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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
NASDAQ:AUB

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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp Logo
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
NASDAQ:AUB
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Price: 33.78 USD 1.2% Market Closed
Updated: May 15, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2020-Q4

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Atlantic Union Bankshares Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2020 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Bill Cimino, Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead, sir.

B
Bill Cimino
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Gigi, and good morning, everyone. I have Atlantic Union Bankshares' President and CEO, John Asbury; and Executive Vice President and CFO, Rob Gorman, with me today. We also have other members of our executive management team with us remotely for the question-and-answer period.

Please note that today's earnings release and accompanying slide presentation we're going through on the webcast are available to download on our investor website, investors.atlanticunionbank.com.

During today's call, we will comment on our financial performance using both GAAP metrics and non-GAAP financial measures. Important information about these non-GAAP financial measures, including reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures, is included in our earnings release for the fourth quarter and full year 2020.

Before I turn the call over to John, I would like to remind everyone that on today's call, we will make forward-looking statements which are not statements of historical fact and are subject to risks and uncertainties. There can be no assurance that actual performance will not differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.

We undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statement. Please refer to our earnings release for the fourth quarter and full year 2020 and our other SEC filings for a further discussion of the Company's risk factors and other important information regarding our forward-looking statements, including factors that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement.

All comments made during today's call are subject to that Safe Harbor statement. At the end of the call, we will take questions from the research analyst community.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to John Asbury.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you, Bill. Thanks to all for joining us today, and I hope everyone listening is safe and well on this New Year. We think, consistent in our commentary, that we are managing through two significant and distinct challenges: first, the continuing COVID-19 pandemic and everything first, the continuing COVID-19 pandemic and everything associated with it; and second, a much lower-than-expected interest rate environment for years to come with all of its implications for the Company's profitability.

Our results for the quarter and for the full year of 2020 show that the actions we've taken so far to address these two distinct challenges are having a positive impact in positioning Atlantic Union for future success. We continue to believe that our strategic plan with our long-term goal to become the premier mid-Atlantic bank is the right one, and then we have a great opportunity before us to create something uniquely valuable for our shareholders and the communities we serve and remain keenly focused on reaching the full potential of this powerful franchise despite the present challenges.

Now more than ever, our mantra of soundness, profitability and growth, in that order of priority, informs how we run our company. A sound bank is and will remain our highest priority. A prudent and conservative credit culture served our company well during the great recession, and it's serving us well through the economic shock of the pandemic. Our loan modifications have helped our clients weather the storm, having peaked at about 17% of the non-PPP loan portfolio in May and dropped to a minimal 1% at year-end.

During the second quarter of 2020, we fortified our capital position with a preferred equity issuance. Our second priority is profitability. And while Q4 was a noisy quarter, you can see the impact of our actions to our expense run rate to the new revenue reality of the lower rate environment. At year-end, we closed one further branch that was primarily a commercial bank at our branch in our Herndon, Virginia location. That was a part of our consolidation of the former Herndon commercial office into our Reston, Virginia offices.

Rob will walk you through the noisy fourth quarter expenses in his comments, but I will note, we had approximately $7.4 million in incremental performance-based variable incentive compensation and profit sharing expenses, which included a $1.2 million contribution to the Company's ESOP during the fourth quarter. Incentive compensation plans are a variable cost, and the pool is funded based on achievement of corporate targets that align with our shareholders.

The metrics are net income, return on assets, efficiency ratio and return on tangible common equity. Our team's hard work and agile responds to the numerous challenges of 2020 were outstanding and delivered on our 2020 targeted results, so we accrued per the quantitative formula in order to reward their accomplishments. Setting aside the incentive and profit sharing accruals and the Federal Home Loan Bank advanced prepayment cost, our expense run rate for Q4 was otherwise in line with prior guidance.

As for growth, on the other side of the current economic challenges, we do believe we have a long runway ahead of us to grow organically and through takeaway from our larger competitors that dominate market share in our home state of Virginia, supplemented by our operations in Maryland to North Carolina. We are especially focused on and benefiting from the disruption occurring at two of our largest competitors.

We do believe the pressures of a long-term near zero rate environment coupled with the rising tide of customer expectations for digital product offerings, is going to motivate further bank consolidation. We believe we are well positioned for this, and we'll continue to evaluate opportunities to complement our organic growth strategy through M&A.

Let me provide a quick review of our pandemic response. About 90% of our non-branch personnel continue to work from home. We reopened branch lobbies to customer walk-in traffic on October 14. Corporate offices remain close to albeit essential personnel and will remain that way through at least the first half of the year, possibly longer.

Work-from-home continues to go well, and we're not going to rush to bring people back given the safety and social distancing challenges involved. As we're seeing across the nation, the short-term COVID-19 trends at our markets have not been good recently, and we want to be prudent in ensuring the safety of our teammates and customers. We are hopeful this trend will improve in the coming months as vaccination rates rise with better distribution.

I'll now turn to PPP forgiveness and round two of the program. The first round of the Paycheck Protection Program was a brand builder for Atlantic Union, and our results support that statement. We remain focused on converting as many as possible of the more than 3,000 new to bank PPP clients from the first round of full relationships. It's clear to us that there's a great opportunity here from a negative experience, as many of them had with larger banks that caused them to come our way, seeking help.

We've taken our successful round one PPP plan and improved it for round two. We started taking applications for round two as soon as the small business administration opened to banks our size on January 19, and we received applications for approximately 2,500 loans, totaling around $475 million so far. It's difficult to project demand for round two, but the application flow certainly seems more spread out than what we saw last year when it was more of a panic for us to apply.

Round two PPP first and second draw loans are important and that they'll help businesses through this phase of the pandemic. This is both a boost for our clients, which should help mitigate credit losses from the pandemic, and it's also an unplanned fee income opportunity for us. We began to submit applications for round one PPP loan forgiveness to the SBA during the fourth quarter, and 3,100 clients received forgiveness, totaling $429 million during the fourth quarter.

We're pleased that the Congress passed the bipartisan proposal to streamline forgiveness of PPP loans under $150,000 as they represent about 85% of our round one PPP loans by count. This greatly simplifies the forgiveness process, both for our clients and for us, and we're about to start processing under these streamline requirements. Since year-end through January 21, clients have received a further amount of forgiveness, totaling $82 million, serving 999 loans.

As I've said before, our customers have learned the bank differently. While branch lobbies are now reopened, we rolled out a digital appointment scheduling option to customers, and we've had more than 33,000 appointments set since June 1. We've seen usage of our digital channels increased substantially from the prior year.

For results, so we accrued per the quantitative formula in line with supplemented by our operations in benefiting from the example, digital log-ins are up 38% since the start of the year; mobile check deposit utilization was up 37% over the course of 2020; Zelle utilization up 162% year-over-year; and card control users are up about 180% since April when that was launched.

Our call center volume has decreased from its peak, and the fourth quarter was about 10% lower than the first quarter. We continue to work on new projects and improve the omni-channel customer experience with quarterly releases and upgrades to our product offerings. During the fourth quarter of the year, we rolled out a Zoom video chat option through our current branch appointment options.

We've launched the ability for our trust and private banking businesses to digitally sign new account origination documentation to onboard new customers; began to pilot and enhance client relationship management platform using Black Diamond technology within the wealth group; completed the integration of the mortgage digital lending platform with blend software that will enable an end-to-end digital closing experience in Q1; and we implemented DocuSign for treasury management services documents, greatly simplifying the on-boarding process for treasury management products.

Using these new solutions, such as the appointment schedulers, Zoom, DocuSign and branch access together with the bank's online account opening platform, be open more than 1,100 personal checking accounts in the fourth quarter through our solutions banking group. That's our bank at work program we've launched in the first quarter of 2020. We also had a number of additional customer experience improvements coming in the first quarter of 2021.

As I've said before, we're not standing by waiting to return to the office, but we are making steady progress against our strategic plan. Our pivot to work from home has been smooth, and it is one of the great success stories of 2020 for us.

Turning to credit, surprisingly, the COVID-19 credit storm has not materialized as we initially forecast. While the outlook is still murky, we are more competent on credit than we'd have the instance the pandemic began, and we don't expect credit issues to be nearly as severe as what we initially feared.

Having said that, we are expecting a soft winter of COVID-19 infection, and if there's one thing you learned last year that said anything could still happen. I will say that the resiliency and diverse nature of our markets coupled with additional government stimulus and accommodative Federal Reserve, these are all having a positive impact as we've seen the unemployment rate in our markets improve much faster than expected.

Here in our home state of Virginia, November unemployment came in at 4.9% which was nearly 200 basis points better than the national average. And by the way, that's typical for Virginia. The December numbers will be released at the top of the hour today. Our loan book also helps since we don't have outsized exposure to the industry's most directly impacted by the social distancing measures put in place such as hotels, restaurants and retail.

Rob will talk you through the provision for credit losses and our CECL modeling, by all indications and metrics credit remained solid. Charge offs in Q4 remained at very low levels and excluding PPP loans they were 6 basis points annualized versus 4 basis points annualized in Q3. Our total modification balances as of Monday in January, 18th were approximately 430 loans under mods with balances totaling $132 million or 0.9% of 1% of our total portfolio.

If you exclude the PPP loans, it would be approximately 1% of our total portfolio. This is down from $1.9 billion and 4,000 loans as of April 24th, which was approximately 15% of the portfolio at that time. As I've mentioned earlier, modifications peaked in May at around 17%. Of the remaining loan modifications, 60% of them or $79 million are accounted for by 11 hotel loans. The remaining modifications are tailored for each borrower, and about 63% of them are currently interest only. We work through these modifications on a client-by-client basis to address their specific circumstances.

Our exposures to the most in-focused COVID sensitive industries are limited and are outlined on Slides 6 and 7 of our accompanying presentation. The amount of loans under our modification in these segments decreased from 111 loans for $199 million on October 16 to 16 loans for $83 million as of January 18, the majority of which, of course, pertain to hotels. As you may recall, our third-party consumer portfolio has been winding down for some time.

The quarter-end balance for our lending club exposure was about $52 million and continues to run off. Payment deferrals in the lending club portfolio declined approximately $1 million during the quarter -- pardon me, declined to approximately $1 million during the quarter as accounts went off modifications and became current. The remaining portfolio is performing in line with our expectations. Overall, we continue to proactively work through this event with our clients while mitigating credit risk wherever we can.

Moving on to expense reduction actions, we developed our initiatives to reduce the Company's expense run rate to match lower revenue expectations due to COVID-19 and the lower for longer interest rate environment back in March. We began to take action on them in the second quarter and into the third quarter. We took additional action in the fourth quarter with the decision to close an additional six branches, including the five that will be consolidated in February.

After these branches close, we'll operate 129 branches across our footprint. That's a reduction of 20 from last year at this time, which is about a 13% reduction out of the branch network. Our goal remains to achieve and maintain top-tier financial performance regardless of the operating environment. Our financial outlook will ultimately depend in part on the continued success against additional flare-ups of COVID-19 in our main operating areas and the vaccine rollout. This will be one of the primary factors that determine the length of disruption in our markets.

We continue to face near-term uncertainty, mostly the duration of COVID-19, but as I mentioned before, the economic outlook has improved, and our optimism is rising. We still expect some dips along the way to a full recovery, but we believe the overall trend should be upward, and we think the improving trends should accelerate in the back half of 2021. We still don't know when we may return to pre-pandemic macroeconomic levels, but the data continues to demonstrate better economic performance in our footprint than would have seen overall in the national economic model projections.

As we pointed out many times, the Virginia economy is fairly unique with a broadly diverse set of regional economies and with about 20% of it anchored in some fashion by the federal government. The changes underway in Washington should be a net positive for the federal government's contribution to the Virginia economy. Our full year loan growth was about 1.8%, excluding PPP loans. Commercial loan categories of all types on a combined basis grew about 4%, offset by declines in consumer categories if you lock third-party lending and residential mortgages held on balance sheet.

Although it increased by 1.8 percentage points in the fourth quarter, commercial line utilization remains very low and about 26%, well below our normal utilization of around 40%. While it's anyone's guess what exactly 2021 will bring at this point, we do believe that the second half of the year will be better than the first half and that we could see a return to high single-digit loan growth in 2022. Our franchise and our market dynamics certainly support that opportunity.

As we continue to climb out of the systemic downturn, our credit losses were minimal in 2020, and the real impact remains to be seen. We still expect an eventual rise in credit losses, and we thought we would have already begun a transition toward that, but it simply hasn't yet happened. With the prospect of more stimulus, the second round of PPP underway and the rollout of the vaccine, it's really hard to point to a specific time where the increase in credit losses will start to materialize.

To what extent, the additional stimulus PPP round two and the vaccine mitigate credit losses remains to be seen, but we believe these actions will have a positive impact on the ultimate level of credit losses we incur. Stepping back, we believe that we are well-positioned and readily able to absorb any delayed credit losses from COVID-19. And looking ahead, we expect normalized levels of credit losses after the impact of the pandemic works its way through the economy.

Moving beyond credit, our goal remains creating a company that's able to consistently deliver differentiated performance. We'll continue to work on ways to make the Company more efficient and scalable while improving the customer experience, and we could see further improvements to our expense base as a result.

As I've said before, we continue to push the organization forward and not simply wait for things to happen. We remain focused on credit risk mitigation and positioning for success while we busily work to improve our company, its efficiency and scalability and provide a better customer experience. At the same time, we always try to think a few steps ahead, and we do see strategic opportunities on our horizon.

As I said last quarter, I am convinced we will emerge from the crisis stronger, better and more efficient than before, which will give us opportunities, both organic and inorganic. We're leveraging our learnings and ingraining our newfound capabilities, agility and innovation into the Company's culture so that we have the flexibility to adapt to the lower for longer rate environment in the coming next normal, whatever that may be, while delivering a differentiated customer experience.

