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Cepton Inc
NASDAQ:CPTN

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Cepton Inc
NASDAQ:CPTN
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Price: 3.125 USD 3.14%
Updated: May 8, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2023 Analysis
Cepton Inc

Company Sees Significant Revenue Growth in 2023

The company reported $13.1 million in 2023 revenue, surging 76% year-over-year and surpassing its own forecast. Gross margin was maintained at 27%, with GAAP operating expenses at $54.3 million, excluding certain costs. The firm posted a full-year GAAP net loss of $48.5 million, non-GAAP net loss stood at $38.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA was a negative $41.2 million. Cash reserves were solid at $56.4 million. No guidance for 2024 was provided.

Financial Performance in 2023

In 2023, the company experienced a widening in GAAP net loss, reporting $48.5 million, or a loss of $3.08 per share, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $38.9 million, or $2.47 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was reported as a negative $41.2 million for the full year. The fourth quarter specifically saw a non-GAAP net loss of $6.4 million, with an adjusted EBITDA totaling negative $7.1 million. Despite these losses, total revenue for the year was $13.1 million, which marked a significant 76% increase from the previous year, surpassing the guidance provided earlier. Gross margin settled at 27%, and the company ended the year with approximately $56.4 million in cash and short-term investments.

Business Development Insights

The company is actively engaging in a competitive process with a top 10 Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) without exclusivity and did not receive information on the number of competitors involved in the process. Concerns within the industry around the longevity of LiDAR companies are becoming more apparent, influencing OEM decision-making.

Discussion on Contracts and Production Timelines

Internal discussions and processes have been influenced by an indication of interest from Koito, which has been seen as a positive sign in the industry given the concern about the durability of LiDAR companies. Production timelines for the RFQs and awards are expected to commence from 2026 to 2028. The company is also rigorously trying to recover investments made in programs that have been rescaled, acknowledging that these investments are a nontrivial proportion of operating expenses from the past 3 to 4 years.

Competitive Dynamics and Project Updates

As the company vies for various projects in the LiDAR landscape, competition remains intense. However, the addition of a Chinese LiDAR company to a restricted entity list has marginally reduced the competition landscape in specific arenas the company competes in. Furthermore, the company has continued significant shipments for the smart tolling project in Q4, supporting expansion efforts in the U.S. and bidding on international opportunities, highlighting this as an active market sector.

Operational Expenditure Outlook

In terms of operating expenses (OpEx), there are no expectations for an increase at this stage, suggesting that OpEx in 2024 will likely be lower than 2023 numbers.

Forward-Looking Statements

The company's management expressed optimism about 2024, looking forward to a year anticipated to bring new products, projects, and technology advancements. They hinted at forthcoming updates that could provide a clearer picture of the company's trajectory.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q4

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Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Q4 and Full Year 2023 Cepton Business Update and Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Dennis Chang, Interim CFO. Thank you, Dennis. You may begin.

D
Dong Chang
executive

Thank you, and welcome to Cepton's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Call and Business Update. With me today are Jun Pei, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer; and Mitch Hourtienne, Chief Commercial Officer. During the call, we may refer to our unaudited GAAP and non-GAAP measures in our earnings release. The non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Reconciliations for non-GAAP measures are included in our earnings release. I would like to remind everyone that comments made in this conference call may include forward-looking statements regarding the company's expected operational and financial performance for future periods. These statements are based on the company's current expectations and are subject to the safe harbor statements relating to forward-looking statements contained in our earnings release and the presentation slides that accompany this call. Actual results for future periods may differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to a number of risks, uncertainties or other factors, including those discussed in the earnings release or during today's call and those described in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We are not undertaking any commitment to update these statements as a result of future events, except as required by law. As a quick reminder, this call is being recorded, and you can find the earnings release and presentation slides that accompany this call as well as the webcast replay of this call at www.investors.cepton.com. Now I would like to turn the call over to Jun.

