delivering a return of +42% compared to the Japan Tobacco Inc's +45% growth.

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HMSP
2914
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Valuation Comparison

HMSP Intrinsic Value
853.51 IDR
Undervaluation 15%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Intrinsic Value
6 418.78 JPY
Undervaluation 7%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk PT
IDX:HMSP
725 IDR
Japan Tobacco Inc
TSE:2914
5 978 JPY
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Valuation Scenario:
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Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
HMSP, 2914

HMSP
2914
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk PT
Revenue
Japan Tobacco Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
HMSP, 2914

HMSP
2914
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk PT
IDX:HMSP
Japan Tobacco Inc
TSE:2914
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

HMSP
18.4%
Japan Tobacco Inc
56.2%

Operating Margin

HMSP
8.3%
Japan Tobacco Inc
24.6%

Net Margin

HMSP
5.9%
Japan Tobacco Inc
14.7%

FCF Margin

HMSP
5.9%
Japan Tobacco Inc
10.1%

ROE

HMSP
23.3%
Japan Tobacco Inc
13%

ROA

HMSP
12.5%
Japan Tobacco Inc
6.1%

ROIC

HMSP
15%
Japan Tobacco Inc
8.5%

ROCE

HMSP
30.2%
Japan Tobacco Inc
13.4%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
HMSP, 2914

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Performance Gap
HMSP, 2914

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HMSP
2914
Difference
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Performance By Year
HMSP, 2914

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HMSP
2914
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Compare HMSP to other stocks
PM
Philip Morris International In...
More expensive
vs HMSP
BATS
British American Tobacco PLC
More expensive
vs HMSP
MO
Altria Group Inc
Cheaper
vs HMSP
ITC
ITC Ltd
More expensive
vs HMSP
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett