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Capri Global Capital Ltd
NSE:CGCL

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Capri Global Capital Ltd
NSE:CGCL
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Price: 214.55 INR -0.21% Market Closed
Updated: Jun 6, 2024

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q4

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Q4 FY '24 earnings conference call of Capri Global Capital Limited hosted by Go India Advisors. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Pramod Shettigar from Capri Global Capital Limited. Thank you, and over to you.

P
Pramod Shettigar
executive

Good afternoon, everyone. This is Pramod Shettigar, Senior Vice President at Capri Global Capital Limited. I shall read out a brief disclaimer for today's call.

The discussion on today's call regarding Capri Global Capital Limited's earnings performance will be based on judgment derived from the declared results and information regarding business opportunity available to the company at this time. The company's performance is subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially in future. Given these uncertainties and other factors, participants on today's call may observe due caution while interpreting the results. The full disclaimer is available on Slide #41 of Q4 presentation. Participants are requested to note of the same.

We have Mr. Rajesh Sharma, Managing Director of the company; Mr. Partha Chakraborti, CFO; and Mr. Sanjeev Srivastava, CRO, over the call today.

I may now request Mr. Rajesh Sharma, Managing Director, to present the opening remarks.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Good afternoon, friends. Let me start by wishing you all a happy Akshaya Tritiya. We declared our audited consolidated results for Q4 FY '24 in Wednesday, 8th, May 2024. I hope you had a chance to go through the investors deck. I would like to start by highlighting a few decisions that our Board approved in its latest meetings. CGCL's Board in the meeting, dated 29th, April 2024, has appointed Shri L.V. Prabhakar, Independent Director and Chairman of the Board of Directors. Shri Prabhakar, career as a banker and former MD and CEO of Canara Bank, was appointed to CGCL Board in January 2024. The Board of Directors approved dividend at the rate of INR 15 per share on the face value of INR 1 for FY '24. This will be payable on [indiscernible] equity base after the recent split from INR 2 face value to INR 1 face value as well as the bonus in the ratio of 1:1.

As a result, CGCL's outstanding fully equity shares have increased 4x from approximately 206 million equity shares in Q4 FY '23 to approximately 825 million equity shares in Q4 FY '24.

In the light of the split and the bonus issue, the EPS and book value per share for the past quarter has been suitably changed to make the values comparable. Will you please take note the same, wherever the values appear in our earnings release. I shall now turn to the commentary on business and earning performance. So as far as business is concerned, please refer Slide 4, 5 and 6. During FY '24, we crossed various business milestones with AUM crossing INR 150 billion to touch INR 156.5 billion. This was a second consecutive year of 50% AUM growth. We are well placed to drive growth and achieve the targeted INR 300 billion AUM by FY '27, as we stated earlier.

As guided, our gold loan AUM increased to 3.1x Y-o-Y to cross INR 30 billion AUM target. The gold loan AUM including co-lending AUM stood at INR 34.9 billion in March '24. The milestone in Gold Loan business was achieved in just 20 months of launching the business. Momentum continued in a strong manner. The share of gold loan AUM was 37%, and the share in disbursal was approximately 50% in Q4 as well as -- FY '24, respectively.

The number of exclusive gold loan branches were 750 as of March 2024.

If you talk about one of our key growth drivers, MSME, our AUM have grown to INR 5,017 crores and which is growth about 15%. If you talk about the construction finance disbursal, which is remained during the range-bound in Q4 FY '24, driven by the existing sanction pipeline, the AUM share of both CF and indirect lending together shared about 20%.

The commentary in CF business remains unchanged. The business continues to be supported by a strong outlook for residential real estate in our key geographies like Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Pune and Bengaluru. The competition amongst lenders for quality projects in the intent, although we have seen some return of pricing power.

In construction finance, we will remain guided by our cautious risk [indiscernible] below 20% of consolidated AUM and remaining focused only on residential project in the affordable housing space.

