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Weibo Corp
NASDAQ:WB

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Weibo Corp
NASDAQ:WB
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Price: 9.675 USD 4.14% Market Closed
Updated: May 6, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2017-Q4

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to Weibo Reports Fourth Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Now, I would like to hand the conference over to your first speaker for the day, Ms. [ Wel Lee ]. Over to you, ma'am.

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you, Operator. Welcome to Weibo's 2017 fourth quarter earnings conference call. Joining me today are our Chairman of the Board, Charles Chao; our Chief Executive Officer, Gaofei Wang; and our VP, Finance, Fei Cao. The conference call is also being broadcasted on Internet and is available through Weibo's IR website. Before the management presentation, I'd like to read you the safe harbor statement in connection with today's conference call. During the course of this conference call, we may make forward-looking statements, statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Weibo assumes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements in this conference call and elsewhere. Further information regarding this and other risks is included in Weibo's annual report on Form 20-F and other filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release is current as of the date hereof, and Weibo assumes no obligation to update such information, except as required under applicable law. Additionally, I want to remind you that our discussion today includes certain non-GAAP measures, which excludes stock-based compensation and certain other expenses. We use non-GAAP financial measures to gain a better understanding of Weibo's comparative operating performance and future prospects. Our non-GAAP financial excludes certain expenses, gains or losses and other items that are not expected to result in future cash payments or that are nonrecurring in nature and will not be indicative of our core operating results and outlook. Please refer to our press release for more information about our non-GAAP measures. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the lines for a brief Q&A session. With this, I would like to turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Gaofei Wang.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you. Hello, everyone, and welcome to Weibo's fourth quarter and full year 2017 earnings call.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

On today's call, I will share a few key updates in Weibo's user growth, product development and monetization, review of the progress that we have made in 2017 and then share with you our strategic plans for 2018.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Let me first discuss fourth quarter financial results. We continued to see strong revenue and the user growth in the fourth quarter of 2017. Our total revenue reached $377.4 million, up 77% year-over-year. Advertising and marketing revenue reached $332.3 million, up 77% year-over-year, with a 79% of our ad revenue coming from mobile. Non-GAAP net income was $146 million, up 90% year-over-year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Weibo's total revenue for fiscal year 2017 reached $1.15 billion, up 75% year-over-year, which is our fastest growth since IPO. Advertising and marketing revenue reached $996.7 million, up 75% year-over-year. Non-GAAP net income reached $405.7 million, up 121% year-over-year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Weibo's robust revenue growth and operating efficiency in 2017 are derived from the following 3 areas. First, continuous user growth and the diversifying social product features have made Weibo the primary channel for advertisers to [indiscernible] their marketing campaigns. Second; as a result of our efforts to further improve user engagements on Weibo, enhance our content distribution system, we offer a full spectrum of advertising and marketing products and solutions tailored to different customer segments from individuals to SMEs to key accounts. This increase is customers' recognition towards Weibo's social marketing ability and overall value proposition. Lastly; Weibo's social network has been further optimized in 2017, effectively enhancing our operating efficiency and monetization.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

On the user front, Weibo's monthly active users reached 392 million in December, up 25% year-over-year. Average daily active users in December reached 172 million, up 24% year-over-year. In December, 93% of Weibo's MAU were mobile. In 2017, our MAUs increased nearly 79 million and the DAUs increased 33 million, representing a larger user base increase than in 2016.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Throughout 2017, Weibo's position as the leading social media platform in China has been further solidified and the competitiveness of Weibo's ecosystem continues to improve, even under the increasingly competitive China's mobile Internet market. Weibo provides a platform for millions of users to discover information, share and express their views and engage in conversations on topics of their interest. At the same time, Weibo presents a medium for a large number of content creators to display their talents to the world and [ easily ] provides a platform to monetize the contents being created and ultimately capitalize their personal value through the [indiscernible] it has accumulated.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

In discussing our operational updates for the fourth quarter, I will cover Weibo's progress in the following areas.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

