First Time Loading...

iQIYI Inc
NASDAQ:IQ

Watchlist Manager
iQIYI Inc Logo
iQIYI Inc
NASDAQ:IQ
Watchlist
Price: 5.09 USD 1.8%
Updated: May 3, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2018-Q4

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen thank you for standing by and welcome to the iQIYI's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today, 22 February, 2019.

I would now like to hand the conference over to Dahlia Wei, Director of Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead.

D
Dahlia Wei
Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone, and thank you all for joining iQIYI's Q4 and full year 2018 earnings conference call. The Company's results were released earlier today and are available on the Company's Investor Relations website at ir.iqiyi.com.

On the call today are Dr. Yu Gong, our Founder, Director and CEO; and Mr. Xiaodong Wang, our CFO. Dr. Gong will give a brief overview of the Company's business operations and highlights; followed by Xiaodong, who will go through the financials and guidance. After their prepared remarks, we'll hold a Q&A session.

Before we proceed, please note that the discussion today will contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. Potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those outlined in our public filings with the SEC. iQIYI does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required under applicable law.

With that, I will now turn the call over to Dr. Gong. Please go ahead.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter and full year 2018 earning call. We delivered another quarter of solid growth. Total revenues reached RMB7 billion, up 54% year-over-year. We ended the year with total revenues of RMB25 billion, up 52% year-over-year. Throughout the year we continued to generate growth across various key operational metrics including subscribers, engagement levels and time span.

The number of total subscribers reached 87.4 million as at the end of 2018, representing a 72% year-over-year growth. Our membership business continued to be the main engine of our growth with revenues increasing 76% year-over-year to RMB3.2 billion during the fourth quarter. This again was driven by growth of the number of subscribers which recorded a net addition of 6.7 million sequentially and 36.6 million year-over-year. The significant growth was primarily a reflection of our premium content which is clearly driving subscriber's conversion and stickiness.

Our self-produced drama series including Tang Dynasty Tour, The City of Chaos and Original Sin performed well in the fourth quarter. In addition movie content also played an important role in driving subscribers' growth. We released a number of popular theatrical movies on our platform shortly after they hit the box office over the summer and the national holiday in October. These movies included, Hello Mr. Billionaire Dying to Survive and the Project Gutenberg among others.

Our joint membership program with JD.com continued to make good progress during the quarter. It helped contribute a steady inflow of annual subscribers. We also deepened our partnership with China Mobile. We launched our combined membership plus mobile video data package with its video streaming app MIGU. Recently we also extended our joint membership program with Ctrip where iQiyi Diamond VIP and QIYIGUO annual members can enjoy certain priority travel services from Ctrip and Ctrip Prime members can activate an eight-month VIP membership from iQiyi.

In addition, we continued to broaden our cooperation with various commercial banks, financial institutions and other service providers to further enhance VIP benefits, access to our premium content and special privileges continue to incentivize our free users to convert into subscribers.

I'll now turn to our advertising business. For the fourth quarter, advertising revenue grew 9% year-over-year to RMB2.2 billion. We further enhanced our ability to provide innovative advertising solutions. For example, we began offering vertical and interactive ads for our first portrait mode short-form drama series Ugh! Life!. For full year 2018, advertising revenue grew 21% year-over-year to RMB9.3 billion. More advertisers are becoming interested in our original content.

Our other business also continued to grow. Other revenues grew significantly by 129% year-over-year and accounted for 16% of total revenue during the fourth quarter. The growth was broad-based and in particular was driven by gaming, IP licensing and our talent agency business.

On the content side, we continue to focus on producing high quality content especially original premium and innovative content. For dramas we launched a number of original titles during the fourth quarter including Tang Dynasty Tour, The City of Chaos and The Original Sin as well as a few licensed drama series such as The story of Minglan and the Like A Flowing River. As I mentioned earlier we also released our first portrait mode short form comedy series Ugh! Life!.

Each of these dramas has received great reviews and have become quite popular. For variety shows, the fifth season of Qipa Talk continued to gain traction following a strong return with new contestants and upgraded formats. During the fourth quarter, we also released a series of young oriented shows that target younger generation of audiences. The Chinese Youth a music show that incorporates traditional Chinese cultural elements broke a new ground. I Actor, a show about training young acting talent also became very popular and that helped to beef up the supply of potential actors and actresses in our original content.

Movies remained a critical component of our content ecosystem and have been driving subscriber growth and retention. Our curated movie procurement strategy has allowed an increasing number of movies to become available on our platform shortly after their theatrical release. At the same time we're working with hundreds of content providers who develop high quality internet movies for our platform under our revenue sharing model.

In terms of content development, I'm pleased with the progress we've made in 2018. Our overall content library is expanding rapidly in breadth and depth. We continue to enhance our production capabilities for original content and streamline our IP value chain. Our original iconic drama, The Story of Yanxi Palace recently entered the spotlight again as it ranked the most of Googled drama series globally in 2018.

Thanks to the popular digital novel of same name, our iQIYI reading app ranked among the top 10 mobile apps with the fastest growing user base in 2018 according to QuestMobile. We are also leveraging successful IP from our video content to develop mobile games and other forms of entertainment.

In addition, we continue to nurture our ecosystem and as a result we are able to empower an expanding group of PGC Partners to grow with us. The amount of content contributed by iQIYI partner accounts increased significantly from a year ago and PGC content now accounts for over half of our total traffic in terms of video views.

Entering 2019, we kicked off the year with several successful original titles including our original drama series, Beauty Haolan and self-produced variety show Idol Producer 2 for the rest of the year .

We have a strong portfolio of content lined up including original drama series, The Golden Eyes, Sword Dynasty, Season 4 of Tientsin Mystic, The Thunder, Zhaoge and then The Legend of White Snake among others. We also have New Seasons of various self-produced variety shows such as The Rap of China set for release.

Last but not least I'd like to briefly talk about our technology development. As a technology based entertainment company we apply innovative AI technology to every part of our organization to drive business growth. We continued to enhance our network infrastructure, app matrix, social community, as well as content distribution and the monetization efficiency.

We also made numerous efforts to incubate new products and services to better serve our users and the partners. In late November, we again partnered with Baidu as well as Sichuan Cable TV to jointly launch the Shu Little Fruit set-top box. This was the second AI based TV box after Gehua Little Fruits our groundbreaking MVPD plus SVOD partnership with Beijing Gehua CATV Network earlier last year. Both set top boxes incorporate iQIYI's home AI solution that brings users a smarter Home Entertainment experience such as voice control and facial recognition.

Another exciting area for us is our cutting edge ZoomAI technology which integrates a holistic set of solutions to enhance image and the video quality with AI technologies. It also increases the frame rate of videos from 25 fps to 50 fps, through intelligent frame interpolation, which is invaluable for scenes with rapid movements such as a sports content.

ZoomAI’s unique image in-painting algorithm can also be employed to restore some classic TV drama content that were produced decades ago. It only took ZoomAI six to eight hours to fix a two hour long video which would otherwise have taken approximately 10 people 20 working days to finish. iQIYI's ZoomAI was recently awarded the Excellent Technical Award at the ChinaMM in 2018.

In conclusion, 2018 was a fruitful year for us as we reached many milestones. Our IPO early last year introduced us as a public company and elevated our brand and platform. Our comprehensive portfolio of content continues to excel. Our subscriber members constantly hit new high and our revenues continue to scale and diversify. 2018 was also a transition year for us as we shift to more resources towards producing original content. We believe it will help us build a strong platform and IP powerhouse over the long-term. Looking out on 2019, we are more confident than ever in our business prospects.

And with that I'll now pass the call to Xiaodong to go over our financials.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, everyone. Let me go through our financial highlights. Starting on January 1, 2018, iQIYI adopted ASC 606, a new revenue accounting standard that nets value added tax from the revenue and cost of revenue line. To increase the comparability with 2018 numbers - 2017 numbers for today's discussion have been adjusted net of VAT.

For the fourth quarter of 2018, iQIYI's total revenue was RMB7 billion, up 55% year-over-year. Total revenue in 2018 was RMB25 billion, up 52% year-over-year. The increase was primarily driven by a strong growth of our membership service thanks to our premium content especially our original content titles as well as our various operational initiatives.

Membership services revenue for the fourth quarter were RMB3.2 billion, up 76% year-over-year. Membership service revenue in 2018 was RMB10.6 billion, up 72% year-over-year, which was driven by the strong growth in the number of drivers which reached 87.4 million at the end of 2018.

Online advertising revenue for the fourth quarter was RMB2.2 billion, up 9% year-over-year, primarily attributable to the growth of brand advertising business. Online advertising revenue in 2018 was RMB9.3 billion, up 21% year-over-year, primarily driven by our innovative advertising solutions and the high quality content offering, especially our original content.