Our core lending AUM continued to rise during Q4 FY '24 increasing to 11.7% of AUM compared to 8.9% in Q3 FY '24 and 5.3% in Q4 FY '23. We have gone through a lending part since commencing co-lending 2 years ago. The acceptance ratio of loans with our partner banks is now significantly higher than a year ago. With new technology being put in place, we see momentum in co-lending continue.

If we talk about housing finance, our book has grown about 52.8% from previous Y-o-Y from INR 2,666 crores to INR 4,073 crores. And home loan will continue to grow in coming years also in the range of about 30% plus growth rate. And we clearly see a strong traction helping on ground there.

Now I come to the earnings. Let me first start with the core earnings. Our spreads were stable at 6.4% for the second consecutive quarter. The increase in marginal cost of funds were more than offset by an improvement in yield or advantage. The net interest income, or NII, during Q4 FY '24 increased 4% quarter-on-quarter and 36% year-on-year. On a full year basis, the NII increased 55% year-on-year.

The noninterest income performance also exhibited strong momentum across key income lines. It increased 10% quarter-on-quarter and 25% year-on-year Q4 FY '24. On a full year basis, the noninterest income increased 41% year-on-year. The share of noninterest income in net income was 31% in Q4 FY '24 and 28% in [ Q2 ] FY '24.

The share of noninterest income in net income is settling about [ 30% ] is some of the changes factored to the car loan distribution commission in Q2 FY '24 and co-lending income recognition during Q4 FY '24 stabilized. With AUM momentum continuing to be robust and new insurance fee income expected to be contributing FY '25, we expect the noninterest income performance to continue a strong growth trajectory.

The cost-to-income ratio reached 70.5% during Q4 FY '24. These are majorly due to strategic investment in expanding our team and implementing impactful marketing initiative. We'll be able to significantly review this issue.

A result of higher quarterly OpEx, the pre-provisioning operating profit declined 16% quarter-on-quarter, INR 1,096 million, but was up 22% year-on-year. On a full year basis, the pre-provisioning operating profit increased 37% year-on-year.

I come to the asset quality now. Our GNPA ratio declined 18 basis quarter-on-quarter to 1.92%. The PCR on GNPA stood at 43.2%, and the net NPA ratio declined by [ 20 basis ] quarter-on-quarter to 1.1%.

As regards profitability and outlook, we have reported a net profit of INR 826 million, which is high 27% year-on-year and 26% quarter-on-quarter. Excluding the loss incurred in the gold loan business, our net profit would have been INR 885 million. We reported 2.3% ROA and 8.7% ROE in Q4 FY '24.

Our ending performance during Q4 FY '24 can be done and being very resilient. Our efforts in diversifying our business and income streams over to -- past 2 years are now beginning to support as meaningfully as in Q4 FY '24. We have popped up with a decline in spreads and increase in credit cost for 2 consecutive quarters but reported a stronger bottom line.

Now I come to the technology and ESG initiatives. FY '24 has been a year of innovation and transformation. Technology has been a critical area of focus for us where a number of initiatives has gone live, including our in-house developed LOS, FLEXCUBE LMS developed by Oracle, collection module, process reengineering, analytical decision-making has been implemented.

This stack initiative will be improvement in turnaround time, especially for MSME and affordable housing business loan through technology now, which is new advance in LMS, leading to improvement in sales productivity, optimized for [indiscernible] drive improvement in the net interest margin, which should be visible in the first half.

We look -- Capri, in the process of establishing systematic ESG practice internally, has crafted policies required in the ESG guidelines. We are currently in the process of obtaining ratings from global agencies. Furthermore, we are conducting training for our internal teams and aligning our business processes as ESG requirement. Going ahead, we shall periodically keep our stakeholders updated on the progress we make on ESG assessments.

We look forward to regularly sharing quantitative outcome towards accusations over the next few quarters. Capri Loan continues to be a great place to work certified for the third year in a row.