As a reminder, the ecosystem of Weibo's platform is developed around 3 core components: users, content and customers. Our rapidly growing user base enables content creators to continuously build social apps and leverage our continuously improving products to pursue their monetization aspirations. This promotes the creation of higher quality content that has been shared and distributed on Weibo, attracting more users, starting conversation and the distribution and thereby increasing our user base and user engagement. This social and interest networks formed by the users then act as a distribution channel, which, through our services and products, to help us establish more effective connection between our users and customers, increasing Weibo's marketing effectiveness. As these 3 components come into play and [ win ] for one another, Weibo continues -- increases in size and value, strengthening our competitive position in the social media industry. My operational update will elaborate in these 3 areas.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

As Easter rolls around, we see that the growth of our mobile Internet user has begun to slowdown in 2017 as we are facing a increasingly competitive landscape. However, as our network impact further expands and the social platform feature continues to strengthen, we were able to leverage and strengthen Weibo's competitive advantage in user acquisition to support further user growth. On the channel investments; our strategic cooperation with the smartphone manufacturers and top apps continued to deepen, benefiting from our growing marketing and the products integration as well as resources exchanges. As a result, we have maintained relatively lower user acquisition costs than those of our peers even under the current competitive market condition.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Throughout 2017, we increased our strategic efforts and investments in user product development to improve user engagement. As we gather more data from user interests and the social behaviors, our strategy to invest in machine learning has begun to scale and we continue to see the benefits from this investment. In December 2017, among Weibo's MAUs, the number of recall users increased over 50% year-over-year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

On the product level, the competitive landscape towards interest-based information feeds and the UGC short video has increased in mobile Internet industry in 2017. Both have been the key drivers for user growth and will also be our main focus around product development in 2018. We completed structural change on Weibo's core information feeds product in 2017 to include both social relationship-based information feeds and interest-based information feeds on the home timeline of Weibo's app. Relationship-based information feeds now are prioritized to content-based on the social interactions and the timeliness of content distribution, whereas interest-based information feeds are generated through user interests on the content consumption. This change is important to us and has further enhanced Weibo's unique competitive advantages in social media industry.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

In 2017, we saw Weibo's interest-based information feeds rapidly gain popularity among users to consume content. In December, the number of users who refreshed interest-based information feeds and the interest-based information feeds that were refreshed nearly doubled from last year. This has helped us rapidly enter the news media market and we have noted a rise in the retention and engagement of users who used to be less active. Moreover, increasing the exposure of contents on news media and the top content creators in interest-based information feeds enable more exposure of UGC in relationship with information feeds. This will promote more UGC on Weibo, construct more user social relations and strengthen our social attributes.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Moreover, we have increased our investment in UGC short video products in 2017. The scale of UGC short videos have increased a few products such as Weibo Stories. In December, the number of users who post the Weibo Stories daily increased sequentially by more than 50% and the Weibo Story and the use have maintained rapid growth. In 2018, we will increase our investment in UGC short video products. Besides optimizing Weibo Story content creation experience, we will focus on enhancing the user consumption experience of UGC short video within our information feed, allowing Weibo to be more competitive in the market and the barter, promoting user growth in lower tier cities.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

In 2018, we plan to increase our investments through the following strategies. First, we will deepen our partnership with the smartphone manufacturers, TV programs and top 8 apps. In addition to pre-installing the Weibo app on our smartphone, we plan to expand the cooperation in content to increase the efficiency in user application. Second, we will increase our investments in machine learning to improve the precision in matching user interest to recommended account and the content and optimize content consumption and experience for users with varying level of engagements so as to further increase user engagement. Third, we will continue to increase our investments in products to strengthen our social attributes. Thus, we will further enhance the social content production and maintain the user social relation as our top priority for content distribution to amplify the social features of the platform and to differentiate ourselves from the market. In 2018, given the current competitive landscape, we believe the investments will expand the scale of our platform, enhance our social network impact and balance Weibo's growth over the long-term.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Turning to content, short video remains as the top priority for us this year. We perceive video to become the primary media format for our users to record, share and communicate with one another. In 2017, short videos continued to grow rapidly, reaching more users than ever before. The number of video shared and the video views also grew meaningfully. In December, short video posts and short video views doubled from last year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

One of our key focuses in 2017 was promoting the growth of short video to strengthen our partnership with the top self-media accounts and the major media IP content organizations, working cohesively to improve Weibo's short video content ecosystem. In addition to encouraging top self-media accounts to produce more video content, we are supporting them through better traffic distribution and accumulating social assets. In December, daily short video posts from top self-media accounts grew by more than 50% year-over-year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Second, Weibo's partnership with the multiple large media and app e-content organization have generated impressive results. For example, Weibo has become the main online platform for traditional media in China to distribute their content, partnering with the media such as the CCTV and People's Daily to promote 19th CPC National Congress. During the 19th CPC National Congress, short videos posted by split media were 35% of the total content posted and the latest short video views reached around 3 billion views. In entertainment vertical, in 2017 we partnered with the 7 top TV channels, 3 online video websites based on IP content of TV series and the variety shows, successfully promoting various TV series and the variety shows, including The Rap of China and the drama series such as Day and Night. In December, short videos related to TV series and the variety shows grew by more than two-fold, allowing Weibo TV channels and online video websites to effectively partner and collaboratively deliver content, further reinforcing Weibo's leadership in the entertainment vertical.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

As we noted last year, one of our focuses has been to further to verticalize content, building stronger engagements through our advert level. By December, we have partnered with more than 1,300 MCNs, growing by nearly 300 MCNs from last quarter. In December, the number of top content creators, daily posts by top content creators and the monthly views all maintained rapid growth for us last year. Moreover, the monetization of the self-media continued to spread on Weibo's platforms in 2017. Advertising, social commerce and the pay subscriptions are the 3 main ways for top content creators to monetize on Weibo. In 2017, their monetization scale nearly doubled year-over-year. Supporting self-media accounts to accumulate social assets, allow them to monetize, but more importantly, act as an incentive for them to continuously produce higher quality content to generate stronger engagement with fans. This in turn raises user engagement on Weibo.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

For example, the e-commerce vertical has developed rapidly since 3 years of operation and the TMV generated from Weibo for fiscal year 2017 grew by over 70% year-over-year, while the fans and the fans engagement also grew accordingly. The improvement of our monetization ecosystem not only increases the engagement of top content creators, but also increases the fan base and engagements. When the model is replicated in other vertical on Weibo, both the user scale and the user engagement in these verticals will further increase, enhancing Weibo's competitiveness as a social media platform and monetization potential. Moving forward, we will strive to enable more self-media accounts to monetize, so thereby reinforcing Weibo's ecosystem.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

In 2018, we plan to optimize our content ecosystems through the following strategies. First, we will continue to deepen our partnership with the content channels such as variety shows, TV, news media and competitive verticals. In securing top IP and copyright content, we enhance Weibo's competitiveness in premium content consumption. Second, we will continue to operate by verticals to expand the scale of top content creators and increase their engagement to sustain Weibo's core competitiveness in content ecosystem. Third, we will continue to increase the user base and improve the user experience of our content product matrix so as to enable users to efficiently express and display themselves. The rise in contents will not only help us build a stronger content ecosystem and strengthen Weibo's competitive edge as the social media platform, it will also help us expand the horizon of the content consumption market and broaden our product offerings.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Lastly, turning to monetization. We achieved a strong ad revenue growth in the fourth quarter. In the fourth quarter, key accounts ad revenue and the number of key customers have continued to grow rapidly. Key accounts customers grew by 34% year-over-year, while key accounts revenue grew by 106% year-over-year. This year the scale of key accounts customers and the ARPU have both grown meaningfully, driven by the Weibo's viral network effect and the strong influence of [ hot news ] on the KOL. As a result, we will have become the primary channel for new advertisers to tap the social marketing campaigns, while for recurring customers, Weibo becomes a long-term marketing partner to further explore the cooperation in social marketing. For example, Samsung initiated a campaign targeting young Chinese users to market their [ CA ] in the fourth quarter. According to AdMaster, by leveraging 3 young celebrities combined with the Weibo's influence and the very nature of the short video, Samsung's brand satisfaction rose by 100%. Purchase in turn rose by 138% and the recommendation in turn rose by 117%. Our brand advertisers have also become more diverse. In addition to strong FMCG advertising growth, we saw noticeable growth in auto, mobile, gaming advertising segments, further fueling the key accounts revenue in turn.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Turning to SMEs. In the fourth quarter, SME revenue increased 64% from the prior year, where customers grew 31% year-over-year. The growth was mainly driven by the continuous enhancements we have made on our advertising platform. For example, we implemented the negative feedback strategy, providing users with the ability to comment on advertisements, ultimately leading advertisers to improve their ad quality. Moreover, we implemented a dynamic algo strategy to optimize the user consumption experience. Based on the specific user's engagement level and the specific ad interest, we adjusted specific ad exposure to the user. By applying the new strategy, we saw net [ active ] base experience a double-digit decrease. And moving forward, we will implement this strategy to cover our core feeds. Our goal is to better manage our ad products to improve our efficiency. In the fourth quarter, ECPM and engagement rates have continued to rise from the last quarter.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

