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Pointsbet Holdings Ltd
ASX:PBH

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Pointsbet Holdings Ltd
ASX:PBH
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Price: 0.45 AUD 2.27% Market Closed
Updated: May 16, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q3

from 0
Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the PointsBet Holdings Limited Q3 FY 2021, Appendix 4C and investor update. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Sam Swanell, Managing Director and Group CEO. Please go ahead.

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Good morning, and thank you all for joining the PointsBet Holdings Limited Q3 FY '21 business update and activities report. This is Sam Swanell, CEO, and I'm joined on the call today by our CFO, Andrew Mellor. This morning, '21 trading performance for the Australian and U.S. businesses. Please note all numbers referred to are unaudited and in Australian dollars, unless otherwise stated. Turning to Slide 4. I was very pleased with the performance of the global trading business during Q3. The performance compared to the prior corresponding period of Q3 FY '20 to be referred to as PCP was as follows: Turnover was up 236% at $905.2 million; gross win, up 275% at $100.5 million; net win, up 246% at $64.9 million; active clients, up 169% at 286,000 clients. Turning to Slide 5. It can be seen that our financial year-to-date being the 9 months to March 30, 2021, is tracking well across all key metrics, including net win, which is up more than 3x the PCP. Over the past 12 months, we have launched in 4 new U.S. jurisdictions. As can be seen from Slide 6, this has diversified our business to now be operating in 7 jurisdictions, including Australia. Now turning to Slide 7. As PointsBet continues to focus on achieving an Australian market share of 10% by 2025, the company executed a refreshed brand campaign featuring NBA, MVP, Shaquille O'Neal, leveraging such an iconic figure in global sport during the Automation Carnival and for the commencement of both the IFL and NFL seasons has continued to build the PointsBet brand across the country. The Australian trading business's Q3 marketing expense was $13.5 million, resulting in active clients being up 90% to 158,041 compared to the 12 months to March 31, 2020. In the United States, the March quarter is an important acquisition period due to significant depth and volume of sports betting content. The company's U.S. quarterly marketing expense of USD 33.3 million resulted in active clients for the 12 months to March 31, 2021, of 127,470, a 461% increase on the 12 months to March 31, 2020. We have a constant focus on our cost per acquisition, and we were pleased that first-time better CPAs across all operational U.S. states for the quarter tracked below USD 500. In Q3, PointsBet continued its targeted marketing investment in New Jersey, Indiana, Illinois and Colorado. We also increased marketing investment in Iowa following in-person registration being replaced by remote online registration on January 1, and commenced marketing in Michigan following its January launch. Now turning to Slide 8. The Australian trading business continued its strong performance, ending the quarter with turnover of $423.2 million, up 137% compared to the PCP and net win of $38.2 million, up 147% from the PCP. Improvements were also seen in both the gross win margin and net win margin. Our gross win margin of 12.9% was achieved up from 11.9% in the PCP, and net win margin of 9% was achieved up from 8.7% in the PCP. The Australian trading business has seen improvement across a number of key KPIs. As client behavior shifts to the higher-margin multi-segment. Improvements in marketing tech tools delivered enhanced acquisition and retention execution. The performance of the Australian trading business remains an excellent blueprint for PointsBet aspirations in North America. As previously mentioned, during the quarter, PointsBet announced the appointment of Professional Basketball Champion and 3-time finals MVP, Shaquille O'Neal as its Australian brand ambassador. Shaq has headlined the company's 2021 Australian brand campaign, which was rolled out across television, digital, mobile and social media. Professional basketball continues to be the largest betting sport in Australia, and therefore, aligning Shaquille O'Neal is particularly exciting for the business. Turning to Slide 9. I will now speak to the U.S. trading results for the quarter. The U.S. business achieved a quarterly gross win of $45.8 million compared to gross win of $5.6 million in the PCP, with a net win of $26.7 million compared to a net win of $3.3 million for the PCP. This quarterly result was partly assisted by a reversal of the short-term negative variances experienced during the December quarter, predominantly also achieved a record quarterly gross win margin of 9.5%, and a record quarterly net win margin of 5.5%. Pleasingly, the percentage of total U.S. handle represented by the high amount doubled in Q3 compared to the PCP. Q3 FY '21 was a busy period for the U.S. sporting calendar, including the conclusion of the NFL season, the continuation of the 2021 NBA season, NHL season as well as the NCAA March Madness Basketball Tournament. During the period, the company had a very successful Super Bowl. Importantly, unlike some of the company's competitors, PointsBet suffered no technical issues or delays during this high-volume betting event. On 22 January 2021, PointsBet launched online sports betting operations in Michigan as part of the first wave of operators to launch in the state. This also represents the company's first global market access partner to go live. On 27 January 2021, PointsBet announced the appointment of Paige Spiranac as a global brand ambassador. The former professional golfer and social media influencer has built the following of over 3 million followers on Instagram and 7 million across all social platforms. The largest of any golf personality in the world. Following the signing of Paige, by the end of Q3 FY '21, PointsBet's U.S. Instagram page grew followers by 5x compared to the end of Q2. Ranking the PointsBet page as second by the number of followers amongst all U.S. wagering operators. On March 26, 2021, Penn National Gaming agreed to provide PointsBet with online sports betting and iGaming market access in Pennsylvania and Mississippi; Mississippi being subject to enabling mobile legislation. Both online and sports betting and iGaming are currently legal in Pennsylvania. The agreement expands PointsBet's United State Sportsbook market access footprint to 16 states, subject to the passing and enabling legislation and license act. PointsBet is operational in New Jersey, Iowa, Indiana, Illinois, Colorado and Michigan. Michigan will also see the inaugural launch of PointsBet's iGaming product. Subject to the timing of licensure, by the end of calendar year 2022, we are targeting to be live in 18 U.S. states, plus Australia and Canada. Turning to Slides 10 and 11, I will now briefly touch on each state. New Jersey. New Jersey recorded a quarterly gross win of $23.1 million and a gross win margin of 11.5% and a net win of $18.5 million at a net win margin of 9.3%. This result was partly assisted by a reversal of the short-term negative variances experienced during the December quarter. PointsBet achieved 6.9% market share in New Jersey for online handle during the quarter, finishing with 8.1% in March. With iGaming due to launch in New Jersey in June, PointsBet looks forward to closing the competitive disadvantage it has had in the New Jersey market. Illinois. PointsBet achieved 8.1% market share in February, fine handle, up from 7% in January and 6.5% in December, and demonstrating strong momentum on the back of leveraging the powerful NBC Chicago regional sports network. Illinois recorded a quarterly gross win of $12.2 million at a gross win margin of 7.4% and a net win of $6.1 million at a net win margin of 3.7%. On January 22 and March 16, respectively, PointsBet launched retail sports wagering operations at the Crestwood, South Chicago area and Prospect Heights, North Chicago area of registration environment due to the emergency order. However, this order expired on April 3. As a result, from the 4th of April 2021, new clients of all online sports wagering operators in Illinois are required to register in person at the relevant licensed partners' physical locations before placing online wagers. As previously noted, PointsBet strategic retail sports for locations, including the Hawthorne Race scores located just 8.5 miles from Downtown Chicago and the 3 off track betting shops in the Greater Chicago Area, 2 of which are operational, provides a significant competitive advantage in an in-person registration environment. Indiana. Indiana recorded quarterly gross win of $3.7 million at a gross win margin of 8.4% and a net win of $1.4 million at a net win margin of 3.2%. In Indiana PointsBet achieved 4.6% market share of online handled during the quarter, ranking as the fourth largest operator by handle for the quarter. Details of the company performance in Colorado, Iowa and the recently launched Michigan are set out in the quarterly update released to the ASX this morning. I will now hand over to Andrew Mellor.

