First Time Loading...

Concentrix Corp
NASDAQ:CNXC

Watchlist Manager
Concentrix Corp Logo
Concentrix Corp
NASDAQ:CNXC
Watchlist
Price: 64.44 USD 2.86% Market Closed
Updated: May 15, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2023 Analysis
Concentrix Corp

Strong Q4 Performance and Debt Reduction Plan

In the fourth quarter, revenue reached $2.23 billion, helped by the addition of $574 million from the Webhelp business, boosting pro forma growth to 3.5%. Notably, revenues from strategic verticals like retail and banking sectors grew by 12% and 6%. Operating income improved to $341 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin increasing to 17.8%, reflecting operational efficiencies and synergy gains from the Webhelp integration. Cash generation continued strongly with $164 million in free cash flow and a focus on reducing net debt, which stood at $4.65 billion by quarter's end. The company is on track with their debt repayment plan aiming to reach a net leverage close to 2x adjusted EBITDA within two years.

Reflecting on the Financial Landscape and Future Prospects

In the fiscal year of 2023, the reported revenue rose by 12.5%, buoyed by a substantial 9% contribution from Webhelp, a recent addition to the corporate family. This integration heralds a new era of synergistic wins that would have been unattainable by either entity alone. Operating income and adjusted EBITDA margins are marching upwards, to the tune of 14.2% and an improved 30 basis points to 16.6%, respectively, while free cash flow surged by 8% for the year. Looking ahead, 2024 is anticipated to bring revenue growth and profit amplification combined with strong cash generation and debt reduction. Moreover, the advent of Generative AI (Gen AI) is poised to cast a favorable light on revenue and margins by the latter part of 2024, spilling over into early 2025.

Operational Accomplishments and Strategic Investments Shaping the Future

The company's remarkable 36% topline growth in the reported revenues and over 3% growth on a pro forma constant currency basis in the latest quarter underscore its strategic advances. Investments in new consultative selling capabilities and strategic tools have fostered a vibrant sales pipeline worth over $0.25 billion in annual contract value. These developments complement the successful merging of Concentrix and Webhelp, creating a diversified global footprint and infusing advanced technology and solutions across vital industry verticals. The union has sparked fruitful wins and client engagements, a testament to the combined force's strategic potency.

Industry-Specific Reverberations and Emerging Technology Opportunities

Technological and consumer electronics client revenues observed modest growth, while media and other verticals saw contractions, suggestive of the complex landscape faced. Yet, the focus remains steadfast on Gen AI innovations that promise to revitalize the customer experience through intelligence-driven actions. With an expansive Gen AI project pipeline, the company is gearing up for deployment at scale, leveraging these advanced capabilities to provide a more personalized and agile response to customer needs, ultimately fueling growth and innovation in a market poised for transformation.

Solidifying Financial Stature through Improved Margins and Liquidity

Financial prudence shines as Non-GAAP operating income rises to $341 million in the quarter, while adjusted EBITDA leaps to $398 million, heralding margin improvements stemming from efficiency gains and initial synergistic effects post-acquisition. The company upholds a formidable liquidity pool of $1.71 billion coupled with an undrawn line of credit and ample securitization capacity. This robust position underlines an unwavering commitment to debt reduction, with net leverage targeted to approximately 2.5x adjusted EBITDA by year-end, underscoring the company's resilient financial framework and strategic direction.

Expectation Horizon: A Balanced Look at Growth Trajectories and Investment Focus

Looking to the quarters ahead, executives have set the revenue forecast for Q1 2024 between $2.36 billion and $2.406 billion, factoring in a constant currency growth of 1% to 3% and acknowledging currency headwinds. The full year paints a picture of continuous growth, with revenue predicted to reach between $9.51 billion and $9.70 billion and non-GAAP operating income projected between $1.39 billion and $1.45 billion. The anticipated synergy effect is a substantial $75 million in cost benefits, along with free cash flow growth of roughly 40% to surpass $700 million in 2024. This financial fortitude lays the groundwork for future leverage reduction and reaffirms the company's commitment to organic growth and capital return, neatly balancing investment and prudence.

The Art of Navigation: Client Feedback and Market Dynamics

In a world where client perspectives and market trends ebb and flow, the company finds favor in customer feedback, gaining confidence from successful outcomes and a burgeoning synergy win pipeline. Despite the highly competitive market, the company remains resilient, not predicated on significant client losses. Instead, it focuses on the vast troves of opportunities arising from uniting two powerhouses—Concentrix and Webhelp. This merger not only amplifies existing strengths but unveils new vistas of market potential that are integral to the long-term strategy of growth and differentiation.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q4

from 0
Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Concentrix Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker for today, David Stein. Please go ahead.

D
David Stein
executive

Thank you, Lisa, and good evening. Welcome to the Concentrix Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2023 Earnings Call. This call is the property of Concentrix and may not be recorded or rebroadcast without the written permission of Concentrix. This call contains forward-looking statements that address our expected future performance and that, by their nature, address matters that are uncertain. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do undertake to update our forward-looking statements as a result of new information or future expectations, events or developments. Please refer to today's earnings release in our most recent filings with the SEC for additional information regarding uncertainties that could affect our future financial results. This includes the risk factors provided in our annual report on Form 10-K and in our other public filings with the SEC.

Also during the call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, including free cash flow, non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating margin, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, non-GAAP net income, non-GAAP EPS and constant currency revenue growth. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures is available in the news release and on the company Investor Relations website under Financials.

With me on the call today are Chris Caldwell, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Andre Valentine, our Chief Financial Officer. Chris will provide a summary of our operating performance and growth strategy, and Andre will cover our financial results, business outlook. Then we'll open the call for your questions.

Now I'll turn the call over to Chris.

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Thank you very much, David. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for our fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 earnings call. It was an incredibly exciting year in which we believe we made the right investments and focus on strengthening our fundamentals. We are excited about the opportunities that are in front of us now with a larger footprint, expanded marquee client base, and more geo-diversified business with the ability to deliver advanced technical solutions at scale. Our 2023 revenue increased 12.5% on an as-reported basis, including approximately 9% from Webhelp. We are excited about the cross-selling traction that already started in the fourth quarter that while small had clients from either side of the combination generating revenue that neither company would have prior to coming together. On a non-GAAP basis, our operating income increased 14.2%, and our adjusted EBITDA margin was up 30 basis points to 16.6%. We were very pleased with our free cash flow increasing 8% for the year.

Throughout 2023, we also made great progress in evolving our solution offerings by developing multiple new intellectual property initiatives for both internal and external consumption that will allow us to be more integrated into client environments while also reducing our operating costs. A few examples of these initiatives include our internally developed [ ConcentrixCX ] product, allowing our game changers to be more productive by automating paths to built in AI and is now deployed on more than 220,000 desktops. Hitting our goal, we mentioned in Q3 of deploying to approximately 80% of our legacy operations. We continue to expand the [ ConcentrixCX ] across our new footprint and intend to upgrade the platform to Gen AI in the next 2 quarters. Our training CX suite has gone through a massive upgrade this year being rebuilt on Gen AI and training over 100,000 game changers in 2023. And is creating more intuitive and interactive engagement and accelerating their speech proficiency, a tool that has gained interest from clients to use in-house based on our results.

Our Smart Suite, which we just started to roll out is almost up to 35,000 desktops. Through real-time assisted self-coaching and faster access to personalized haulage management, the set of technologies has delivered double-digit improvement in key metrics like AHT and NPS, all built on Gen AI. These internal tools are in addition to the external cloud and software partners we have used to deliver services to our clients. All these examples continue to demonstrate our focusing a complete solutions company for our clients with a tech-first mindset, which we believe differentiates us greatly from our peer CX competitors and allows us to deliver higher value services. In 2023, our innovation and complete automation of transactions or partial processes hit an all-time high, which drives higher value to our clients and more efficiencies for us.

Turning to the fourth quarter. Our team continued to deliver excellent service for our clients while making considerable progress with the initial integration of the Webhelp business, which I'll talk about in a bit. We met several financial and operating scores in the fourth quarter, which Andre will review in more detail, but at a high level, revenue increased 36% as reported and grew over 3% on a pro forma constant currency basis in the quarter. We also delivered record fourth quarter non-GAAP operating income and adjusted EBITDA up 37% and 40%, respectively. These improvements are as a result of solid growth in Europe, Asia and Latin America with increased movement to offshore and nearshore operations as well as continued delivery efficiencies, some delivered from the tools that I highlighted earlier. I'm also pleased that we continue to grow in each of our key verticals as well as in our catalyst, B2B and specialized health care areas.

We have invested in a new strategic and consultative set of seller capabilities that will allow us to deliver our [ Sellers ] One initiative, which focuses on selling complete end-to-end transformational solutions in larger enterprise deals. With a sales pipeline that currently stands at over $0.25 billion of annual contract value created all within Q4. Clients continue to appreciate both our advanced service technologies and our extensive global reach. Our wins this quarter included a broad range of clients across verticals and delivery regions providing a full spectrum of services.

A few examples of those wins, an international money transfer company experiencing exponential growth saw a partner for high-risk compliance operations. We are now providing anti-money laundering and fraud prevention services for this client. The solution includes a European center of excellence with skilled experts and FinTech leadership. The second phase of this project will launch later this quarter, leveraging capabilities of the combined business, including advanced technology from catalyst and our Know Your Customer platform that came from Webhelp.

Our premier health -- mental health clinic faced the challenge of establishing consistent practices for customer access. We are providing a comprehensive solution involving a modern curriculum, cloud contact center services, our AnyPaaS solution, CRM integration and generative AI-driven functionality. Our solution is streamlining processes, increasing efficiency and scheduling and referrals and empowering the team to significantly enhance the overall customer experience in mental health.

Another health care management company sought best-in-class capabilities and transformative solutions to navigate the complex system for assisting members with provider selection and insurance inquiries. Within 30 days, we started to integrate the technology stack, perform the CX assessment and quality assurance review. This is helping to revolutionize and evaluate overall member experiences for the client.

Finally, an automotive manufacturer faced challenges managing multiple vendors. Our catalyst team leveraged our intelligence operational capabilities for compliance and best practices. And develop strategic IT services that implemented dashboard reporting robotic analysis solutions. The solution makes a significant step forward towards achieving higher efficiency and innovative automation within their business. Based on the reception from clients and our pipeline of opportunities that combine with capabilities of Concentrix Catalyst and our core CX operations, it is evident that our strategy is working. Our clients view the combination of deep domain expertise, digitally enabled global delivery and our ability to invest and secure adaptable, scalable technology as key differentiators. Our unique approach to intentionally infused digital technologies and analytics continues to drive sales wins.

Turning to our Webhelp transaction. This marks a significant milestone in the [ edition ] of our company. is the beginning of a new chapter, create a global market leader with a world-class platform for value creation. We now have [ her ] one of the most robust, well-balanced global footprint in the industry. The combination of the 2 companies broaden our technology and AI solutions in multiple high-value verticals, strengthening our end-to-end value proposition and adding significant new consulting, technology and operating capabilities in Europe, Latin America and Africa.

The integration of the 2 companies is progressing smoothly and is contributing as anticipated. Throughout the quarter, we achieved significant [ integration ] outcomes. Examples include the start of successful migration of over 30,000 new staff to our HR systems and starting the sales management practice and establishing the global leadership structure. We are thrilled with the talented staff and the strength of our combined execution. As I mentioned, we are already converting a growing pipeline for wins that neither company could have won without the other, and we are on track to deliver the cost synergies we discussed when we announced the combination.

Turning to fiscal 2024. In the first quarter, we expect to make progress towards achieving our synergy targets for the combination as integration activities move forward. We expect to continue to convert and ramp synergy pipeline wins as well. For the full year, we expect revenue growth, profit improvement, strong cash generation and debt reduction. We also see 2024 being a year that Gen AI will start to positively influence our revenue and margins in the later part of the year and into early 2025. While the specific timing of these advancements with AI and client adoption are still not entirely clearer, we are now confident in our ability to offer competitive solutions and see benefits from the technology. While our clients are taking time on their AI adoption, we are seeing tangible benefits with our own use cases, and we'll continue to invest -- these investments to make us more efficient and offer a higher level of service for our clients ahead of returns for the next few quarters. We see immense potential in the emerging technologies that can intelligently act on customer intent to improve the customer experience and are building out new capabilities and services to take advantage of the market as it develops.

Based on our conversations with clients and the proof of concept we're currently working on, we continue to believe that Gen AI will enhance the customer experience with human involvement versus completely automating work. Our current Gen AI pipeline includes over 140 client engagements, while the majority of these projects were moved around group of concepts, a few projects have transitioned to the run or managed services phase. The use cases that are gaining track relate mostly to our technology, allowing our game changers to be more productive and more personalized engagement specific to the end customers. A few relate to completely automated services replacing low-value work while we generate more managed services type of revenue for supporting the technology and the environment.

In summary, we have made great strides executing our strategy in 2023, making investments in acquired and organic growth and a differentiated growth model that I believe will allow us to outperform in the market. We believe that 2024 will require continued investment to ensure we are ahead of the market for further Gen AI deployments at scale.

Finally, I want to acknowledge the collective strength of the team we've built and thank them all for their adaptability and commitment to execution in the evolving industry. Their dedication and hard work has positioned us as a formidable force in the market. I also want to thank our clients for their trust, our talented Board of Directors for their support and leadership and our investors for the confidence in Concentrix. We look forward to an exciting year ahead and the continued success of our company.

Now I will turn the call over to Andre. Andre?

A
Andre Valentine
executive

Thank you, Chris, and hello, everyone. I'll begin with a look at our financial results for the fourth quarter and then discuss our business outlook for fiscal year 2024. I'm pleased to report that our revenue and profitability metrics [ now we ] met but exceeded our Q4 guidance. Free cash flow also remained strong, allowing for substantial debt reduction in the fourth quarter.

Fourth quarter revenue was $2.23 billion, which included $574 million added by the Webhelp business for the last 2 months of the quarter. We will not be separately reporting Webhelp performance going forward as we are now managing the business on an integrated basis. On a pro forma basis, as if the Webhelp combination was completed at the beginning of the fourth quarter, revenue for the quarter was $2.42 billion, resulting in pro forma constant currency growth of approximately 3.5%. As anticipated, the contribution from the legacy business came in at the low end of our prior full year guide and the Webhelp business contributed faster growth. Revenue increases with clients in our 4 strategic verticals more than offset some volume softness with a few clients. On a pro forma basis, revenue from retail, travel and e-commerce clients grew 12% in the quarter. Pro forma revenue from banking, financial services and insurance clients grew 6%.

Healthcare client revenue grew 5% on a pro forma basis, Revenue from technology and consumer electronics clients grew by 1% on a pro forma basis as growth with several clients was offset by continued softer volumes with a large consumer electronics client.

Continuing trends from earlier in the year, pro forma revenue from communications and media clients decreased by 3% and revenue from clients in our other vertical decreased 6%. While we grew on a pro forma basis with 14 of our 20 largest clients [ soccer binds ] with a handful of consumer electronics, retail, e-commerce and communications clients remained a headwind.

Turning to profitability. Non-GAAP operating income was $341 million in the fourth quarter, up $93 million compared with last year. Our non-GAAP operating margin was 15.3%, up 20 basis points from the fourth quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $398 million, up $113 million compared with last year. Our adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.8%, up 40 basis points from last year. This margin progress reflects profit flow-through on revenue growth efficiency gains across our operations and early attainment of synergies from the Webhelp combination. On a pro forma basis, as if the Webhelp transaction had closed at the beginning of the prior year's fourth quarter, profitability metrics would have been as follows: non-GAAP operating income of $365 million, up $22 million compared with last year. Non-GAAP operating margin of 15.1%, 50 basis points from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA of $429 million, up $28 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.8% and up 70 basis points from last year.

The large swing in our reported other expense line in the quarter was mostly due to items associated with the Webhelp combination. These included a $16 million increase in the fair value of [ net ] share consideration related to the combination and $13 million in net foreign currency losses. We believe that these items do not reflect the underlying health of our operations and future changes in the fair value of contingent share consideration and foreign currency movements are not predictable.

Accordingly, we have adjusted our non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS metrics to exclude these items. Going forward, our reporting of non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS exclude the change in fair value of contingent share consideration related to Webhelp combination and net foreign currency gains and losses. We believe that this change removed confusion in the reported non-GAAP net income and EPS results and more closely aligns our reporting with investors' expectations. This measure is also on a consistent basis with how we provided non-GAAP EPS guidance for the fourth quarter. The presentation for all prior periods has been updated to reflect this change.

Non-GAAP net income was $213 million in the quarter compared with $146 million last year. Non-GAAP EPS was $3.36 per share compared with $2.80 per share last year. GAAP results for the fourth quarter of 2023 included $40 million in expenses related to the combination and integration, $97 million in amortization of intangibles, $24 million in share-based compensation expense. A $16 million change in the fair value of contingent share consideration, $13 million in net foreign currency losses and $3 million in imputed interest related to the seller's note issued in connection with the combination.

Turning to cash flow. Cash generation from operations in the fourth quarter totaled $229 million and capital expenditures were $65 million. This resulted in free cash flow of $164 million, including $40 million of transaction and integration costs related to the combination. This is within our guidance range for the quarter, which excluded the transaction integration costs. For the full year 2023, we achieved our expectation of more than $500 million in free cash flow, excluding transaction integration costs associated with Webhelp. Moving forward, we expect capital expenditures to be approximately 2.5% of revenue.

Our GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates were 10% and 21%, respectively in the fourth quarter. This was lower than expected due to onetime items that changed the geographic mix of our income, reducing our exposure to certain minimum taxes and allowing us to use more net operating loss carry for us than we anticipated. Our non-GAAP tax rate for the full year was 24%.

Turning to the balance sheet. At the end of the fourth quarter, cash and cash equivalents were $295 million, and total debt was of $4.94 billion. Net debt was $4.65 billion at the end of the fourth quarter. The gross debt balance included $2.15 billion of senior unsecured notes $1.9 billion outstanding on our term loan, the $762 million seller's note and $129 million of borrowings under our AR securitization facility. And as reported net of debt issuance costs and discounts. Our gross debt of $4.94 billion at the end of the year represents a reduction of nearly $300 million is the close of the combination. As we use free cash flow and a reduction of cash on the balance sheet to pay down debt.

By year-end, we had reduced net debt by approximately $150 million after the combination closed. We reduced net leverage, which stood at 3.2x pro forma adjusted EBITDA at combination close at 3.0x by year-end. We did this in addition to continuing an active program for capital return. Our strong free cash flow generation and adjusted EBITDA growth gives us a clear path to reduce leverage further and we're committed to our plan to reduce net leverage to close to 2x adjusted EBITDA within 2 years of the close of the combination.

Regarding our capital allocation priorities, our focus remains on organic growth, the continued integration of Webhelp, realizing planned synergies and repaying debt. Consistent with our commitment to investment-grade principles, we will prioritize paying down debt and regain that leverage while continuing our dividend and disciplined share repurchases.

