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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.
Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.
Good morning, and welcome to the Herman Miller's First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Kevin Veltman, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer.
Good morning, everyone. Joining me today on our first quarter earnings call are: Andi Owen, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Jeff Stutz, our Chief Financial Officer; and John McPhee, President of our Retail business. We have posted yesterday's press release on our Investor Relations website at hermanmiller.com. Some of the figures that we'll cover today are presented on a non-GAAP basis. We reconciled the GAAP and non-GAAP amounts in a supplemental file that can also be accessed on the website. Before we begin our prepared remarks, I will remind everyone that this call will include forward-looking statements. For information on factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements, please refer to the earnings press release we issued last night as well as our annual and quarterly SEC filings. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, we will have a Q&A session. Today's call is scheduled for 60 minutes. [Operator Instructions] With that, I'll now turn the call over to Andi.
Good morning, and thanks for joining us today. I'll begin the call with highlights of our quarterly results, followed by sharing progress that we've made on our strategic priorities. In the first quarter, we built on our momentum from last quarter by starting the fiscal year with strong growth in sales and orders led by our North America and Retail businesses. Consolidated sales grew 8% organically over last year while orders were up 7%. We were especially pleased to continue generating positive results in the face of the ongoing global trade tension impacting the broader geopolitical environment. Looking ahead, we're also seeing healthy levels of project opportunities in the pipeline. We've been encouraged to have more and more discussions with our customers about how we can assist in their efforts around attracting and retaining talent and help them design flexible, high-performing workspaces. These discussions often highlight the power of the entire Herman Miller group of brands to meet those needs. Complementing the growth in sales and orders, we posted improved gross margin this quarter which were up 70 basis points over the same quarter last year. At the same time, our teams continue to manage operating expenses very well. The combination of these factors helped drive another quarter of operating margin expansion with reported operating margin 160 basis points above the same quarter last year and adjusted operating margins that were higher by 90 basis points. We reported earnings per share on a GAAP basis of $0.81 during the quarter. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share of $0.84 reflected an increase of 22% over the same quarter last year. On the strategy front, we remain focused on the 4 strategic priorities that we shared at our May investor event. Let me summarize them briefly for you. First, we're being very intentional about unlocking the power of One Herman Miller to help leverage our amazing portfolio of brands and global capabilities to their fullest. Second, we're building a customer-oriented and digitally enabled business model aimed at reaching our aspirations in both the contract and retail spaces. Third, we have clear opportunities to accelerate profitable growth in each of our business segments. And finally, we believe now is the right time to reinforce our commitment to our people, our planet and to our communities in a more integrated and deliberate way than ever before. I'd like to share a few highlights of our progress over the last quarter. Our new digital platform to help our North American contract dealers visualize our product offering across all of our brands remains on an excellent adoption curve. Our dealer network users created over 50% more projects than last quarter with the new tool and have created over 3,500 projects since it was launched to support their selling efforts. As a next step in this rollout, we'll expand this capability to the EMEA region by the end of the fiscal year. This is just one of the ways that we are looking across our entire operation to ensure that we're easy to do business with for our customers, our dealers and our architect and design partners. Our profitability improvement initiative continues to gain traction as one of the key drivers in our aim to accelerate profitable growth. As we evaluate our progress to date, we're seeing greater potential for savings and are increasing our savings targets. Our original aim for $30 million to $40 million of gross savings has been revised to a target of $40 million to $45 million. We expect to achieve this run rate by the end of fiscal 2020 and finish the first quarter with an annual run rate savings of $36 million. As a reminder, in addition to supporting bottom line improvements, these savings are also aimed at helping fund growth initiatives and offsetting inflationary pressures such as tariffs. We have a long history of seeking to create a positive societal impact for our people, planet and the communities that we serve while at the same time creating value for our customers and our shareholders. As a result, we were encouraged by the recent Business Roundtable statement on the purpose of corporations to lead their companies for the benefit of all stakeholders. We have a number of initiatives we're working on around this priority. For example, we've been exploring the potential for a broader plan around reducing and ultimately eliminating our use of single-use plastics across our entire organization. As an initial step, we've largely eliminated single-use water bottles across our corporate offices. As Kevin mentioned, John McPhee is joining us today to share more about our growth trajectory for the Retail business. So let me turn the call over to John to provide some additional background.
Thank you, Andi. With sales growth of over 10% last year and 12% this quarter, the Retail business has been and continues to be a growth engine for Herman Miller. Importantly, there are a number of initiatives that we believe will help continue that momentum. First, our new state-of-the-art distribution center in Batavia, Ohio was fully operational at the end of the first quarter. While this transition has required short-term investments the past couple of quarters, it better positions our business to provide enhanced service and reliability to our customers over the long term. At the same time, the license that we acquired last year for the rights to bring the HAY design brand to North America is gaining traction. After establishing a HAY e-commerce site last year and opening the first 2 HAY studios in North America, we'll be opening our third HAY studio early this quarter, which will be located in the Lincoln Park area of Chicago. HAY's product line has been an important contributor to our growing Design Within Reach contract business as its furniture designs are a great fit for the residential styles that more offices are including in their floor plan. In addition to our early efforts for the HAY brand, we opened 3 new Design Within Reach studios in the fourth quarter of last year. While still in the early days, these studios represent promising locations for our brand and are off to a good start. One area where we've experienced pressure on our gross margin is related to net shipping cost. A major source of this pressure comes from growing consumer expectation that the products they purchase should come with free delivery. Compounding this issue is the fact that over the past several months, we've experienced increasing cost from freight providers. To help address this, we are currently piloting a range of shipping models where we expect to gain important knowledge over the coming months about how to better position product and delivery pricing for our space. On the cost front, we are in the midst of evaluating strategic sourcing strategies and optimizing our outlet store footprint to minimize shipping costs related to returns. Finally, we've been building new capabilities across our team with recent additions to our sales and marketing leadership team, bringing fresh perspectives to pair with our existing knowledge of the market. While we are partnering closely with our Chief Digital Officer to build new digital capabilities, including initial work around optimizing our e-commerce platforms and mapping customer journeys with a goal of finding ways to make the buying process as seamless as possible for our customers. On the profitability side, our investments in a new distribution center, ramping up HAY and the initial drag on earnings from studios that have been open less than a year and related preopening costs were an estimated $5.5 million during the quarter. Even after considering these short-term investments, our operating performance is not where we want it to be and we are laser-focused on driving operating margin improvement in this business. As we continue to lean into scaling the business, we see the opportunity over time for high single digit operating margins for our Retail business. At the same time, I'm energized by the passion that our retail teams bring each and every day to making authentic, modern design accessible to our customers. With that retail overview, I'll now turn the call over to Jeff for further discussion of our financial results in the quarter.
Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. Consolidated net sales in the first quarter of $671 million were 7% above the same quarter last year on a GAAP basis and up 8% organically after adjusting for the impact of year-over-year changes in foreign currency rates. New orders in the period of $677 million were 7% above last year. Within our North America Contract segment, sales were $458 million in the first quarter, representing an increase of 9% from last year. New orders were $468 million in the quarter, up 10% over last year. Order growth in North America was broad-based across all project size categories and from a sector standpoint was led by business services, information technology and the U.S. federal government, partially offset by lower demand in health care and financial sectors. Our International Contract segment reported sales of $114 million in the quarter, a decrease of 1% compared to last year on a reported basis and slightly above last year organically. New orders of $117 million were 7% below the same quarter last year on a reported basis and 5% lower organically. I think it's important to note that the international business faced challenging growth comparisons for the quarter. To put this in perspective, in the first quarter of last year, the international business posted organic sales and order growth of 22% and 14%, respectively. We believe this is important context for you to consider as you evaluate the performance of our international business this quarter. To be clear, this business has been a key contributor to our growth in recent years both on a top and bottom line perspective. And tough comparisons aside, it factors heavily into our strategy for driving continued growth in the future. With that background, lower year-over-year demand levels were experienced in the EMEA region as well as India, while we've continued to see growth in the rest of Asia Pacific, Mexico and Brazil. Our Retail business segment reported sales in the quarter of $99 million, an increase of 12% from the same quarter last year. New orders for the quarter of $92 million were 11% ahead of last year and sales growth for the quarter was primarily driven by growth from Design Within Reach contract, the HAY brand, new studios and outlet stores. As John mentioned earlier, the first quarter reflected investments in new studio growth, a new warehouse and launching the HAY brand, all of which are initiatives that we expect will support continued sales growth and improved operating margins as we move forward. From a currency translation perspective, the general strengthening of the U.S. dollar relative to year ago levels was a headwind to sales growth this quarter. We estimate the translation impact from the year-over-year changes in currency rates had an unfavorable impact on consolidated net sales of approximately $2 million in the period. Consolidated gross margins in the first quarter were 36.7%, which reflect an increase from 36% in the same quarter last year. This gross margin expansion was driven by manufacturing leverage on higher production volumes, favorable price realization and lower steel cost, along with our ongoing profit improvement initiatives. These benefits help mitigate gross margin pressures at the consolidated level from tariffs and within our Retail business from increased net freight expenses and transition costs related to the new distribution center. Operating expenses in the first quarter of $184 million compared to $178 million in the same quarter last year. The current quarter included $400,000 of special charges related to the vesting of key employee incentive expenses associated directly with our CEO transition. By comparison, we recorded special charges totaling $5 million in the first quarter last year. Exclusive of these items, the year-over-year increase in operating expenses of $11 million resulted mainly from higher variable selling expenses and costs in our Retail business related to occupancy, marketing and staffing for new retail studios and the launch of the HAY brand in North America. Restructuring charges recorded in the first quarter of $1.8 million related to actions associated with our profit improvement initiatives, including an early retirement program initiated last quarter within North America and facility consolidation projects in the U.K. and China. On a GAAP basis, we reported operating earnings of $60 million in the quarter compared to operating earnings of $46 million in the year ago period. Excluding restructuring and other special charges, adjusted operating earnings this quarter were $62 million or 9.3% of sales. And by comparison, we reported adjusted operating income of $52 million or 8.4% of sales in the first quarter last year. And the effective tax rate for the quarter was 21%. And then finally, net earnings in the first quarter totaled $48 million or $0.81 per share on a diluted basis compared to $36 million or $0.60 per share in the same quarter a year ago. Excluding the impact of restructuring and other special charges, adjusted diluted earnings per share this quarter totaled $0.84 compared to adjusted earnings of $0.69 per share in the first quarter of last year. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Kevin to give us an update on our cash flow and balance sheet.
Thanks, Jeff. Before I review our cash flow and balance sheet highlights, let me start with a brief overview of a recent refinancing transaction. Effective on August 28, we refinanced our existing revolving credit facility. As part of this transaction, we upsized our revolver by $100 million from $400 million to $500 million and extended the maturity of the facility by 5 years to August of 2024. After this transaction, the available capacity on our facility stood at $265 million at the end of the quarter. With that background, let me move to commentary on the first quarter. We ended the quarter with total cash and cash equivalents of $160 million which was slightly higher than the cash on hand last quarter. Cash flows from operations in the first quarter were $53 million, reflecting an increase of 60% over the same quarter of last year. Increased earnings were the primary driver of higher operating cash flows in the quarter. Capital expenditures were $19 million in the quarter. Cash dividends paid in the quarter were $12 million. As a reminder, last quarter, we announced an increase of 6% in our quarterly dividend rate that will be paid beginning in October. This increase brings our expected annual payout level to approximately $49 million. We also continued our share repurchase program with repurchases of $8 million during the quarter. We remain in compliance with all debt covenants and as of quarter end our gross debt-to-EBITDA ratio was approximately 0.9:1. Given our current cash balance, ongoing cash flow from operations and total borrowing capacity, we remain well positioned to meet the financing needs of our business moving forward. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Jeff to cover our sales and earnings guidance for the second quarter of fiscal 2020.
Okay. Thank you, Kevin. We expect sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2020 to range between $685 million and $705 million. The midpoint of this range implies an organic revenue increase of 7% compared to the same quarter last fiscal year. We expect consolidated gross margin in the second quarter to range between 36.6% and 37.6%. This midpoint gross margin forecast is 100 basis points higher than the second quarter of fiscal 2019, reflecting improved production leverage, lower steel prices and net benefits from our ongoing profit improvement initiatives. Operating expenses in the second quarter are expected to range between $189 million and $193 million. We anticipate earnings per share to be between $0.85 and $0.89 per share in the period, and our assumed effective tax rate is expected to be between 21% and 23%. With that, I'll now turn the call over to the operator, and we'll take your questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Budd Bugatch with Raymond James.
Congratulations on a nice start to the fiscal year. A couple of questions, if I could. Let's talk a little bit about gross margin. It was most notable in terms of the segments in the retail segment. You addressed it qualitatively and perhaps directionally, but can we get a little more clarity and maybe some data on the impact of commodities, tariffs and what the new distribution center transition cost that you called out for and what that looks like going forward for the next quarter or in the next couple of quarters?
Yes. Budd, this is Jeff. I'll start. John is here. So chime in, John, with any color you have. So -- and just to clarify, Budd, you want just retail or do you want to get a sense for cost, price pressures and benefits for the consolidated group?
Both, if I could. I mean we do segment model the company, and we obviously like to carry that forward with -- for consolidated results.
Yes, yes. So let me start with the consolidated numbers, Budd, and then we can talk -- we can kind of dig into a few comments on the retail segment. So for the quarter, I'll talk year-over-year. I'll just give you kind of a walk-through of some of the major drivers on gross margins. All in all, we were up about 70 basis points. Tariff pressures on a gross basis, of course, this is before any of the actions that we've taken, which will be -- I'll cover in some of the other category here, 90 basis points of pressure year-on-year. In the Retail business specifically, the impact of the net freight pressures that we referenced on the prepared remarks, about 50 basis points of pressure at the consolidated level. The distribution center move by itself, and John can provide further color on this, of course. That's probably another 40 basis points year-on-year on the gross margin, negative. And then offsetting that, we had this combination of profit improvement initiatives that we've talked a lot about, along with some specific pricing actions that have been taken in the business, accounted for about 210 basis points of benefit year-on-year. And then steel and commodity prices also now a help to our gross margins about 40 basis points of benefit. So I did my math right, that should get you close.
Well, you got 250 of -- and this is -- taken consolidated, 250 of good guys, and I heard 130 of bad guys. That's 120. What did I miss? Tariffs of 90, the other one of negative 40 of, I can't even read my own writing.
Budd, let me just walk you through them one more time here quick just so that we're all on the same page. Tariffs of 90 pressure, freight-related expenses in the Retail business pressure year-on-year of about 50 basis points, the DC move within the Retail business about 40 basis points, pricing and profit improvement initiatives collectively benefit year-on-year of about 210, and steel and commodities account for another about 40 basis points of benefit.
Got you. Okay. That's right. I missed the 50 as a separate item. Okay. That's very helpful. And going forward, Jeff, how do you think they play out? What happens as you look forward?
