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EMCORE Corp
NASDAQ:EMKR

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EMCORE Corp
NASDAQ:EMKR
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Price: 1.125 USD -61.21%
Updated: May 9, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2023 Analysis
EMCORE Corp

Positive Gross Margin Trend to Continue

The company highlighted its operating leverage, indicating that as volumes increase, contribution margins will significantly exceed the gross margin line, implying ongoing improvements in profitability. The upcoming quarter's cash usage is expected to resemble the fourth quarter, as the company resolves lingering costs from restructuring, a legal settlement paid in October, and additional working capital requirements. Bookings are anticipated to strengthen in the March quarter, recovering from a below-one book-to-bill ratio, with potential for even better outcomes than current projections. Despite a revenue offset from the TAIMU project cancellation, the year's revenue outlook remains close to initial expectations, and the company is on the path to achieve a positive EBITDA, aided by stronger gross margins. Furthermore, the company is preparing to double production for the Mark 48 program in fiscal calendar '24, with an order expected from the Navy early in the year, although this order has not yet been officially booked.

Navigating the Aerospace and Defense Market with Precision and Strategy

The company's transformation into a pure-play aerospace and defense business has been cemented by completing the operational components of its restructuring plan, highlighting a strategic pivot towards a more focused and specialized market segment. Anticipation runs high as the Inertial Navigation business demonstrated robust performance, with revenues standing strong at $26.8 million and non-GAAP gross margins at a healthy 31%. Their backlog remained firm at approximately $67 million despite a temporary setback from government shutdown concerns, evidencing the resilience of the business model.

Restructuring for Success

Significant strides in restructuring have led to the imminent sale of the indium phosphide wafer fab, aligning with long-term strategic objectives and reducing future liabilities and cash outflows. This move underscores the company’s commitment to honing its core competencies in specific technological domains.

Product and Operational Optimizations

Investors should take note of the company's forward-looking approach to optimizing their product line. Ongoing programs and customer-funded nonrecurring engineering contributions, anticipated to be at least $7 million this fiscal year, are setting the stage for future efficiencies and cost reductions. This fiscal prudence is further emphasized by the downscaling of their Alhambra footprint and diligently reducing internally funded research and development spending — a strategic play to boost bottom-line performance in the long run.

A Resilient Future with Growth Prospects

A forecast suggests an impressive revenue trajectory. For the December quarter, revenue is projected to range from $26 million to $28 million, marking a 35% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Looking at the bigger picture, the full-year outlook shines with expected revenue ranging between $115 million to $125 million, translating to an expected year-over-year growth of 23% at the midpoint, bolstered by a solid order book and a promising funnel of opportunities. This growth expectation reflects the company’s confidence in its ability to navigate market fluctuations, such as the impact of the recent TAIMU program development contract termination. Replaceable by high confidence programs, this slight detour does not dampen the bright prospects ahead.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q4

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Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to EMCORE Corporation's Fiscal 2023 Fourth Quarter Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Tom Minichiello, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

T
Thomas Minichiello
executive

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our conference call to discuss EMCORE's fiscal 2023 fourth quarter results. The news release we issued this afternoon is posted on our website, emcore.com.

On this call, Jeff Rittichier, EMCORE's President and Chief Executive Officer, will begin with the discussion of our business highlights and then I'll be updating you on our financial results, and we'll conclude by taking questions.

Before we begin, we would like to remind you that the information provided herein may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Exchange Act of 1934. These forward-looking statements are largely based on our current expectations and projections about future events and trends affecting the business.

Such forward-looking statements include projections about future results, statements about plans, strategies, business prospects and changes and trends in the business and in the markets in which we operate. Management cautions that these forward-looking statements relate to future events or future financial performance and are subject to business, economic and other risks and uncertainties, both known and unknown, that may cause actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements of the business or in our industry to be materially different from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements.

We caution you not to rely on these statements and to also consider the risks and uncertainties associated with these statements and the business, which are included in the company's filings available on the SEC's website located at sec.gov, including the sections entitled Risk Factors in the company's annual report on Form 10-K.

The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to conform such statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by applicable law or regulation.

In addition, references will be made during this call to non-GAAP financial measures. Which we believe provide meaningful supplemental information to both management and investors. The non-GAAP measures reflect the company's core ongoing operating performance and facilitates comparisons across reporting periods.

Investors are encouraged to review these non-GAAP measures as well as the explanation and reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures included in our news release.

And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Jeff.

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

Thank you, Tom, and good afternoon, everyone. In the fourth quarter, our Inertial Navigation business continued to show progress with another strong top line performance at $26.8 million and gross margin at 31% non-GAAP. Tom will provide additional financial details in his remarks.