Content distribution revenue for the fourth quarter was RMB522 million, up 137% year-over-year. Content distribution revenue in 2018 was [RMB2.2] [ph] billion, up 92% year-over-year. The increase was driven by a number of premium content titles we distributed.

Other revenue for the fourth quarter was RMB1.1 billion, up 129% year-over-year. Other revenue in 2018 was RMB2.9 billion, up 105% from year 2017. The increase was driven by a strong performance across various business lines.

Moving on to the cost of revenues, our cost of revenues for the fourth quarter was RMB8.5 billion, up 100% year-over-year. Cost of revenue in 2018 was RMB27.1 billion, up 65% from year '17. The increase was primarily driven by higher cost as we persist in our original content strategy to build our comprehensive content library.

Content cost was RMB6.5 billion for the fourth quarter and RMB21.1 billion for the year of 2018, up 97% and 67% on the year-over-year basis respectively.

Turning to the operating expenses, SG&A expenses in the fourth quarter were RMB1.2 billion, up 58% year-over-year. SG&A expenses in 2018 were RMB4.2 billion, up 56% from year '17. The increase was primarily due to the increase in marketing spending on the channel coverage and the content related promotion as well as increased share based compensation expenses.

Our R&D expenses in the fourth quarter were RMB607.5 million, up 67% year-over-year. Research and development expenses in 2018 were RMB2 billion, up 57% from year '17. The increase was primarily due to our continuous investment in R&D people.

Operating loss in the fourth quarter was RMB3.3 billion, compared with operating loss of RMB856.1 million in the same period of 2017. The operating loss margin for the fourth quarter was 47% compared to the operating loss margin of 19% in the same period of 2017. Operating loss in 2018 was RMB8.3 billion compared to the operating loss RMB4 billion for 2017. Operating loss margin in 2018 was 33% compared to operating loss margin of 24% in year '17.

Total other expense in the fourth quarter was RMB34.8 million, compared to total other income of RMB233.8 million during the same period of 2017. Total other expense in 2018 was RMB676.2 million, compared to a total other income of RMB208.5 million during 2017.

The full year variance mainly came from the foreign exchange loss and gain that we recognized in year '18 and the year '17 respectively. The remaining variance was related to lower interest expense and the higher interest income as a result of IPO and other financing activities in the year 2018 as well as the recognition of fair value gain arising from our private company equity investments.

Loss before income tax for the fourth quarter was RMB3.4 billion, compared with a loss of RMB622.3 million during the same period of 2017. Loss before income tax in year '18 was RMB9 billion, compared to a loss of RMB3.7 billion in year '17.

Income tax expense for the fourth quarter was RMB79.5 million, compared to income tax benefit of RMB9.9 million in the same period in 2017. Income tax expense in year '18 was RMB78.8 million, compared to income tax benefit of RMB7.6 million in year '17.

Net loss attributable to iQIYI for the fourth quarter was RMB3.5 billion, compared with a loss of RMB612.4 million during the same period of 2017. Diluted net loss attributable to iQIYI per ADS for the fourth quarter was RMB4.83. Net loss attributable to iQIYI in 2018 was RMB9.1 billion, compared to loss of RMB3.7 billion in year '17. Diluted net loss attributable iQIYI per ADS was RMB17.01 for year 2018.

As of December 31, 2018, the company had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments of RMB12.8 [billion] [ph]. In December we closed the offering of $750 million in aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes. As part of our efforts to diversify our financing options and investment updates.

Heading for the first quarter 2019 guidance, we expect total revenue to be between RMB6.8 billion and RMB7.1 billion, representing an increase of 40% to 46% year-over-year. This forecast reflects iQIYI's current and preliminary view subject to change.

This concludes our prepared remarks. I'll now turn the call to operator to open for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Thomas Chong from Credit Suisse. Please ask your question

T
Thomas Chong
Credit Suisse

Hi, good morning. Thanks management for taking my questions. My question is about the 2019 outlook, given that we see our subscribers is growing very well, I just want to see how we should think about the subscribers growth as well as other business segment like advertising, content distribution and others because we see content distribution and others are also performing very well as well as the trend in content cost? Thank you.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

[Interpreted] I will first start from the revenue side. We remain optimistic about the membership business in - on '19. We would like to reiterate that we think the net additions in this year would be pretty much similar as the net additions we achieved in year '18. I think there are two major drivers behind that. One is, we are producing more and more original content and the - not only the quantity is increasing, but also the quality is improving that drive a lot of free users to become paying subscribers. And secondly, overall, the Chinese internet users are getting used to the paying habit and they are more appreciating the premium content that bring the entertainment experience to them. So it's very common for them to become - get used to the paying habit. And secondly, on the advertising side, we are cautiously optimistic about advertising business. Start with brand advertising because brand advertising is the majority of our advertising revenue and in-feed is a small part of the advertising.

