Good
morning, everyone, and
welcome
to
Vistry
Group's
Full
Year
Results
for
2021.
Delighted
to
be
joined
today
by
Earl
Sibley,
our
Chief
Financial
Officer;
and
Graham
Prothero,
the
Chief
Operating
Officer.
So
the
agenda,
I'll
run
through
our
performance
through
the
year
and
the
strategy
going
forward. Earl
will
then
step
in,
as
you'd
expect,
with
a
financial
review,
handover
to
Graham
with
an
operational
review.
And
then
I'll
finish
things
off
with
an
outlook.
And
then
at
10:00
this
morning,
we
will
take
your
questions.
And
that
will
be
after,
of
course,
[indiscernible]
(00:00:32)
I've
have
had
a
good
[ph]
grilling (00:00:34)
by
you
all
hopefully
at
8:30.
So
we
had
an
excellent
performance
during
2021,
with
great
progress
across
all
areas
of
the
business.
The
private
sales
rate
increased
by
an
incredible
43%
to
0.76,
reflecting
a
sustainable
sales
rate
driven
by
our
land
strategy,
which
we puts
put
in
place
four
or
five
years
ago.
Housebuilding
completions
had
a
great
year.
Completions
up
to
6,551,
well
up
on
last
year,
with
gross
margin
increasing
to
22.3%, again,
well
up
on
last
year.
Partnerships
continues
to
deliver
rapid
growth
from
their
mixed
tenure
business,
with
revenues
up
66%
and
their
operating
margin
increasing
to
9.2%,
all
as
we
said
at
the
time
of
the
acquisition.
We've
been
very
successful
in
the
land
market
and
ended
the
year
with
a
greater
land
bank
than
we had
started
having
bought 11,798
plots,
at
least
at
our
hurdle
rate
of
25%
and
our
25%
return
on
capital
rate.
Our
strategic
land
team
continues
to
impress
and
they
also
acquired
7,721
plots
during
the
year.
Net
cash
was
at
£234
million,
and
that's
way
up
on
initial
expectations.
And
that's after
taking
into
account
an
increase
in
the
land
bank.
Return
on
capital
increased
to
25.5%,
well
up
on
2020
with
the
Partnerships'
return
on
capital
remaining
well
in
excess
of
their
40%
medium-term
target.
Taking
all
of
that
into
consideration,
it
wasn't
a
difficult
decision
for
the
group
to
accelerate
our
dividend
to
two
times
cover
for
this
year,
reflecting
the
board's
confidence
in
our
future
prospects.
So
moving
on
to
some
of
the
softer
issues
which
underpin
those
great
financial
results.
From
an
NHBC
perspective,
our
reportable
items
are
under
the
benchmark
of
our
peer
group.
We
won
just
under
10%
of
the
Pride
in
the
Job
Seals
awards
last
year
with
12
from
just
under
150
awarded
around
the
country.
We
won
the
equivalent
of
another
two
Seals
from
Premier
Guarantee.
Really,
really
pleased.
And
I
don't
think
this
should
be
underestimated
with
a
company
that's
going
through
a
huge
integration
over
the
last
couple
of
years
that
our
Peakon
score,
which
is
an
independent
company
which
surveys
our
staff,
gave
an
overall
satisfaction
rate
of
8.5,
which
is
in
the
top
10%
of
all
manufacturing
companies
that
they
survey.
Also
great
to
see
that
our
company
charity,
Mind,
got
the
benefit
of
£215,000
raised
in
[ph]
the
Mind
(00:03:09)
by
our
great
employees.
From
an
HBF
customer
satisfaction
perspective,
I'll
eat
my
hat
if
we
don't
get
announced
in
the
next
few
weeks
as
retaining
our
5-star
status
for
the
year
2021.
And
behind
that,
it's
even
better
than
just
being
a 5-star
because
all
13
of
our
housing
business
units
were
5-star
as
well
as
Partnerships
and
not
one
[ph]
off
laid (00:03:31)
the
other,
which
is
really
pleasing.
And
we
started
the 2021/2022
year
in
great
fashion
with
this
score
up
again
at
93.6%.
So
great
stuff,
and
Graham
will
update
you
all
later
on
our
Science Based
Targets,
which
we've
made
great
progress
as
well.
So
one
Vistry,
we're
uniquely
positioned
for
sector
leading
returns.
And
let's
be
clear,
when
we
bought
the
Galliford
Try
housing
businesses,
I
think
we
got
it
right,
we
didn't
underestimate
what
the
combined
housing
business
would
do
or
the
Partnerships
business
would
do,
and
they're
both
performing
at
least
in
line
with what
we
expected.
What
we
did
underestimate
was
the
power
of
Partnerships
and
the
enlarged
housing
business
working
together,
and
working
together
well.
That
was
being
underestimated,
and
it's
starting
to
show
some
real
serious
dividends,
whether
it
be
on
land
acquisitions,
which
I'll talk
about
in
a minute,
as
well
as
generating
quicker
returns
from
our
huge
strategic
land
bank.
All-in-all,
bringing
the
two
together,
we
are
targeting
sector
leading
return
on
capital
employed
in
the
medium
term.
And
I
think
the
25.5%
that
I've
just
stated
is
nearly
there
already.
So
making
Vistry.
I
talked
about
working
together,
Partnerships
and
housing,
working
together,
let's talk
about
a
case
study
called Kenilworth.
So
it's
a
development
of
620
new
homes,
which
we're
doing
in
a
joint
venture
with
a
subsidiary
of
Warwick District
Council
called
Milverton
Homes.
It
was
a
rare
opportunity
to
acquire
such
a
site.
So
Kenilworth
is
a
great
area
to
sell
houses.
And
this
site
is
a
prime
site
within
Kenilworth.
So
every
single
housebuilder
in
the
country
was
looking
to
buy
the
site,
but
we
bought
it.
Our
existing
relationship
came
from
Partnerships'
relationship
with
Warwick
District
Council
on
their
great
scheme
zero-carbon
and
homes
at
Europa
Way
in
the
Midlands,
and
Milverton
Homes
is
fully
funding
the
scheme
to
the
tune
of
in
excess
of
£60
million,
which
gives
us
an
infinity
return
on
capital.
So,
that's
an
infinity
and
beyond
return
on
capital.
So
there's
my
impersonation
[indiscernible]
(00:05:36)
for
those
who
follow
that
sort
of
thing.
Both
Bovis
and
Linden
will
be
on
site.
Vistry
Homes
will
sell
all of
the
Bovis
units
and
our
Partnerships
business
will
do
all
of
the
PRS
affordable
and
the
Linden
Homes
sales,
and
it's
a
50/50 split.
So
open
market
is
50%,
pre-sold
is
50%.
But it's
a
great,
great
opportunity
there,
and
you
can
see
the
margin –
adjusted
margin
is
24%,
infinity
return
on
capital,
a
great
example
of
Partnerships
and
Housebuilding
working
together.
Looking
at
our
strategy
going
forward.
On
Housebuilding,
it
slips
off
the
tongue,
very,
very
straightforward
25%
gross
margin,
25%
return
on
capital
by
the
year
2025
with
8,000 completions
expected.
And
on
Partnerships
we
call
it
Project
Pace
and
we're
looking
for
revenues
to
grow
to
£1.6
billion,
operating
margin
of
plus
12%
and a
return
on
capital
of
plus
40%.
And
that's
medium-term
targets,
which
you
could
interpret
to
be
2026.
So
the
outlook.
We
started
the
year
in
incredible
fashion.
So
we've
still
got
the
pandemic
and
over
the
last
four
or
five
weeks,
of
course,
we've
got
talk
of
an
invasion
and
then
the
actual
invasion
of
Ukraine
by
Russia.
So
we've
seen
the
sales
rate
in the –
so
far
this
year
up
20%
to
0.79,
and
that's
risen
to
an
incredible
0.92
over
the
last
five
weeks
when
Ukraine
has
been
very
much
in
the
headlines.
We
continue
to
see
price
increases.
We
are
increasing
our
prices
every
time
pretty
much
we
release
units
on
any
particular
scheme.
And
about
four
weeks
ago,
we
increased
our
prices
across
the
board
by
at
least
2.5%,
in
some
places
more.
I'm
pleased
to
say that
after
all
the
trials
and
tribulations
of
last
year,
our
sites
are
operating
well
in
a
much
calmer
environment,
with
materials
being
much
less
of
an
issue
than
they
were
during
the
course
of
2021.
Although
we
still
see
labor
inflation
this
year,
and
we
expect
to
see,
as
I'll
talk
about
later,
a
6%
inflation
on
build
cost,
but
that
will
be
labor
as
opposed
to
materials.
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships
mixed tenure
forward
sales
are
up
23%
to
£2.2
billion
and
we've
already
secured
64%
of
this
year's
sales.
Partner
delivery
forward
order
booking
Partnerships
totals
£860
million.
That's
a
very
healthy
number
and
that's
85%
of
this
year's
revenue
already
secured.
Housebuilding
are
well
on
track
to
deliver
at
least
23%
gross
margin
for
the
year,
which
is
what
we
said
at
the
time
of
the
acquisition.
Vistry
Partnerships
are
on
track
to
deliver
at
least
£1 billion
of
revenues,
with
a
margin
of
at
least
10%
for
this
year,
again,
as
we
said
at
the
time
of
the
acquisition.
So
the
group
is
in
absolutely
great
shape
to
deliver
significant
step
up
in
profits
for
the
year.
We
absolutely,
finishing
before
we
move
on,
support
the
comprehensive
solution
to
cladding,
fire
safety.
What
I
would
say
is
Graham
and
Earl
will
about
it
in
more
detail,
but
from
where
I'm
sat
and
at
a chief
execs
level,
this
is
not
the
end
of
the
world
from
a
Vistry
perspective.
The
moneys
that
we're
talking
about
here,
after
taking
tax,
will
not impact
in
any
way
our
dividend
policy
going
forward
nor
our
growth
strategy
in
Housebuilding
nor
our
aggressive
growth
strategy
in
Partnerships.
So
all
very,
very
controllable.
With
that,
I'll
pass
over
to
Earl.
E
Earl Sibley
Thank
you,
Greg.
I
can
now
take
you
through
those
great
results
Greg
highlighted.
As
normal,
the
results
are
presented
on
both
an
adjusted
and
reported
basis.
The
adjusted
basis
means
we're
including
our
share
of
the
results
of
our
joint
ventures
down
to
the
operating
profit
level
on
a
proportional
basis.
The
group
result
was
driven
by
our
strong
operating
performance
across
both
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships,
supported
by
good
housing
market,
whilst,
at
the
same
time,
proactively
managing
materials
constraints
in
our
supply
chain.
It
is
good
to
see
the
results
reflect
the
real
potential
of
the
Vistry
Group.
You
can
see
all
metrics
moving
strongly
ahead
and we've
given
a
lot
of
guidance
throughout
2021
in
terms
of
profit
margins
in
both
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships
as
well as on
cash. And
you will
see,
as
we go
through,
that
we've
delivered
ahead
of
this
guidance
on
all
those
measures.
In
terms
of
overall
scale
of
the
business,
the
revenue
at
£2.694
billion
is
32%
up
on
2020
and
importantly,
7%
up
on
the
pro
forma
turnover
from
2019,
showing
just
how
well
the
enlarged
group
has
come
together
and
how
well
it
has
been
dealing
with
the
pandemic.
Gross
profit
delivered
was
£543
million,
and
this
translated
to
an
operating
profit
of
£368
million.
Profit
before
tax,
excluding
the
exceptional
costs
and
amortization,
was
£346
million,
up
140%
and
slightly
ahead
of
the
previous
guidance
we
set,
having
moved
expectations
forward
a
few
times
during
2021.
The
exceptional
items
of £12.2
million.
This
includes
£6.5
million,
as
expected,
for
the
final
cost
of
integration,
taking
the
total
integration
costs
to around
£30
million,
which
is
£5
million
lower
than
the
£35
million expectation
at
the
time
of
the
deal,
and
there will
be
no
further
exceptional
costs
relating
to
integration.
In
addition,
we've
recognized
a
further
£5.7
million
of
costs
in
respect
of
legacy
fire
safety,
meaning
we
hold
a
provision
of
£25.2
million
at
the
end
of
December,
and
Graham
will
comment
more
on
this
in
a
moment.
Amortization
in
the
period
was
£14
million
and
we
expect
a
similar
level
in
2023.
And
therefore,
overall,
the
adjusted
earnings
per
share
for
the
period
was
£1.255,
well
ahead
of
2020,
and
20%
ahead
of
2019,
when
we
were
just Bovis. The
slide
also
shows
the
strong
position
of
net
cash
at
the
end
of
December,
£234
million,
ahead
of
guidance
and
I'll
come
back
to
this
in
a
few
slides
time.
The
combination
of
strong
profit
delivery
and
capital
management
means
our
return
on
capital
was
moved
forward
11
percentage
points
to
25.5%
for
the
year.
So
turning
to
the
Housebuilding
financials,
and
these
show
the
first
true
combination
of
Bovis
and
Linden,
gross
profit
and
notably,
the
gross
profit
margin
have
moved
forward
significantly
with
the
Housebuilding
gross
margin
at
22.3%,
ahead
of
our
target
of
22%.
And
if
you
look
at
the
pattern
of
six
months
on
six
months,
our
gross
margin
has
been
moving
forward
for
a
number
of
periods
with
the
second
half
of
2021
showing
a
housing
gross
margin
of
22.7%,
giving
us
confidence
on
the
guidance
we
have
provided
of
being
over
23%
for
the
current
year,
when
the
focus
will
continue
to
be
on
that
margin
growth
with
controlled
volume
growth.
Factors
impacting
margin
include
the
strength
of
the
margin
embedded
in
the
land
bank
now
at
the
targeted
25%,
a
continued
contribution
from
higher
margin
strategic
land,
the
quality
of
delivery
and
operations
on
site
as
well
as
house
price
improvements
alongside
dealing
with
increasing
costs
in
our
materials.
The
TNAV
was
lower
than
2020,
reflects
a
good
position,
although
our
work
in
progress
level
was
a
little
lower
than
planned
following
supply
constraints
during
the
year,
so
we
expect
a
reversal
of
that
investment
during
this
year
and
an
increase
in
TNAV.
The
return
on
capital
for
the
business
was
22.2%,
and
we
can
see
this
progressing
along
with
the
margin
to
25%
in
the
medium term.
Key
metrics
for
Housebuilding,
just
pick
out a
few,
whilst
we
continue
to
follow
a
strategy,
reducing
the
average
size
of
our
completions,
the
private
ASP
has
moved
forward
4%,
reflecting
the
strong
demand
across
all
geographies
and
all
product
mix.
PX
of
4%,
very
low
and
not
really
a
selling
tool
that we're
using.
The
affordable
at
25%
is
as
expected
and
a
good
guide
still
going
forwards.
And
whilst
Help
to
Buy
at
21%
remains
an
important
tool
for
us,
it
is
significantly
lower
than
in
previous
periods
following
the
changes
to
the
scheme
and
much
lower
usage
than
others
in
the
sector.
Average
outlets
were
as
expected
in
2021,
with
a
nice
problem
to
have
occasionally
of
selling
out
slightly
earlier
than
we
expected.
The
FY
2020
number
actually
was
slightly
high,
with
a
number
of sites
remaining
open
for
longer
than
expected
due
to
the
pandemic, and
therefore
2022
will
see
a
similar
level
to
2021,
growing
towards
the
end
of
the
year.
Our
Partnerships business
also
ahead
of
the
target
set.
The
focus
on
mixed
tenure
coming
through,
with
volume
up
41%
and
reflecting
46%
now
of
total
Partnerships'
revenue.
And
this
increase
in
proportion
has
really
driven
that
revenue
up
to
£864
million,
up
19%,
as
we
continue
to
look
for
12%
compound
growth
each
year.