Book-to-bill came in under 10 due to concerns about the government shutdown. However, the majority of those expected orders were received in October. Therefore, the backlog in the business remained steady at approximately $67 million.

With the closing of the sale of the linear business to photonic foundries in early October and the shutdown of the Indium phosphide wafer fab, the operational components of the restructuring plan that we announced in April are complete. EMCORE is now a pure-play aerospace and defense business.

In our press release, we announced that we have entered into a nonbinding letter of intent to sell the indium phosphide wafer fab. This agreement is secured with a deposit and also includes an obligation for the buyer to assume the lease obligations of 2 buildings on the Alhambra campus resulting in a reduction in long-term liabilities and cash out for outflow for EMCORE. We expect to complete this sale by the end of the December quarter.

Moving on to the business. I'll begin my comments by stating that we had strong performance from space and navigation and Tinley Park. Concord and Alhambra operations came in low but largely due to mix changes and timing of orders. In the current quarter, we expect that the book-to-bill will recover and believe that Q2 will be stronger yet.

Operating expenses came in below budget for R&D and sales and marketing. We are mindful of our high internally funded research and development spending, otherwise known as IRAD, and are working to drive this down substantially -- excuse me -- Operating expenses came in below budget. And are working to drive this down substantially in the coming quarters through nonrecurring engineering contracts from our customers. I will address this in more detail later on in the discussion.

In October, we announced an agreement with Kratos to provide Inertial Navigation Systems for 4 of their high-performance drones. In particular, the XQ58 Valkyrie contains multiple EMCORE systems. Developed under the LCAT program between Kratos and the Air Force Research Labs. This extraordinary stealthy AI-driven platform can serve as a loyal wingman to advanced pilot operated aircraft.

The Air Force has stated that it wants to acquire a fleet of at least 1,000 of these systems. The Navy also directly awarded us additional business for the Mark 48 torpedo and we have been notified that we will need to nearly double production in FY '24.

We are expecting significant upside business for our EN-300 products the return of orders for MTS Bs and expect to make our first low rate of initial production shipments of an advanced targeting system this quarter, depending on the receipt of circuit boards that are late by a month.

During the quarter, we received additional production orders for precision guided munitions program and expect this to transition into a growing yearly order pattern. Business from the Ukraine is also expected to expand.

Beyond program capture, we are nearing completion of preproduction units for Raytheon's advanced EO/IR pods. We expect to complete the current phase of our MMS program in June, along with several smaller programs over the next 6 to 12 months. This year, we are expecting nonrecurring engineering funding from our customers to be at least $7 million, of which 70% is already booked.

Unfortunately, L3 Harris informed us that they received a demand letter from the United Launch Alliance for breach of contract and that L3 Harris was terminating our development contract for TAIMU for convenience. I don't have any additional details to share at this time and must refrain from making additional comments until we fully evaluate our options. Obviously, we are disappointed by this development and are considering all remedies available to us, but we believe that upside from our other unrelated programs from other product families can substantially offset the loss of TAIMU in FY '24.

We have 3 high confidence programs alone, which could offset at least $10 million out of the approximately $14 million in TAIMU revenue that was expected in FY '24.

I'd like to provide additional insight into our integration programs and our continued work on optimization, all of which are key areas of focus this year. With Chicago and Bud Lake now on Siteline 10, we will now transition Alhambra in March and Concord in June, unifying the company's ERP systems. Beyond ERP, we [indiscernible] should complete the product line and product data management in Blood Lake in the March quarter, which will complete the unification of our product data systems. Camstar manufacturing execution systems will be integrated into Concord and Chicago facilities starting in the new year. Beyond the integration programs that I mentioned, EMCORE has begun its initiative to leverage its state-of-the-art inertial measurement unit and I&S architecture from Bud Lake across the entire company.

A singular focus on this common architecture will streamline our operations, reduce development expense and improve our ability to create new component technologies. Component technology differentiation is the key to gross margin in this business.

Beyond these actions, we are working to reduce the amount of floor space that we require. With the wafer fab sale, Alhambra will be down to just 1 building from 5. Concord will have its footprint cut in half, and we are working on a plan to rightsize the Blood Lake facility.

It is tempting to think that reducing floor space is as simple as relocating processes and equipment. However, there are expensive structural power, gas and environmental systems required to support any move and not all of these exist in some of our facilities.

Customers also require significant requalification efforts to certify new equipment in new facilities. Requalification is typically done during block changes and the timing is driven by their schedules and the needs of end users, not ours. Nevertheless, we are working to drive down the amount of floor space we require within the capital and qualification limits in the business.