We continue to see opportunity in all of this chaos, and we're weathering the storm better than I could have hoped, taking care of our teammates and customers and protecting this bank. While 2020 was the most challenging year of my career, I've never been more proud of our teammates and all they accomplished while adjusting to a new way of working in the midst of all of this uncertainty. I remain confident in what the future holds for us and the potential we have to deliver long-term sustainable financial performance for our customers, communities, teammates and shareholders.

Despite all that happened in 2020, or perhaps because of it, as we enter 2021, I feel stronger than ever that Atlantic Union Bankshares remains a uniquely valuable franchise, dense and compact in great markets with a story unlike any other in our region. We are scalable with the right capabilities, the right markets and the right team to deliver high-performance even in the most trying at times.

I'll now turn the call over to Rob to cover the financial results for the quarter. Rob?

R
Rob Gorman

Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. Before I get into the details of Atlantic Union's financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year 2020, I think it's important to once again reinforce John's comments on Atlantic Union's governing philosophy of soundness, profitability and growth in that order of priority. This core philosophy is serving us well as we manage the Company through the current COVID-19 pandemic crisis and preparing us for what comes next.

Atlantic Union continues to be in a strong financial position with a well-fortified balance sheet, ample liquidity and a strong capital base, which is allowing us to weather the current storm and come out stronger once this crisis has passed. As a matter of sound enterprise risk management practice, we periodically conduct capital, credit and liquidity stress tests for scenarios such as the operating environment we now find ourselves in or occasionally even worse scenarios.

Results from these stress tests help inform our decision-making as we manage through the current crisis and gives us confidence the Company will remain well-capitalized and has the necessary liquidity and access to multiple funding sources to meet the challenges of the current economic environment.

Now let's turn to the Company's financial results. Please note that for the most part, my commentary will focus on Atlantic Union's fourth quarter and full year financial results on a non-GAAP operating basis, which excludes an after-tax debt extinguishment loss of $16.4 million, resulting from the prepayment of long-term Federal Home Loan Bank advances in the fourth quarter and excludes $26 million in after-tax debt extinguishment losses and $9.7 million in after-tax security gains for the full year of 2020. For clarity, I will specify which financial metrics around a reported versus non-GAAP operating basis.

In the fourth quarter, reported net income available to common shareholders was $56.5 million, and earnings per share per common share were $0.72, down approximately $1.8 million or $0.02 per common share from the third quarter. For the full year 2020, reported net income available to common shareholders was $152.6 million, and earnings per common share was $1.93 compared to $193.5 million or $2.41 per common share in 2019.

The reported return on equity for the fourth quarter was 8.82% and 6.14% for the full year. The reported non-GAAP return on tangible common equity was 15.6%. In the fourth quarter, it was 11.18% for the year. Reported return on assets was 1.19% for the fourth quarter and was 83 basis points for the full year 2020. Reported efficiency ratio was 68.4% for the quarter and 60.2% for the full year.

On a non-GAAP operating basis, net adjusted operating earnings available to common shareholders in the fourth quarter was $72.9 million, and earnings per common share were $0.93, which was up approximately $15 million or $0.19 per common share from the third quarter. Non-GAAP pretax pre-provision adjusted earnings were $77 million compared to $78.5 million in the third quarter.

For the year ended 2020, non-GAAP adjusted operating net income available to common shareholders was $168.8 million, and adjusted operating earnings per share per common share was $2.14 as compared to $227.8 million or $2.84 per common share in the prior year. Non-GAAP pretax pre-provision adjusted operating earnings were $294 million in 2020 compared to $295.2 million in 2019.

Non-GAAP adjusted operating return on tangible common equity was 19.91% in the fourth quarter and was 12.28% for the year. The non-GAAP adjusted operating return on assets was 1.52% in the fourth quarter and was 91 basis points for the full year of 2020. Non-GAAP adjusted operating efficiency ratio was 53.6% in the fourth quarter. It was 53.2% for the full year 2020.

Turning to credit loss reserves, as of the end of the fourth quarter, the total allowance for credit losses was $170.5 million, comprised of the allowance for loan and lease losses of $160.5 million and a reserve for unfunded commitments of $10 million. In the fourth quarter, the total allowance for credit losses declined by $15.6 million, primarily due to lower expected losses than previously estimated as a result of improvement in Virginia's unemployment rate, benign credit quality metrics to date and an improved economic outlook over the forecast period due to the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and additional government stimulus, inclusive of more PPP loan funding.

The allowance for loan and lease losses as a percentage of the total loan portfolio was 1.14% at December 31, which was down 7 basis points from 1.21% at the end of the third quarter, and the total allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans was 1.22% at the end of December, which is down from 1.29% in the prior quarter. Excluding the SBA guaranteed PPP loans, the allowance for loan and lease losses as a percentage of adjusted loans decreased 11 basis points to 1.25% from the third quarter, and the total allowance for credit losses as a percentage of adjusted loans decreased 13 basis points to 1.33% from the prior quarter.

The coverage ratio of the allowance for loan and lease losses to nonaccrual loans was 3.8x at December 31 compared to 4.5x at September 30. The $15.6 million decline to the Company's total allowance for credit losses took into consideration the COVID-19 pandemic impact on credit losses, both through the two-year reasonable and supportable macroeconomic forecast, utilizing the Company's quantitative CECL model, and through management's qualitative adjustments.

Beyond the two-year reasonable forecast period, the CECL quantitative model estimates expected credit losses using -- our estimate from the expected credit losses using a reversion to the mean of the Company's historical loss rates on a straight line basis over two years. In estimating expected credit losses within the loan portfolio at quarter end, the Company utilized Moody's December baseline macro-economic forecast for the two year reasonable and supportable forecast period.

Moody's December economic forecast improved since September. It is now assumed that on a national level, GDP will recover to pre-pandemic levels by this summer compared to early 2022 in the September forecast. Moody's forecast for Virginia, which covers the majority of our footprint, as previously assumed that the unemployment rate in the state would average nearly 6.5% during the two year forecast period, but the December forecast now assumes a two year average of 5%.

In addition to the quantitative modeling, the Company also made qualitative adjustments for certain industries, viewed as being highly impacted by COVID-19 as discussed by John earlier. Additional qualitative factors were included this quarter to take into consideration the uncertainties pertaining to the future path of the virus and concerns around vaccination distribution efforts. The provisions for total credit losses for the fourth quarter declined by $20.4 million as compared to the third quarter, due to the aforementioned reduction in credit loss reserves with COVID negative provision for credit losses of approximately $14 million in the fourth quarter.

In the fourth quarter, net charge-offs were $1.8 million or 5 basis points of total average loans on an annualized basis compared to $1.4 million or 4 basis points for the prior quarter into $4.6 million or 15 basis points for the fourth quarter of last year. As in previous quarters, the majority of net charge-off approximately 63% in Q4 came from non-relationship third-party consumer loans, which are in runoff mode.