Operating
profit
up
64%
year-on-year.
And
as
with
Housebuilding,
a
focus
on
margin
coming
through
with
the
second
half
operating
margin
being
9.3%,
a
period
where
we
also
recognize
a
higher
proportion
of
incentive
costs
for
the
year.
The
margin
improvement
was
supported
by
a
higher
margin
land
led
contracting,
making
up
a
higher
proportion
of
partner
delivery
than
in
2021.
In
fact,
it
was
nearly
twice
as
much
as
it
was
in
the
previous
year,
and
we
expect
a
bigger
proportion
of
land-led
in
2022
to
help
those
margins.
However,
of
course,
the
biggest
impact
on
margin
comes
from
the
increasing
level
of
mixed
tenure.
And
overall,
operating
margin
up
2.5
percentage
points
in
the
year,
again,
meaning
we
are
confident
of
achieving
the
10%
margin
for
2022
as
we
continue
to
grow
that
mixed
tenure
business.
With
the
investment
in
that
mixed
tenure,
the
TNAV
now
has
moved
around
£100 million
from
investment
as
planned
and
we
are
planning
a
similar
level
of
investment
in
the
current
year.
And
whilst
the
return
on
capital
might
come
down
a
little
bit
in
the
next
couple
of
years,
as
we
invest
in
mixed
tenure,
it
will
remain
well
ahead
of
the
targeted
40%.
As
we
continue
to
improve
mixed
tenure
schemes,
hurdle
rates
of
40%,
and
still
have
that
ongoing
benefit
from
partner
delivery
of
somewhere
between
£50
million
and
£70 million
of
cash
in
the
business
at
any
point
in
time.
Partnership
metrics,
each
of
these
shown
with
its
share
of
JV,
really
does
show
the
growth
in
mixed
tenure
and
also
the
growth
in
outlets
during
the
year.
So,
as
we
move
into
2022,
we
expect
to
see
that
go
up
to
around
40
outlets
per
year
for
2022.
And
as
planned,
partners
delivery
remains
an
important
part
of
the
Partnerships
business,
delivering
a
stable
contribution
in
2021
and
similar
expected
for
2022.
So, a
specific
mention
for
our
procurement
and
supply
chain.
Most
importantly,
a
big
thank
you
to
all
our
supply
chain
partners
for
their
contribution
last
year
in
the
face
of
numerous
challenges
in
the
market
following
the
step
up
in
demand.
We
managed
this
really
effectively,
with
90%
of
our
materials
procured
centrally,
complemented
by
our
local
teams,
ducking
and
diving
to
make
things
happened.
We're
currently
operating
in
a
much
calmer
environment
with
teams
that
are even
better
equipped
and
ready
to
deal
with
any
challenge
that
arises.
Many
of
the
agreements
we
put
in
place
at
the
beginning
of
2020
that
gave
us
some
protection
from
cost
increases
in
2021
were
renegotiated
at
the
beginning
of
this
year.
And
these
increases
will
impact
various
states
during
the
first
half,
but
they're all
accounted
for
in
our
forecasts
and
guidance.
We've
also
taken
the
opportunity
from
that
renegotiation
to
bring
in
additional
suppliers
for
certain
materials
to
give
a
greater
surety
over
the
supply
and
ensure
that
negotiation
was
truly
competitive.
So
overall,
last
year
we
saw
build
cost
inflation
around
5%.
And
whilst
the
material
supply
has
improved,
there
will
be
some
further
cost
increases
driven
by
energy
prices.
However,
we
see
the
cost
of
living,
wage
inflation
being
the
key
driver
of
cost
increases
and
overall,
expect
to see
build
inflation
for
2022
around
6%.
The
map
here
shows
another
active
year
in
the
land
market,
dots
on
the
map
show
all
the
acquisitions
during
the
year,
so
the
purple
being
the
Housebuilding,
the
green
the
Partnerships,
and
the
new
red
ones
are
strategic
land
options.
It
really
does
show
our
nationwide
coverage.
As
Greg
said,
with
over
11,700
plots
secured,
which
ensured
we've
added
to
our
controlled
land
bank
in
the
period.
We
are
still
seeing
good
opportunities
to
buy
land
and
we
have
a
real
competitive
advantage
on
those
larger
sites.
We
have
seen
the
land
market
get
a
bit
more
competitive
in
recent
months,
which
is
impacting
the
level
of
deferred
terms
we
can
achieve
in
the
open
market.
But
importantly,
we
continue
to
buy
those
Housebuilding
plots
at
an
average
gross
margin
and
return
on
capital
in
excess
of
25%
on
average.
A
little
bit
more
on our
land
bank.
As
at
the
end
of
December
here,
the
controlled
land
bank
Housebuilding,
including
joint
ventures,
over
31,000
plots
for
Housebuilding,
where
we
are
trying
to
maintain
a
3.5-
to
4-year
land
bank.
Also
aligned
with
strategy,
you
can
see
the
number
of
plots
per
site
going
up,
reflecting
that
competitive
advantage
on
larger
sites,
so with
dual
branding
or
even
three
brands,
as
well
as
the
ability
for
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships
to
work
together
as
Greg
described.
Land
cost
per
plot
and
as
a
proportion
of
ASP
remaining
consistent,
indicating
we
are
still
buying
land
very
well
and
the
average
future
gross
margin
now
at
that
target
level
of
25%.
In
terms
of
Partnerships,
including
joint
ventures,
we
have
over
11,700
plots,
which
will
support
the
aggressive
growth
plans
for
mixed
tenure
development
towards
300
homes
per
annum.
And
again,
the
embedded
land
bank
margin
has
moved
forward
as
expected
and
will
support
future
margins
for
Partnerships
to
beyond
10%.
Our
strategic
land
has
grown
again
with
exactly
40,000
potential
plots.
And
I
have
challenged
that
number
a
few
times,
but
apparently
it
really
is
exactly
40,000
potential
plots. I'm
complete –
pleased
to
confirm
in
this
area,
we
further
strengthened
our
excellent
strategic
land
team,
both
recruiting
externally
but
also
promoting
from
within
the
team.
We
are
able
to
deliver
a
comprehensive
planning
strategy
for
local
authorities,
which
is
helping
pull
this
land
portfolio
through
in a
difficult
period
for
planning.
Our
strategic
land
is
now
feeding
all
parts
of
the
business
on
a
multi-brand
basis,
and
we
can
see
how
we
can
get
4,000
plots
per
year
to
come
from
our
strategic
land
and
in
turn,
deliver
30%
of our total completions each year, which is good news when I can confirm that the vast majority
of
our
highest
margin sites
in
Housebuilding
have
come historically
from
that
strategic
land
bank.
The
summary
of
the balance
sheet
reflects
a
really
strong
position,
in
fact,
stronger
than
any
of
the
scenarios
we
ran
at
the
time
of
the
acquisition.
As
a
reminder,
that
investment
in
joint
ventures
and
amounts
due
from
joint
ventures
really
reflects
further
work
in
progress
and
land,
which
has
increased
over
the
year.
Although
we
would
have
liked
it
slightly
more
at the
end
of
2021,
it
represents
a
really
good
position
for
the
current
year.
As
I
mentioned
earlier,
land
bank
in
total
is
growing.
And
as
expected,
land
creditors
represent
a
higher
proportion
of
land,
so
36%
this year.
And
we're
happy
at
this
level.
[ph]
Not
leased (00:22:29)
around
£70
million
of
those
land
creditors
are
not
due
any
time
in
the
next
two
years. And
given
the
overall
balance
sheet
strength,
we're
happy
at
that
level.
Other
assets
and
liabilities
in
that
really
reflect
the
increased
activity
in
the
business
during
the
year,
as
well
as
an
increase
in
our
pension
surplus
on
our
three
defined
benefit
schemes.
Overall,
£1.7
billion
of
tangible
net
assets,
£2.4
billion
of
total
assets.
So
cash
closed
better
than
expected,
ahead
of
our
already
improved
expectations
in
the
year. And
overall,
net
gearing
was
– including
our
land
creditors,
was
10.5%,
driven
by
that
great
operating
performance,
good
cash
conversion
and
good
management
of
working
capital
and
if
anything,
a
little
less
work
in
progress.
So
finally
just
a
reminder
of
our
capital
allocation
strategy,
strong
balance
sheet
and
we
are
targeting
slightly
improved
month-end
net
debt
this
year
around
£100
million
and
we
expect
to
invest
during
the
year
a
£100 million
in
Partnerships,
as
I
mentioned
earlier,
as
we
drive
the
mixed
tenure
element
of
the
business
as
we
did
in
2021.
In
addition,
we
expect
to
invest
in
Housebuilding
to
ensure
we
have
the
right
level
of
work
in
progress
and
land
to
deliver
growth
into
2023
and
onwards.
And
that
for
Partnerships,
we
continue
to see
that
compound
growth
of
around
12%
per
annum
and
the
investment
will
be
required
to support
this.
And then
Housebuilding,
whilst
2022
will
be
focused
again
on
driving
the
margin
up
with
controlled
growth,
we
will
be
looking
for
more
growth
beyond
that.
We
accelerated
our
dividend
strategy
during
2021
and
we'll
maintain
a
two
times
cover
going
forwards.
And
we have
achieved
the
total
gearing
close
to
10%
at
the
end
of
2021
a
little
earlier
than
expected,
so
we
do
expect
a
modest
cash
outflow
during
2022 and
I
would
expect
that
gearing
to
go
up
a
little
as
a
result.
And
as
I
noted,
all
that
investment
is
to
deliver
the
25%
and
40%
targeted
returns
in
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships
respectively.
And
in
the
longer
term,
it
does
remain
our
clear
intention
to
return
surplus
capital
in
the
future
and
we
will
update
you
further
on
this
later
in
the
year.
With
that,
I
will
hand
you
over
to
Graham.
G
Graham Prothero
Many
thanks,
Earl,
and
good
morning,
everybody.
As
Greg
said,
we're
really
pleased
not
only
with
some
excellent
results
in
a
good
market,
but
with
the
strength
of
the
business
and
operations.
In
Vistry
Housebuilding,
the
sales
rate
of
0.69
is
a
stepped
increase
from
where
both
Bovis
and
Linden
used
to
be,
which
reflects
the
deliberate
shift
of
– to
a
higher
proportion
of
mid-range
housing,
successful
deployment
of
two –
the
two
brands,
the
quality
of
both
of
those
ranges,
a
rigorous
focus
on
brand
promotion
and
discipline,
and
the
excellent
program
on
digital
selling
and
on
our
hub
approach.
We
regard
5-star
quality
as
a
prerequisite
and
are
pleased
to
be
at
this
level
in
every
one
of
our
Housebuilding
businesses,
and
we're
now
focusing
hard
on
improving
the
important
nine-month
score.
We
were
delighted
with
our
Peakon
score
in
February,
which
I'll
come
onto
in
a
moment.
And
we
have
an
excellent
land
bank
in
strong
locations
and
are
focusing
on
increasing
the
contribution
from
strategic
land
and
improving
the
regional
coverage
of
that
team.
Partnerships
continues
to
make
excellent
progress
against this
strategy.
We're
really
pleased
that
we've
covered
Stuart
Munro's
retirement
as
a
Divisional
Managing
Director
with
internal
promotions,
with
Sean
Egan,
who
very
successfully
led
our
North
East
business,
now
stepping
into
a
DMD
role.
The
three
nascent
businesses
are
thriving,
with
Thames
Valley
and
South
East
being
relatively
new
areas
of
operation
for
Partnerships,
and
North
Midlands,
an
expansion
of
our
existing
West
and
East
Midlands
businesses,
just
to
keep
control
as
we
respond
to
that
burgeoning
demand
in
that
region.
We're
focusing
hard
on
procuring
the
land
we
need
to
support
this
growth
and
expect
to
operate
an
average
of
40
mixed
tenure
sites
during
2022.
Greg's
talked
about
the
excellent
project
at
Kenilworth, and
we
have
a
number
of
these
large
sites
in
the
pipeline
where
our
integrated
model
really
flies,
optimizing
our
competitiveness,
profitability
and
returns.
The
Partnerships' model
continues
to
grow
a
rich
portfolio
of
strong
partners
with
huge
appetite
for
products
across
multiple
tenures.
We
have
regular
programs
with
some
25
registered
providers
and
individual
projects
with
many
more,
and
we're
working
with
more
than
20
local
authorities.
Now
turning
to
the
current
issue
of
fire
safety,
it
goes
without
saying
that
we
believe
that
leaseholders
should
not
bear
the
cost
of
making
buildings
safe
and
shouldn't
be
faced
with
the
anxiety
of
that
uncertainty.
And
hence,
we're
fully
supportive
of
the
government's
attempt
to
find
a
better
solution
than
the
previous
proposals
for
buildings
between
11
meters and
18
meters.
In
order
to
achieve
that
we
do
need
government
to
deliver
on
its
commitments
to
a
proportional
solution.
We
can't
be
in
a
situation
where
necessary
fire
safety
works
are
extended
to
include
building
refurbishments.
We
also
need
other
market
participants
to
align
their
requirements
so
that
people
can
readily
secure
mortgages
on
buildings
which
are
demonstrably
safe
in
accordance
with
agreed
standards.
We've
actively
engaged
with
the
department
on
the
issue
and,
of
course,
with
the
HBF, which
has
done
a
great
job
of
leading
and
articulating
a
highly
constructive
industry
response
to
the
aggressive
demands
from
the
Secretary
of
State.
As
Earl
said,
we've
increased
our
provision
in
the
period
in
line
with
our
known
obligations
as
they
stand
today.
That
includes
engaging
with
our
partners
in
Partnerships
where
we
were
the
contractor.
The
recommendations
from
the
HBF
would
increase
that
liability,
but
hopefully
also
start
to
bring
some
clarity
to
the
commitments
that
we're
making.
And
hence,
we've
also
given
an
indication
of
our
estimate
of
the
additional
costs
which
might
arise
depending
on
the
uncertain
outcome
of
these
negotiations
with
government
and we
assess
that
to
be
in
a
range
of
£35
million to
£50
million.
Now
those
of
you
who
joined
our
Capital
Markets
Day
in
the
autumn
hopefully
got
some
excellent
insights
into
the
way
we're
structuring
and
measuring
our
approach
to
sustainability
in
our
operations,
which
we
group
in
these
three
areas,
our
people,
our
operations,
and
our
homes
and
communities.
We've
been
really
proactive
in
addressing
the
perennial
challenge
of
attracting
and
retaining
the
bright
people
that
we
need,
and
we
have
a
wide
range
of
ideas
and
initiatives
to
differentiate
Vistry
as
a
great
employer.
And
I'd
pick
out,
in
particular,
our
agile
working
policy,
which
is
working
brilliantly
for
our
people
and
the
business,
and
several
key
actions
around
coaching
and
training
our
people
for
their
personal
development
and
for
the
enrichment
of
the
group's
talent
and
succession.
I'm
also
really
proud
of
the
expansion
of
our
Skills
Academies
program,
which
offers
the
opportunity
of
training
and
qualification
to
local
unemployed
people
on
our
larger
sites
and
the
group
wide
commitment
to
foster
and
support
this
fantastic
initiative.
And
reflecting
our
progress
on
all
of
this,
as
I
said
earlier,
we're
delighted
with
our
group
Peakon
score
of
8.5,
which
puts
us
in
the
top
10%
of
our
industry
grouping.
Our
framework
of
communications
and
feedback
with
our
people
seems
to
be
working
really
well.
Health
and
safety,
of
course,
is
a
critical
priority
and
we
were
pleased
with
an
improvement
in
our
accident
incident
rate
remaining
below
the
industry
benchmark.
Of
course,
even
one
accident
is
one
too
many,
and
we
continue
to
focus
on
improving
our
culture
and
our
process,
including
deployment
of
new
technology
in
respect
of
safety
around
moving
plant.