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sam. Now turning to the Q3 FY '21 appendix 4C cash flow summary released earlier today. Please refer to Slide 12. At the 31st of March 2021, the company's corporate cash balance was $328 million. The company has no corporate borrowings. Receipts from customers or net win for the quarter totaled $64.9 million as previously detailed by Sam. Net cash used in operating activities in the quarter ending March 31, 2021, was $27.4 million. Cash outflows during the quarter included cost of sale marketing payments of $45.1 million and administration corporate costs and GST paid on net win of $11.7 million. U.S. marketing payments grew quarter-on-quarter as the company marketed for the full quarter in New Jersey, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Colorado and Michigan. The March quarter is an important acquisition period in the U.S. with the Super Bowl and March Madness both occurring during the quarter, and the growth in 12-month active clients from 68,000 at the 31st of December 2020, to 127,000 at the 31st of March was an extremely pleasing result. Net cash used in investing activities in the quarter ending March 31, 2021, was $4.7 million, the majority being the capitalization of our technology and product staff costs of $3.6 million. Now turning to Slides 13 and 14. I would like to provide some comments on iGaming, which is a key part of our U.S. strategy. As can be seen on Slide 13, iGaming revenues have grown exceptionally since the repeal of PASPA in May 2018. As an example, New Jersey iGaming revenues grew at a CAGR of 25% from 2014 to 2018, with revenues having subsequently grown at 62% and 101% in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We do note there was some benefits in 2020 as a result of COVID. The size of the opportunity is evidenced as can be seen on this slide, across New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Michigan, 3 of the states which PointsBet has secured iGaming market access, iGaming revenues were 2.5 to 3.0x sports wagering revenues in 2020. PointsBet has assembled a highly experienced iGaming team, which has built our in-house proprietary iGaming platform and administrative tools. As we have previously noted, owning and controlling our in-house iGaming technology stack will become an increasingly instant strategic advantage. This will deliver ongoing benefits, speed to market and product enhancements. As we expand our iGaming access across more states and in the medium to long term, a significant margin advantage as we avoid third-party platform fees. Our iGaming platform has been approved by GLI, the gaming industry's leading testing and certification company and is with the Michigan regulator for final approval. As such, launch in Michigan is imminent with New Jersey to launch iGaming in June. Turning to Slide 15. As previously announced on the 21st of April, PointsBet completed the acquisition of Banach Technology Limited of Dublin, Ireland. Banach delivers a team of 4D technology and product staff with deep experience creating products for use in mature and sophisticated sports wagering markets. The Banach team are market leaders in pre-game and in-play sports wagering. This acquisition will position PointsBet as a leader of in-place sports wagering in the U.S. as in-play wagering is expected to grow exponentially. Within the next 3 years, in-play wagering is expected to represent circa 75% of all sports wagering activity in the U.S. This acquisition accelerates PointsBet's technology road map and places the company in a prime position to take advantage of this growth in in-play betting activity in the U.S. Additionally, through highly sophisticated risk management algorithms and deep trading experience, Banach Technology roll out PointsBet back to grow trading margins and offer a superior experience to our clients. Integrations between the teams has already begun and we are looking forward to deploying these sophisticated quants and risk management enhancements in due course. Sam?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Thanks, Andy. Moving to Slide 17. In the first 6 months of our partnership with NBC, we've made great strides in the areas of innovation, content and product, with a focus of driving user acquisition and growing our brand. NBC has proven to be a quality partner to PointsBet during this time, helping us steer our brand in front of millions of people every day and working alongside us to co-create viewing experiences and product features for U.S. betters. To touch on a few examples. Firstly, BetCast, a betting themed alternative broadcast featuring PointsBet markets with odds updated very large spicing turnover, and in particular, in-play action, as viewers engaged in the betting content and made bets themselves. Secondly, live MS Storylines program pregame, pre-game, in-game and postgame, with storyline, NBC talent talk to specific bets and build narrative around them. Playout, predictor boasts over 1.8 million active users and features individual NFL, NBA, PGA, EPL and NASCAR free-to-play games. Predictor has already delivered over 325,000 leads to PointsBet. Fourth, custom PointsBet TV ads that are targeted directly to users in homes with Comcast, Xfinity, X1 voice remote. And just this week, the launch of the podcast GMBC Edge's content and information combined with PointsBet's odds data and analysis focused on the present. Alongside NBC, we are planning for the future. As soon to be reality, where more states allow online sports wagering. Our partnership today has been successful in laying that framework. And testing opportunities that will only become bigger and better over the next few years. Moving to Slide 20. PointsBet continues to execute on its strategic and operational objectives. PointsBet now has market access to 16 U.S. states representing 35% of the U.S. population and is currently operational in 6 U.S. states. PointsBet is currently the fourth largest sports waging operator in Indiana, Illinois and Iowa and the fifth largest sports waging operator in New Jersey and Michigan. PointsBet is clearly positioned in the upper echelon of sports wagering operators in the U.S. As it regards to New York, government has signed budget legislation in session that includes a plan to allow online sports betting in the state. As defined in the New York, it is expected that New York will select a minimum of 2 online platform providers, along with a minimum of 4 operators. The commission is releasing a request for application on July 1, 2021, which PointsBet intends to respond to. As can be seen on Slide 21, we estimate that the combined North American sports betting and iGaming market could reach USD 16.5 billion and USD 18.5 billion, respectively, of gross win by 2025. And further, Goldman Sachs estimates that the U.S. sports wagering and iGaming revenue opportunity could exceed USD 50 billion in 2033. It is truly an exciting time for the business. I would like to thank you for your time today, and we will welcome any questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Desmond Tsao with Goldman Sachs.