J
Jun Pei
executive

Thank you, Dennis, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining Cepton's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Call. We will provide a business update and review our financial results with you. There's quite a bit of news though within the industry these past few months, and specifically regarding Cepton. First, I'd like to congratulate our team on exceeding our FY '23 revenue guidance with a record $13.1 million in recorded revenue and preparing us for growth with the launch of our new LiDAR product, Cepton Ultra at CES 2024. These are 2 major accomplishments that keeps us at the forefront of this industry. First, on our latest long-range LiDAR product, Cepton Ultra demonstrated at CES 2024. Cepton Ultra or Ultra represents a Pinnacle in LiDAR technology, boasting a remarkable long detection range of up to 300 meters at 10% reflectivity. Ultra-high-resolution with software definable regions of interest and the distinction of being the world's slimmest adaptive long-range LiDAR. This design enables seamless integration into various vehicle locations, maintaining esthetic appeal and reducing aerodynamic impact. At its core, Cepton Ultra leverages our next-generation imaging technology, MagnoSteer, alongside with a proprietary chipset SoC to significantly enhance point cloud quality while minimizing cost, footprint and power consumption. This strategic blend of advanced features is designed to deliver an optimal balance of performance, cost and reliability, making Ultra not just a technological marvel, but also a viable solution for mass market adoption across automotive, smart infrastructure and various other applications. Moving on to a piece of industry news that creates significant opportunity and competitive edge for Cepton. In a significant development that has considerable implications for the global LiDAR industry, a prominent Chinese LiDAR company on January 25, 2024, was added to the 1260H list of Chinese military companies by the U.S. government. This designation, which highlights entities believed to be affiliated with the Chinese military and defense sectors has underscored the complexities and risks associated with American business engaging in partnerships or transactions with firms listed under such a category. This development has prompted many U.S. corporations to reassess their supply chain strategies and partnerships aiming to mitigate risks associated with compliance, geopolitical tensions and national security concerns. We believe this event is a significant opportunity and a catalyst for growth for our company. As the stakeholders and partners in the industry seek alternatives to navigate away from the potential risks posed by sourcing from entities on the 1260H list. Cepton as a U.S. company has emerged as a viable and secure partner and a supplier for LiDAR. This shift not only highlights our commitment to adhering to international regulations and safeguarding our operations from geopolitical uncertainties, but also reinforces our position as a trusted leader in the LiDAR technology sector. Our competitive advantage to offer reliable LiDAR supply amidst these challenging times has further solidified our market presence and opened new avenues for growth and collaboration. Lastly, I want to briefly touch upon some recent news on the GM series production cancellation and a letter of indication from our Tier 1 partner and shareholder, Koito manufacturing, which were both disclosed in more details in our Form 8-K. On December 11, 2023, Koito informed us that the original equipment manufacturer that awarded Koito, the Series production award has decided to rescope its ADAS product offerings. And as a result, all outstanding purchase orders from Koito to the company that relate to the series production award have been canceled. As is customary, when an automotive program changes, Cepton initiated actions to secure project investment cost recovery related to any delay or cancellation of an existing program. On December 21, 2023, we announced that we have received a nonbinding proposal from Koito to acquire 100% of the outstanding shares of Cepton not currently owned by Koito. Cepton's Board of Directors via a special committee is currently evaluating the indication of interest among other strategic options with assistance from financial and legal advisers. No assurance can be given that a definitive transaction with respect to Koito's indication of interest or any other potential transaction will eventually be consummated. As we have discussed in prior quarters, we are continuing to build our business and delivered yet another record setting quarter for revenue. Cepton remains steadfast in pursuing opportunities in automotive and remains in a good position to win additional series production award with sourcing decisions on the horizon. With that, I'll turn it over to Mitch for details on our efforts with customer programs.

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Thank you, Jun. Since our last earnings call, Cepton has received a dramatic increase of attention from the automotive industry. In part due to the macro events against Chinese LiDAR companies mentioned previously, but more importantly, the launch and demonstration of our new Ultra product. Specifically, we have made significant strides with a top 10 global automotive OEM. Previously mentioned is one of the industry's top open RFQs. Our recent demonstrations of the B samples of our Ultra product have been a game changer in advancing this particular automotive RFQ as well as accelerating discussions with other top automotive OEMs. Furthermore, our in-depth collaboration with Koito as an automotive supply titan has become one of the top driving factors for automotive OEMs to consider the Cepton-Koito solution over other competing solutions. The go-to-market strategy of Seton with Koito as our Tier 1 partner is starting to become an obvious and sustainable winning combination for customers as they solidify their first mass production launches using LiDAR technology. Of course, we have seen some false starts, delays and rescoping as car companies refine their adoption of this new technology. But it is clear that LiDAR is not going away. It's just a matter of time before several OEMs safely launch new ADAS systems, incorporating the tremendous advantages that LiDAR provides. Having a supplier, which can sustain this launch learning curve is becoming paramount to OEM sourcing decisions. Next, Cepton recently filed an 8-K disclosing the notification of an OEM series production award. Today, we're not able to disclose any more details on this project outside of those disclosed in the 8-K, but they will be forthcoming soon as we work together with the OEM and Koito public announcements. In addition to our recent automotive developments, I'm pleased to highlight significant progress we made with a major autonomous industrial vehicles OEM using our near-range LiDAR, Nova in Q4 of 2023. During the quarter, Cepton passed a significant gate review with this early adopter of our near-range LiDAR technology, and we've advanced to the final preproduction phase of this project in 2024 with expected mass production launch in 2025. With this milestone in hand and in partnership with Koito, we now have several other OEMs, including shuttle OEMs, heavy equipment manufacturers and smart infrastructure customers with greater interest and higher demand for our near-range LiDAR product in 2024. 2024 will be a decisive year for continued LiDAR adoption across the automotive landscape. With our new product, Ultra and our deepens partnership with Koito, we are poised to capture market share in this key inflection point of adoption. Now I'll turn it back over to Dennis.