Yes, sure. So our guide for the second quarter implies kind of the following headline assumptions. Tariffs, we think are -- continue to be a pressure year-on-year, about 60 basis points we would estimate. The freight pressures within the Retail business, we think are on the same order of magnitude year-on-year, probably somewhere 50 to 60 basis points of pressure. Pricing and profit initiatives, similar as well year-on-year. I'd call it maybe 190 to 200 basis points of benefit are assumed. Steel and commodities, we start to see a little bit more benefit from steel and commodity prices, mainly steel-driven just if you look at the directional -- the direction of the steel index, it's actually been drifting down, and so we should see about 70 basis points of benefit next quarter. And then other puts and takes, including mix, by the way, probably another 30 basis points of pressure. So all in, I think our guide implies about 110 basis points of year-over-year improvement.
And then if you move to the quarterly, that goes away.
Correct. The DC move is largely done at this point. And then, John, I don't know if you'd add anything to that at all, any additional color?
It was a huge undertaking in the quarter, but we moved about 700 containers worth of merchandise besides the regular ongoing receipt of new goods coming in from the old facility into the new state-of-the-art facility in Batavia, Ohio. I was down there last week. It's up running and really will be a positive going forward where it was a drain during the quarter.
And so the delta for the transition cost were primarily the freight of moving goods, one from the other, that don't repeat, right? That's the nature of the cost?
That would be one of the elements. We also, of course, on a GAAP basis, were paying double rent. So we were paying rent on the old facility and the new facility. And just the cost of getting everything put away and into the new location. So all the stuff involved with that move, but we are completely out of the old facility at this point and fully operational. We'd love to have you see it at some point out of the new facility.
And is there a delta in depreciation now that the new facility is up and operational? How does that work?
Yes, Budd. There's going to be some additional depreciation drag. It's included in the guide. I don't have that number off the top of my head. It's going to be incremental, a bit higher than the old as you would imagine.
Okay. Just a couple of other questions. I know I got to limit myself to 3. The digital efforts, which is, obviously, of interest to many investors. How is that working in the retail side? Can you give us some color of the mix of e-commerce business? What are you seeing on that mix? And since DWR is both a retail business and ultimately maybe some contract, can you give us some flavor as to how those revenues and profitability are working because obviously the profitability is a major issue.
Yes. And Budd, let me start off with a little bit on the digital transformation efforts and then I'll turn it over to John. We don't break out this business in segments, so I'll say that we've kicked off a really large-scale effort to upgrade our e-commerce experience. So starting with documenting customer journeys, improved functionality, some with advanced new visualization, configuration capabilities, and also expanding our e-commerce presence across brands and geographies. So this is a pretty major undertaking and that is underway. We're also on the contracts side looking at continued adoption of MRL and we'll continue, as I said in our prepared remarks, in that internationally. We're also looking at launching 2 separate data analytics senior positions and a data analytics capability. So along with the improved e-commerce presentation and face, we'll also have a larger and much more capable data analytics thing to back that up. And then we are looking at AB testing right now for help with our retail shipping models when we evaluate shipping freight and shipping revenue. We're testing a variety of things to determine what our next steps are going to be there. And then also looking at new pricing platform and products platform. So loading all of our products into one database so we could easily access them across all of our brands and then looking at ways that we can price more quickly. So there's additional effort around e-commerce that is far-reaching, improving our customer experience, improving our speed, improving our presence to the customer, understanding our customer better, and then there's also the IT backbone investment that we're making around product, that we're making around how we interact with our dealers on the contract side of the business. As far as the e-commerce side of the business in retail versus the bricks-and-mortar side, obviously, e-commerce is growing as it is in every other retailer at a large rate. So we continue to think that HAY will be a very, very, very important e-commerce presence. So we continue to expect to see growth from both of those areas. And John, I don't know what you'd add to that.
I would just say that we're looking for both quick wins and long-term wins.
Yes.
And so we're implementing, at the end of this month, a series of changes to the DWR.com site first. And then based upon success there, we'll be rolling that out across our other platforms, hermanmiller.com and HAY.com. And then, there's other projects that will take a little bit longer. And as Andi mentioned, going to One Herman Miller and being able to share product information seamlessly across our businesses will be a huge advantage going forward.
Okay. I'm sure others will get into more -- try to get more on the specifics on the e-com side. Just last for me. Kevin, you did talk about the new revolver. Any changes to interest structure -- interest rate structure on any of that debt, commitment fee, differential, the rate differential?
Yes. The new deal, so we upsized it by $100 million to provide more liquidity. Our interest grid improved a bit in a couple of spots. The spot we're at on the grid, it'll be roughly the same going forward from an interest expense perspective.
And anything on the commitment fee since you've upsized it? Do you have more interest expense from that?
The amounts were somewhat similar to what we paid last time on a larger deal. So the basis points came down a bit. So that'll flow through at a pretty similar run rate.
And our next question comes from Steven Ramsey with Thompson Research.
I wanted to start with the Specialty -- the old Specialty segment inclusion in North America. How the turnaround in those units is going? I mean clearly, good to see a strong result on the whole segment when you include the old segment in. So just trying to get color on the headwind of those segments and the benefit, if there was improvement.
Steven, this is Jeff. I'll start with a few comments and then, certainly, Andi join in. So I want to be real careful. Hopefully, you understand. We're reporting the business on the basis of the combined segment now, so I'm not going to give a ton of detail on the individual businesses. What I will say is, on the contract side, all of these businesses are largely contract-focused and those businesses are continuing to see collectively the kind of growth rates that we're generally speaking, talking about in total. So good uplift in the majority of those businesses. As you know, prior to making the change, we've talked a bit about this on past calls, we have one of our subsidiaries that's health care-focused that it's actually seeing pretty good top line growth in the last -- as we closed last fiscal year, but we were struggling a little bit with kind of getting that translate to bottom line profitability. That work is ongoing. And we are taking that whole process very seriously and we've actually made some improvements there. So I'm not going to give you a detailed color around each of those businesses, but I can tell you, generally speaking, the businesses reflect the kind of contract growth that we're reporting in total.
Yes. I would say, we see nice growth across all the segment. But to add to that, Steven, what we've also seen as we think about One Herman Miller and we bring all of these contract partners under one leader and one sales force, it's how we're showing it to the customer and how we're showing it to the A&D community. We really simplified our approach and made it easier for them to access many of these brands and in some cases, I think, built awareness that we are all part of one group. So I think that piece of ease of operation and efficiency is definitely showing up across the board.
Excellent. And then I know this is a sensitive topic, but maybe high level you can talk to any resistance to pricing and getting pricing in recent months it seems from not necessarily peers, but in various companies and different channels, some resistance to pricing as further tariffs are being implemented.
None that we've seen at this time.
Great. And then in international, just thinking about on the top line, was it purely a comps issue or is there any fundamental slowing of demand there? And then on the gross margin improvement, with the slight pullback in sales, is that just a function of mix or is that a function of pricing that you've put through in the past flowing through?
I would say it's primarily comps, Steven. If you look at the performance of international in Q1 of last year, their 2-year comps are still in the 20s which we're pretty happy with. We had some very large projects in our India region last year. The one place where we have seen slowdown, which is no surprise, is the U.K. And that's been happening a while with the Brexit uncertainty, but we still see strong growth in APAC and Lat Am. And we have overall a lot of confidence in our international businesses. From a gross margin perspective, and Jeff, please add color to this. We've had a lot of efficiency that we've seen from our combination of our manufacturing facilities in Dongguan in Asia, and that's really helped us to capture some improved profitability across the international region as well. And I would just say a shout-out to the international team and our teams in general. We've done an excellent job of managing operating expense and profitability this quarter in the face of some really interesting challenges. So I think the team deserves some credit for their ability to turn in that profit performance with declining sales.
Great.