D
Desmond Tsao
Associate

First question is just around margin. I thought that was a very strong margin performance across gross and that win, across really both Australia and the U.S. So if you could maybe just highlight some of the key drivers through the quarter? And in particular, how sustainable you think that margin profile in Australia is going forward?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes, Des. Yes, I think in Australia and the U.S., there were some favorable results. So there's definitely a little bit of extra margin through some good results going our way. But I'd say what you're seeing in Australia is close to the new normal, what we'd be expecting. So those sort of margins, we're quite comfortable with. And we think as we made comment to in the commentary that the transformation or the transition to higher-margin multi-products, obviously, the same game multi-products that we now have are doing their job. So I think they are reasonably sustainable. The U.S., obviously, we had a somewhat of a reversal of the poor quarter, which added to the margins. Look, I think conservatively, we would stay there, but we would note that, again, we're making good progress in increasing the amount of handle on these multi or parlays, and that should drive those margins up over time.

D
Desmond Tsao
Associate

Great. And just on that, with respect to iGaming, the launch imminent are subject to the regulator once you guys do launch in Michigan and then subsequently in New Jersey from what we're seeing, like, obviously, iGaming is a very, very high-margin products. So I'd expect that to be a tailwind for margins in the U.S. going forward as well?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes. If you're talking about corporate margins in terms of gross profit margins and obviously, flowing through the model and helping us get to that positive EBITDA position, no doubt about it. It's -- we're very much looking forward to launching that product in Michigan and New Jersey because, obviously, a lot of the revenue that's being reported out of the U.S. at the moment is iGaming, and we sort of had one arm tied behind our back. But yes, it definitely helps the economics of the states in which iGaming is live.

D
Desmond Tsao
Associate

Great. And then last question, just around CPA. Thanks for the disclosure, just around the first time better CPA tracking below 500, I think you said, in all states. If you could maybe just expand on that a little bit more? And then, I guess, maybe make some comments around how you expect that to trend as you sort of see universal deal? Because I think some of your Ps in the U.S. have been talking to long run blended CPAs around sort of 250. So any comments around that would be great.

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I think the disappoint we've made previously, the groups that are sort of talking about a blended CPA of around 250 are the groups that are getting a large portion of their first-line bet is from their existing databases. So with that sort of 40% to 50% of their acquisition, we've always been comfortable that, given our brand is still much in the early stages of being grown and recognized. I think it speaks to our excellence and execution from a marketing perspective that we are having. So the big guys are spending far more than we are. And so our ability to keep our shape and maintain our discipline while tracking towards our 10% I think is great. We don't want to provide a forward-looking, but we've been talking for some time around that $500 mark is a number that we're comfortable with, and we don't see any danger to that blowing out.

Operator

Next question comes from Larry Gandler with Crédit Suisse.

L
Larry Gandler
Director

So 18 states is where you intend to be. I'm just wondering if Sam, you can talk to which are the perhaps more imminent states. And I think you said you have market access in 16, but there's 18 states you want to be in. So I think there's 2 that you're still looking to get market access?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes. Yes, that's fair, Larry. Yes. So look, there's a bunch of states that could all be prioritize, let's call it, this calendar year. So the rest of 2021, West Virginia, Tennessee, Virginia, Maryland, Arizona, Ohio are all candidates around there. Then obviously, we've flagged that will go live in Pennsylvania in the first half of next calendar year. And then towards, let's call it, through '22. The other states that would be in the mix would be Wyoming, Kansas, Missouri, Mississippi, Kentucky, New York, obviously. So look, we don't give out any number. Pretty confident of doing that. So yes, states that haven't -- that we haven't obviously announced market access are states like Virginia, where we've spoken before that there's a process that the motor is going through. I think I mentioned Maryland, where we haven't announced anything there. But yes, pretty confident, Larry, that obviously, the 18 is going to be there.

L
Larry Gandler
Director

Okay. And Sam, I'm just wondering if you can give us some color around -- you signed up a lot of new customers in this March quarter. I'm just wondering if you can maybe take a state in New Jersey within through as they see an ad, as they sign up, what are the pay options? I know there's been some difficulty with sign-ups in the U.S. relative to Australia. It's a bit more of a belabored process. So just wondering if you could talk to how that's improved and what's the experience like?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes, sure, Larry. And I think this really highlights sort of some of the let's call it, unsexy areas of product execution. It's not all about number of bet types and same game multis, et cetera. The funnel of taking the client on that journey from your marketing technology and seeing an ad, clicking through that ad, seamless experience in downloading, getting through sign-ups and deposits. The operators that do that well versus the operators that don't do that well, that makes a material difference. And we've made some good improvements in those areas in improving our funnel conversion, which is great, and it certainly helps your cost per acquisition number. So an overall comment I would make is that the banks are getting better and the payment gateways that you have available too are improving, and we've got some new ones on the way that will further help our funnel. But similarly, we're getting better, too. We're getting better at, let's call it, error handling, our intervention where a client hits a few hurdles and we've got automatic notifications so out. It's still not as efficient as a market like Australia, but it is improving.

L
Larry Gandler
Director

And do you have sort of maybe a -- my sense is there still might be a huge opportunity there in terms of the number of customers you're losing as a result of them getting halfway through and then dropping off. Is there any stat in that regard that you guys have internal metric?

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

Well, we do. I won't disclose them. But you're right. I mean, if we're talking about sign up cost per acquisitions, you're talking about a far lower number because there's a decent chunk of those clients that hit hurdles. And so part of the upside opportunity is not just converting new clients that come through the funnel, that's going back to those other ones and reaching back out to them and helping them complete the funnel.

Operator

Our next question comes from Don Carducci with JPMorgan.

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

Sam, you spoke about the proposed regulatory framework. And for some reason, if you don't receive the skin to operate in New York. Would you still launch and operate in Pennsylvania?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes.

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

Depending on marketing and for an under-indexed footprint across New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Look, I think one of the -- obviously, one of the assets that we have is the Philadelphia RSN, and that's sitting there to allow us to build a brand and market efficiently into the Pennsylvania, but obviously, New Jersey market as well. I think it's fair to say, Don, that any operator that is in New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey will be an advantage to an operator that's not in New York, for example.

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

But you would still see Pennsylvania?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes.

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

Okay. And then last question for me. Given the fourth quarter is a quieter period, how should we think about active customer growth and the step-up in marketing costs, so both U.S., please.