During the fourth quarter, we paid $21 million through our annual -- quarterly dividend, I should say, of [ $0.3025 ] per share. We also repurchased 286,000 shares of our stock for approximately $23 million. At an average price of approximately $79 per share. For the full year, we paid $64 million in dividends and made $81 million in share repurchases. At year-end, the remaining authorization on our share repurchase plan was approximately $290 million. We've continued to repurchase shares in the first quarter of 2024 with repurchases totaling approximately $11 million quarter-to-date. At year-end, our liquidity remained strong at $1.71 billion, including our $1.04 billion line of credit, which is undrawn, cash on hand, and the additional capacity of $371 million on our AR securitization. Our strong balance sheet and cash flow generation provides significant flexibility for the future.

Now I'll turn my attention to the business outlook for the first quarter and full year 2024. To help with full year comparisons on a go-forward basis, we have published quarterly pro forma revenue figures to help model future year performance. These figures demonstrate how the combined business would have performed at the transaction that closed at the beginning of 2023. The pro forma data is available in our historical metrics file, which can be accessed on our Investor Relations website. For the first quarter, we expect revenue to be in the range of $2.36 billion to $2.406 billion based on current exchange rates. This reflects approximately 1% to 3% pro forma constant currency growth and approximately 1.1% exchange rate headwind. Pro forma revenue was $2.36 billion in the first quarter of 2023.

In terms of profitability, in the first quarter, we expect non-GAAP operating income in the range of $315 million to $325 million. At the midpoint of our guidance, this equates to non-GAAP operating income margin of approximately 13.4%, an increase of 10 basis points over the prior year and 40 basis points on a pro forma basis. On a pro forma basis, non-GAAP operating income was $307 million in the first quarter of 2023. Our non-GAAP EPS expectations for the first quarter in a range of $2.51 per share to $2.65 per share. The calculation of this metric is consistent with the approach that I described earlier. As is typical in our business, we expect first quarter free cash flow to be approximately breakeven and for free cash flow to ramp up meaningfully in the second quarter. We expect interest expense in the first quarter to be approximately $79 million excluding $4 million of imputed interest on the seller's note. We expect an effective tax rate of approximately 26% to 27%. We expect a weighted average diluted share count of approximately 65.8 million shares.

Consistent with prior periods, our non-GAAP diluted EPS calculation follows the 2 class method. Allocating earnings between common stock and participating securities. For the first quarter, we estimate that about 4% of net income will be attributable to participating securities, and about 96% of total net income will be attributable to common shares.

Moving to our outlook for the entire year. We expect 2024 revenue to be in the range of $9.51 billion to $9.70 billion for the full year. This reflects approximately 1% to 3% pro forma constant currency growth and our revenue expectations net of a 70 basis point exchange rate headwind. Pro forma revenue was $9.49 billion for the full year 2023. Our full year profitability expectations include non-GAAP operating income in a range of $1.39 billion to $1.45 billion. At the midpoint of the range, this equates to a non-GAAP operating margin of 14.8%, an increase of 60 basis points over the prior year and 90 basis points on a pro forma basis. Our guidance for the full year reflects our confidence in achieving our year 1 synergy target of $75 million. For context, our current achieved net synergy run rate is approximately $55 million on an annualized basis.

Pro forma non-GAAP operating income was $1.32 billion for the full year 2023. Our non-GAAP EPS expectations for the full year are in the range of $11.09 per share to $12.50 per share. We expect full year interest expense to be approximately $295 million. Excluding $16 million of imputed interest on the seller's note an effective tax rate of approximately 26% to 27% and a weighted average diluted share count of approximately 65.6 million shares.

In calculating non-GAAP diluted EPS attributable to common shares for the full year, we expect approximately 96% of total net income will be attributable to common shares. In terms of cash flow, we expect another strong year with free cash flow growing by approximately 40% to over $700 million in 2024, inclusive -- inclusive of acquisition and integration costs. This has positioned us to further reduce our net leverage to approximately 2.5x adjusted EBITDA by year-end, assuming no further acquisitions. We remain committed to reducing our net leverage to close to 2x adjusted EBITDA within 2 years after the close of the combination. Our business outlook does not include any future acquisitions or impacts from future foreign currency fluctuations.

In closing, we had a very successful year with strong revenue growth, margin expansion and free cash flow generation. We're excited about the combination with Webhelp, which has joined 2 leading CX providers into global platform for growth and value creation. We believe our range and global reach of high-value services and digital capabilities creates a unique customer engagement offering that will keep our business resilient through business cycles. We look forward to another year of growth and value creation.

With that, operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. The first question that we have for today is from Joseph Vafi of Canaccord.

J
Joseph Vafi
analyst

Guys, good afternoon. Nice to see strong results here for the end of the year. Just wanted to maybe drill down a little bit on your guidance philosophy here for the coming fiscal year. And any assumptions you have on changes in the macro relative to where you are on that revenue guide? And then I'll have a quick follow-up.

