` Comparison: GFL, WCN - Alpha Spread

GFL
vs
WCN

Over the past 12 months, GFL has outperformed WCN, delivering a return of +19% compared to the WCN's 0% drop.

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GFL
WCN
One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

GFL Intrinsic Value
41 CAD
Overvaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price
WCN Intrinsic Value
198.9 CAD
Overvaluation 20%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
GFL Environmental Inc
TSX:GFL
64.37 CAD
Waste Connections Inc
TSX:WCN
249.09 CAD
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
GFL, WCN

GFL
WCN
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
GFL Environmental Inc
Revenue
Waste Connections Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
GFL, WCN

GFL
WCN
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
GFL Environmental Inc
TSX:GFL
Waste Connections Inc
TSX:WCN
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

GFL
19.4%
WCN
42%

Operating Margin

GFL
5.7%
WCN
19.2%

Net Margin

GFL
36.6%
WCN
6.9%

FCF Margin

GFL
3.1%
WCN
13%

ROE

GFL
36.6%
WCN
8%

ROA

GFL
14.1%
WCN
3.2%

ROIC

GFL
1.9%
WCN
7.3%

ROCE

GFL
2.4%
WCN
9.7%

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
GFL, WCN

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Performance Gap
GFL, WCN

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GFL
WCN
Difference
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Performance By Year
GFL, WCN

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GFL
WCN
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