Now, turning to the pre-tax pre-provision components of the income statement for the fourth quarter, tax equivalent net interest income was $148.7 million, which was up $8.4 million from the third quarter. Net accretion of purchase accounting adjustments added 9 basis points to the net interest margin in the fourth quarter, up from the 8 basis point impact in the third quarter, primarily due to an increase in loan related increasing income of approximately $700,000.

The fourth quarters tax equivalent net interest margin was 3.32%, which was an increase of 18 basis points from the previous quarter to the way 10 basis point increase in the yield on earning assets from accelerated PPP fee income and an 8 basis point decline in the cost of funds. The quarter-to-quarter earnings asset yield increase was driven by the 15 basis point increase in the loan portfolio yield partially offset by the impact of lower yields on securities of 11 basis points.

The loan portfolio yield increased to 3.99% from 3.4% in the third quarter, driven by the impact of higher levels of PPP loan fee accretion resulting from the SBA forgiveness of approximately $430 million in PPP loans during the quarter. Reduction in the securities portfolio yield to 2.8% since 2.91% was a result of the deployment of excess liquidity during the past two quarters since the new investments at yields lower than the existing portfolio yield.

In addition, cash proceeds from higher yielding securities that have mature or repaid or prepaid are being reinvested at today's lower market interest rates. The quarterly 8 point decrease in the cost of funds to 37 basis points was primarily driven by a 9 basis point decline in the cost of deposits to 30 basis points. Interest bearing deposit costs declined by 13 basis points from the third quarter to 42 basis points in the fourth quarter due to the equip continued aggressive re-price of deposits as market interest rates declined.

Non-interest income declined by $2.2 million to $32.2 million from the prior quarter. The decrease was driven by $1.4 million in death benefit proceeds received in the third quarter, lower insurance related income of $530,000, reduced levels of unrealized gains of $550,000 related to the Company's SBIC investments and lower loan-related interest rate swap fees of $460,000. These revenue declines are partially offset by an increase in service charges on deposit accounts of $661,000 primarily due to higher overdraft fees.

Non-interest expense increased $28.5 million to $121.7 million from $93.2 in the prior quarter, primarily driven by the previously announced $20.8 million debt extinguishment loss resulting from the prepayment of long-term Federal Home Loan Bank advances in the fourth quarter and an increase of $7.4 million in performance based variable incentive compensation and profit sharing expenses, including a contribution of 1.2 million to the Company's employee stock ownership plan as John had noted.

Fourth quarter expenses also included approximately $790,000 in costs related to the Company's decision to close five additional branches next month. 716,000 third-party expenses incurred during the quarter to process PPP loans for SBA forgiveness, $447,000 in costs related to the Company's response to COVID-19, increased project-related consulting and professional fees of $883,000, and an increase of $582,000 in FDIC premiums due to the impact of lower levels of PPP loans on the Company's assessment rate.

The effective tax rate for the fourth quarter decreased slightly to 15.1% from 15.3% in the third quarter. For the full year, the effective tax rate was 15.1%. For 2021, we expect the full year effective tax rate to be in the 16.5% to 17% range.

Turning to the balance sheet, period end total assets stood at $19.6 billion at December 31, a decrease of $302 million from September 30, if level is primarily due to the SBA forgiveness of PPP loans. At period end, loans held from investment of $14 billion, a decline of $362 million or approximately 10% annualized from the prior quarter, driven by the SBA forgiveness of approximately $430 million of PPP loans.

Excluding PPP loans, loan growth in the fourth quarter was 1.8% annualized, driven by increases in commercial loans of a $102 million or approximately 4% annualized, partially offset by reductions in consumer loan balances of $43 million or 8% on an annualized basis. Commercial loan growth was primarily driven by growth in equipment finance loan balances and an increase in revolving lines of credit outstanding as the line utilization rate ticked up 1.8% from the prior quarter to a still historically low level of 25.6%.

The overall decline in consumer loan balances during the quarter was driven by continued pay downs in mortgage and HELOC balances as well as the runoff of third-party consumer loan balances, which was partially offset by annualized growth in indirect auto balances of 14%. As noted, average loan yields increased 15 basis points during the quarter, primarily due to increased PPP fee accretion income resulting from the forgiveness of PPP loans during the quarter.

At the end of December, total deposits stood at $15.7 billion, which is an increase of $147 million or 3.7% annualized from the prior quarter. With the exception of money market deposits which declined slightly, all interest-bearing deposit categories increased during the quarter. Demand deposit balances declined approximately 5% annualized from the third quarter as a result of seasonal factors.

Low-cost transaction accounts comprised 51% of total deposit balances at the end of the fourth quarter, which is in line with the third quarter levels. As mentioned, the average cost of deposits declined by 9 basis points to 30 basis points, while interest-bearing deposit costs declined by 13 basis points in the fourth quarter. The Company's liquidity position remains strong at both the bank and only company levels with multiple sources that can be tapped if needed.

From a shareholder stewardship and capital management perspective, we remain committed to managing our capital resources prudently as the deployment of capital for the enhancement of long-term shareholder value remains one of our highest priorities. From a capital perspective, the Company continues to be well-positioned in the midst of the pandemic and its impact on the Company's financial results.

At the end of the fourth quarter, Atlantic Union Bankshares and Atlantic Union Bank's capital ratios were well above regulatory well-capitalized levels. During the fourth quarter of 2020, the Company paid a common stock dividend of $0.25 per share and also paid a quarterly dividend of $171.88 on each outstanding share of Series A preferred stock.

In summary, Atlantic Union delivered solid financial results in the fourth quarter and for the full year, despite the ongoing business disruption associated with COVID-19 and the headwinds of the lower interest rate environment. Also, please note that while we are proactively managing through this unique and unpredictable pandemic and are taking the proper steps to weather the economic downturn to ensure the safety, soundness and profitability of the Company, we also remain focused on leveraging the Atlantic Union franchise to generate sustainable, profitable growth and remain committed to building long-term value for our shareholders.

And with that, let me turn it back over to Bill Cimino to open it up for questions from our analyst community.

B
Bill Cimino
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations

Thanks, Rob. And Gigi, we're ready for our first caller, please.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Casey Whitman from Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

C
Casey Whitman
Piper Sandler

So I'd start, John, you made the comment that in 2021, we could see loan growth maybe return to the high single-digit range. I just wanted to clarify. Is that how you're thinking about just the commercial book or the overall book? And then I was thinking maybe you could walk us through what you're seeing for demand across different areas of footprint and where you're seeing commercial line utilization pick up or maybe that's been purport wide?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

All right. Yes. For the record, I said that we could expect to -- we would expect to see opportunity to return to high single-digit loan growth in 2022. And that for 2021, we think it will start slower and then pick up. Our expectation for 2021, all-in overall is probably more in the mid single-digit growth rate, Rob?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. If you exclude the third third-party loan runoff, we expect to be in the 4% to 6% on a full year basis. On commercial side, it's probably at the higher level, 6%. And consumer is probably growing about 3% or so on average.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. And so I think that, Casey, as you well know, the Company does have a track record of pretty consistently being able to deliver high-single-digit growth rate. We continue to believe, as I said, the markets, the franchise, the opportunity, we have a bit of a tailwind with what's going on at some of our larger competitors who shall not be named where there's a lot of disruption we're benefiting from that, so we're feeling pretty good.