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Sure, Joe, it's Chris. Now I'll pass to Andre if he's got a follow-up comments. The way we look at 2024 evolving is similar to 2023. We don't expect there to be a sort of seasonal peak in Q4. We expect retail and e-commerce continuing to be somewhat muted, primarily driven by the macroeconomic conditions. Similar with consumer electronics, we're seeing that as relatively muted. And so we see it as being that consistency through the course of the year. We do see us being able to deploy more of our generative AI solutions internally through the course of the year that will add to some better productivity gains. But as we've called out, kind of investing that into, frankly, winning the business, doing more transformation, and building out more tools because we do think that this year, we'll start to see a bit more of an inflection point near the end of the year for client solutions. That will mute a bit of growth, but that's more of the back half of the year is the way we are looking at it.

J
Joseph Vafi
analyst

Got it. And then -- and maybe you could compare and contrast maybe the cadence of momentum between kind of core Concentrix and then Webhelp. I know they're kind of integrating so it may be harder to do at this point, but how -- is there a way to kind of give us a little more color into those 2 sides of the business?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes. Joe, it's pretty integrated even now as we speak as we talked about with [ vary ] more deals. What I'll tell you is that the Webhelp business has brought us more kind of nearshore and offshore capabilities for our Europe business. And so clearly, our goal over the next year is to drive more business into higher profit nearshore and offshore regions than sort of Continental Europe for some of the business that we're doing. The Webhelp business also brings us more e-commerce clients that are -- and travel clients within the market, and that's a global comment, clients in Latin America and Europe in those categories.

And frankly, that has been a fairly successful high-growth area for us. And so that's like to be -- and then lastly, in some of the newer capabilities that we're bringing on board, like the AML and KYC activity that we called out as some of the wins that we've got -- we expect to see some good wins from that. But the general like-for-like core business is very, very, very similar. It really brings us the additional footprint and in additional market clients that we were after.

A
Andre Valentine
executive

Yes, I think it's fair Joe to say that when we acquired Webhelp, it was growing faster than Concentrix, I think in our guidance, that continues and it certainly helped by the fact that unlike the Concentrix business, Webhelp did not have much of a presence in North America where we do see some pressure given higher costs and clients' desire to drive costs down through automating transactions or looking for nearshore or offshore alternatives to onshore North American services.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our next question will be coming from Vincent Colicchio of Barrington Research.

V
Vincent Colicchio
analyst

Yes, Chris, congrats on a good quarter. I'm curious how significant are the renter synergies that are baked into your guidance?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes. To be quite honest, Vince, they are quite conservative. We -- as we talked when we announced the deal, we did not count on revenue synergies that was sort of additional extra. We were more focused on getting from cost synergy perspective as we looked at the numbers.

What I would tell you is that normally, it takes 6 to 8 months before we start to see real kind of material opportunities that come from bringing 2 businesses together. We were very happy and surprised that we got a few small deals done within the fourth quarter, but I wouldn't overread into that. I still think it's sort of that 6- to 8-month window before it becomes more material, and we haven't really looked at that within our guide for the year.

V
Vincent Colicchio
analyst

And then have you baked in -- do you have any concerns about client losses due to increased revenue concentration? I know there was a lot of overlap between the 2 firms.

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes, there wasn't a lot of overlap between the 2 firms, which is what really interested. We haven't had any feedback from clients that we're over in-depth any of them. In fact, a few that we thought we were going to be touching that threshold actually, we've done well with in terms of finding new opportunities. So that hasn't been a concern at all so far, we don't see anything on the horizon.

V
Vincent Colicchio
analyst

And last one for me. You had referred to leveraging AI for productivity purposes is the main driver for you and you're not seeing it as a labor substitute. Could you give us your latest thoughts on the latter?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes, for sure. So we've got a lot of POCs in place with clients, well over 140 and that's sort of growing on a weekly, monthly basis. And what we're finding is that clients are very hesitant, not to say that this won't change. I'm very hesitant to have fully automated Gen AI solutions, I'll call it, in the while dealing with customers with no human intervention or no human checks. And there's a lot of reasons for that, we can go through, but that's still the overwhelming sentiment. And so where people are looking at it to drive the best benefit is where it's hoping whether their staff, our staff, the enterprise stuff, be more productive and being able to build a differentiated personal service to the customers that they're engaging with. That's where we see sort of the big point. And every time we talk about sort of some things that are fully automated, we tend to get the clients are saying, no, that's not where we're at right at the moment. That's well down the pipe. And so we are not only building the tools internally for ourselves because we're seeing the benefit but that's where we're also seeing clients focus their efforts is kind of making theirselves better and more productive than sort of complete automation work.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our next question will be coming from [ Divya ] of Scotiabank.

