` Comparison: SPOT vs NFLX - Alpha Spread

SPOT
vs
NFLX

Over the past 12 months, SPOT has underperformed NFLX, delivering a return of -13% compared to the NFLX's +11% growth.

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SPOT
NFLX
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Valuation Comparison

SPOT Intrinsic Value
401.82 USD
Overvaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price $475.99
NFLX Intrinsic Value
59.36 USD
Overvaluation 42%
Intrinsic Value
Price $103.01
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
475.99 USD
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
103.01 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
SPOT, NFLX

SPOT
NFLX
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Spotify Technology SA
Revenue
Netflix Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
SPOT, NFLX

SPOT
NFLX
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

SPOT
32%
NFLX
48.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

Operating Margin

SPOT
12.8%
NFLX
29.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

Net Margin

SPOT
12.9%
NFLX
24.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

FCF Margin

SPOT
16.7%
NFLX
20.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

ROE

SPOT
31.9%
NFLX
42.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

ROA

SPOT
16.4%
NFLX
20.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

ROIC

SPOT
52.1%
NFLX
28.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

ROCE

SPOT
26.7%
NFLX
30.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Spotify Technology SA
Netflix Inc

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
SPOT, NFLX

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Performance Gap
SPOT, NFLX

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SPOT
NFLX
Difference
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Performance By Year
SPOT, NFLX

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SPOT
NFLX
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Compare SPOT to other stocks
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Apple Inc
More expensive
vs SPOT
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Sony Group Corp
Cheaper
vs SPOT
DIS
Walt Disney Co
Cheaper
vs SPOT
WBD
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
Cheaper
vs SPOT
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett