` Comparison: UMGNF vs SPOT - Alpha Spread
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UMGNF
vs
SPOT

Over the past 12 months, UMGNF has underperformed SPOT, delivering a return of -23% compared to the SPOT's +6% growth.

Valuation Growth Profitability Solvency Stocks Performance
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UMGNF
SPOT
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Stocks Compared:
UMGNF SPOT
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Valuation Comparison

UMGNF Intrinsic Value
28.9 USD
Undervaluation 20%
Intrinsic Value
Price
SPOT Intrinsic Value
391.4 USD
Overvaluation 30%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Universal Music Group NV
OTC:UMGNF
23.15 USD
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
561.57 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
UMGNF, SPOT

UMGNF
SPOT
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Universal Music Group NV
Revenue
Spotify Technology SA
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
UMGNF, SPOT

UMGNF
SPOT
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Universal Music Group NV
OTC:UMGNF
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

UMGNF
0%
SPOT
32%

Operating Margin

UMGNF
32.8%
SPOT
12.8%

Net Margin

UMGNF
37%
SPOT
12.9%

FCF Margin

UMGNF
11.1%
SPOT
16.7%

ROE

UMGNF
135.4%
SPOT
31.9%

ROA

UMGNF
33.6%
SPOT
16.4%

ROIC

UMGNF
47.3%
SPOT
52.1%

ROCE

UMGNF
52.2%
SPOT
26.7%

Solvency Comparison

Universal Music Group NV
Equity Waterfall
Assets
Liabilities
Equity
What is Equity Waterfall?
Spotify Technology SA
Equity Waterfall
Assets
Liabilities
Equity
What is Equity Waterfall?
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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
UMGNF, SPOT

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SPOT
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Performance Gap
UMGNF, SPOT

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UMGNF
SPOT
Difference
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1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

Performance By Year
UMGNF, SPOT

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SPOT
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