U
Unknown Analyst

I just wanted to build on to this AI question. So you talked about the proof of concepts that you're deploying with the clients and trying to assess the productivity gains. Have you been in what sort of internal deployments are you looking at or considering? And do you think that can broadly bring the productivity gains within the organization? And help you with an improved operating margin?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes, we do. I mean we see a lot more tools that we can build internally to drive better productivity across our enterprise. And what we're seeing is that where we can either get information, large quantities [ missions ] like health care, like banking, wealth management, even very complicated tech support, even complex case management problem and transportation, where we can take huge quantities of information and boil it down and put it into a personalized format and deliver it to a customer, there's big productivity gains that we're seeing within that base. Then if you looked at how we could actually take the interactions and then analyze the interactions and provide feedback back to our game changers that the name call our staff is that the productivity and uniqueness that we can [ blur ] to each individual is something that, frankly, we couldn't do in the past without scaling up significant number more of QA, labor coaches and everything else that goes along with it. So we see some really, really, really big benefits from that perspective.

And in terms of complete automation, we talked about we have a few that we've put in place that are complete automated Gen AI experiences. They're on very, very small LOMs. They're very controlled LOMs. And what we're seeing is our revenue model is we're providing managed services. We're providing the data ingestion. We're providing the management of the -- and the clients are very cautious about putting them on small transactional queues and really, really, really can fold in lockdowns and there's no hallucinations, nothing goes, very good growth.

As a small [ fees ], there's not as much productivity that you get, but it's definitely something that we're continuing to for.

U
Unknown Analyst

That's helpful, Chris. Maybe I'll ask another question, and I know you spoke about it at the time you announced the [ app ] acquisition. But now that the company has been quite for almost a quarter and you've been obviously integrating it, what are some of the key growth geographies that you see? And then I wanted to further kind of understand how the broader LatAm integration going? And do you see significant upside coming from the LatAm integration in the short term given the growth being discussed gross LatAm region in general?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes, for sure. So just kind of set the stage a little bit. The Concentrix business was growing faster in Asia and Europe than it was in North America. And we felt that we were underperforming in Latin America. One of the things that we're really excited about was that give us faster growth market in Europe with the Web Pulp combination. We are combining with a very, very, very strong team within Latin America and then our Asia team continues to perform very well, as Andre called out.

So from a faster growth geography perspective, nearshore, Europe, in Africa is kind of higher growth, ever of avenues for us and more profitable growth than what we were able to achieve since we just didn't have that footprint.

From a Latin American combination perspective, very, very, very strong execution team in Latin America now with the combination of the 2 businesses coming together. And we see the growth not only in new opportunities taking from North America into Latin American markets but also in some domestic Latin American markets that we've historically done very well. And together, we think we'll do even better in say Brazil, [ San ] Colombia, in a few other markets, Mexico, that we now have the ability to do both that engagement business as well as the global business from the nearshore market within North America. So quite excited from that perspective. That's great if I was just

A
Andre Valentine
executive

Yes, I was going to add, Chris, some really strong technology capabilities, frankly, digital capabilities in that LatAm team that are very, very key to helping us grow that domestic market practice throughout Latin America. So just another great thing that we found in Latin America as you brought the 2 businesses together.

U
Unknown Analyst

That's helpful, Andre. Just one last question here. On the pricing environment. So over the last few quarters, there has been this increased consolidation, obviously, we've had some concentric consolidated. Do you see any significant scale benefits? And has that -- have you seen a significant change in the pricing environment given the broader macro and how things have trended?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes. That's a good question. I'd answer by saying that right now, the market is quite competitive. And what we're seeing is on top of every client's mind is reducing costs. And to them, that is total cost of ownership, some of them say simply a pricing exercise. And we are seeing competitors in some commodity work and some kind of higher volumes, easier to move work being very, very, very aggressive from a pricing perspective. What we're not seeing that is in some of the higher work that we're doing, where there's more technology, more integrated services to be done. But overall, it's a very, very competitive market right now is what we're seeing.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from la Ruplu Bhattacharya of Bank of America.

R
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analyst

For the first one, Chris, can I ask you about the general operating environment. Can you talk about deal sizes, the sales cycle? And you haven't -- I don't think you mentioned the new economy client growth. I mean if you can talk about that? And what really has changed in the last 90 days from an operational standpoint?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

So a couple of things, Rob. Just in terms of timing of deals, the standard deals that we're doing, there's really been no change in timing. They tend to follow the same pattern that we've seen for the last number of quarters. Obviously, we're focusing on some of the big transformational deals that we talked about. We've formed a new team around sort of the big deals. We expect those to take a lot longer. Historically, they can take a fair bit longer, but they're stickier, longer-term contracts. and, frankly, more profitable. And so certainly, we're putting more effort into that.

What we are seeing in the marketplace is that wins, as we've talked about for probably the last couple of quarters, tend to come in at the volume that we were expecting and stayed closer to that volume versus growing. And that tends to be more driven by the macroeconomic conditions, right? People are moving to us as they're getting a change or a differentiated level of service. And their business is not as growing as fast as it was in a very robust economy. And so we're seeing those deals come in and probably growing a little slower than what you would have seen 1 year, 2 years out from that perspective.