We're
rolling
out
a
new
data
platform
to
improve
our
data
around
waste
and
carbon
so
that
we
can
better
calibrate
our
performance
and
measure
improvements.
We're
pleased
to
sign
up
to
the
business
ambition
for
1.5
degrees,
and
we're
in
the
process
of
verifying
our
carbon
reduction
targets
through
the
Science Based
Targets
Initiative.
And
importantly,
we've
introduced
some
targets
around
sustainability
measures
into
our
– into
the
group's
bonus
system.
As
you
know,
the
supply
of
affordable
housing
is
a
key
focus
for
Vistry
and
a
core
metric
in
particular
for
our
Partnerships
business. And
we're
committing
to
deliver
year-on-year
increases
in
affordable
home
delivery
over
and
above
our
section
106
requirements.
Our
social
value
proposition
is
increasingly
a
key
element
of
major
land
bids
and
regeneration
opportunities.
And
we're
enhancing
the
way
we
can
capture
and
demonstrate
this
by
subscribing
to
the
independent
– to
independent
verification
through
the
social
value
portal.
We're
also
well
on
with
understanding
and
addressing
the
challenge
of
biodiversity
net
gain,
which
is
another
significant
planning
and
development
hurdle
to
be
negotiated and
in
some
local
authorities
already
and
nationally
from
next
year.
During
the
year,
we
finalized
and
rolled
out
our
new
standard
customer
journey,
which
is
a
key
element
of
enhancing
our
customer
experience
and
our
readiness
for
the
demands
of
the
New
Homes
Quality
Board
and
the
Ombudsman
Service.
We've
registered
to
join
the
board
with
our
first
business
units
commencing
participation
in
the
next
couple
of
months.
We're
continuing
to
enhance
our
digital
sales
capabilities,
all
aimed
at
making
the
decision
to
buy
a
Vistry
home
easier
and
more
compelling
for
today's
customer.
And
we're
making
great
progress
towards
the
future
home
standards
and
the
interim
changes
on
Part
L,
electric
vehicle
charging,
space
standards
and
accessibility.
We're
redesigning
our
Linden
and
Bovis
ranges
and
bringing
forward
the
new
third
brand
to
accommodate
these
and
ensure
we
remain
as
efficient
as
we
can
in
that
complex
transition.
All
of
this
work
is
greatly
assisted,
of
course,
by
our
learnings
from
several
partner
delivery
projects
in
Partnerships
where
the
forward-looking
mindset
of
some
registered
provider
and
local
authority
partners
requires
us
to
test
new
technology
and
designs
as
they
seek
to
future
proof
their
stock.
And
with
that,
I'll
hand
you
back
to
Greg
for
the
outlook.
G
Greg Paul Fitzgerald
So
moving
on
to
the
market
review,
we
continue
to
see
strong
consumer
demand
across
all
areas
of
our
business,
whether
it's –
be
prospect
levels,
pricing
or
in
actual
fact
sales
rates
and
we're
selling
now
well
into
quarter
three,
quarter
four
of
this
year.
As
Earl
said
earlier,
we
expect
to see
build
inflation
of
around
6%
this
year
and
that
will
predominantly
become –
come
from,
sorry,
labor,
and
material
situation
is
much
better
than
it
was
in
2021
and
our
building
sites
are
performing
much
better
than
it
did
in
2021
because
the
availability
of
materials
is
much
better.
On
the
bigger picture,
planning
remains
good
on a
historical
basis,
but
at
a
local
level,
we
continue
to
see
delays
because
of
two
things,
the
political
climate
on
planning
and
labor
resource
within
planning
departments
within
local authorities
is
just
not
good
enough.
Interest
rate
rises
will
continue,
but
we
haven't
seen
that
impact
sales
as
yet
and
we,
of
course,
are
fully
expecting
more
interest
[ph]
raises
– rises (00:34:39) as
we
go
through
the
year.
Help
to
Buy
level
17%
in
the
last
quarter
of
2021,
remain
at
sensible
levels.
And
I
really
do
feel
we
and,
for
that
matter,
the
rest
of the
industry
are
pretty
well
equipped
now
when
Help
to
Buy
finishes
during
the
early
part
of
2021.
The
market
for
affordable
housing
and
PRS
continues
unabated
and
we
continue
to
see
as
we
did
at
the
time
of
the
acquisition,
very,
very
strong
growth
opportunities
for
our
partnership's
business.
And
finally,
the
solution
to
fire
safety
really
does
need
to
be
sorted
sooner
rather
than
later.
So
in
outlook
then,
as
I
said
earlier
excellent
start
to
the
year
with
the
sales
rate
up
20%
to
0.79
and
in
actual
fact
0.92
in
the
last
five
weeks,
Who
would have thought
Bovis
let
alone
Linden
would
have been
saying
having
a
sales
rate
of
0.92,
that's
completely
new
territory
for
us.
And
that's against
the
background
of
a
month
ago
where
we
put
up
prices
across
the
board
of
about
2.5%
minimum,
but
we
continue
to
nudge
up
prices
every
time
we
release
houses at
the
present
moment
in
time.
Sites
are
running
very,
very
well,
although
we
do
expect
to
see
some
build
inflation.
Housebuilding
and
Partnerships
mixed
tenure
forward
sales
are
up
23%
to
a
very
healthy
£2.2
billion
and
that's
64%
of
this
year's
forecast
already
in
the
bag.
Our partner
delivery
forward
order
book
is
around
£860
million.
That's
a
solid
number
and
that
again
represents
85%
of
this
year's
revenue
already
secured.
Housebuilding
well
on
track
to
deliver
in
excess
of
a
23%
gross
margin.
Partnerships
well
on
track
to
deliver
at
least
£1 billion
in
revenue
and
10%-plus
operating
margin
for
the
year.
As
Graham
and
Earl have
both
touched
on,
we
fully
support
the
comprehensive
solution
to
fire
safety
that
the
HBF had
just
put
forward.
And
again
I
would
reiterate,
the
costs
of
that
will
no
way
impact
our
dividend
and
in
fact,
our
growth
aspirations
for
both
housing
and
the
aggressive
growth
aspirations
for
Partnerships.
So
all
in
all,
the
group
is
in
fantastic
shape
and
is
in
a
great
place
to
deliver
another
step
up
in
profits
for
this
year.
And
it
would
be
wrong
of
me
not
to
finish,
of
course,
on
the
Housebuilder
Awards
last
year.
So
less
than
two
years
after
the
formation
of
Vistry,
delighted
there
to
pick
up
the
award
for
Large
Housebuilder
of
the
Year.
Very,
very
proud
night
for
all
of
us
and
great
for
me
to
get
a
picture
of
a
guy
wearing
a
skirt.
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Vistry Group's Full Year Results for 2021. Delighted to be joined today by Earl Sibley, our Chief Financial Officer; and Graham Prothero, the Chief Operating Officer. So the agenda, I'll run through our performance through the year and the strategy going forward. Earl will then step in, as you'd expect, with a financial review, handover to Graham with an operational review. And then I'll finish things off with an outlook. And then at 10:00 this morning, we will take your questions. And that will be after, of course, [indiscernible] (00:00:32) I've have had a good [ph] grilling (00:00:34) by you all hopefully at 8:30.
So we had an excellent performance during 2021, with great progress across all areas of the business. The private sales rate increased by an incredible 43% to 0.76, reflecting a sustainable sales rate driven by our land strategy, which we puts put in place four or five years ago. Housebuilding completions had a great year. Completions up to 6,551, well up on last year, with gross margin increasing to 22.3%, again, well up on last year. Partnerships continues to deliver rapid growth from their mixed tenure business, with revenues up 66% and their operating margin increasing to 9.2%, all as we said at the time of the acquisition. We've been very successful in the land market and ended the year with a greater land bank than we had started having bought 11,798 plots, at least at our hurdle rate of 25% and our 25% return on capital rate.