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes. I mean, March quarter, obviously, is the biggest quarter. That's where we've spent the most on marketing. We won't spend as much on marketing in the final quarter as we did on the current quarter. And you'd expect that, that gives the ability to attract won't be as strong without comparing to a March Madness, Super Bowl quarter. So seasonality wise, we will drop off our marketing spend slightly on betters coming through the door.

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

Okay. Great. So if we try to take what just happened, even though it is quiet or thinking about trying to maybe annualize this, you obviously have a couple of states that didn't have full marketing spend in this last quarter, plus you'll be launching in iGaming. Do you expect it to be kind of up on the quarter? Or do you think it would be fair to just annualize this number?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

You're talking about marketing spend?

D
Donald N. Carducci
Analyst

Yes. Sorry, marketing spend for the U.S.?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

No. So the marketing spend will be slightly less than the quarter just gone.

Operator

Our next question is from Wassim Kisirwani with Jarden.

W
Wassim Kisirwani
New Zealand Technology and Software Analyst

Just a question on Illinois and the in-person registration. I know I realize it's sort of early days, but sort of any comments as to how that's tracking and kind of how you see that sort of -- how significant advantage do you see that playing out in that market?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

I wasn't -- look, yes. I think there's definitely an advantage in terms of growing our market share. I think we need to acknowledge that it's not quite the same advantage as it would have been if we had, had in-person registration from day 1. Because the mobile registration having been allowed for a number of months now has meant that have been and spreaders are probably going to sign up an account as soon as possible, they've had the chance to choose and the DraftKings and FanDuels of the world if they have had the ability to try and line up their databases. So it's not quite the same advantage it would have been from day 1. But I think in terms of sign-ups going forward, and there's certainly still a large people in Illinois that we expect to become betters over the journey that haven't got an account, it certainly puts us in a strong position to outperform from a market share percentage going forward.

W
Wassim Kisirwani
New Zealand Technology and Software Analyst

Yes. Great. And can I just ask a question on promotional intensity. Obviously, there is a high degree of it. And we saw it sort of in the December quarter from some of your peers. Just any comments around how you sort of see that playing out and feeding into your agreement with NBC? And whether some of those rates are kind of tracking where you expect them and just kind of the outlook there on a sort of midterm view?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes. I mean, look, even if you look at Australia, what, we're giving about -- year-to-date, we've given a rally of about 36% of margin from gross to net. So Australia is 13 years into the journey. We're trying to grow our market share. You're still recently aggressive. Where the U.S. year-to-date, I think it's about 61%. But it's really on a state-by-state basis. As you launch a new state, you're going to give away all plus or more to grow and scale up the business. We don't have the brand recognition from day 1. We don't have the database from day one that FanDuel or DraftKings have. But we want to get clients knowing that PointsBet there.We want to get them having the opportunity to have 5, 10, 15 bets on our app. So that they can come to realize and differentiate between what is a good app and a poot app, and then you've increased your chance of holding on to them as a loyal lifetime client. So on a state-by-state basis, you'll see us in the newer states, be aggressive in terms of promotions. And then as we get longer into the journey, that percentage of promotions will come down, but acknowledging that Australia year-to-date is still at about a 36% number.

W
Wassim Kisirwani
New Zealand Technology and Software Analyst

Great. And just finally for me, perhaps just a comment on your register A lot has changed in the business and the composition of the business has obviously changed in the last 12 months. Just be interested, is there any sort of color you can give us on how you registered may have changed over that period?

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Adam, it's Andy. I can take that one. Yes, I think we had a big focus, obviously, post the original IPO that we wanted to grow that U.S. base and the international base on the register. So I think we we're in a position now where our U.S. representation of institutional clients is approaching the Australian institutional clients. And as you're very pleased with the support we've had from Australia and Asia. But yes, it's great to be able to see that U.S. institutions are recognizing the performance of the company and are investing in PointsBet.

Operator

Your next question comes from Rohan Sundram with MST Financial.