As I have mentioned before, self-media grew rapidly in 2017 and that we will continue to support this growth in 2018. FQ, our advertising has become an important part of the social marketing. We will invest more in self-media in our monetization ecosystem, focus on innovating ad products and the content and the video we distribute. We believe the mutual beneficial relationship between self-media advertising and our existing advertising both help advertisers to reach more of the right users, enables the coverage of marketing on a wider spectrum and supports Weibo's monetization ecosystem.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

In 2018, we plan to increase the competitiveness of Weibo's ad products through the following strategies. First, we will increase our investments in user products to drive more user engagements on Weibo and enhance our social viral network effect. Second, we will further increase our customer base through educating them about successful case studies of Weibo social marketing. At the same time, we will continue to innovate and optimize our well run stats of social marketing products, focusing on rising royalty, fans accumulation and ad conversion. Both will help to raise Weibo's value and the competitiveness and in further scaling customers as well. Third, we will continue to enhance our ads algorithms. After Super Fans Top was released, we have noticed there is still a lot of data to mine and the machine learning improvements we can make to enhance advertising efficiency. At the same time, we will step up our cooperation with the third-parties to continue to improve social interest graphs of our users and optimize our ad measurement system, further increasing advertisers' recognition to the value of Weibo's social marketing. Fourth, we will further combine high quality content creators such as celebrities, content producing organizations, self-media and the media-like to launch a well-established monetization ecosystem that delivers better content, drives innovative new advertising formats, raise monetization value of the content and expand Weibo's quality app inventory.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

Overall, heading into 2018, we expect to face an increasingly competitive landscape in the mobile and the Internet industry, more notably certain irrational competitors. Therefore, we will significantly increase our investment into market channel, content ecosystem improvement and expanding our product offerings. Although this may come as a short-term impact towards our margin expansion, however we are certain that the investment we commit will be critical for expanding Weibo's platform and the market share. At the same time, this will help us more effectively compete in short video market, enhance our network effect and ensure Weibo's competitive edge to grow in the long-term.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

U
Unknown Executive

With that, let me turn the call over to Cao Fei for a financial update.