Our strategic land team continues to impress and they also acquired 7,721 plots during the year. Net cash was at £234 million, and that's way up on initial expectations. And that's after taking into account an increase in the land bank. Return on capital increased to 25.5%, well up on 2020 with the Partnerships' return on capital remaining well in excess of their 40% medium-term target. Taking all of that into consideration, it wasn't a difficult decision for the group to accelerate our dividend to two times cover for this year, reflecting the board's confidence in our future prospects.
So moving on to some of the softer issues which underpin those great financial results. From an NHBC perspective, our reportable items are under the benchmark of our peer group. We won just under 10% of the Pride in the Job Seals awards last year with 12 from just under 150 awarded around the country. We won the equivalent of another two Seals from Premier Guarantee. Really, really pleased. And I don't think this should be underestimated with a company that's going through a huge integration over the last couple of years that our Peakon score, which is an independent company which surveys our staff, gave an overall satisfaction rate of 8.5, which is in the top 10% of all manufacturing companies that they survey.
Also great to see that our company charity, Mind, got the benefit of £215,000 raised in [ph] the Mind (00:03:09) by our great employees. From an HBF customer satisfaction perspective, I'll eat my hat if we don't get announced in the next few weeks as retaining our 5-star status for the year 2021. And behind that, it's even better than just being a 5-star because all 13 of our housing business units were 5-star as well as Partnerships and not one [ph] off laid (00:03:31) the other, which is really pleasing. And we started the 2021/2022 year in great fashion with this score up again at 93.6%. So great stuff, and Graham will update you all later on our Science Based Targets, which we've made great progress as well.
So one Vistry, we're uniquely positioned for sector leading returns. And let's be clear, when we bought the Galliford Try housing businesses, I think we got it right, we didn't underestimate what the combined housing business would do or the Partnerships business would do, and they're both performing at least in line with what we expected. What we did underestimate was the power of Partnerships and the enlarged housing business working together, and working together well. That was being underestimated, and it's starting to show some real serious dividends, whether it be on land acquisitions, which I'll talk about in a minute, as well as generating quicker returns from our huge strategic land bank. All-in-all, bringing the two together, we are targeting sector leading return on capital employed in the medium term. And I think the 25.5% that I've just stated is nearly there already.
So making Vistry. I talked about working together, Partnerships and housing, working together, let's talk about a case study called Kenilworth. So it's a development of 620 new homes, which we're doing in a joint venture with a subsidiary of Warwick District Council called Milverton Homes. It was a rare opportunity to acquire such a site. So Kenilworth is a great area to sell houses. And this site is a prime site within Kenilworth. So every single housebuilder in the country was looking to buy the site, but we bought it. Our existing relationship came from Partnerships' relationship with Warwick District Council on their great scheme zero-carbon and homes at Europa Way in the Midlands, and Milverton Homes is fully funding the scheme to the tune of in excess of £60 million, which gives us an infinity return on capital. So, that's an infinity and beyond return on capital. So there's my impersonation [indiscernible] (00:05:36) for those who follow that sort of thing.
Both Bovis and Linden will be on site. Vistry Homes will sell all of the Bovis units and our Partnerships business will do all of the PRS affordable and the Linden Homes sales, and it's a 50/50 split. So open market is 50%, pre-sold is 50%. But it's a great, great opportunity there, and you can see the margin – adjusted margin is 24%, infinity return on capital, a great example of Partnerships and Housebuilding working together.
Looking at our strategy going forward. On Housebuilding, it slips off the tongue, very, very straightforward 25% gross margin, 25% return on capital by the year 2025 with 8,000 completions expected. And on Partnerships we call it Project Pace and we're looking for revenues to grow to £1.6 billion, operating margin of plus 12% and a return on capital of plus 40%. And that's medium-term targets, which you could interpret to be 2026.
So the outlook. We started the year in incredible fashion. So we've still got the pandemic and over the last four or five weeks, of course, we've got talk of an invasion and then the actual invasion of Ukraine by Russia. So we've seen the sales rate in the – so far this year up 20% to 0.79, and that's risen to an incredible 0.92 over the last five weeks when Ukraine has been very much in the headlines. We continue to see price increases. We are increasing our prices every time pretty much we release units on any particular scheme. And about four weeks ago, we increased our prices across the board by at least 2.5%, in some places more. I'm pleased to say that after all the trials and tribulations of last year, our sites are operating well in a much calmer environment, with materials being much less of an issue than they were during the course of 2021. Although we still see labor inflation this year, and we expect to see, as I'll talk about later, a 6% inflation on build cost, but that will be labor as opposed to materials.
Housebuilding and Partnerships mixed tenure forward sales are up 23% to £2.2 billion and we've already secured 64% of this year's sales. Partner delivery forward order booking Partnerships totals £860 million. That's a very healthy number and that's 85% of this year's revenue already secured. Housebuilding are well on track to deliver at least 23% gross margin for the year, which is what we said at the time of the acquisition. Vistry Partnerships are on track to deliver at least £1 billion of revenues, with a margin of at least 10% for this year, again, as we said at the time of the acquisition. So the group is in absolutely great shape to deliver significant step up in profits for the year.
We absolutely, finishing before we move on, support the comprehensive solution to cladding, fire safety. What I would say is Graham and Earl will about it in more detail, but from where I'm sat and at a chief execs level, this is not the end of the world from a Vistry perspective. The moneys that we're talking about here, after taking tax, will not impact in any way our dividend policy going forward nor our growth strategy in Housebuilding nor our aggressive growth strategy in Partnerships. So all very, very controllable.
With that, I'll pass over to Earl.
Thank you, Greg. I can now take you through those great results Greg highlighted. As normal, the results are presented on both an adjusted and reported basis. The adjusted basis means we're including our share of the results of our joint ventures down to the operating profit level on a proportional basis.
The group result was driven by our strong operating performance across both Housebuilding and Partnerships, supported by good housing market, whilst, at the same time, proactively managing materials constraints in our supply chain. It is good to see the results reflect the real potential of the Vistry Group. You can see all metrics moving strongly ahead and we've given a lot of guidance throughout 2021 in terms of profit margins in both Housebuilding and Partnerships as well as on cash. And you will see, as we go through, that we've delivered ahead of this guidance on all those measures. In terms of overall scale of the business, the revenue at £2.694 billion is 32% up on 2020 and importantly, 7% up on the pro forma turnover from 2019, showing just how well the enlarged group has come together and how well it has been dealing with the pandemic.
Gross profit delivered was £543 million, and this translated to an operating profit of £368 million. Profit before tax, excluding the exceptional costs and amortization, was £346 million, up 140% and slightly ahead of the previous guidance we set, having moved expectations forward a few times during 2021. The exceptional items of £12.2 million. This includes £6.5 million, as expected, for the final cost of integration, taking the total integration costs to around £30 million, which is £5 million lower than the £35 million expectation at the time of the deal, and there will be no further exceptional costs relating to integration. In addition, we've recognized a further £5.7 million of costs in respect of legacy fire safety, meaning we hold a provision of £25.2 million at the end of December, and Graham will comment more on this in a moment.
Amortization in the period was £14 million and we expect a similar level in 2023. And therefore, overall, the adjusted earnings per share for the period was £1.255, well ahead of 2020, and 20% ahead of 2019, when we were just Bovis. The slide also shows the strong position of net cash at the end of December, £234 million, ahead of guidance and I'll come back to this in a few slides time. The combination of strong profit delivery and capital management means our return on capital was moved forward 11 percentage points to 25.5% for the year.
So turning to the Housebuilding financials, and these show the first true combination of Bovis and Linden, gross profit and notably, the gross profit margin have moved forward significantly with the Housebuilding gross margin at 22.3%, ahead of our target of 22%. And if you look at the pattern of six months on six months, our gross margin has been moving forward for a number of periods with the second half of 2021 showing a housing gross margin of 22.7%, giving us confidence on the guidance we have provided of being over 23% for the current year, when the focus will continue to be on that margin growth with controlled volume growth.