With that, I conclude my remarks. We shall now take questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from the line of Satyaprakash Pandey from Haitong.

S
Satyaprakash Pandey
analyst

I had just one question. With the introduction of the new RBI regulation on gold loan, what operational challenge do you foresee on your branches encountering? For instance, do you anticipate an increase in that or a potential shift of customers back to the informal segment, considering that many from rural areas, specifically women borrowers may not have bank accounts.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So I believe that after a general account, there is -- no customer are as such which we come across, which are a significant number, who do not have bank around. I think this cash -- circular on the cash disbursement in excess of 20,000 have been clarified by RBI that NBFC should not have done it.

So I think all NBFC will not be doing it. I do not foresee any challenges in that by the volume shifting back to informal segment. Because most of the time, the cash disbursement was being facilitated to the BT transaction. So I think when everybody in competition following the same norm, customer will have no option but to take their disbursement in the bank account. And today, everybody has a bank account.

You don't come across any customer, who do not have a Aadhaar or bank account. So I think we do not foresee any problem. Earlier because everybody else was doing, some of the players are continuing to doing it, but now common norms have been stipulated. So I clearly see that the customer will also fall in line.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Aman from Dolat Capital.

U
Unknown Analyst

So regarding the previous question the analyst has asked, what percent of your gold AUM is cash disbursal base?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So very difficult to point out that what percentage, but I can say that there was no disbursement happening, which are just purely cash. And after the guidelines have been issued, we have already stopped the disbursement in cash. And we can see that despite that, the volume have not dipped.

And we can give you outlook that the first quarter results, when we again meet, sometime in July on the call, you will see that despite that gold loan disbursement stopped in cash, volumes have gone up. We have seen in the March. We are currently seeing this. So we don't see any dip because of that.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So let me ask that what will be -- what is the share of about 20,000 the average ticket size? Like, what will be the share of cash transactions? I want to understand like -- for example, if you say that more of the transactions are BT-based so can you give just a ballpark number regarding that?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

I think giving a ballpark number would be difficult. But going forward that less than INR 20,000 loans will be less than 10%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Less than 10%? Okay. So it is like close to the BT number. Like can I know what is the BT number?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So it is not the BT number you can specifically say where you are disbursing the loan in the bank account of the borrower. You do not know whether he has already repaid that loan out of his own funds and what. It will be difficult to point out.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So this less than 10% is about 20,000, right?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And you have no clarity with respect to percent of gold AUM, which is cash-based, right?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

No, because that is not how you tag in the system.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Got it. And I have other 2 questions, like if I may proceed. Can you provide a brief overview of the robust housing outlook considering the underlying demand in real estate across different geographies? And do you anticipate that we will be able to accelerate the growth of our housing business significantly in response to this demand? And will we enter new micro markets as well?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So if you see, the housing demand, which is in the affordable housing segment and you will see there -- even the incremental 90% demand at the number [indiscernible] affordable housing, not value-wise, but number-wise. If you look at the data of various bureaus, rating agencies, even NHB data and other data, clearly, there's no demand.

So if you have seen last few years, we have grown significantly. Large few years growth have been in the excess of 15%. I think next 4 to 5 years, we'll continue to grow 30% plus in housing finance. And we will be continued to add the branches. This year, we will add some of the launches maybe in the UP, 6. That plan is under discussion. But yes, every year, we added the branches, and we'll continue to grow the 30% plus space interest he housing finance.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So can you give me the -- what is your targeted branch plans?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

For?

U
Unknown Analyst

For housing, how many branches you want to add for this year?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So that plan is yet to be projected. In the first quarter, we'll go to the Board. And again, then we have to take all the other approvals. But on an average, we have keep adding 20 to 30 branches every year.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay, 20 to 30 branches, is that right, what I heard? And regarding this car loan business, which we've seen a very good growth trajectory. But this quarter, we have seen a slight downturn compared to Q3. So is there any specific reason for this decline? And what sort of growth are we anticipating for this business for FY '25?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So FY '25, we should see a growth of about 20% in the overall volume. But this coming year, we are going to add another business vertical, is a used car finance. And that business vertical will take about 3 to 6 months to step up. And starting the second half, we'll see some volume happening.