C
Cao Fei
executive

Thank you, Gaofei. Let me go through our financial highlights. For fourth quarter of 2107, Weibo's total revenue reached $377.4 million, up 77% year-over-year, exceeding the previous guidance. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Weibo was $146 million, up 90% year-over-year. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.64 compared to $0.34 a year ago. With revenue peaking in our high season in Q4, we delivered adjusted EBITDA of $161.9 million, up 107% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 43% compared to 37% last year. We're also pleased to announce that we have achieved an important milestone as our total revenue for full year 2017 surpassed $1 billion to $1.15 billion, up 75% compared to 2016. Our pay and SME businesses, which together represented 92% of Weibo's advertising revenue, each grew robustly in 2017 at 85% and 73% year-over-year respectively. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Weibo was $405.7 million for 2017, up 121% compared to 2016. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.80 compared to $0.82 in 2016. Adjusted EBITDA was $471.3 million, up 143% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 41% compared to 30% in 2016. As a result of our continued efforts to address revenue growth and operating efficiency, we continued to expand our margins throughout 2017. We delivered a non-GAAP net margin of 35% for the year compared to 28% in 2016. Factoring a high income tax rate we had to bear in 2017, the 7 percentage point increase in net margin once again demonstrates the strong operating leverage of Weibo as a unique and a substantial social media platform. In 2018, we will continue to drive operational and financial improvements across our business and we are confident that we are positioned for long-term growth as our users, content creators and customers continue to scale up. Now, let me give you more color on our fourth quarter revenues. Advertising and marketing revenue for fourth quarter reached $332.3 million, up 77% year-over-year. Mobile ad revenue in Q4 was $262.9 million, up 105% year-over-year, representing 79% of our total ad revenue. We will continue to capitalize on rapid growth of mobile advertising market in China with 93% of mobile MAUs. We are leveraging our robust ecosystem of users, content providers and advertisers to deliver a strong value proposition to each participant. This overall network effect combined with continued growth of Weibo's user base and user engagements has solidified Weibo as an essential element of mobile marketing in China and further strengthens Weibo's leading position in the social media industry at large. Total advertisers in Q4 remained stable compared to Q3 and up 31% year-over-year. It is worth noting as Q4 is peak season for major e-commerce sales in China, our SME advertisers have remained relatively stable and continued to effectively compete for inventory with e-commerce big brand advertisers. Moving on to SMEs. In Q4, Weibo's SME ad business delivered value of $156.6 million, up 64% year-over-year, continuing the strong momentum throughout 2017. Revenues from both channel and self-service had strong growth year-over-year, key industry sectors contributing to strong revenue growth, including ad download, e-commerce and O2O. Weibo has delivered to attract more long-term SME customers to our platforms. As Gaofei mentioned, since release of Super FenSiTong in late August in 2017, we have further optimized the advertising system to include an active feedback strategy and a dynamic algo. How can we make our ads more relevant and effective? The optimization also helps encourage SMEs to increase the quality of their ads and help advertisers show their ads to people who are likely to spend more with them. This is an important improvement to us. We want to make sure that every dollar from our advertisers' budget is well spent. Moving on to keys. Our key account business made up of mostly large brand advertisers is another pillar of Weibo's growth engine. In Q4, our key ad revenue reached $127.4 million, up 106% year-over-year. The number of key customers reached another historical high, growing 34% year-over-year this quarter. Social ads are continuing to grow and have become a must have too many of our advertisers. As more key customers see the impressive results from their Weibo's social magazine campaigns, more brands advertisers have recognized the increasing magazine value gained through Weibo's unique content, innovative social nature and the ability to attract strong user engagement. This year, we have made continuous efforts in diversifying our ad offerings and in promoting celebrities and the influencer, whose presents on Weibo have also amplified the impact of social ads. Weibo has also become a top promotion channel for Double 11 and 12, helping to increase brand affection and a porter for promoting the products. Revenue attributable to Alibaba was $38.4 million, up 55% year-over-year. As pointed out on our third quarter conference call, we are a key platform for Alibaba in the field of e-commerce, marketing, data accumulation and transactions. Alibaba continues to be a key strategic partner given its ad spending as well as the revenue derived from other areas of Alibaba's business, including social e-commerce, O2O, payment solutions, entertainment and videos. This continues to be a strong partnership and we are confident in its continued success in driving value for both Weibo and Alibaba. Value-added service, VAS revenues was $45.1 million in Q4, up 81% year-over-year. Membership fees, which includes individual membership and enterprise account verification, was up 117% year-over-year, and data licensing was up 37% year-over-year. The 2 together make up more than 15% of Weibo's VAS revenues. Turning to cost and expenses, total non-GAAP costs and expenses were $220 million, up 58% year-over-year, primarily due to increased marketing and divestment spend as well as higher turnover tax, which is in line with our rapid revenue growth. In Q4, we continued to focus our ad work to drive user acquisitions and retention. As such, sales and marketing expenses grew at a faster rate compared to Q4 2018, specifically attributable to increase in the total marketing spending and brand promotion of Weibo Stories. Moving forward, as we think about user acquisitions and the retentions over the longer term and the competitive landscape, we plan to be more aggressive on user acquisitions and the retentions in the multiple channels in 2018. We believe this strategic reinvestment will enable us to solidify our market leadership as the top social media platform in China. This quarter, we also stepped up our spending R&D in machine learning and user video experience optimization. As a technology driven company, Weibo will continue to focus on developing innovative user and ad products as well as facilitating a better user experience. Non-GAAP operating income was $157.5 million in Q4, up 114% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating margin in Q4 was 42% compared to 35% last year. Our non-GAAP operating margin for full year of 2017 was 40% compared to 27% last year. As Gaofei mentioned, our current relatively high profit margins provide Weibo ample flexibility to further invest in user scale and build higher verticals for content ecosystems. We expect our non-GAAP operating margin for the full year of 2018 to maintain similar levels or to be slightly better compared to 2017. Income tax expense was $70 million compared to $55,000 last year, primarily due to tax exemptions expiring in 2017. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Weibo in Q4 was $146 million, up 90% year-over-year. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flow items. As of December 31, 2017, Weibo's cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled $1.79 billion compared to $396 million as of December 31, 2016. Aside from earnings, the increase in cash, cash equivalents and the short-term investments was also attributed to the net proceeds received from issuance of $900 million convertible senior notes. For the fourth quarter, cash provided by operating activities were $198.3 million, capital expenditures totaled $9 million and the depreciation and amortization expenses amounted to $4.5 million. We delivered free cash flow of $189.3 million for the quarter, representing 149% growth year-over-year, surpassing the growth rate in net income. This quarter demonstrates a strong operation leverage and a unique platform business feature Weibo has enjoyed. According to our ADR depositary firm, as of December 31, 2017, approximately 28% of Weibo's shares outstanding were represented by American depository shares, 85% of which was considered floating shares. Turning to Weibo's first quarter 2018 guidance. We have adopted a new revenue standard, ASC 606, revenue from contracts with customers, which took effect on January 1, 2018. By applying the modified retrospective method and the new accounting standard, we are very proud to report our revenue net of value-added tax and to recognize value generated through advertising barter transactions. First, our preliminary assessment of the new accounting standard. The aggregate impact from the accounting changes will not be material to our financial statements as a whole. By applying the new accounting standard, we estimate our first quarter revenue to be between $335 million and $345 million, which assumes a foreign exchange rate of RMB 6.50 to $1. With that, let me now turn the call over to the operator to begin the Q&A portion.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of Juan Lin from 86Research.