Factors impacting margin include the strength of the margin embedded in the land bank now at the targeted 25%, a continued contribution from higher margin strategic land, the quality of delivery and operations on site as well as house price improvements alongside dealing with increasing costs in our materials. The TNAV was lower than 2020, reflects a good position, although our work in progress level was a little lower than planned following supply constraints during the year, so we expect a reversal of that investment during this year and an increase in TNAV. The return on capital for the business was 22.2%, and we can see this progressing along with the margin to 25% in the medium term.
Key metrics for Housebuilding, just pick out a few, whilst we continue to follow a strategy, reducing the average size of our completions, the private ASP has moved forward 4%, reflecting the strong demand across all geographies and all product mix. PX of 4%, very low and not really a selling tool that we're using. The affordable at 25% is as expected and a good guide still going forwards. And whilst Help to Buy at 21% remains an important tool for us, it is significantly lower than in previous periods following the changes to the scheme and much lower usage than others in the sector. Average outlets were as expected in 2021, with a nice problem to have occasionally of selling out slightly earlier than we expected. The FY 2020 number actually was slightly high, with a number of sites remaining open for longer than expected due to the pandemic, and therefore 2022 will see a similar level to 2021, growing towards the end of the year.
Our Partnerships business also ahead of the target set. The focus on mixed tenure coming through, with volume up 41% and reflecting 46% now of total Partnerships' revenue. And this increase in proportion has really driven that revenue up to £864 million, up 19%, as we continue to look for 12% compound growth each year. Operating profit up 64% year-on-year. And as with Housebuilding, a focus on margin coming through with the second half operating margin being 9.3%, a period where we also recognize a higher proportion of incentive costs for the year.
The margin improvement was supported by a higher margin land led contracting, making up a higher proportion of partner delivery than in 2021. In fact, it was nearly twice as much as it was in the previous year, and we expect a bigger proportion of land-led in 2022 to help those margins. However, of course, the biggest impact on margin comes from the increasing level of mixed tenure. And overall, operating margin up 2.5 percentage points in the year, again, meaning we are confident of achieving the 10% margin for 2022 as we continue to grow that mixed tenure business.
With the investment in that mixed tenure, the TNAV now has moved around £100 million from investment as planned and we are planning a similar level of investment in the current year. And whilst the return on capital might come down a little bit in the next couple of years, as we invest in mixed tenure, it will remain well ahead of the targeted 40%. As we continue to improve mixed tenure schemes, hurdle rates of 40%, and still have that ongoing benefit from partner delivery of somewhere between £50 million and £70 million of cash in the business at any point in time.
Partnership metrics, each of these shown with its share of JV, really does show the growth in mixed tenure and also the growth in outlets during the year. So, as we move into 2022, we expect to see that go up to around 40 outlets per year for 2022. And as planned, partners delivery remains an important part of the Partnerships business, delivering a stable contribution in 2021 and similar expected for 2022.
So, a specific mention for our procurement and supply chain. Most importantly, a big thank you to all our supply chain partners for their contribution last year in the face of numerous challenges in the market following the step up in demand. We managed this really effectively, with 90% of our materials procured centrally, complemented by our local teams, ducking and diving to make things happened. We're currently operating in a much calmer environment with teams that are even better equipped and ready to deal with any challenge that arises. Many of the agreements we put in place at the beginning of 2020 that gave us some protection from cost increases in 2021 were renegotiated at the beginning of this year. And these increases will impact various states during the first half, but they're all accounted for in our forecasts and guidance.
We've also taken the opportunity from that renegotiation to bring in additional suppliers for certain materials to give a greater surety over the supply and ensure that negotiation was truly competitive. So overall, last year we saw build cost inflation around 5%. And whilst the material supply has improved, there will be some further cost increases driven by energy prices. However, we see the cost of living, wage inflation being the key driver of cost increases and overall, expect to see build inflation for 2022 around 6%.
The map here shows another active year in the land market, dots on the map show all the acquisitions during the year, so the purple being the Housebuilding, the green the Partnerships, and the new red ones are strategic land options. It really does show our nationwide coverage. As Greg said, with over 11,700 plots secured, which ensured we've added to our controlled land bank in the period. We are still seeing good opportunities to buy land and we have a real competitive advantage on those larger sites. We have seen the land market get a bit more competitive in recent months, which is impacting the level of deferred terms we can achieve in the open market. But importantly, we continue to buy those Housebuilding plots at an average gross margin and return on capital in excess of 25% on average.
A little bit more on our land bank. As at the end of December here, the controlled land bank Housebuilding, including joint ventures, over 31,000 plots for Housebuilding, where we are trying to maintain a 3.5- to 4-year land bank. Also aligned with strategy, you can see the number of plots per site going up, reflecting that competitive advantage on larger sites, so with dual branding or even three brands, as well as the ability for Housebuilding and Partnerships to work together as Greg described. Land cost per plot and as a proportion of ASP remaining consistent, indicating we are still buying land very well and the average future gross margin now at that target level of 25%.
In terms of Partnerships, including joint ventures, we have over 11,700 plots, which will support the aggressive growth plans for mixed tenure development towards 300 homes per annum. And again, the embedded land bank margin has moved forward as expected and will support future margins for Partnerships to beyond 10%. Our strategic land has grown again with exactly 40,000 potential plots. And I have challenged that number a few times, but apparently it really is exactly 40,000 potential plots. I'm complete – pleased to confirm in this area, we further strengthened our excellent strategic land team, both recruiting externally but also promoting from within the team. We are able to deliver a comprehensive planning strategy for local authorities, which is helping pull this land portfolio through in a difficult period for planning.
Our strategic land is now feeding all parts of the business on a multi-brand basis, and we can see how we can get 4,000 plots per year to come from our strategic land and in turn, deliver 30% of our total completions each year, which is good news when I can confirm that the vast majority of our highest margin sites in Housebuilding have come historically from that strategic land bank.
The summary of the balance sheet reflects a really strong position, in fact, stronger than any of the scenarios we ran at the time of the acquisition. As a reminder, that investment in joint ventures and amounts due from joint ventures really reflects further work in progress and land, which has increased over the year. Although we would have liked it slightly more at the end of 2021, it represents a really good position for the current year. As I mentioned earlier, land bank in total is growing. And as expected, land creditors represent a higher proportion of land, so 36% this year. And we're happy at this level. [ph] Not leased (00:22:29) around £70 million of those land creditors are not due any time in the next two years. And given the overall balance sheet strength, we're happy at that level.
Other assets and liabilities in that really reflect the increased activity in the business during the year, as well as an increase in our pension surplus on our three defined benefit schemes. Overall, £1.7 billion of tangible net assets, £2.4 billion of total assets. So cash closed better than expected, ahead of our already improved expectations in the year. And overall, net gearing was – including our land creditors, was 10.5%, driven by that great operating performance, good cash conversion and good management of working capital and if anything, a little less work in progress.
So finally just a reminder of our capital allocation strategy, strong balance sheet and we are targeting slightly improved month-end net debt this year around £100 million and we expect to invest during the year a £100 million in Partnerships, as I mentioned earlier, as we drive the mixed tenure element of the business as we did in 2021. In addition, we expect to invest in Housebuilding to ensure we have the right level of work in progress and land to deliver growth into 2023 and onwards. And that for Partnerships, we continue to see that compound growth of around 12% per annum and the investment will be required to support this. And then Housebuilding, whilst 2022 will be focused again on driving the margin up with controlled growth, we will be looking for more growth beyond that.
We accelerated our dividend strategy during 2021 and we'll maintain a two times cover going forwards. And we have achieved the total gearing close to 10% at the end of 2021 a little earlier than expected, so we do expect a modest cash outflow during 2022 and I would expect that gearing to go up a little as a result. And as I noted, all that investment is to deliver the 25% and 40% targeted returns in Housebuilding and Partnerships respectively. And in the longer term, it does remain our clear intention to return surplus capital in the future and we will update you further on this later in the year.
With that, I will hand you over to Graham.
Many thanks, Earl, and good morning, everybody. As Greg said, we're really pleased not only with some excellent results in a good market, but with the strength of the business and operations. In Vistry Housebuilding, the sales rate of 0.69 is a stepped increase from where both Bovis and Linden used to be, which reflects the deliberate shift of – to a higher proportion of mid-range housing, successful deployment of two – the two brands, the quality of both of those ranges, a rigorous focus on brand promotion and discipline, and the excellent program on digital selling and on our hub approach.