On the brand side, we believe we will keep slice - the more market share from the TV advertising side because advertisers are keeping shifting their budget towards the video platform. However, because of the macro head winds and the fact that you are all aware of, we think that the growth rates will not be as high as the previous years. That's for brand ads. For the in-feed ads we have two major observations. One is, we think the industry wise the supply of inventory is growing and on the other hand, the feeding demand is not growing that much. So there is the potential pressure for the feeding price. And secondly, as we mentioned before, we are doing some cleaning up for our own in-feed advertisers because of there are more risky profile and of unhealthy advertisements, so we did that in last quarter and also this quarter. So overall, we are cautiously optimistic about advertising.

On the content side, we have already saw that since August of last year, both the procurement price or you say the license price as well as the production costs are both coming down. I mean the selling price. To give you an example, previously, the highest license price for a single episode would be as high as RMB15 million per episode, but now, after our August last year, it's come down to around RMB8 million per episode. On the self-produced side, we also benefit from the capped salary regulation for actors. Previously some very A-list actor or actress can charge as high as RMB150 million for a show, but now the cap is only 50 million. So that gives us the confidence that both licensed content as well as self-produced content cost will come down in the future. Why we say in the future is because the licensed content there will be a time lag six to 12 months between a contract was signed to a content can actually come online. And for self-produced contents are actually taking longer to - as long as 12 to 18 months before that those impacts can hit our P&L.

T
Thomas Chong
Credit Suisse

Got it, thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Eddie Leung of Merrill Lynch. Please ask your question.

E
Eddie Leung
Merrill Lynch

Good morning, guys. Just a follow up question on your comment about content spending, so as the market content costs coming down, how would that affect your strategy in content purchases? Would you have more saving or increase the volume of contents to be purchased than produced? And then just a quick question on the subscription business, could you comment on the retention rate you have seen in recent quarter or two, given the faster growth and accelerating growth of your subscriber number in 2018? Thank you.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Dr. Gong Yu will comment on the first question, this is Xiaodong. I'll answer your second one and the churn rate of subscription business remain in, I think, almost the same as the previous ones. I think slight improvement we can see that. And so I don't think the increase on the subscriber base has anything like say negative impact on the churn rate.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

[Interpreted] For the content purchased actually most of the content we plan for 2019 was - the ballpark was already purchased in year '18, so and actually the licensed content is pretty much saturated in 2018. So now we are planning for 2020 that means the purchase of volume in 2019 will not grow that much in this year versus 2018. And you are looking beyond, if you're looking at the purchase volume of 2020 versus 2019, we actually are seeing a slight decrease in volume for the purchased content. On the self-produced of the original content, on the other hand, we are seeing very clear obvious increase in volume in year '18 versus '17 and if you look at this year versus last year or even year 2020 versus 2019, now trend will continue to increase because this is our strategy - direction for us.

E
Eddie Leung
Merrill Lynch

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ella Ji from China Renaissance. Please ask your question.

E
Ella Ji
China Renaissance

And thank you for taking my question. First, I wanted to follow up with the discussion of content cost. Can we just talk about that on a cash flow basis instead of on the P&L basis? So on cash flow basis, if the total purchased content, volume may go down moderately and unit price is also going down, shall we expect the cash flow spending for content in 2019 will be much smaller than 2018? And then secondarily - yeah, just quickly on the - regarding the regulatory environment. So I wonder if Dr. Gong can further comment on the - currently we understand that the entire entertainment industry sort of slowed down dramatically because of a stronger regulation. Also the celebrity pay ceiling, so Dr. Gong do you expect this will be a temporary situation or do you think this will likely be a structure change? Thank you.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, this is Xiaodong and I'll answer the first question and Dr. Gong will comment on the second one. So you're right, on the licensed content definitely you will see some improvement on cash flow side because the volume, and Dr. Gong just mentioned in year 2020 will decrease and the price will decrease, so you expect the cash flow we spend on licensed content side will decrease. However, does not necessarily mean the total cash flow - total content costs will improve a lot of because as we discussed before, the we increase the percentage of original content actually the cash flow will deteriorate because you have to pay up for all the original content because nobody else will pay for that. So in all I would expect probably slightly improvement on major ones I don't think any material improvement on the cash flow side and before Dr. Gong can comment on the second question and I want to do remind you guys, let's stick to the one question really otherwise we'll run out of time. So please, yeah.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

[Interpreted] Actually there are three major regulatory changes in the past several months. Number one is, before all the content are aired on video platform the platform will be responsible to getting the necessary permission and license for those and now it turns out to change to the content producers who need to apply those permissions themselves. We don't think that's much impact on us because from now on we will be only responsible for the permission for the content iQIYI produced, original produced, so we will not be responsible for the CP's content permission. And secondly, there's a new rule that for the content that was released on the video platforms as the first window content, those content need to not only get a provincial permission, but also need central government permission for those content. So that has some impact on us because - on the industry broadly, because now we will take longer time firstly and then maybe the Central Bureau is more strict than the Provincial Bureau and some part of the content might be deleted or adjusted that's the impact, but the impact is very limited. And thirdly, there is some new rules on short form video content, but that mainly affect the short form video players. We only have limited exposure to the short video, so that impact is on us is also limited.

For the question you asked about the cap payment the ceiling of the payment to celebrities. I think that's a very positive for the long term development for the industry because although the number of 50 million cap that we I talked to just now that's only a joint declaration between us and three major platforms and six major production companies that's not actually the government enforcement rules. However, that already set a very widely accepted practice for the industry. As far as I know, there haven't been any violation of that since last summer. So I think that will be a very positive sign and it makes both younger actors and actress to stand out from the old and very established actors and actress. And it’s also such a benchmark effect for those older actors because they cannot afford to not appearing on TV or on our viewer platform for more than one year, so they will gladly accept the roles as well. So I think those will be very positive for the industry and will be a sustainable trend going forward because that's more rationale for that market, it's more fitting for the market conditions.

The volume of license content has increased dramatically in 2017 to 2018 because the supply is very big. And now we have a content list of more than 100 dramas on our list. So I think the supply is very sufficient. And even in latter half of 2018, we didn't see any decrease of that supply.

E
Ella Ji
China Renaissance

Thank you.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Alicia Yap of Citi Group. Please ask your question Alicia.

A
Alicia Yap
Citi Group

Thank you. Good morning management and congrats on the solid results. I have a question on the advertising. So reading your advertising revenue, what is the rough percentage of contribution coming from the creative ad solutions that are pre-committed by the advertiser for your self-produced content? So if we exclude this creative ad solution, what could be the growth rate for the traditional pre roll ad revenue for this quarter over the past couple of quarters? Thank you.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

This is Xiaodong. I think for those innovative advertising solutions, and as we've said, it represents over 50% of the ad revenue for original content and for licensed content because it's very difficult for us to embed those innovative solutions in the licensed content produced by a third party. So basically, as you already know, the licensed content still account for the majority of the total content library, so it's not that big, but in some - like quarter - it varies from quarter to quarter. For example, in some quarter we released one or two hit variety shows that will give us like the jump of the package you asked. So I just I can only give you a wide range. I think those innovative ad accounts for, let's say, 20% to 40% of that total ads revenue. That's just a rough range because it varies from quarter to quarter.

A
Alicia Yap
Citi Group

Okay, thank you. Sorry.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Next question?

Operator

I'll move on to the next question. So the next question comes from the line of Binnie Wong from HSBC. Please ask your question.

B
Binnie Wong
HSBC

Hi, thank you management for taking my questions. So my question is on the advertising revenue growth, if you look at the nice growth, the strong growth in the membership services, of course, that proves the - our premium content is actually one of the industry leading is industry best, right? But how come like if you look at the advertising revenue growth we see a sequential decline? So besides the macro reasons, is there any way that in 2019 that we will be put -- when we put, like the sponsorship, the advertising solutions, we in advance be able to raise our pricing. So just like success of Yanxi Palace, right, that it hasn't been entirely fully been able to capture in our stronger advertising growth. So in 2019 people -- management has really talked about [Foreign Language] recruiting the advertisers. So how are we seeing any modification changes so we can ensure that we can capture more of the upside when the drama series has been practically doing well? Thank you.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Okay, it's a very long question. I think of it as a long matter in the press release. So let me just probably clarify. First, I think the one major reason for big partners' crucial decline for ads business is not only due to the macro environment actually it has mainly come from the seasonality. The fourth quarter typically is like a slow season compared to the peak season of third quarter. And you also mentioned limited, I’d say, hot content. You're right, Yanxi Palace is like -- is a content for the subscribers. So we did reflect some as revenue, but there is another primary purpose for that. So it's maybe a wrong example. But you're right. Definitely we try to capture all the opportunities for those legacy and hot content or whatever. So basically I think the innovative ad solution is a key driver for brand advertisement in the next few years that's only way I think to outperform the general level of the market. So basically we still believe if we're persisting our new content, we have more like more simplicity than complexity to putting more innovative ads they will have to continue to grow the revenue of advertisement. And also you mentioned something about legacy increases under the house cleaning, [indiscernible] so it's e-commerce related. It's something else but we can explain later for that category. And yes, with these ads, and we expect the recovery will take some time. So basically, I think for the first two quarters this year, we will continue to expanded the customer base which is very important for this increased ads business. We hope to expand the customer base to a more diversified and a more healthy one. We'll hopefully expand the customer base to a more diversified and a more healthy ones and that's the general idea but it will take some - that takes some time. We expect maybe for the second half of this year.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