R
Rohan Sundram
Gaming and Contractors Analyst

Just a couple of questions. I might start with Canada. And Sam, how are you rating the prospects of that legislation in the Senate following the positive update? And how are your on-the-ground efforts in Ontario progressing?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes, Rohan, yes, we're still bullish on Canada getting done. I think on our last call, we said we were planning for to be ready for a last quarter launch this year. Probably the expectation is that, that might roll into early next year, January or the like, but we will be ready. And in terms of our underground efforts, without sort of giving anything away. We're certainly very active in our preparations. And you can think about that from the sort of strategic things that we want to think about to help us execute a strategy as well as people on the ground, headcount, et cetera. So no, our planning, given that we're in just about into May and we sort of want to be ready by strides to put in place infrastructure to go.

R
Rohan Sundram
Gaming and Contractors Analyst

And on the upcoming launch in Pennsylvania, could that be a simultaneous sports in iGaming? Or is there going to be a lag there and how that plays out?

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, it could be simultaneous. I'm not aware of any reason as to why the regulator would make us separate them. And from an execution perspective, we can do it simultaneously.

R
Rohan Sundram
Gaming and Contractors Analyst

So the regulators looking at it as a whole, is it with the platform and sports and iGaming.

A
Andrew J. Mellor
Chief Financial Officer

We're very early in that process in Pennsylvania. We flagged first half of calendar year next year launch date because Pennsylvania does have a pretty thorough and detailed process. So yes, we'll get into the nuts and bolts. But having launched, obviously, iGaming in Michigan and New Jersey by that time. And obviously, having a long-standing sports betting platform that's been operating in a number of states, not foreseeing any troubles or difficulties that would stop us.

Operator

Your next question comes from Damien Williamson with Bell Porter.

D
Damien Williamson
Fixed Income and Hybrids Analyst

Sam and Andy, just a quick question on Pennsylvania. Just given the cost of the license of USD 10 million and the 36% state tax, does that license fee cover the iGaming as well? Or do you have to pay an extra fee for that?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes, it covers it, Damien. Great to hear from you. Yes, look, I think -- sorry, go ahead.

D
Damien Williamson
Fixed Income and Hybrids Analyst

No, no. I was just making sure because that's -- you sort of balked on entering Pennsylvania because of the -- that license fee. So I just see that sort of covered that -- both products.

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Yes. I think when we originally deprioritized Pennsylvania, that was very early on in our journey, and we had other states that had more attractive elements to it. I think we also recognize that without that iGaming product to go into a state where you're at a competitive disadvantage, whereas those states like Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, et cetera, that we could prioritize and not be at that competitive disadvantage of not having iGaming. But now that we've got iGaming and now that we've got NBC, and in particular, Philly and we obviously have a stated aim now to be in every market that we can be in. Yes, we're definitely full steam ahead.

D
Damien Williamson
Fixed Income and Hybrids Analyst

Yes. And just one final question. Just in terms of Michigan because just looking at all the players on the start line. Just looking at -- you got 4 players who have very strong double-digit market share. Would that be FanDuels, DraftKings and I think past and MGM. Would that be fair to say that they've had existing customer bases through their casinos and fantasy sports versus what you've had up there?

S
Samuel J. Swanell
Co

Absolutely. Yes, absolutely. The double -- I mean, MGM, for example, have had not just a strong database, but obviously, they have the physical casinos there, and those were open and they're able to line up, let's call it, pre-go-live registrations. They had them ready press go. And I would note that if you take a bow as an example, they started strong, but they've be losing market share from January, February, March. And obviously, we start from a very low base, not having that existing physical casino or database. When we start moving north. So we've spoken before that for the short-term at least, we're still working hard, I spoke about the fact that we have 325,000 leads from the NBC Predictor app. Our ability to warm up states and maybe not start at 1% market share, but start a little bit higher, we'll get better over time. But those fantasy sports operators and MGM with their starting point, but our aim is to keep growing our share month-on-month and eat into it.

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.