` Comparison: LFG vs UMG - Alpha Spread

LFG
vs
UMG

Over the past 12 months, LFG has outperformed UMG, delivering a return of -8% compared to the UMG's 17% drop.

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LFG
UMG
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Valuation Comparison

LFG Intrinsic Value
3.35 EUR
Undervaluation 59%
Intrinsic Value
Price €1.36
UMG Intrinsic Value
24.844 EUR
Undervaluation 22%
Intrinsic Value
Price €19.335
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Leone Film Group SpA
MIL:LFG
1.36 EUR
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
19.335 EUR
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
LFG, UMG

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UMG
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Leone Film Group SpA
Revenue
Universal Music Group NV
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
LFG, UMG

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UMG
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Leone Film Group SpA
MIL:LFG
Universal Music Group NV
AEX:UMG
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

LFG
128.9%
UMG
42.5%

Operating Margin

LFG
-3%
UMG
16%

Net Margin

LFG
-17%
UMG
12.3%

FCF Margin

LFG
26.1%
UMG
13.3%

ROE

LFG
-15.8%
UMG
33.8%

ROA

LFG
-4.4%
UMG
8.8%

ROIC

LFG
-1.1%
UMG
14%

ROCE

LFG
-1.4%
UMG
20%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
LFG, UMG

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Performance Gap
LFG, UMG

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LFG
UMG
Difference
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Performance By Year
LFG, UMG

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LFG
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett