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Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX

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Netflix Inc Logo
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
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Price: 618.39 USD 2.06% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 19, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Netflix, Inc. operates as a streaming entertainment service company. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one NFLX stock under the Base Case scenario is 354.01 USD. Compared to the current market price of 618.39 USD, Netflix Inc is Overvalued by 43%.

Key Points:
NFLX Intrinsic Value
Base Case
354.01 USD
Overvaluation 43%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Netflix Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Netflix Q4 2023 Earnings Highlight Robust Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Netflix Q4 2023 Earnings Highlight Robust Growth

Netflix's Q4 2023 Earnings call revealed a strategic partnership with WWE, boosting live programming content, signaling confidence in long-term growth. The inclusion of WWE RAW aligns with Netflix's content focus and targets a wide yet underpenetrated global fanbase. Financially, the deal fits within the existing $17 billion programming spend. Importantly, Netflix expects healthy double-digit FX-neutral revenue growth and mid-single-digit ARM growth into 2024. EMEA experienced strong content slate performance, driving a notable 13% FX neutral revenue growth. Furthermore, the company is enhancing its ad business, with a focus on scaling, reaching 23 million MAUs, and maintaining high margins despite investments in ad tech and sales infrastructure. Partnerships, like T-Mobile's “Netflix On Us”, are expected to significantly expand the ad-supported base, emphasizing a healthy trajectory for subscriber and revenue growth.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Netflix Inc

Current Assets 9.9B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 7.1B
Receivables 1.3B
Other Current Assets 1.5B
Non-Current Assets 38.8B
PP&E 3.6B
Intangibles 31.7B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.6B
Current Liabilities 8.9B
Accounts Payable 5.2B
Accrued Liabilities 1.8B
Other Current Liabilities 1.8B
Non-Current Liabilities 19.3B
Long-Term Debt 14.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Netflix Inc

Revenue
33.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-19.7B USD
Gross Profit
14B USD
Operating Expenses
-7.1B USD
Operating Income
7B USD
Other Expenses
-1.5B USD
Net Income
5.4B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Netflix Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Table
What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

NFLX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Netflix Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
62/100
Profitability
Score

Netflix Inc's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

NFLX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Netflix Inc's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
63/100
Solvency
Score

Netflix Inc's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

NFLX Price Targets Summary
Netflix Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NFLX is 593.73 USD with a low forecast of 338.35 USD and a high forecast of 777 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
338.35 USD
45% Downside
Average
Price Target
593.73 USD
4% Downside
Highest
Price Target
777 USD
26% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

NFLX Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

NFLX Price
Netflix Inc

1M 1M
+8%
6M 6M
+56%
1Y 1Y
+103%
3Y 3Y
+21%
5Y 5Y
+72%
10Y 10Y
+930%
Annual Price Range
618.39
52w Low
293.9
52w High
619.34
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 3.52%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 45.49%
Max Drawdown -76%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 267.6B USD
Shares Outstanding 432 760 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.85%

NFLX Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

NFLX News

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Last Important Events
Netflix Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Netflix Inc

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Last 7 Days 7D
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Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Netflix Inc Logo
Netflix Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Media

Market Cap

267.6B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Netflix, Inc. operates as a streaming entertainment service company. The company is headquartered in Los Gatos, California and currently employs 11,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-05-23. The firm has paid streaming memberships in over 190 countries, and it allows members to watch a variety of television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films and mobile games across a variety of genres and languages. Its members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on any Internet-connected screen. Members can play, pause and resume watching, without commercials. Additionally, the Company offers its digital versatile disk (DVD) -by-mail service in the United States. The company offers a variety of streaming membership plans, the price of which varies by country and the features of the plan. The pricing of its plans ranges from U.S. dollar equivalent of approximately $2 to $27 per month. The company members can watch streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes and mobile devices. The company acquires, licenses and produces content, including original programming.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Los Gatos
100 Winchester Cir
+14085403700.0
https://www.netflix.com/

IPO

2002-05-23

Employees

11 300

Officers

Co-Founder & Executive Chairman
Mr. Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr.
Co-CEO & Director
Mr. Theodore A. Sarandos
Co-CEO, President & Director
Mr. Gregory K. Peters
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Spencer Adam Neumann
Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Mr. David Hyman
Chief Communications Officer
Ms. Rachel Whetstone
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VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Jeffrey William Karbowski
Chief Technology Officer
Ms. Elizabeth Stone
Vice President of Finance, Corporate Development & Investor Relations
Mr. Spencer Wang
Head of Communications
Ms. Shweta Poojari
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one NFLX stock?

The intrinsic value of one NFLX stock under the Base Case scenario is 354.01 USD.

Is NFLX stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 618.39 USD, Netflix Inc is Overvalued by 43%.