Microsoft Corp
NASDAQ:MSFT

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Microsoft Corp
NASDAQ:MSFT
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Price: 535.27 USD 4.29%
Market Cap: 4T USD

Intrinsic Value

Why is MSFT stock up today?
Strong Q4 earnings exceeding expectations

The intrinsic value of one MSFT stock under the Base Case scenario is 344.36 USD. Compared to the current market price of 535.27 USD, Microsoft Corp is Overvalued by 36%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MSFT Intrinsic Value
344.36 USD
Overvaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Microsoft Corp

What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

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Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

Valuation leaves little room for stumbles. The stock already prices in near-perfect execution; even solid results could disappoint if growth or AI adoption slows.

Bull Theses

Deep, sticky ecosystem drives recurring cash. Microsoft 365, Azure, LinkedIn, and Xbox/Game Pass reinforce one another, making it painful for customers to leave and allowing steady price increases.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Microsoft Corp

Current Assets 156.6B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 79.6B
Receivables 62.5B
Other Current Assets 14.5B
Non-Current Assets 406B
Long-Term Investments 16B
PP&E 208.4B
Intangibles 143.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 38.2B
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Microsoft Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Microsoft Corp

Revenue
270B USD
Cost of Revenue
-83.5B USD
Gross Profit
186.5B USD
Operating Expenses
-64.4B USD
Operating Income
122.1B USD
Other Expenses
-25.5B USD
Net Income
96.6B USD
Fundamental Scores

MSFT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Microsoft Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3Y Average ROE
Exceptional 3Y Average ROIC
Exceptional Operating Margin
Exceptional ROE
68/100
Profitability
Score

Microsoft Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MSFT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Microsoft Corp's solvency score is 82/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
82/100
Solvency
Score

Microsoft Corp's solvency score is 82/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MSFT Price Targets Summary
Microsoft Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSFT is 539.76 USD with a low forecast of 427.23 USD and a high forecast of 682.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
427.23 USD
20% Downside
Average
Price Target
539.76 USD
1% Upside
Highest
Price Target
682.5 USD
28% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Previous Payment
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Today
Next Payment
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Today
Jul 31, 2025
Previous Payment
-
Next Payment
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Ex-Dividend Date
-
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MSFT is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

MSFT Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

MSFT News

Other Videos
What is the Intrinsic Value of one MSFT stock?

The intrinsic value of one MSFT stock under the Base Case scenario is 344.36 USD.

Is MSFT stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 535.27 USD, Microsoft Corp is Overvalued by 36%.

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