At the moment, we still see commercial business borrowers awash in liquidity. We see it in deposits. You see it in low line utilization. They've been cautious, but activity is picking up. We continue to fight headwinds of refinances on the commercial real estate book into the long-term institutional markets. But nevertheless, we continue to feel like we are positioned for overall high-single-digit loan growth, but that's a 2022 opportunity.

But I think that, again, you'll see it kind of slow as this year begins, and it will pick up. We do have Dave Ring, Head of Commercial Banking on. Dave, I want to ask you if you can give us just some summary comments in terms of the areas of strength geographically across the franchise from a commercial standpoint.

D
David Ring

Sure. And John, just to piggyback off what you said, loan demand is steady. We continue to see the benefit from disruption at other banks and the goodwill that we've created during PPP, like John said, we expect the second half to be better than the first half, and we look for mid- single-digit growth.

The regions that are doing well within commercial would be number one, equipment finance. If you recall, we just started that business at the end of December last -- in 2019. That business is doing very well serving our footprint. Central Virginia, our home court is continuing to grow in the fourth quarter at double-digit annualized pace.

The Coastal region, which is Virginia Beach, that whole area, is next in line. And Greater Washington, Baltimore, had a lot of pay downs on the revolvers, but overall production strong there. And in North Carolina, in all our markets in North Carolina, we're doing very well. But in that order would be the growth.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thank you, Dave. Casey, did that answer your questions?

C
Casey Whitman
Piper Sandler

It did. And thank you for clarifying ‘21, and ’22 growth outlook. Make sense. I think, I'll just turn to maybe bigger picture, John. You mentioned that you see strategic opportunities on the horizon. Maybe can you elaborate on that a little bit and provide us with more color on your M&A thoughts, maybe what your targets you might be interested in and in what geographies?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Sure. I think that Casey environmentally, we're seeing what I believe is a perfect setup for further bank consolidation. We’re clearly it's already begun. So from where we sit, we continue to like the density of the franchise, the contiguous nature of the franchise. The fact that we have clearly established us ourselves as not only the home team here in our home state of Virginia, but the clear alternative to the large competitors in Virginia.

There's no question that there are things that could make financial and strategic sense for us, and we wouldn't do anything. And I think we have this track record to prove it did. It didn't make financial and strategic sense for the Company. I think they're going to be options. We go about this very thoughtfully. There's nothing new about this conversation and the analysis that we do. We're still in a disrupted environment.

And we're still, first and foremost focused on taking care of the franchise, navigating through COVID, credit management, and just kind of going about our business that we do feel like we are -- we are positioning for other opportunities. We continue to look at the spectrum. It is true that one thing that feels perhaps different from a year or two ago is we do think about things that are relatively larger than we used to think about.

That's just a math exercise in terms of smaller scale acquisitions while individually can be very accretive, make a lot of sense, talk hands, et cetera. They don't actually move the needle as much. It doesn't mean we would not do that to be clear. It's simply means that we think about, we have a consolidating market. We have a near zero interest rate -- a consolidating industry -- zero interest rate environment for at least three years in our opinion.

I think that the argument for scale is very real, so we kind of look thoughtfully across the spectrum of opportunities. If we were able to continue to kind of double down in our home markets that would be our first choice and further strengthen our hand here. We do look around contiguous to us. We're not going to announce something in Montana. So from our standpoint, it's not a whole lot has changed in terms of our strategic intentionality.

I would also say to sort of anticipate the question of well when might this happen, you don't look for us to announce something next week. Yes. If we have our druthers or I'll be clear, if I have my druthers, it'll be later versus sooner this year. We don't always have the opportunity to control timing, but I would really like to see us get through the winter. I'd like to see what goes on with COVID. We are always busy inside the Company.

And if you think about my comments, I intentionally made several references to improving scalability. And so, there were some things going on in our organization that a little more time would be very helpful in terms of being able to plug something else into it. And that's, that's how we think about it. So that's, I hope that's at least relatively clear. And let me also say we may do nothing, but I'm simply saying that we do see opportunity out there.

C
Casey Whitman
Piper Sandler

Understood. Thank you. I'll let someone else jump on.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thanks, Casey. Gigi, we're ready for our next caller, please.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Eugene Koysman from Barclays. Your line is now open.

E
Eugene Koysman
Barclays

Can you talk about puts and takes of the net interest margin in this quarter? So what's the right starting point for the first quarter of '21 given the lift from debt repayments and the impact of the [indiscernible] originations as well as slowing accretion? Thanks.

R
Robert Gorman

Yes. In terms of the margin for first quarter, I think you're going to see a fairly stable margin, inclusive of accretion income and PPP forgiveness. As you know, we've forgiven through the end of December about $400 million of the $1.7 billion of PPP loans we made, so we're expecting to see that continue to come through in the first quarter. Actually, I think through today, we've received another $180 million -- I guess, about $185 million of additional forgiveness through the first portion of January and expect that will continue.

So the impact of PPP loan forgiveness on deferred fee income coming through is probably similar to what you've seen in the fourth quarter. Accretion is going to be fairly similar, a bit down. And then on a core basis, when you back out all of that, we -- our core net interest margin came in about 3.05% this quarter, which is fairly consistent with what the Q3 was. And we are expecting that, that will stabilize at that level through the first quarter and actually throughout next year. We feel good about that we bottom out, at least from the core side.

We've got opportunities in terms of -- we think earning asset yields will continue to in terms of -- we think earning asset yields will continue to in terms of -- we think earning asset yields will continue to compress a bit, but the cost of funds will also decline as well, and we'll offset that earning offset that earning asset yield compression that we expect.

So I guess in the first quarter, kind of also decline as well, and we'll about that we bottom out, at least from the core side. We've got opportunities kind of what you see in Q4 is what you'll see in Q1. And then as PPP declines, and I'm excluding any commentary around PPP two because we don't know exactly what that is, but excluding that, you'll see the reported margin decline because PPP fee income will be exhausted by the second quarter of this year.

E
Eugene Koysman
Barclays

Got it. And just wanted to follow-up, what levers do you have remaining to help support the GAAP NIM? You mentioned deposit re-pricing or liability management?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. So, we continue to see opportunity in reducing our overall cost of funds, primarily through reducing our cost of deposits. As you see, we made significant progress over the last several quarters, actually in reducing our cost of deposits, so I think we're down 30 basis points. If you looked at it in December, we were actually down to 27 basis points. We feel that, that's going to probably -- toward the second half of the year, drop in the very low 20s, if not 20 basis points.

