` Comparison: EXCL vs VOD - Alpha Spread

EXCL
vs
V
VOD

Over the past 12 months, EXCL has outperformed VOD, delivering a return of +36% compared to the VOD's +34% growth.

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EXCL
VOD
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Valuation Comparison

EXCL Intrinsic Value
3 077.57 IDR
Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
Price
V
VOD Intrinsic Value
13 773.56 Zac
Overvaluation 13%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
XL Axiata Tbk PT
IDX:EXCL
3 080 IDR
V
Vodacom Group Ltd
JSE:VOD
15 785 Zac
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
EXCL, VOD

EXCL
VOD
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
XL Axiata Tbk PT
Revenue
V
Vodacom Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
EXCL, VOD

EXCL
VOD
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
XL Axiata Tbk PT
IDX:EXCL
V
Vodacom Group Ltd
JSE:VOD
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

EXCL
83.5%
VOD
61.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

Operating Margin

EXCL
-3%
VOD
22.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

Net Margin

EXCL
-10.4%
VOD
11.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

FCF Margin

EXCL
19.3%
VOD
20.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

ROE

EXCL
-15.8%
VOD
21.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

ROA

EXCL
-4.4%
VOD
8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

ROIC

EXCL
-1.2%
VOD
17.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

ROCE

EXCL
-1.7%
VOD
21.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
V
Vodacom Group Ltd

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
EXCL, VOD

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Performance Gap
EXCL, VOD

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EXCL
VOD
Difference
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Performance By Year
EXCL, VOD

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EXCL
VOD
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