D
Dong Chang
executive

Thank you, Mitch. Starting with our fourth quarter. Total revenue for the quarter was $5.0 million, an increase of 214% compared to the prior year period and up 29% compared to our previous quarter. The increase for the quarter was evenly contributed by product revenue and development revenue. Fourth quarter 2023, GAAP net loss was $8.3 million or $0.52 loss per share, basic and diluted. Fourth quarter 2023 non-GAAP net loss was $6.4 million or $0.41 loss per share, basic and diluted. Fourth quarter 2023 adjusted EBITDA was a negative $7.1 million. Now on to our full year 2023 results. Total revenue for 2023 was $13.1 million, an increase of 76% compared to the prior year and above the full year 2023 revenue guidance provided in our third quarter 2023 earnings release. We achieved full year gross margin of 27%. Our full year GAAP operating expenses were $54.3 million, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and nonrecurring loss on impairment of property and equipment. Our non-GAAP operating expenses were well below the $50 million we communicated in our third quarter 2023 earnings release. Full year GAAP net loss was $48.5 million or $3.08 loss per share, basic and diluted. Full year non-GAAP net loss was $38.9 million or $2.47 loss per share, basic and diluted. And the full year adjusted EBITDA was a negative $41.2 million. As of December 31, 2023, we had approximately $56.4 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. Lastly, we're not offering 2024 guidance at this time. We expect to provide an update on the full year guidance at our Q1 earnings call. And with that, I'd like to open up the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Shadi Mitwalli with Craig-Hallum.

S
Shadi Mitwalli
analyst

This is Shadi Mitwalli on for Richard Shannon. I have a question regarding the final round of sourcing with the top 10 OEM. Can you give any details whether this is an exclusive or competitive process?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Yes, Shadi, this is Mitch Hourtienne, Chief Commercial Officer. Basically, you're asking, okay, is it exclusive or competitive? It's still a competitive process at this point for that particular opportunity?

S
Shadi Mitwalli
analyst

Did that OEM give you guide any indication of how many other companies are what's in that process?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

No, no. They didn't give us any particular number.

S
Shadi Mitwalli
analyst

Okay. Makes sense. And then just one more question. What's the time line for the decision and a shipment with the top 3 OEM? And then is this an OEM that has announced later suppliers in the past?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

The time line, we can't disclose the commercials of the RFQ we received. But just in general, a lot of the RFQs coming out in the automotive industry right now are -- have the start of series production in the second half of the decade in the 2026 to 2028 time frame. And then the second part of your question, have they already announced LiDAR suppliers? A lot of OEMs have had various projects with other LiDAR suppliers, the past several years. Yes, this OEM was previously working with another LiDAR supplier.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Kevin Garrigan with WestPark Capital.

K
Kevin Garrigan
analyst

Congrats on the progress. Just for the first one, just a quick clarification. The RFQs the RFP that you mentioned and then the final sourcing, those are both for passenger vehicles, correct, not any trucking?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

That's correct.

K
Kevin Garrigan
analyst

Okay. Perfect. And then has the IOI from Koito caused any of your discussions with OEMs to kind of change at all as the have some -- do they now be waiting on the sidelines until a final decision is made or some actually like the idea of a bigger Tier 1 kind of player sourcing the LiDAR and have accelerated some discussions?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Yes, definitely, Kevin. This is Mitch again. Yes, it's an obvious topic that comes up, especially in deep final discussions with the OEMs. I think overall, it's a positive. It's seen as a positive for Cepton and for Koito. There are concerns in the industry about the longevity of LiDAR companies, and I think that's coming to the surface for many OEMs. And so this proposed letter that we received is definitely a positive in front of the customers.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Gus Richard with Northland Capital.