We've got a number about $1 billion of high-cost CDs that will be maturing over the next six months. The average interest rate on those CVs is in the 150 range. Actually, over the next two months, so we've got some CDs that are maturing in the 170. So, those are re-pricing down significantly. Our current CD offering is one year. No penalty. CD is priced at 15 basis points. So, we've been seeing a significant re-pricing of the CD book and that will continue, which will continue to allow us to reduce our cost of funds, our cost of deposits.

E
Eugene Koysman
Barclays

Got it. That's really helpful. And I wanted to jump to a different topic on the capital management. What are your thoughts on restarting share repurchases given relatively sluggish loan growth expectations for this year and improving credit outlook that should hopefully drive more releases?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. Yes. So in terms of how we look at excess liquidity and deployment options, first and foremost, we calculate excess capital at anything above an 8.5% tangible common equity ratio. You'll see that we're reporting for this quarter, 8.3%. Now that's down a bit because PPP loans are in the asset base, tangible asset base. If you exclude PPP loans, we're probably in the 8.8% range.

So, we are building excess liquidity, we expect that will continue throughout the year. Knock on wood, the credit continues to improve as we saw this quarter. So, we will be looking at all options to deploy that excess capital as we build it up throughout the year. But certainly, share repurchase would be on the table. We've previously had a $150 million share repurchase authorization from the Board, of which we had $20 million remaining that was suspended in March of last year when the pandemic hit.

We will continue to evaluate increasing that authorization with the Board. I always like to have that arrow in the quiver. The other thought is we will, as John mentioned, consider acquisitions to deploy that excess capital as it builds up as well. So stay tuned on that, but I would expect that you'll see some opportunities for deploying excess capital, whether in repurchases or acquisitions, as we go throughout the year.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Stuart Lotz from KBW. Your line is now open.

S
Stuart Lotz
KBW

Can you hear me okay?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We can.

S
Stuart Lotz
KBW

Awesome. Rob, if we could kind of dive into the expenses this quarter, I know there was a lot of noise with some of the onetime kind of year-end accrual. I think your guidance last quarter was for your core operating run rate to be around $88 million. If we back out that $7.4 million as well as some of the COVID-related expenses, I can get closer to $91 million. How are you guys thinking about that run rate going into the first quarter of this year?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. Thanks, Stuart. Yes, so the way I look at the run rate we had some, as you mentioned, some incremental incentive expenses and some other items. So, I get close to kind of where you are $90 million to $91 million on a normalized run rate this quarter. We've just completed our 2021 financial plan and have looked at what the expense base looks like in terms of the overall profitability of the Company as we project forward.

Our thoughts now are, as we look into this year and looked at some of the investments we need to make and want to make, Board, of which we had $20 million remaining that was suspended as quiver. The other thought is we will, as John mentioned, which but I would expect that here in terms of efficiency, scalability, et cetera, we're going to be guiding up a bit from what we mentioned. We had mentioned about $88 mil to $90 million was kind of a run rate we were looking for.

As we've gone through the planning process, it looks like it would be more in the $90 million to $92 million range on a quarterly basis, probably on the higher end of the first quarter as seasonally they're a bit higher as payroll taxes kick in again, et cetera. So that's how we're looking at it, but that includes a number of investments we're making in digital cybersecurity and some projects that we feel will be beneficial from an efficiency point of view as we go through the year and into 2022.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. Rob, also I'd point out, that presumes that we hit our financial goals for 2021 and have a fully-funded incentive plan. That's run rate, and then that's one question that will likely question that will likely come. The other thing I'll point out, it is true when come. The other thing I'll point out, it is true when we began the financial planning work, we were not financial planning work, we were not contemplating there would be another round of PPP. So we do have some question that will likely financial planning work, we were not degree, as yet undetermined amount of income that is a bit of a positive thing that we weren't counting on.

We think about that in the context of being able to slip a few projects and have it pay for it that potentially would not have happened in the absence of that, if it makes sense. We do have things going on in the Company to improve efficiency, to improve scalability, technology-oriented. The way they work, they tend to have some front-end loaded expenses. It can be consulting various other things, so you do need to make investment upfront in order to realize a return or expense save on the back end of it. And so we feel like this is a pretty good setup to move a few of those things and that possibly wouldn't have been there otherwise.

R
Rob Gorman

Yes, there are other projects such as looking at our flexible work plan going forward in a normalized environment where we're investing some money, but we do expect that, that could lead to reductions in occupancy expenses as we go through that. So, there's some of those sorts of things going on, also investing in our businesses, in our wealth management business, which should drive revenue, and our commercial business teeing up an FX opportunities and small business lending opportunities that could help with the revenue side. And on that front, just to continue from a run rate point of view, we're also looking at noninterest income kind of being in the $30 million to $32 million quarterly run rate as well, which is a bit higher than we had anticipated coming out of the third quarter.

S
Stuart Lotz
KBW

I appreciate all that detail. All right, John, Rob. And Rob, turning to the reserve release this quarter, you guys did a great job on Slide 10 of kind of diving into some of the assumptions. But I was hoping you could provide a little bit more detail the qualitative adjustments you guys had mentioned, including the vaccination rollout and kind of how that impacts your reserve levels and maybe just kind of any outlook for further reserve releases in 1Q, given the January forecast for Moody's was incrementally better than what we saw in December?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes, exactly. Yes. Thanks, Stu. So in terms of where we are at the end of the fourth quarter, as we mentioned, our loan -- our CECL modeling is very sensitive to the Virginia unemployment rate and that improved quite a bit as well as to our credit quality metrics, which continue to be -- do very well. We haven't seen an uptick in that. And then, of course, risk rating downgrades, et cetera, which we have a bit of that, but not materially this quarter. So things look good from that point of view.

In terms of the -- so the modeling, quantitative modeling suggested that we would bring the reserve down. Offsetting that is we continue to add qualitative factors, as mentioned. To give you a flavor for where we are at year-end of the $160 million of the allowance for loan losses, about $50 some-odd-million is inclusive of qualitative factors. So think about the quantitative model being overlaid with qualitative factors, so about one-third of that.

In terms of looking forward, yes, we just received the January Moody's outlook, and it's improved, again, as you noted, so we are feeling like this continued improvement here. We still haven't seen any metrics deteriorating from a credit point of view. Charge-offs continued to be low, so we could see some additional release of reserves as we move forward. We'll see how things play out.

But in terms of kind of our overall modeling, we're seeking charge-offs, again, probably in the 50 basis points range for the full year, so -- but we expect that we'll start to see that more in the second and third quarters peaking. Of course, that's all an assumption at this point. We haven't seen anything that's come through, but that's what our model would say. And then providing for, there'd be some release related as those charge-offs come through throughout the year. So, we do expect that our reserves would -- all things remain where they are today and what the outlook looks like, that you could see further releases going forward.