Yes, Steven, this is Jeff. I think that's spot on. The one little bit I'd add to that on the gross margin side is, that's a business now where we're seeing for a long time that business just didn't have the volume running through the various operations to tell a similar leverage story as we would historically get in our North American manufacturing operations. We're seeing more volume run through the factory now. Their ops teams have done an amazing job, and I think we're benefiting on leverage basis in a way that we have historically as well.
And our next question comes from Matt McCall with Seaport Global.
I actually wanted to follow up on one of Steven's questions. So Jeff, you gave when you broke down about the different buckets of puts and takes, you said 210 basis points from price and profit improvement. What about just price? Did you have price enough offset your cost if there was any inflation or the tariff impact? Were you price/cost positive without the profit improvement effort?
Yes. We were.
Okay. I should have followed that up with, if so, how much?
It's not that great that anybody has to know.
Yes. That's why I asked it, so sorry. Yes, but -- so what was the price/cost benefit? And then when you think about the price/cost outlook, just given what you said about steel, what does that turn into just the pricing side?
Yes. Probably a 100 basis points of the number I gave you, net of the tariff impact.
And is that -- so that was the Q1. What about in the guide?
Same order of magnitude, Matt.
Okay. Okay. All right. So maybe, Andi, you mentioned a comment, the Business Roundtable. I think the actual metric yesterday wasn't as encouraging. We've actually written similar things about some of the macro factors we're watching. But clearly, you guys aren't seeing the impact of that. And it sounds like the pipeline is good. So can you talk about why is that not more concerning? It doesn't sound like you're calling out any indications of concern from your dealers, anything like that. What do you think is driving the strength despite what appears to be a little bit of a moderation in the macro?
I think what we're still hearing, I'm out with customers and the A&D community all the time, we're still hearing that the war for talent is really contributing to people looking at their workspaces, people understanding how they can provide places that people want to work. We aren't seeing a slowdown there. The funnel looks good on a 4-month basis, on a long-term basis. Our A&D partners, even the architectural billings have been down slightly if you look at the long-term in the last 6 months or 12 months. We aren't seeing anything that's out there that are concerning to us right now. Now obviously, as everyone else is doing, we're watching carefully. But right now, we really feel the war for talent. We really feel American companies and consumers are strong. Jeff, you have something to add?
No, I think that's right, accurate.
Okay. Okay. And then I guess the -- let's see, 2 more quick ones. The SG&A outlook, it looks like there's a little deleveraging on a year-over-year basis implied if we did our math right. Is there anything you want to call out or explain there or did we do our math wrong?
No. I think you're right, Matt. I think there's a couple of things. Number one, we're off to a good start on the fiscal year. So I expect -- and again, this is the year-over-year, I assume, your math is based on.
Yes.
There's going to be some drag from incentive bonus accruals assuming we can keep the pace, right? That won't be earned if we don't earn it. It won't be paid if we don't earn it. But right now that's what the guide implies. That's part of the answer. I think in fairness to, some of this is -- Andi alluded to some of the investment we're making on various digital fronts, all actions that we think are mission critical to the strategic direction of the company. Some of that's going to require some incremental investment, and I think that's what would represent the balance of what you're seeing largely.
Yes. For sure.
Okay. And then last one. You took your targeted savings or your savings target up, what drove that change? What changed with your outlook?
Yes, Matt, this is Jeff, again. It kind of alludes to pricing. I think our pricing realization has been a bit better than we had earlier anticipated. And as a result of that, that really accounts for the majority of the difference.
Okay. So pricing is lumped in with the profit improvement effort?
That's why I lumped them together in my walk, Matt, because there are certain pricing actions that we've taken that I would classify kind of act outside of the specific profit initiatives that we've been talking about. But at the end of the day, some of our profit improvement initiatives have been very directly associated with price action. And so it's a little hard to draw the bright line in between the 2. We've somewhat considered them collectively in our internal -- in how we've operated the business internally so that's why I lumped them together. But yes, there's some in both buckets.