So I think next year onwards, with used car finance and new car finance, you significantly see the enhanced profitability. And as you know, [indiscernible] income play, we do not take any underwriting risk. We don't provide any capital here. And this entire business has been shifted to the new company called Capri Car Platform Private Limited, which is a business subsidiary company.

All the business related to cars is going to be there. We see a significant development and technology initiative in this company to garner the business in -- anything related to the car. If you see even currently today, in their corporate DSA who are not dealers, we are the #1 pan-India, and we are having the dominant position in this pace.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Got it. And if I missed the earlier commentary, like why was there is a dip in this quarter?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So there is a slight dip, maybe because of 1 month, there is lesser volume, plus we are in the process of shifting our codes from the CGCL to the new entity. But we look at it like the -- Q3 also we had done the good number. In Q4, the numbers are similar to that Q3 number, not that -- maybe a dip of marginal 1%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. It's like more of a process issue, right?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Yes. You cannot say this dip because we have done about INR 2,800 crores in the Q3, and we have done INR 2,761 in the Q4.

Operator

We'll take our next question from the line of [ Romil Savaliya ] from Concept InvestWell.

U
Unknown Analyst

First of all, congratulations on a good set of numbers. So sir, I have a couple of questions. So let me start on the first one. So if you see our cost of funds being increased by 50 basis points approximately in last few quarters, right, and that has been remained same so far. So it is actually impacting our NIM.

So is there any specific reason why we haven't been able to pass it on to the borrowers? That's the first one. And second one is on a technological initiative expense side. So what would be the total expense we attributed on the technological side in FY '24?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Yes. So if you talk about the cost of funds, cost of funds have gone up about 50 basis in the -- from the Q1 to Q4. And out of that, we are able to pass on partly that cost because some of the loans are semi-fixed in nature, and some of the loans are on a floating rate. So the loans, which are in the floating rate, get automatically reset at the higher rate, but the loans which are 3-year lock-in for the price, they have not been.

However, our gold loan portfolio is increasing in the overall contribution. And gold loan pricing is higher. So the more and more gold loan overall AUM increase in the overall AUM, our net interest margin as well the spread will continue to improve.

If you talk about the last year, we have spent about INR 112 crores on the technology and data science. And this is a significant investment, and that is one of the reasons that our cost income ratio is quite limited. But in the second half of the current year, we will see a significant difference in the tax and resulting in the higher productivity and better volumes at a lower cost. The cost income ratio will start showing the improvement in the second half of the current year.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Akansha from [indiscernible] Capital.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have a couple of questions around gold financing. Firstly, I wanted to get a sense of the competitive intensity in the space, I mean, given banker extremely aggressive -- still continue to be aggressive here. So how are you see that tracking in the space?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So we are not aggressive because that is backed by the branch expansion. If you look at the -- in about 15 months, we opened 750 branches. It's -- and then the branch opening has happened across every quarter. And every branch is giving us AUM. I believe that this year, we have closed AU of INR 5 crores per branch. And next year, we are targeting to close the AU about INR 18.5 crores per branch. Co-lending is also helping us in this space in addition to that. That co-lending, we are able to get adequate lines, which is helping us to offer the rate -- interest rate to even those company -- otherwise, you would not have lower rate. So gold loan will continue to give a good amount of fee income because of the co-lending in the coming years.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sure. Noted on that. Following up on the sales, how much of the growth this quarter? Sorry if I missed this, but how much was it driven by, let's say, the current condition, what is the gold price benefit?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So you are asking how much was the growth in the current quarter, the last...

