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Lifeway Foods Inc
NASDAQ:LWAY

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Lifeway Foods Inc
NASDAQ:LWAY
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Price: 24 USD 15.5% Market Closed
Updated: May 3, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2023 Analysis
Lifeway Foods Inc

Robust Growth and Profitability Surge in 2023

In 2023, sales climbed to $160.1 million, a notable 13.1% increase from the previous year. Gross profit margin expanded impressively by 760 basis points to 26.5%, attributed largely to higher volumes of branded products and favorable milk pricing. Cost efficiency was evident as SG&A expenses dropped to 15.6% from 16.9% of net sales, and net income skyrocketed to $11.4 million from $0.9 million, marking significant earnings per share growth to $0.77 and $0.75 for basic and diluted shares, respectively. Capital spending increased modestly to $4.4 million, supporting growth, cost reductions, and facility improvements.

Revenue and Growth

The year 2023 marked a significant milestone for Lifeway with net sales reaching $160.1 million, exhibiting a remarkable 13.1% rise over the previous year, primarily driven by higher volume of Lifeway branded drinkable kefir and some contribution from price increases implemented in the fourth quarter of 2022. The crescendo of the year was the highest quarterly net sales ever recorded at $42.1 million in Q4 and, notably, volume growth was a key player amidst this success, indicating a robust and faithful customer base.

Navigating Macro Challenges

Despite facing a macro environment riddled with high interest rates and inflation, Lifeway adeptly navigated through without facing a downtick in customer demand. This resilience under economic pressure is a strong testament to Lifeway's consumer loyalty and the intrinsic value of its products.

Profit Margins

The gross profit margin expanded impressively to 26.5% in 2023, up 760 basis points from the prior year. This was a result of higher volumes and favorable milk pricing. The margin impacts of 2022 were overcome with proactive operating discipline, yielding a stronger margin level, with expectations to maintain or improve these figures going forward.

Operational Costs and Net Income

Even though selling, general and administrative expenses saw a marginal uptick of $1 million, reaching $24.9 million for 2023, the efficiency of these expenses improved as they represented a lower percentage of net sales compared to the previous year. This indicates effective cost management aligning with growing revenues. Bolstered by top line growth and margin improvement, net income soared to $11.4 million, mirrored by an increase in EPS from $0.06 to $0.75-0.77 per share.

Investments in Innovation and Facilities

A focused approach toward growth capital, cost reduction, and facility improvements led to capital funding of $4.4 million for the year, aligning with the company's strategy to bolster production capabilities and efficiency. Celebrating a decade at the Waukesha, Wisconsin facility, Lifeway produced 30 million bottles of kefir, highlighting the fruits of the company's capital investments and operational excellence.

Product Portfolio Expansion

Lifeway is actively innovating to meet consumer demands with newer offerings like Guava Lowfat Kefir, organic whole milk products, and the introduction of Grassfed Kefir flavors. Another promising introduction is Kefir Plus, a probiotic shot that will potentially leverage the company’s presence at trade shows and meetings. Furthermore, the Farmer Cheese product has witnessed growing popularity, reflecting Lifeway’s agility in capitalizing on consumer trends.

Market Position and Health Focus

The company remains a dominant force in the U.S. kefir industry, continuously expanding its market reach. Lifeway’s emphasis on health and wellness with its probiotic-rich products aligns with consumer preferences, supporting gut health and overall well-being, which is especially pertinent given the rising health consciousness among consumers.

Advertising Efforts and Market Engagement

Lifeway is increasing its field marketing teams, hosting various events to connect with consumers on their wellness journeys. The company has maximized its presence through partnerships and has strategically engaged with the physical and digital retail spaces to drive customer exposure, trial, and retention of their probiotic products.

Forward-Looking Distribution Strategies

The company is expanding its distribution channels, including single-serve Lifeway Kefir in airport and travel retail locations, and Farmer Cheese in Midwest-based grocery chain Cub Foods. Lifeway has also found additional placement opportunities with retailers such as Publix, Gelson, and Kroger, further strengthening its market presence.

A Look to The Future

As Lifeway Foods strides into 2024, the company carries with it a momentum built on a series of company sales records, substantial profitability improvements, and a steady hand at the helm propelling its mission to deliver probiotic and nutritious foods to a health-conscious consumer base.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q4

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Operator

Good morning. Welcome to Lifeway Foods' Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Conference Call. On the call with me today is Julie Smolyansky, President and Chief Executive Officer.

By now, everyone should have access to the press release that went out this morning. If you have not received the release, it is available on the Investor Relations portion of Lifeway's website at www.lifewayfoods.com. A recording of this call will be available on the company's website.

Before we begin, we would like to remind everyone that the prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements. The words believe, expect, anticipate, and other similar expressions generally identify forward-looking statements. These statements do not guarantee future performance, and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed on them. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements. Lifeway assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking projections that may be made in today's release or call. All of the forward-looking statements contained herein speak only as of the date of this call.

And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Lifeway's Chief Executive Officer, Julie Smolyansky.

