` Comparison: GFL, WM - Alpha Spread

GFL
vs
WM

Over the past 12 months, GFL has outperformed WM, delivering a return of +21% compared to the WM's +8% growth.

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GFL
WM
One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
Start AI Comparison
Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

GFL Intrinsic Value
38.26 CAD
Overvaluation 44%
Intrinsic Value
Price
WM Intrinsic Value
198.78 USD
Overvaluation 11%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
GFL Environmental Inc
TSX:GFL
68.61 CAD
Waste Management Inc
NYSE:WM
224.04 USD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
GFL, WM

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
GFL Environmental Inc
Revenue
Waste Management Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
GFL, WM

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
GFL Environmental Inc
TSX:GFL
Waste Management Inc
NYSE:WM
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

GFL
20%
WM
39.7%

Operating Margin

GFL
6.1%
WM
18%

Net Margin

GFL
49%
WM
11.4%

FCF Margin

GFL
2.6%
WM
9%

ROE

GFL
49.2%
WM
32.7%

ROA

GFL
18.3%
WM
6.8%

ROIC

GFL
0.5%
WM
9.5%

ROCE

GFL
2.5%
WM
12.4%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
GFL, WM

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Performance Gap
GFL, WM

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GFL
WM
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
GFL, WM

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