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Microsoft Corp

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Microsoft Corp
Price: 439.11 USD -0.99% Market Closed
Updated: Jul 18, 2024
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jul 18, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one MSFT stock is 229.02 USD. Compared to the current market price of 439.11 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 48%.

Base Case
229.02 USD
Overvaluation 48%
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 229.02 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 489B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 1.2T USD. The total present value equals 1.7T USD.
Forecast Period
Discount Rate
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 1.7T USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 19.6B USD
+ Investments 75.2B USD
Firm Value 1.8T USD
- Debt 84.2B USD
Equity Value 1.7T USD
/ Shares Outstanding 7.5B
MSFT DCF Value 229.02 USD
Overvalued by 48%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

278.6B 484.7B
Operating Income
123.4B 211.6B
99.9B 157.2B

See Also

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What is the DCF value of one MSFT stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one MSFT stock is 229.02 USD. Compared to the current market price of 439.11 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 48%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Microsoft Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 1.7T USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 229.02 USD per share.