We regard 5-star quality as a prerequisite and are pleased to be at this level in every one of our Housebuilding businesses, and we're now focusing hard on improving the important nine-month score. We were delighted with our Peakon score in February, which I'll come onto in a moment. And we have an excellent land bank in strong locations and are focusing on increasing the contribution from strategic land and improving the regional coverage of that team.
Partnerships continues to make excellent progress against this strategy. We're really pleased that we've covered Stuart Munro's retirement as a Divisional Managing Director with internal promotions, with Sean Egan, who very successfully led our North East business, now stepping into a DMD role. The three nascent businesses are thriving, with Thames Valley and South East being relatively new areas of operation for Partnerships, and North Midlands, an expansion of our existing West and East Midlands businesses, just to keep control as we respond to that burgeoning demand in that region. We're focusing hard on procuring the land we need to support this growth and expect to operate an average of 40 mixed tenure sites during 2022.
Greg's talked about the excellent project at Kenilworth, and we have a number of these large sites in the pipeline where our integrated model really flies, optimizing our competitiveness, profitability and returns. The Partnerships' model continues to grow a rich portfolio of strong partners with huge appetite for products across multiple tenures. We have regular programs with some 25 registered providers and individual projects with many more, and we're working with more than 20 local authorities.
Now turning to the current issue of fire safety, it goes without saying that we believe that leaseholders should not bear the cost of making buildings safe and shouldn't be faced with the anxiety of that uncertainty. And hence, we're fully supportive of the government's attempt to find a better solution than the previous proposals for buildings between 11 meters and 18 meters. In order to achieve that we do need government to deliver on its commitments to a proportional solution. We can't be in a situation where necessary fire safety works are extended to include building refurbishments. We also need other market participants to align their requirements so that people can readily secure mortgages on buildings which are demonstrably safe in accordance with agreed standards. We've actively engaged with the department on the issue and, of course, with the HBF, which has done a great job of leading and articulating a highly constructive industry response to the aggressive demands from the Secretary of State.
As Earl said, we've increased our provision in the period in line with our known obligations as they stand today. That includes engaging with our partners in Partnerships where we were the contractor. The recommendations from the HBF would increase that liability, but hopefully also start to bring some clarity to the commitments that we're making. And hence, we've also given an indication of our estimate of the additional costs which might arise depending on the uncertain outcome of these negotiations with government and we assess that to be in a range of £35 million to £50 million.
Now those of you who joined our Capital Markets Day in the autumn hopefully got some excellent insights into the way we're structuring and measuring our approach to sustainability in our operations, which we group in these three areas, our people, our operations, and our homes and communities. We've been really proactive in addressing the perennial challenge of attracting and retaining the bright people that we need, and we have a wide range of ideas and initiatives to differentiate Vistry as a great employer. And I'd pick out, in particular, our agile working policy, which is working brilliantly for our people and the business, and several key actions around coaching and training our people for their personal development and for the enrichment of the group's talent and succession.
I'm also really proud of the expansion of our Skills Academies program, which offers the opportunity of training and qualification to local unemployed people on our larger sites and the group wide commitment to foster and support this fantastic initiative. And reflecting our progress on all of this, as I said earlier, we're delighted with our group Peakon score of 8.5, which puts us in the top 10% of our industry grouping. Our framework of communications and feedback with our people seems to be working really well.
Health and safety, of course, is a critical priority and we were pleased with an improvement in our accident incident rate remaining below the industry benchmark. Of course, even one accident is one too many, and we continue to focus on improving our culture and our process, including deployment of new technology in respect of safety around moving plant. We're rolling out a new data platform to improve our data around waste and carbon so that we can better calibrate our performance and measure improvements. We're pleased to sign up to the business ambition for 1.5 degrees, and we're in the process of verifying our carbon reduction targets through the Science Based Targets Initiative. And importantly, we've introduced some targets around sustainability measures into our – into the group's bonus system.
As you know, the supply of affordable housing is a key focus for Vistry and a core metric in particular for our Partnerships business. And we're committing to deliver year-on-year increases in affordable home delivery over and above our section 106 requirements. Our social value proposition is increasingly a key element of major land bids and regeneration opportunities. And we're enhancing the way we can capture and demonstrate this by subscribing to the independent – to independent verification through the social value portal. We're also well on with understanding and addressing the challenge of biodiversity net gain, which is another significant planning and development hurdle to be negotiated and in some local authorities already and nationally from next year.
During the year, we finalized and rolled out our new standard customer journey, which is a key element of enhancing our customer experience and our readiness for the demands of the New Homes Quality Board and the Ombudsman Service. We've registered to join the board with our first business units commencing participation in the next couple of months. We're continuing to enhance our digital sales capabilities, all aimed at making the decision to buy a Vistry home easier and more compelling for today's customer.
And we're making great progress towards the future home standards and the interim changes on Part L, electric vehicle charging, space standards and accessibility. We're redesigning our Linden and Bovis ranges and bringing forward the new third brand to accommodate these and ensure we remain as efficient as we can in that complex transition. All of this work is greatly assisted, of course, by our learnings from several partner delivery projects in Partnerships where the forward-looking mindset of some registered provider and local authority partners requires us to test new technology and designs as they seek to future proof their stock.
And with that, I'll hand you back to Greg for the outlook.
So moving on to the market review, we continue to see strong consumer demand across all areas of our business, whether it's – be prospect levels, pricing or in actual fact sales rates and we're selling now well into quarter three, quarter four of this year. As Earl said earlier, we expect to see build inflation of around 6% this year and that will predominantly become – come from, sorry, labor, and material situation is much better than it was in 2021 and our building sites are performing much better than it did in 2021 because the availability of materials is much better.
On the bigger picture, planning remains good on a historical basis, but at a local level, we continue to see delays because of two things, the political climate on planning and labor resource within planning departments within local authorities is just not good enough. Interest rate rises will continue, but we haven't seen that impact sales as yet and we, of course, are fully expecting more interest [ph] raises – rises (00:34:39) as we go through the year.
Help to Buy level 17% in the last quarter of 2021, remain at sensible levels. And I really do feel we and, for that matter, the rest of the industry are pretty well equipped now when Help to Buy finishes during the early part of 2021. The market for affordable housing and PRS continues unabated and we continue to see as we did at the time of the acquisition, very, very strong growth opportunities for our partnership's business. And finally, the solution to fire safety really does need to be sorted sooner rather than later.
So in outlook then, as I said earlier excellent start to the year with the sales rate up 20% to 0.79 and in actual fact 0.92 in the last five weeks, Who would have thought Bovis let alone Linden would have been saying having a sales rate of 0.92, that's completely new territory for us. And that's against the background of a month ago where we put up prices across the board of about 2.5% minimum, but we continue to nudge up prices every time we release houses at the present moment in time.
Sites are running very, very well, although we do expect to see some build inflation. Housebuilding and Partnerships mixed tenure forward sales are up 23% to a very healthy £2.2 billion and that's 64% of this year's forecast already in the bag. Our partner delivery forward order book is around £860 million. That's a solid number and that again represents 85% of this year's revenue already secured. Housebuilding well on track to deliver in excess of a 23% gross margin. Partnerships well on track to deliver at least £1 billion in revenue and 10%-plus operating margin for the year.
As Graham and Earl have both touched on, we fully support the comprehensive solution to fire safety that the HBF had just put forward. And again I would reiterate, the costs of that will no way impact our dividend and in fact, our growth aspirations for both housing and the aggressive growth aspirations for Partnerships. So all in all, the group is in fantastic shape and is in a great place to deliver another step up in profits for this year. And it would be wrong of me not to finish, of course, on the Housebuilder Awards last year. So less than two years after the formation of Vistry, delighted there to pick up the award for Large Housebuilder of the Year. Very, very proud night for all of us and great for me to get a picture of a guy wearing a skirt.