Turning now to guidance. I'd like to remind everyone that any chip sales, which will occur in the quarter will be logged as part of discontinued operations and are not a part of guidance.

Given that Q4 came in above expectations, and we do expect to see some short-term impact of the TAIMU shutdown, we expect that revenue for the December quarter will be within the range of $26 million to $28 million, which represents 35% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the range. As we look to the full year, we see a solid order book and a funnel that should support revenue in the range of $115 million to $125 million which would be a 23% year-over-year growth at the midpoint of the range.

And with that, I will turn the call back over to Tom.

T
Thomas Minichiello
executive

Thank you, Jeff. Let me start with making mention of the fact that starting in the fiscal fourth quarter, the results from our legacy business, namely the former Broadband segment and the Defense Optoelectronic products are now reported in the income statement under discontinued operations and as of September 30, on the balance sheet as assets and liabilities held for sale. . So with that, I'll move to a discussion of the results from continuing operations, which is now exclusively the inertial navigation business. And to facilitate apples-to-apples comparisons, any references to previous period earnings are solely -- also solely on Inertial Navigation only.

Revenue in fiscal 4Q was $26.8 million, near the high end of the guidance range provided during our last quarterly call and the sixth consecutive quarter of sequential growth. Revenue from the 2 most recently acquired operations in Tinley Park and Bud Lake led the way, both achieving their best revenue quarters since their acquisitions. And while Concord and Alhambra were sequentially lower in 4Q, both of these operations are expected to pick up significantly in fiscal '24. For the full 2023 fiscal year, inertial navigation revenue was $97.7 million.

Let me now turn to the rest of the operating results, which will be on a non-GAAP basis. Gross margin was 31% in 4Q compared to 30% in 3Q. The slight improvement was largely driven by the Bud Lake revenue increase, including a significantly more favorable mix that was due to a large percentage of revenue coming from a repair and support contract. The continued steady Tinley Park growth also contributed favorably to the overall 4Q margin performance, while Concord and Alhambra were below average due to the lower volumes already mentioned.

Operating expenses were $10.1 million in fiscal 4Q. Operating loss in the September quarter was $1.9 million, adjusted EBITDA improved to negative $900,000. Net loss was $2 million or $0.03 per share. Shifting for a moment to the GAAP results, fiscal 4Q from continuing operations was $28.8 million or $0.42 per share.

GAAP results from continuing operations included asset impairment charges totaling $22.6 million, which included goodwill, TAIMU, IP, R&D and ROU or right-of-use leases associated with vacating space in Alhambra.

Turning to the balance sheet. We had cash of $26.7 million at September 30, compared to $20.2 million at June 30. The $6.5 million net increase consisted of $15.6 million in net cash proceeds received from the financing completed in August offset by $9.1 million used during the quarter as follows: $900,000 negative adjusted EBITDA, $2.2 million associated with the loss on discontinued operations, $3.5 million for working capital, $700,000 for severance, $500,000 for M&A-related costs, $800,000 for financing activities and $500,000 for CapEx.

Outstanding debt on our credit facility was $10.6 million at September 30 compared to $11.7 million at June 30. The $10.6 million as of September 30 consisted of $6.4 million on a revolving line of credit and a $4.2 million balance on the term loan component. The overall $1.1 million reduction during the quarter included $860,000 in proceeds from equipment sales that went directly to paying down the term loan.

With that, we are now ready to open up the call for your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Shadi Minali of Craig.

R
Richard Shannon
analyst

This is Shadi filling in for Richard Shannon. A few questions here. Maybe starting off on your guys' gross margins. It was solid for the September quarter. And do you guys expect that positive trend continuing into the December quarter? And if so, what do you think will contribute to that?

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

Let me tackle that one first. Short answer is, yes, we do. The biggest thing is that we still have facilities which are have a lot of locked up operating leverage. So as volumes go up, there's a significant component of contribution margin well in excess of the gross margin line. . So all you got to do is crank the volume and margins start to improve. Current quarter, we're expecting that the product mix is equivalent to favorable. So yes, we will expect to see the trend continue.

R
Richard Shannon
analyst

All right. Fair enough. And then just one other question on the December quarter. But what do you expect the cash burn to be for December? And how much of that do you expect to be from noncore operations?

T
Thomas Minichiello
executive

Yes, I got it, Jeff. So it's going to look similar to the fourth quarter. We are still digging out from all the restructuring, the severance payments alone were not paid out all at one time, they're paid out over time. So that will continue. We still carried the legacy business into the month of October. And while the fab was shut down, there's still some costs associated with that, that lingered through.