U
Unknown Analyst

Across tonnage. How much was being driven by the real growth in tonnage versus pricing additions?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So if we talk about last 6 months, as my colleague has told, that we have moved from 5 tonnes to the 10 tonnes. So while the tonnage will not reflect the pricing, but we will see the kind of volume it has gone up.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have one additional question, which is on the housing but -- and this is not really specific to the quarter, but more of a long-term view that I'm trying to get a sense around, which is that India housing penetration is very low, 11%, 12% throughout the country. But do you see India rural mix has been a challenge to growth. What are the levels specific to Capri? And then what does -- how does it differentiate versus the industry sense?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So if we talk about -- as far as Capri is concerned, we are lending to the real semi-urban customers, where they do not have adequate income group. And we are more in the semi-urban rural areas.

So our USP will be that how can we do underwriting, which is better and faster, understand the customer need, tailor-made solution. And this is that now we have aligned our technology also.

So the mortgage tech side, we have done a significant work in the last 15 months. And as I said earlier, that this will reflect in the second half in terms of productivity and thus improving our cost-to-income ratio. So we have developed in-house collection model, which is very, very effective. We have taken the help of Boston Consulting Group to advise in the entire process. We are doing automated AI-based selection of the calls to be made by the automated callers. And by optimally selecting where our field source should go, where our automotive callers should happen. So this significant work has happened on the housing finance side as well. So I believe that next year, we'll be defining year in terms of all aspects of the way we are doing entire retail lending.

U
Unknown Analyst

Noted on that. Just one last question from my end, which is what would be your outlook on cost of fund and how do you see tracking from here on?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So I think cost of fund is we gather the impression of various commentary of the market and Reserve Bank and everything. I think cost of income should -- sorry, the cost of fund should stabilize at this level. I don't see any further hike going forward.

However, we expect that, that might be a strong performance. In 6 months or so, we should see some rating upgrades. And that happened, back of that, we should see some cost reduction in the cost of fund. However, we are now -- the new lending, they are able to pass on the cost of fund. So net-net basis, the incremental lending will not have any spread contraction.

It has happened to a limited extent last year, where we are not able to pass that on to the immediate customer. In the coming year, we don't see any hike. So clearly, there will be no much impact on the cost of fund reduction.

Operator

We'll take our next question from the line of Gaurav Sharma from HSBC.

G
Gaurav Sharma
analyst

So a couple of questions. So first is, like a few months ago, RBI is concerning one of the gold loan NBFCs that there were some discrepancy noted in the gold loan quality and weight when the gold is coming for disbursal as compared to the auction. So have you also come across any such instant? And at CGCL, what are the corrective measures you have taken at your end? That's number one? And sir, I also want to know the internal threshold of LTE beyond which you go for the auction of the gold related to that? And another question is related to housing finance. Sir, recently, RBI issued some guidelines, where it has directed companies, which are delaying the disbursement and charging the interest rate on the portion of [indiscernible] issue to the customer and the NBFCs are charging interest for that portion. So -- have you also notice such type of instances in our company? And if yes, then what would be the amount of interest you would be reversing? So these are my questions.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Yes, my colleague Sanjeev will answer.

S
Sanjeev Srivastava
executive

Sanjeev Srivastava here. I'm the Chief Risk Officer. I think if I recollect your first question is that what are the precautionary measures that we have taken with the difference in karat or weightage that you wanted to understand. So what we have done is that we are in continuous engagement with various regulators.

We are in continuous engagement with all the departments, whether it is audit, our business and everybody. And we are giving a lot of training workshops and everything is happening. A notable thing that what we have done is that we have organized training from the government's MSME skill development. And we have trained around 1,600 of our staff on valuation of gold.

And it is an online training. It is a physical training, where they are -- they teach you how to value a gold as well as they give you a certification. So now 1,600 staff of my gold loan team are certified by this training program.