J
Juan Lin
analyst

I have 2 questions. The first one is on our user matrix. I noticed that in 2017 we added 33 million DAU and 75 million MAU. I am wondering if -- whether the net growth of user number in 2018 and going forward will be stabilizing at the current level. This is the first question. And the second question is on our user feed monetization. Now, that [ Super FenSiTong ] has already been available for both pay and SME advertisers, I am wondering what is the current ECPM of news feed versus last quarter and the Q4 2016 and what is the outlook for ECPM for 2018.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

I think, as everybody knows, the competitive landscape in China mobile, Internet industry has significantly changed in the last year and the rising cost for user acquisitions through the handset manufacturers has been well noticed in the marketplace. However, because Weibo had a long-term relationship with the handset manufacturers, top APPs and the TV station and the other long form video companies, we have a very unique position in the marketplace to negotiate right cost to work with -- in the user acquisition front.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

You look at the base number of our users -- we understand it's getting harder from a percentage point of view to grow the new users, and this is also thus reflected on both the fresh new users and the recall new users. However, our monetization capability has been rising in the last couple of years as well, so we are confident that the monetization we can get from each user can well cover the costs we incurred in the new user acquisitions.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

As I indicated in my prepared remarks, we already made a really good progress in the recalled customer in 2017. So heading into 2018, this is one of the area we will continue to focus our efforts.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

I think on one side because we are a social media platform, we are served by a natural advantage in terms of connecting and recalling customer back, and on the other side, our capability in machine learning enhancement as well as our expansion in the video experience also helps us to attract our user back to our platform.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

