Aurizon Holdings Ltd
ASX:AZJ
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EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio compares a company`s total enterprise value to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It shows how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company`s earnings, including both equity and debt.
Valuation Scenarios
If EV/EBITDA returns to its 3-Year Average (11.9), the stock would be worth AU$3.7 (10% downside from current price).
| Scenario | EV/EBITDA Value | Implied Price | Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Multiple | 13.3 | AU$4.12 |
0%
|
| 3-Year Average | 11.9 | AU$3.7 |
-10%
|
| 5-Year Average | 11.6 | AU$3.6 |
-12%
|
| Industry Average | 12.5 | AU$3.89 |
-6%
|
| Country Average | 16.5 | AU$5.12 |
+24%
|
Forward EV/EBITDA
Today’s price vs future ebitda
| Today's Enterprise Value | EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AU$11.1B
|
/ |
Jan 2026
AU$829m
|
= |
|
|
AU$11.1B
|
/ |
Jun 2026
AU$1.7B
|
= |
|
|
AU$11.1B
|
/ |
Jun 2027
AU$1.8B
|
= |
|
|
AU$11.1B
|
/ |
Jun 2028
AU$1.7B
|
= |
|
Forward EV/EBITDA shows whether today’s EV/EBITDA still looks high or low once future ebitda are taken into account.
Peer Comparison
| Market Cap | EV/EBITDA | P/E | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AU |
|
Aurizon Holdings Ltd
ASX:AZJ
|
7B AUD | 13.3 | 23.1 | |
| US |
|
Union Pacific Corp
NYSE:UNP
|
149B USD | 14.5 | 21 | |
| US |
|
CSX Corp
NASDAQ:CSX
|
80.7B USD | 15.5 | 28.1 | |
| CA |
|
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd
TSX:CP
|
101.2B CAD | 15.8 | 24.3 | |
| CA |
|
Canadian National Railway Co
TSX:CNR
|
92.5B CAD | 13.1 | 19.7 | |
| US |
|
Norfolk Southern Corp
NYSE:NSC
|
67.8B USD | 14.8 | 23.7 | |
| CN |
|
Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd
SSE:601816
|
245.1B CNY | 14.7 | 18.8 | |
| HK |
|
MTR Corp Ltd
HKEX:66
|
217.2B HKD | 25.9 | 54.5 | |
| US |
K
|
Kansas City Southern
LSE:0JQ4
|
4.2B USD | 5 | 43.3 | |
| JP |
|
Central Japan Railway Co
TSE:9022
|
4T JPY | 8.1 | 7.4 | |
| JP |
|
East Japan Railway Co
TSE:9020
|
4T JPY | 10.9 | 17.5 |
Market Distribution
| Min | 0 |
| 30th Percentile | 10 |
| Median | 16.5 |
| 70th Percentile | 24.5 |
| Max | 6 797.5 |
Other Multiples
Aurizon Holdings Ltd
Glance View
Aurizon Holdings Ltd, Australia's largest rail freight operator, is the linchpin of the country’s transportation network, weaving essential routes across the vast Australian landscape. Established from the former government entity, QR National, Aurizon has become synonymous with moving Australia's abundant natural resources. Its primary business involves the transportation of coal from mines in the resource-rich hinterlands of Queensland and New South Wales to bustling coastal ports. By forming strategic partnerships with key mining companies, Aurizon ensures these commodities are efficiently transferred from the sprawling outback to global markets. The company operates both track infrastructure and freight services, generating revenue through access fees charged to operators using its extensive network, as well as from direct haulage services. Apart from coal, Aurizon’s diversified freight portfolio includes iron ore, agricultural goods, and industrial products, highlighting its pivotal role in connecting various sectors of the Australian economy. The company has invested heavily in modernizing its locomotive fleet and rail infrastructure, enabling it to enhance operational efficiency and reliability. These strategic advancements help Aurizon maintain a competitive advantage in the sector. Additionally, its network expansion and technology integration are critical in optimizing transport operations, ultimately contributing to consistent revenue streams. While environmental concerns and fluctuating commodity prices present challenges, Aurizon’s expertise in logistics and keen focus on sustainability initiatives continue to solidify its position as a leader in Australia's rail freight industry.