J
Julie Smolyansky
executive

Thank you, John, and good morning to everyone joining us today. As always, we greatly appreciate your interest in Lifeway Foods. I'm thrilled to be speaking with you today and to report an outstanding finish to our record-breaking 2023.

Before taking you through the numbers, I would first like to thank the entire Lifeway team, whose excellent efforts all year long allowed us to deliver seamless performance for all of our valued customers. Our strong results this year are a testament to your execution.

With that, I will now review our results for the full year of 2023. Net sales were $160.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, an increase of $18.6 million or 13.1% compared to the prior year and a record-high annual top line result for Lifeway. The net sales growth was primarily driven by higher volumes of our flagship Lifeway branded drinkable kefir, and to a lesser extent, the impact of price increases during the fourth quarter of 2022.

We are particularly pleased by the consistent volume growth we saw throughout the year, which outweighed the benefits from pricing and was a positive differentiator for us within the broader industry. This consistent volume growth illustrates both the stickiness of our active customer base and the effectiveness of our strategic sales and marketing investment at driving velocities in our core products.

It is important to note that this impressive year was culminated by our highest ever quarterly net sales of $42.1 million in the fourth quarter, which was our 17th consecutive quarter of year-over-year net revenue growth. This was our third consecutive quarter setting a Lifeway record on the top line. And this year, we grew sales sequentially in all 4 quarters.

Despite the challenging macro environment consumers faced in 2023 and continue to face today, including high interest rates and inflation, we have not experienced disruption or trade down on the demand side. And our strengthening results continue to demonstrate that Lifeway's premium products come at an exceptional value to our consumers focused on high quality and healthy products.

Naturally, our year-over-year laps will continue to get more challenging, yet our business is strong, and we are excited to keep driving growth. We reported a gross profit margin of 26.5% for the year ended December 31, 2023, increasing 760 basis points compared to the prior year. This impressive margin expansion was primarily due to the higher volumes of Lifeway branded products and the favorable impact of milk pricing and on a smaller scale, the inflation-justified price increase in 2022.

Following a period where we were hampered by the industry-wide inflation, we greatly prioritized recovery in our margin. Through our proactive operating discipline along with subsiding input costs, particularly favorable milk pricing, I'm pleased that we have now returned to a strong margin level.

I will note the margin impact in 2022 did carry over into the first quarter of 2023. And if you focus just on the last 3 quarters of 2023, we had a gross profit margin of 28%. We will continue to pursue incremental productivity and profitability measures in an effort to maintain and expand upon our current margin levels and believe as the shipment volumes of our Lifeway branded products grow, we will continue to become more efficient.

Now to our expenses. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased $1 million to $24.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to $23.9 million in the prior year. While net dollars increased, our SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased to 15.6% in 2023 compared to 16.9% in 2022. We are seeing great returns on our selling expenses as we invest strategically in growing brand exposure and driving velocities of our core Lifeway Kefir products and Farmer Cheese through targeted advertising and marketing.

Our net income during the year ended December 31, 2023, was $11.4 million, reflecting EPS of $0.77 per basic and $0.75 per diluted common share compared to net income of $0.9 million or $0.06 per basic and diluted common share in the prior year. This is a very strong expansion of profitability and illustrates that our top line and margin improvement is flowing through well to the bottom line.

Capital funding increased approximately $0.9 million to $4.4 million during the year ended December 31, 2023. The increase in cash used was in line with our planned increases in 2023 compared to 2022.

Our capital spending is focused on 3 core areas: growth capital, cost reduction and facility improvements. Growth capital spending supports new product innovation and enhancement. Cost reduction and facility improvements support manufacturing efficiency, safety and productivity.

Our CapEx spending is efficient, and we generate a strong return by installing additional tanks as we leverage existing infrastructure to scale the business. As we continue to grow, we continue to prepare and modernize our facilities to improve our internal efficiencies.

On that note, I'm happy to share that we are approaching our 10-year anniversary of operations in our Waukesha, Wisconsin facility, where we have continued growing production at a rapid rate. In 2023, we produced over 30 million bottles of kefir in our Waukesha plant, an amazing milestone, and I applaud our team there for their tremendous work.

Overall, this was an outstanding record-breaking year for Lifeway Foods. We delivered our highest ever top line results, which consistently grew throughout the year and was accompanied by major improvements in our key profitability metrics.

Our customers are sticking with us, delivering impressive volume growth despite macro pressures that have weighed on the broader industry. We believe this indicates that consumers' focus on healthy, high-quality and affordable food remains paramount. And our product portfolio is comprised of delicious, nutritious foods that check those boxes.

Lifeway's kefir products are tart and tangy and provide customers with probiotics, vitamin D and protein to help support their gut health, immunity and mental well-being. The probiotics in kefir support a healthy microbiome, and approximately 80% of immune [ defenses ] come from the gut.

Probiotic products such as kefir are the focus of intense research related to the microbiomes' role in stress, depression and anxiety. We now know that 98% of the body serotonin comes from gut cells and the gut brain access, which links the emotional and cognitive centers of the brain with our intestinal function and play a major role in happiness and well-being.

Just a few weeks ago, a recent study published in BMC Medicine concludes that kefir shows promise in improving gut health of ICU patients. Our flagship drinkable Lifeway Kefir continues to be a core driver of our business and helps us maintain our long-held dominant position within the U.S. kefir industry, a category we built and continue to expand.

With health and wellness as a tailwind to our consumer preferences, we believe the addressable market for kefir will continue to grow, and so will we. Customers love Lifeway Kefir because it's healthy, delicious and dynamic in its uses, and selling it is our #1 priority.

The majority of our time and investments will continue to be spent on our core products by way of strategic marketing and incremental distribution opportunities to drive brand awareness and trial. While we are focused on selling our core kefir, we are also evaluating trends in our space and seeking incremental sales to improve the scope of our products within the market. These insights often lead to product innovations within the drinkable kefir space to satisfy our consumers with differentiated assortment. For example, our Guava Lowfat Kefir and our organic whole milk product continues to see steady progress. Additionally, we recently introduced organic Grassfed Kefir flavors to meet growing consumer demand for grass-fed dairy.

Lastly, within kefir, our latest product, Kefir Plus, is a potent probiotic shot, which we're excited about unveiling at meetings and trade shows. Part of our constant evaluation in trends and opportunities leads us to pivot towards more sustainable and profitable endeavors. An example, as we have discussed previously, is our initiative to capitalize on heightened consumer interest in soft cheese products by further investing in Lifeway Farmer Cheese. Over the past few years, including in 2023, our Farmer Cheese has seen increased demand from customers and retailers.

Additionally, our Farmer Cheese is a logical healthy upgrade to the Blended Cottage Cheese recipes that have emerged and buzzed throughout social media in 2023. We have strategically activated media to drive engagement and have begun to increase cheese production and invest in more efficient production to match the increased demand.

I will now touch on some marketing and advertising updates. In the winter, we staffed up our field marketing teams and continued our experience-based marketing with numerous events. Recently, Lifeway Kefir and Farmer Cheese were featured alongside cravings mixes at a branch hosted by Chrissy Teigen during Natural Products Expo West. We're looking forward to Coachella next month, where Lifeway products will be featured at Camp Poosh activations with [ Irvin ]. We also have a packed spring and summer with participation at music festivals, yoga events and much more. We believe these in-person experiences will allow us to connect with our consumers on a deeper level during their wellness journeys.

We have continued increasing our investments in targeted advertising to our consumers who shop online and use retail websites for their product discovery. We further expanded these programs in Q1 of 2024 in an effort to capture healthy New Year's intention.

We advertise consistently on retailer e-commerce sites and generally e-commerce platforms such as Instacart to acquire new customers, grow basket size, introduce adjacent Lifeway offerings and build loyalty. Our e-commerce efforts are supported by search, display, social and influencer advertising to educate those unfamiliar with kefir and stimulate demand.

We also partnered with dietitians and experts for local news segments, where we are able to highlight our brand attributes and demonstrate how versus how Lifeway products are in smoothies, recipes and on the go. We employ a wide range of marketing tactics with public relations to support the growth of the kefir category and Lifeway specific products and initiatives.

In January 2024, we ran a large in-store promotion across many retailers, placing Lifeway branded products on visible end caps and creating new temporary refrigerated spaces to showcase our items. These interruptive placements help to expose new customers to the Lifeway brand and create kefir customers from customers who do not typically shop our section. Our online, in-person and in-store efforts are all coordinated to drive trial and boost retention.

Now I'll touch on some distribution updates. As we announced last quarter, we started working with a food service partner to begin stocking single-serve Lifeway Kefir at some airport and travel retail locations. This is a great opportunity to gain exposure to traveling customers seeking healthy food from around the country.

Farmer Cheese orders also began shipping in Q4 to Cub Foods, a Midwest-based grocery chain. We are excited by this development as we continue to drive awareness of our Farmer Cheese. We believe there are plenty of incremental distribution opportunities for the brand in the future.

Our relationships with our key retail partners remain very strong. And we maintain a constant dialogue with them as we seek incremental distribution opportunities that makes sense for each of our great products, including our top-performing kefir flavors, ProBugs and Farmer Cheese. We have recently seen incremental placements on Lifeway products at Publix, Gelson, Kroger and others.

Before closing the call, I would like once again to thank the Lifeway team for their incredible efforts in 2023. We have broken multiple company sales records throughout this year and delivered greatly enhanced profitability throughout the year, and that's a testament to the efforts of our team.

We have the right people in place to deliver exceptional results once more in 2024. I am so excited to carry this momentum into the year ahead and continue our mission to deliver best-in-class probiotic and nutritious foods to our health-conscious consumers.

With that, thank you very much for listening to this call today and your interest in Lifeway Foods. We look forward to updating you on our progress and momentum on our first quarter 2024 call. Have a nice day.

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