S
Stuart Lotz
KBW

Okay. I guess just kind of one follow-up on that. Would you -- I mean, do you expect to match charge-offs with provision and then some kind of further level of release as your consumer book runs completely off? And if we do see the credit outlook really improved throughout the year?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. My view is that we won't be matching charge-offs, but basically charge-offs were kind of already reserved for that we'd be providing for what's coming down the pike based on the portfolio at the time. So my expectation is that there will be net releases. Even though we may have charge-offs, there's still going to be net releases because provision will not offset one-for-one on the charge-off level. But again, that depends on the outcome -- the outlook continuing to be positive as we've seen so far.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Laurie Hunsicker from Compass Point. Your line is now open.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

So just staying with credit, Rob, can you give us an update on where we are with total credit size?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

I don't have the percentage right in front of me here, but it's in our release, but it's pretty low in terms of --

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Oh, I didn't see it. I'll go back and look for it.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

And then on the hotels -- your deferral return to payment trends are amazing and obviously hotels is a standout. Can you just give us a little bit more color around that growth? I mean, I have in my notes that it was primarily flagged on resort, hotels round number that is 60% LTV. Just wondered if you have more color and if you have more color in terms of what you do sell on Page 7, just those 11 months sitting on deferral for 79 million? Thanks.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Laurie, yes, we have Doug Woolley, Chief Credit Officer on. Doug, do you want to give us your perspective on the hotel portfolio?

D
Doug Woolley
Chief Credit Officer

Yes. Good morning, Laurie. The hotels are spread around the Virginia footprint and as the slide deck says, the majority of them two thirds are interest only. That's part of our re-stabilization process and support of our hoteliers. And if you also see, it's almost 90% of the hotels are off mod zoning payments, so we feel very comfortable that. The overall hotel book has got an average occupancy of 55%.

And of course, there's a bit of a standard deviation there, but that's a pretty strong performance the hoteliers. As we know are operating under much lower break even operation percentages. So for the most part that 55% shows them operating as comfortably as you can. And like most other banks are hotels that are extended stay are almost completely full all the time. So, we feel comfortable with the hotel book right now.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

And Laurie, as you know, just as a reminder or I guess for those who aren't as familiar, when you think about our hotel portfolio, Dough said it, its foot-in footprint what we don't do is, we're not doing big convention, big conference hotels, no airport hotels. We have personal guarantees that we deal with professional hoteliers who are both the owners and operators. And so, we've got our arms around this portfolio and we'll work with them as they get through this.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Okay. And then, sorry just one more question, LTV. Do you have a tighter number than the approximately 60%? Or is that what I should be using?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes, Laurie. We don't reappraise hotels. We did not reappraise hotels because of COVID. So that number is as good as any number. Obviously, hotel values have weakened. But again, as John was saying, you know, we don't non-recourse lending, we have a guarantor support in the guarantors have supported to the extent they needed to property by property. So, I think that's a comfortable LTV.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

It's a good equity buffer there.

R
Rob Gorman

Yes.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Absolutely. Okay.

R
Rob Gorman

Laure, just to get back to your earlier question, our past dues are about 39 basis points at the end of the fourth quarter, which is down from about 61 from last year's time frame, so…

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Okay. Yes. I guess I was looking for your actual credit size. I think your credit size was about $1.2 billion at September.

R
Rob Gorman

We will detail that in the 10-K. I can...

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes, that's right. That actually is not in the earnings release, but we have that -- we'll be filing the K.

R
Rob Gorman

The increases and special mention substandard had been modest, but we've seen some, but nothing alarming.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Okay, great. One last question, Rob, for you. Just -- I want to make sure I have this number right. The PPP fees received that slowed into net interest income this quarter were $15 million versus $9.9 million last quarter. Is that correct?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. That's the fee income component, right?

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Okay. So, the automatic recapture, so -- I guess if I'm looking at that then, if I just take that off of your 332 margin, forget loan accretion, I'm just looking at PPP, that's a 34 basis point impact into margins, so we're down at 288%. I mean, and I get that this number will be noisy, but I guess what I'm getting at is, we fast forward to when we don't have prepay, prepay fees coming back through, how should we be thinking about core margin? Or am I doing something wrong with my math?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. What you need to do is you've got to back out the PPP loans from your denominator because those are going away as well.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

So 1%...

R
Rob Gorman

That's how we get to the core NIM ex-PPP is $305 million. Loans, net of PPP loans, at least on average, for the quarter, we reported earning assets of $17.8 million, PPP loans average was $1.4 million, so $16.4 million. So back out the income, but you also back out the denominator as well with it.

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Okay. Okay. And then one last question on that, how much is actually remaining of PPP fees?

R
Rob Gorman

Say it, again, Laurie? You kind of...

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

How much more is remaining on the PPP?

L
Laurie Hunsicker
Compass Point

Yes. How much actually remains of the fees?

R
Rob Gorman

On that fee, we've got about $17.5 million left.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Correct.

R
Rob Gorman

That's for round one, to be clear.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. We're not talking about the second around.

R
Rob Gorman

We haven't got our knees around PPP two yet, but there should be some fees before the fees coming out of that, as you imagine, as you know.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of William Wallace from Raymond James. Your line is now open.

W
William Wallace
Raymond James

I would like to maybe dig into the expense questioning a little bit more. That 7-point -- I think it was $7.4 million of incentive comp accrual was very high. I mean its 3 or 4 times what I think what we've seen in past fourth quarters when we have adjustments. Did you all reverse accruals through the year? I mean it's not like you had a stellar loan growth year or something like that. So I'm just kind of help me think about why that accrual was so high?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. Well, one point, Wally, is we typically make a contribution to our ESOP, employee stock option plan, each year, and that is accrued for over quarters. We're choosing not to make that contribution this year due to the pandemic. And as we went through the fourth quarter, we reassessed that. So $1.2 million is kind of a full year impact for that, which would normally be accrued over four quarters.

The other component is, as we came out of third quarter, we were accruing for a full year incentive payout and profit share that was lower than what we ended up doing, and we basically had a pickup in the fourth quarter to make that hole. So think about it as our projection was too low in terms of what we accrued for in the first three quarters. And as the numbers came through in the fourth quarter, we had to adjust accordingly.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

But I think that I would point out that is a variable expense. Variable means variable. It may or may not be paid depending upon how we did. And so, in terms of what we were able to accomplish over the course of the year versus our targets, we ended up doing better than what we thought was going to happen. And so, we wanted to accrue according to our formulation.

W
William Wallace
Raymond James

So did you adjust the accruals then in March when the pandemic started because I would imagine you're below your prior budget pre-pandemic?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes, we did reduce the accruals to come back. And then as the year went on, as things look better, we increased that.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

And fourth quarter.

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. It even look better than what we had originally thought coming out of the third quarter, so we ought to adjust. And if we hadn't finished as well as we did, it would have been lower or not, but there is no guarantee it's variable.

W
William Wallace
Raymond James

No, I understand. And then you guided $88 million to $90 million, and then you ended up at $90 million to $91 million when you make adjustments for a lot of the stuff, the kind of non-recurring stuff. What caused the creep there in the quarter?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. There are various things that came through. Some of the -- as we relate to, we've been investing in some projects. Some of the consulting fees were higher. We decided to move forward on a number of projects. LIBOR transition expenses came through. We've had some external consulting help on that. We are evaluating, as I mentioned, one project is a flexible workforce project that we've got some outside helping us with, and we accrue for things like that. So it's kind of a combination of a number of different things, Wally, on that front.