Operator

Thank you. I'll move on to the next question. So the next question comes from the line of Tian Hou of TH Capital. Please ask your question.

T
Tian Hou
TH Capital

Yeah, congratulations for good quarter. Thanks for taking my question. So the question is related to the content costs, so on one hand the purchasing costs on absolute dollar wise seems like it's going to be slower than last year. On the in house produced or professionally produced the content or self-produced content seems like it's going to go up. So I wonder on the percentage base that percentage of revenue - is this percentage is going to be flat with 2018 or slightly down compared with the 2018? And also regarding the member payments, so we do see some competition in the market, so do you see the trends of the member payment on the average basis slightly going down, what's the trend is going to be? That's the question. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this speaker is currently experiencing some technical difficulties, please stay on the line while we address the situation. Your line will be placed on music hold until the session resumes. Thank you. Once again, we are currently addressing some technical difficulties until such time your lines will be on music hold. Please continue to standby, we thank you for your patience. You have the speaker back in the room and you may continue. Your line is open.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, sorry for the inconvenience. I'll just try to answer the last question. If I remember correctly, I think the first one was sent in two parts. The first one is what percentage of like, say what the mix look like between in original content and licensed content from a, like, revenue perspective, and we didn't disclose that number particularly. But I can give you some idea. With said something about the original content account for like 10% of the total content cost versus the licensed content. And we also said that the monetization ability for original content is better than the licensed content. So you can have a rough idea of the revenue percentage of original content as a percent of total content. And the second one is whether the increase of subscriber has negative trends on the ARPU side because of the competition and we don't see that correct because you know actually I don't think pricing is a key driver of this business. I think the content and the user evolution is more important and typical driver, so no we don't see any negative trends on our side.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

[Interpreted] Dr. Gong would just add some more comments relating to Binnie's previous question. We have two main categories of self-produced content, one is, a variety shows that's for mainly for advertising monetization. For drama series previously we - its majority also targeted to drive membership growth, but not - less concentrated on the advertising business. Going forward, when we developed - when we plan on marketing our self-produced show -- produced drama series we'll be more balanced, the contribution for both such business and advertising business. The example you talked about Yanxi Palace that's not a very balanced example because that show, the video view, the traffic's would really stack up in the second half of the play. So advertisers could not previously, you know, set a very high target for them before the show was aired.

I think we can take one more question due to time limit.

Operator

Thank you. The final question will come from the line of Karen Chan of Jeffries. Please ask your question.

K
Karen Chan
Jefferies

Great, thank you management for taking my question, so just wondering if very quickly, are we maintaining our full year content cost guidance at 70% plus as percentage of revenue and also are we seeing any negative impact if at all on a scarcity of quality license content when we do procurement as a result of tighter tax inspection on top celebrities in China or top celebrities being much more low profile than they were previously? Thank you very much.

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

We don't provide official guidance for the content cost, but we do give some guidance on the trends of the content cost in year 2019. We said as content cost - the percent of revenue should be better than the second half of the year and probably slightly better. So that gives a rough idea on the range.

Y
Yu Gong
Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director

[Foreign Language]

[Interpreted] Actually for our pipeline this year or even next year we are very - we have plenty of content lined up with the top celebrities because they are previously signed and we have enough of pipeline of them. And secondly, if you look at our self-produced contents with those new actors and actress limited pay of RMB15million, I think one or two years later they will already be a new generation of stars. So we are very confident in that. Thank you

X
Xiaodong Wang
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating and you may all disconnect.