The only other kind of comment I'll make just in terms of new economy is we're seeing new economy win business kind of all in line with everything else, right? It's a little higher here and there. So some of the e-commerce that we talked about we follow that category on the travel [ would ] be in the new economy category. And so we're seeing that continue to grow a little faster. But with FinTech and health care new economy companies and few other companies like that tend to be following a lot of the general macroeconomic conditions of their of their enterprise peers in the last quarter. And that's probably a little different than what we saw a couple of quarters ago.

R
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analyst

Okay. All right. Let me ask a question to Andre. For fiscal '24, Andre, you're guiding low single digits, so 1% to 3% year-on-year growth on a pro forma basis. If Webhelp is growing much faster than the base Concentrix business, mean is it reasonable for us to think that most growth is coming from Web help? Or do you expect the core Concentrix business to also grow year-on-year? And if you can also even cater on the Catalyst business, is that doing year-on-year? And when do you expect to get to corporate average growth for the catalyst business?

A
Andre Valentine
executive

Sure. So the Concentrix business is growing on a year-over-year basis at each point of our guide. However, across our guidance, I would say, Webhelp is growing faster at each of those points, both at the low end, the midpoint and high end of the range. As for Catalyst, Catalyst has reached a level of stability where it is growing -- it is growing really in line with the rest of the business and actually poised to grow maybe a little bit faster than the rest of the business in 2024. So we feel good about that. Again, we're not seeing the large transformational deals that we've talked about. We've talked about this for a few quarters. We're not seeing large transformational deals there, but a number of opportunities to do smaller projects and drive good results for clients and growth for the business.

R
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analyst

Okay. Thanks for the clarification there, Andre. Chris, if I can come back to you, I mean, I think in the prepared remarks, you said 2024 will be the year that Gen AI will positively influence revenues maybe in the latter part of the year and into 2025. I mean -- so I guess my question to you would be -- is that correct? And if it is, then what's giving you confidence that the revenue impact will actually be positive from generative AI because you kind of have to balance some volume going away because of AI, but then you could get higher-level work. So can you just give us your thought process on how you're thinking about this revenue impact in 2024 and 2025.

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

Yes, for sure, Ruplu. It's a great question. I think there's 2 things that we look at. First, when we've now been at this sort of 1.5 year give or take, with clients looking at POCs and actually getting them in. And frankly, we've been spending a lot of this in our own time and kind of codeveloping with clients, et cetera, et cetera. It hasn't meaningfully put anything into from a revenue perspective. And so it's been not a drag, but it's just been an investment that we've been making. And we start to see near the beginning of 2024 where there's enough momentum that we think these things will start to go into more production that where it's chargeable that we'll start to see [ more target ] we'll start to see some of the benefits of that. And in , we are seeing where we're driving revenue, and we're starting to develop all these new levels of service for generative AI. Whether it's from different types of content, [ agent ] management, whether it be from how we implement the MLMs, whether it be from how we manage the LOMs, whether it be from kind of the allocation of the data, whether it be from the analytics and supporting the application layer that integrates into it and then running it because you have to continue to tune these elements. We're starting to see all these new opportunities for revenue coming out that will offset some of the decline that you'll get from people be more productive with the technology being put in place. And so we now have enough kind of test cases and data that we can start to extrapolate and start to see, okay, we see how this works.

Now let me we talk about the fact that the visibility is a little light is that we still have clients who generally are looking at this and POCs are okay, but there's still a lot of hesitation for adoption, full scale where you're going to see sort of probably a bigger inflection point. We do think that will come. I think it's a matter of time. But we'll start to see, I think, early signs within sort of the back half of 2024 to early 2025.

R
Ruplu Bhattacharya
analyst

Okay. I'm going to try and squeeze one more in, if I can. So you're doing the Webhelp integration, and you said that the focus is going to be on debt reduction the next 2 years. How should we think about your propensity for future M&A in these 2 years or in 2024. You do -- I mean, do you add something you're going to consider? And if so, what are the metrics? What size? What are you looking for? And if you can just give any thoughts on inorganic growth in the near term.

A
Andre Valentine
executive

Sorry, yes. Yes. So, Ruplu, the real focus is on paying the debt. And so I don't think we would say never as it related to smaller or tuck-in type M&A. Obviously, we want to keep investing in the business. But anything that we do will be consistent with the investment-grade principles that we've outlined and our desire to get that net leverage close to 2x within the 2-year period of post-transaction close.

So what would we look what would we look to acquire? I think it would be, again, a tuck-in nature could be domain expertise, technological expertise in a certain area. But again, it would be relatively small and not something of scale such as what we've done with Webhelp. Chris, anything you want to add there?

C
Christopher Caldwell
executive

No, I agree as we've talked about, it's really about the main expertise. It's about technology, and that's about furthering our differentiated value proposition. And so we're focused on kind of making sure that we keep to our investment-grade principles and enhancing the business if we have the opportunities from an M&A perspective when there is.

Operator

Thank you. And there are no more questions in the queue. So this does conclude today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.