W
William Wallace
Raymond James

Okay. Okay. And then obviously, you're now guiding for a higher range in 2021. Is that to assume that you've decided to move forward with some other projects that were kind of on the table in consideration?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. That's right. Yes. It's -- Wally, we've got -- again, we have several things. We can talk -- we'll talk to you later in more detail. We have some technology-enabled initiatives and things like the fraud unit. Other operational functions of the bank that do cost money upfront, but will result in savings have a return.

And again, we get a little bit of a tailwind, admittedly, as we now have this previously unexpected PPP income coming from round 2, we'd like to invest, to some degree, that in the Company, so you'll see some things that don't necessarily add to the ongoing run rate of expenses, but we're going to incur of them, be a little more front-end loaded in the year versus back-end loaded.

And then we actually think we'll have savings later on. We're very focused on improving scalability. We're very focused on implementing automation. All of these things are good investments with returns for the bank.

W
William Wallace
Raymond James

Okay. All right. I appreciate all that color. I don't know if we have time, but if so, any chance you could update us on any anecdotal or data metrics that you're measuring as it relates to Project Sundown? You referenced it multiple times throughout the Q&A and prepared remarks, any update?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Yes. We've sort of broadened that in the sense that we don't just think about the Truist merger, we also think about Wells Fargo. And I may ask Dave Ring and/or Bank President, Maria Tedesco, to comment on this. Truist has moved very slowly in terms of the rebranding. We don't expect to see Truist signs up until early 2022, although they're now moving along with branch consolidation. I think that consumer customers of Truist haven't felt too much impact yet.

On the commercial side, they absolutely have. And because they're now largely integrated and they've made the changes that they've made -- Dave, let me ask you just in terms of commentary, things that we see going on at these larger competitors, what is your take? I mean we are built to take market share from these guys for small to mid-sized businesses. We have -- we're kind of quiet about our hiring that we have been hiring out of those organizations. What do you have to say about that favoring?

D
David Ring

Sure. That's right, John. We've really spent a lot of time focused on company's experience, banks experiencing some sort of disruption, and using our PPP effort to support those companies that those banks having disruption are not serving very well. So as a result, we've been able to drive pipeline and business on companies, really between $1 million in revenue to $250 million in revenue. We don't focus very much on any companies larger than that.

And we also look at what their reorganizations, how they impact people in those organizations. And we've been able to grab top talent from not only Truist, but also Wells Fargo and a few other banks. So we've been able to find pockets in our market where there's a lot of opportunity and hire into those markets and higher into specialties. We hired two strong -- very strong bankers, one from Truist and one from Wells Fargo in our GovCon Group, for instance, and that really helps us as we move that strategy forward.

We've also been able to hire in our equipment finance practice. But overall, this year, we've hired 29 producers and to bolster where we are, but also to replace where we had kind of vacancies that we've managed. And so we think the upgraded producer group plus our strategy to focus on banks that are having disruption and using our PPP customer acquisition as another lever, we're able to continue to show growth into 2021 and 2022.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brody Preston from Stephens Inc. Your line is now open.

B
Brody Preston
Stephens Inc

Can you hear me?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

We can.

B
Brody Preston
Stephens Inc

All right. Great. So I just wanted to touch base on the loan pipeline. I'm sorry if you already talked about it, I just wanted to get a sense for how they compared to last year and more broadly in the middle of 2020 and during the pandemic?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Dave Ring, do you want to speak to that, how the pipeline looks, how we've seen it trend?

D
David Ring

Sure. That's a layup, Brody. Thank you. The pipeline has been consistent all year. Our throughput is better in our pipeline. So I guess you could say, if you were to compare the pipeline going into 2021 with the pipeline going into 2020, it's roughly 10% lower. However, the quality is better, so our throughput is actually very good. And we're spending less time with things that we don't ultimately close.

So, we have a strong pipeline when it comes to equipment finance, our C&I pipeline is strong. The one area where we have focused to reduce our pipeline a little bit as the construction and development pipelines just because we're being a little more careful in focusing on our existing clients in that asset class per se. And so, overall, pipeline is what we expected it to be going into the year, and I feel very optimistic about it.

B
Brody Preston
Stephens Inc

Okay. Great. And I guess it sounds like you still feel like the pipelines and the sort of the throughput is supportive of maybe mid- to high single-digit kind of core ex-PPP loan growth moving forward?

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Well, they were high for this year.

D
David Ring

Right, we're driving middle-single-digit, and we'd be very happy to be at the end of the year. Again, more towards the second half of the year than the first half of the year, simply because it takes a while for these things to kind of matriculate their way through to closing.

B
Brody Preston
Stephens Inc

Understood. And last one for me. Just on the margin, the core margin was -- it was down just a little bit, but the NII growth was -- the NII was nice to see, and it looked like you had some positive or I guess, maybe some stabilization really in the core loan yield. So do you feel like we're kind of nearing a real stabilization point in that core loan yield? And I guess what are core -- what are new loan originations coming on for yield? And then similarly, on the opposite side for CDs, what's the roll-on, roll-off look like there for costs?

R
Rob Gorman

Yes. Brody, this is Rob. Yes, we think we're at a stable level of core net interest margin. We exclude any PPP impacts or accretion income. We think we'll stabilize at the -- we came in about $305 million on a core margin this quarter, we expect it to kind of stabilize in that level, give or take a few basis points.

In terms of what's -- what we're pricing on loans on the commercial book, new originations, the average across various pricing variable and fixed. We came in about $340 million pricing of loans this quarter. That's down a bit from last quarter, which was around $347 million, so it has declined a bit. Our mix of new originations between LIBOR, prime-based and fixed, the LIBOR is about 38%, 20% on prime and the rest, 42% fixed.

So we haven't really seen a too much of a decline there, but we do expect that we will continue to see both loan yield compression, although stabilizing a bit, as we go forward in loans re-price, new loans come on. But also, we do expect the investment security portfolio to also have some compression in that and as we invest cash proceeds into lower than portfolio yields in the current market.

In terms of the deposit side, though, we think there's a good offset there that our cost of funds and our cost of deposits will continue to come down. The cost of deposit is about 30 basis points. We think, we'll come in, get that down to closer to 20 basis points as we go through the year. The big-ticket item there in terms of continuing to bring that down is, as I mentioned earlier, you may not have been on the call yet.

But about $1 billion of CDs are running off over the next six months, average cost is 1.5%, so those are re-pricing to the extent that we're retaining those balances, which has been pretty good, actually, about 70% is re-pricing down to 15 basis points on our 1-year no penalty CD product. So that should provide an offset some continued earning asset yields and keep core margin in that stable 3 to 3.05 range going forward.

J
John Asbury
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. We look forward to seeing and we'll be seeing you all soon and talking to you again next quarter.

Take care.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.