And our next question comes from Greg Burns with Sidoti & Company.
I just had a question about retail demand trends. We've seen the -- it looks like the comparable brand sales and the growth there has slowed down a little bit. So I just wanted to get your view on the outlook for growth in the retail segment? And if you think you can kind of maintain the current pace given that the comparable brand sales have been a bit lower than reported revenue growth?
Greg, this is John McPhee. So one of the things with this DC move was it slowed our deliveries during the quarter, which impacts future sales going forward, right? We had to publish that due to the transition, our delivery times would be a little longer than historically they would have been. And so we have some pressure there. But overall, I believe that the trend is positive. And certainly having the move behind us will allow our team to put a 100% of their focus back on selling. So that should be positive going forward.
Okay. And then from a profitability perspective for that segment. I know the DC move is behind you. So maybe some of the duplicate costs are rolling off. But what's your view on -- what's your profit outlook for that segment of the business for the remainder of the year. Do you foresee that getting back to positive operating earnings sometime this year?
Greg, this is Jeff. Yes. So we outlined a number of things on our prepared remarks that we feel are temporary cost pressures in the business. Among them is the kind of near-term items that are, I think, behind us related to the DC move. There are some additional costs that I would characterize as they will be ongoing and we will ramp into improved profitability as we begin to leverage them. We talked about investment in the launch of the HAY brand as an example. The effect of having 6 stores today that weren't in place a year ago at this time and the fairly well-documented data across our store portfolio would suggest that, that takes a period of time for those stores to mature. And so if you factor all of those out, we think going forward, our guide for Q2, first of all, would imply something closer to breakeven operating margin for the quarter. So I'll just be clear on that. But as we get into the back half of the year, we believe we start to see the ramp-up of profitability against some of those investments. We're like closer to 3% to 5% in the back half as we kind of get toward Q4 op margins for that business. And then our job is to continue to ramp it beyond that. And we do believe that, that's possible, going to take a little bit of time.
Okay. Great. That's helpful. And then are your dealers currently selling HAY? Do they have access to sell those products yet?
Yes. We localized several families of products throughout the first couple of quarters of the year. They have access to those products as well as product that we can manufacture or outsource that we're ramping up sales in our dealer network in North America. And then as we work towards expanding HAY, we'll continue to have that same presence in other countries of the world, but so far HAY has been very strong.
Okay. Great. And then lastly, you talked about the digital efforts on the retail side, but on the contract side, what percent of your dealers have adopted those new digital tools? And maybe if you can just give us a little bit of color on the effect it has had on your orders? Like have you seen an increase in your wallet share at your dealers at the ones that have adopted the new digital tools?
I can't speak to increase in wallet share at this point, but what I can say is that in the dealers that have adopted -- and the majority of our dealers have and will continue to. Again, it's a gradual rollout dealer to dealer. What we've heard from our dealers over time is that we're very complicated to work with and also that it takes a lot of time to visualize and specify our product. What we're hearing from them is that they are saving anywhere from 30% to 50% time. So taking them that much less time to actually design and specify the product. So that's helping them hire less designers, use the designers they have more effectively and spend more time with customers. So we anticipate we will see an increase in wallet share. And we also anticipate we'll just see better interactions with our dealers and more time savings from them. And Kevin, would you have anything to add?
No. I think the point is we definitely hit in North America a pretty good cross section of the dealer base, certified dealer network, that type of thing. I think that 3,500 products -- projects that had been visualized using this new tool starts to show the adoption. It was up nicely sequentially from last quarter. But we're still only a couple of quarters in. So to Andi's point, the key is freeing up time for our designers and salespeople to focus on the customer and spend time with them.
Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back to Andi Owen for any closing remarks.
Great. Thanks, Catherine. Thank you all for joining today's call. We will, of course, get back to you in December with another progress update. And I hope that you all have a great day. Talk to you soon.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now all disconnect.