A
Auguste Richard
analyst

A couple of questions. Just when the industry goes through a rescope, can you talk about sort of what it means to you guys financially? How do they size any remunerations associated with that kind of thing, not specific numbers, just how does one think about that?

J
Jun Pei
executive

Are you asking about the [ Geon ] rescoping.

A
Auguste Richard
analyst

Yes, I am. So when there's a rescope, usually, the vendors get money back from money spent. And I'm just wondering, industry practices, what's the magnitude? What does it look like? Is it proportional to your -- what you've spent on development, et cetera?

J
Jun Pei
executive

Yes. We're certainly trying to recover all the money we have spent invested in the program, but there are a lot of intricacies in the process. Mitch, you want to add something, it's not something of a concrete number we can give out at this point, but it's certainly a nontrivial number.

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Yes, it's not public information, but I think you can think of it as some proportion of our OpEx the past 3 or 4 years since we announced that project. That was a pretty significant work stream for our company. So there were significant investments and that's what's being asked for.

A
Auguste Richard
analyst

Got it. And then in terms of the combination of the [ trucking ] company, when would you expect that to go into production?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Yes. I'll just refer back to my answer to the first question. Most of the RFQs and awards right now are starting production in the '26 to '28 time frame. So it would fall somewhere in that time frame.

J
Jun Pei
executive

Yes. But again, I refer back to our 8-K filing, that's as much as information as we can publish right now, and we'll follow up with more press releases as we're allowed to release more information.

A
Auguste Richard
analyst

Okay. Fair enough. Last one for me. This Chinese entity that is sort of on the -- into [ 1260H ] lists, if you will. Where are you going up against this company and any of the top 10 companies, OEMs that you've been working with? Is this a significant reduction in the competitive environment? Where are you seeing with these folks?

J
Jun Pei
executive

Yes, I'll start first and then Mitch can add more. There are -- as you can see in the LiDAR landscape, but quite a number of LiDAR companies in competition for any program out there. So you can expect this Chinese LiDAR company as well as us and many others are always competing with each other in any of the LiDAR programs that's active. So it is a fair assumption that we've been competing in a number of projects. And yes, the current situation is they are put on this 1260H list, and there's one fewer in many of these competitions at many places. So Mitch, do you want to add some more?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

I don't think I have anything to add.

J
Jun Pei
executive

Yes. Yes. That's...

A
Auguste Richard
analyst

Okay. Very good. That's it for me.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Galinko with Maxim Group.

M
Matthew Galinko
analyst

I guess first one is on the smart tolling project you've talked about. I think a pretty significant length in the -- over the last couple of quarters. I didn't hear, I think much about it today, but just hoping you could update us on where the rollout stands and potential for [indiscernible] scope and expansion of the smart tolling practice in general for your business?

M
Mitch Hourtienne
executive

Yes. Thanks, Matt. This is Mitch. Good question. Yes, you're right. We didn't necessarily highlight that today. But we did continue significant shipments in the Q4 that shows up in our product revenue numbers for the tolling application. And we continue to support those big tolling operators in the U.S. market as they expand both in the U.S. and also bid on some international opportunities. So that's very much an active market that we're supporting.

M
Matthew Galinko
analyst

Got it. And I know you're not specifically providing an outlook, particularly on revenue. But I was wondering if you could give us some sense of your thoughts around spending at least over the next 2 quarters or if not for the next year just on directionally, what we should be expecting on OpEx? I think you had kind of declines the last 3 quarters at least on GAAP. So should we expect kind of the same trajectory given the rescoping at GM? Or is it just subject to whether you sort of get to the final decision on any of these OEM selections?

D
Dong Chang
executive

It's Dennis Chang here. For the OpEx at this stage, we're not expecting any increase. So it's probably less than our 2023 numbers. I guess with our Q1 results, we'll be providing some update.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Jun Pei for closing comments.

J
Jun Pei
executive

Thank you very much. It's been an exciting year 2023. So we look forward to another even more productive year of 2024 with new products, new projects and new technology, of course. Stay tuned for further updates from Cepton. Thank you very much.

Operator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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