Yes, I think there is 2 sets of ECPM worth noting. One is related to those we call a pure media property, for example, the launch page ECPM. The other sets are the news feed, the feed ECPM.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

You look at the pure media ECPM, compared to other competitors in the marketplace, we still have -- we have certain price advantage over that. With the growing base of our users, we intend to increase our ECPM on that front in 2018.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

On the feed ECPM, as we introduced the Super FenSiTong in the marketplace in late third quarter last year, we have better a matching with our inventory and our customer demand.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

And we anticipate the ECPM for the feed in 2018 will continue to rise in the foreseeable future.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Alicia Yap.

A
Alicia Yap
analyst

I have a question related to the 1Q guidance. So can you explain a little bit more about the new accounting standard. Your 1Q guidance actually implies currently about 68% to 73% year-over-year growth. What would be the like-to-like growth rate if we were using the previous comps, like the standard? And then related to the 1Q, can you also give us some colors of the ultimate growth drivers? Will that mainly driven by the increased ad budget from the existing customer or you actually expect growing more SME customer base or is it more driven by technology improvement that allow the customer to actually be a bit more efficiently and also -- leading to the higher ECPM? And then any benefit you expect to get from the Chinese New Year gala, the Winter Olympics?

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

This is Vani. On your first question, I think in Gaofei's prepared remarks we made it very clear that the aggregated impact from the accounting changes on revenue line is not material taking the financial statement as a whole. If I want to expand this a little bit, there's 2 parts of the new accounting standard that will have impact on Weibo moving into 2018. One is the value-added tax. Historically, we are recording -- we are using growth method, recording where -- whereby our revenue included the value-added tax. With the new accounting standard, now we are required to report revenue only through a net form. That means that part of the value-added tax will be taken directly out of the revenue. So that's the one-fold. The second part is the accounting for the advertising barter transactions. Prior accounting required no -- barter transactions can be recognized if a fair value cannot be determined in the marketplace. However, the latest new accounting standard has updated that with a transaction sort of a model, where a company is required to recognize a barter transaction based on transaction sort of arrangements. With that, we anticipate that we have to report that barter in 2018. But the net-net of these 2 components, they are offsetting each other, because one is to reduce your revenue, the other is increasing your revenue. That's why we said that the aggregated impact from such changes will not be material. So if you're using the old method and the new method, you are coming to a very similar result for 2 sets of accounting standards. Hopefully, that answers your first question. The second is on the driver part. I think the -- you already mentioned a number of those drivers as you asked the question. I don't think one that a single set of driver will be predominant compared to the others. So it's a mix issue. On the key account side, we're probably talking more on the budget shifting, while on the SME customer side, we're talking about more customer -- a larger customer base. We're talking about higher bidding activities on the platform. So that we're anticipating the rising of the ECPM as more bidding available to us. So I don't think we're singling out a particular component that would be the only set to drive the revenue growth. We're talking about multiple elements. Your third question is on the Chinese New Year Gala and the Winter Olympic. You want to go ahead?

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

If you look back at the past 3 years our Q1 performance, you might be noticing that Q1 is representing a very important quarter for us to acquire new users. This is a quarter we generally work with CCTV-1 for the Chinese New Year Gala, and through the red envelope and the participation in the Chinese New Year Gala, we expect to attract a significant portion of our new user during the year.

G
Gaofei Wang
executive

[Foreign Language]

V
Vanessa Chen
executive

As you may know, Weibo was the only social media partner to the CCTV-1 for the last couple of years. And even the Gala -- the Gala is going to happen in 3 days. Even prior to the -- there's a lot of pre-event that's going on right now and we already see pretty good pick-up in the new users. We are hoping this year it's another -- will be another good quarter for us to attract and to retain our users, and the Chinese New Year Gala, the collaboration between Weibo and CCTV hopefully will become another successful event for both parties.

Operator

Now, I would like to hand the conference back to the speakers. Please go ahead, ma'am.

U
Unknown Executive

That concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining us, everyone. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. That concludes the conference call for today. Thank you all for your participation. You may all disconnect the lines now. Thank you.