And you'll notice in our GAAP results, we also had an accrual for a legal settlement in the P&L in September, that got paid out in early October that was around $1.3 million, and there'll be some additional working capital needs.

So overall, it's going to look similar in cash used to what I just ran through for the fourth quarter.

R
Richard Shannon
analyst

Fair enough. And then maybe one last question on book-to-bill. And it came under 1 for the September quarter and you guys expect it to improve for the December quarter. Are you -- are you able to give any more color on if you expect the book-to-bill to be over 1 for the next quarter?

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

Yes. When we say recover, it would mean over 1. The -- it's just -- there's a lot of unusual dynamics right now with the way that the Pentagon is allocating funds, again, it's easy to look at, okay, Congress authorizes x amount of aid to the Ukraine, and really, what that means is we're sending stuff from our inventory platforms, weapon platforms, munitions, et cetera. And then the service branches need the cash to go recover that. And there's a lot of give and take and occasionally that pushes out some of the actual contracting time lines.

I'll give you an example. We were told by the Navy by the contracting authority that the Mark 54 contract was going to be let in March of '22. And the most recent thoughts we have from them are, yes, it is going to get done here in December. So we expect it will recover. There's a lot of good things that can happen even better than that in the March quarter. you get hampered a little bit by the holidays, but yes, we think we'll be up back over 1, and we look at a strong March quarter after that on the bookings side.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Tim Savageaux of Northland Capital Markets.. Our next question comes from Tim Savageaux of Northland Capital Markets.

T
Timothy Savageaux
analyst

Sorry about that. And you've guided revenues for the year, and I imagine that's reflective of some offsets from the TAIMU cancellation. It's not really not too far off what we might have originally expected. .

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

That's correct, Tim, yes.

T
Timothy Savageaux
analyst

I don't know if you explicitly stated in the past, I think the expectation was to achieve positive EBITDA exiting the year. given the positives on gross margin, when I -- correct me if I'm wrong, when you say expect this trend to continue, that would be the trend of sequential improvement in gross margins. for the December quarter, and you did have a nice little bounce up in December -- sorry, in September, probably not the same order of magnitude. But how should we be thinking about that positive EBITDA target in light of maybe a stronger gross margin environment and likely a change in mix? When do you think you can get to positive EBITDA and maybe positive cash flow?

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

I'll go ahead with that one, Tom. So this quarter is going to be close as we said. It's a little more favorable on the gross margin line, tiny bit less on the revenue line. The only thing we got to be mindful of is this call once-in-a-year OpEx things like additional costs from auditing, right? Because we're trying to get the K filed here as quickly as we can. . So on the adjusted EBITDA basis, if you're not there this quarter, it's certainly next, but it's -- we're going to be close. As far as getting to cash flow breakeven what we've said is 1 to 2 quarters after that. It's really just a function of moving the top line a little bit.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Shadi Minali of Cradle. Please make sure you phone is on unmute. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Kingstlinger of Alliance Global Partners.

B
Brian Kinstlinger
analyst

If I heard you correctly, I think you said 3 contracts you have that kind of offset $10 million of the $14 million of revenue that was expected for the payment cancellation. Could you help tell us which 3 contracts those are if you're able to -- and then the second part of that question, whether you are or not, were those contracts previously in the backlog? Or they're expected to get into the backlog in the short term?

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

So I already did tell you why. When we talked about Mark 48 production doubling in the year, right? So that's one of them. The other two, we did not name, but when I say high confidence programs, they are things that we have made and shipped before, 4 specific programs, and orders are being worked up inside of the system. Or are being -- we just got additional volume that's going to come with that.

So I'd rather not name the other two. It's a competitive world out there. But when we say high confidence orders, that's what we made, things we're already doing. .

B
Brian Kinstlinger
analyst

So one essentially is booked and in the backlog and the other two, some sort of negotiation in business development do you think are highly likely. Is that accurate?

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

Not quite. So what I said was that we've been notified by the Navy that we are going to be ramping doubling production for the Mark 48 program in fiscal calendar '24. And so we expect to get an order from them early in the year.

With that said, we've got a bunch of other open orders with them. So it's not like it's really going to slow us down at all, but we haven't actually booked the order. So that's the only point of clarification.

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Jeff Rittichier for any closing remarks.

J
Jeffrey Rittichier
executive

Thank you. Thank you all for your interest in EMCORE. I also want to recognize the team for completing the restructuring plan we announced in April, positioning EMCORE as a pure-play aerospace and defense business. Thanks again, and happy holidays. .

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.

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