So as -- since we're lateral entering into this particular gold loan, anyway, my team members where like valuers -- valuers are like having more than 5 years of experience in valuation. They are from competition. They understand the gold loan business very well. So that has worked in our advantage, added with a fresh set of training for all of our employees, which is going to take care of any kind of a difference in the gold valuation. Your second question was that at what level do we go for auction? So auction happens on 2 counts. One is the plain and simple DPD, which is obviously both 90-plus, we go for auction. And the second point was that internally, we also track something on a daily basis, which is for mark-to-market.

So in that mark-to-market, we start giving notices to the customers the moment they reach 80% LTV. And once they reach at 85% to 90%, we do the auction. If you can repeat your third question?

G
Gaurav Sharma
analyst

Yes. So sir, my third question was related to the housing finance business. So what was happened that some of the NBFCs was charging interest between the time duration. They actually [indiscernible] actually getting credited into the customer account. So for that portion, like a 15 days, 20 days, they're charging interest. So RBI has asked them to stop such practices.

S
Sanjeev Srivastava
executive

Basically, if you see -- if you look at the business per se, there are some nuances where the customers being taken disbursement request form. If the customer ask the disbursement, then only it will disburse.

Now both the person in a housing kind of a scenario, there is something called registration. So the registration, they get a time or token from the SRO and which can be like a week days, 10 days later. So that was the situation which the regulator wanted to cut. And so what we have the action that we have taken it even though we disburse it in the system on a certain date so that we are ready and the customer doesn't face any issue when his actual date of registration is coming by.

But my interest charge will happen on the date I'm handing over the check to the customer. So in my system, I'm also building a button called handover button. And post that only, my whole calculation will start. So that's how we are complying with the regulation.

G
Gaurav Sharma
analyst

Okay. So sir, that means you don't have to give us any of the interest till now like in the schedule...

S
Sanjeev Srivastava
executive

This has recently come up, and the time -- only time which it took was more to do with implementation on system. So between this period, whatever we have disbursed, those will be [indiscernible] transaction because, as you know, April anyway is a very muted kind of a month for the business.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Manvi Rathod from Ventura Securities.

M
Manvi Rathod
analyst

So my first question is, what is the average business for gold loan branch that we're doing currently?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So you're talking about the average, AUM per branch is 4.6 CR.

M
Manvi Rathod
analyst

4.6, okay. And what increase do we see going forward?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

What was the next question, ma'am?

M
Manvi Rathod
analyst

Yes. I'm saying going forward, do you see any increase in the average basis?

Operator

I'm sorry, Manvi. Can you use the handset mode, please. It is not very clear.

M
Manvi Rathod
analyst

I was asking what is the average business for gold loan branch? And do we see any increase going forward?

U
Unknown Executive

Yes, definitely. As we mentioned, if you look at any of the housing -- any of the gold loan business and -- for any of our peers or competitors, you'll see that the -- I would say around 12 CR is the average AUM for branches, is what we understand from our study of peers and everything.

Currently, we're at 4 to 5 CR. So we have a good revenue to grow. And obviously, one is led by the growth in the same branches. And also, if we can briefly open some more branches, then that will also add to my growth. But having said that, I think we have ample room to grow from the existing branches.

M
Manvi Rathod
analyst

Exactly. Okay. And secondly, in our previous con call, you had mentioned that going forward, from Q4, we'll be able to share some specific numbers in the insurance income on the segmental front. So do we have any insights on that as of now?

U
Unknown Executive

So I think right now, we are yet to publish that, but we will come back to you with this numbers number.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our next question from the line of Akshat from Niveshaay.

U
Unknown Analyst

So my question is that why the cost/income ratio has inclined upward again this quarter?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So cost income ratio has gone up primarily because of 3 reasons that some of the hiring has happened. And plus, we have taken some marketing initiatives, including Capri car loans, where we have taken this partnership with the Gujarat Titans for the IPL and some other initiatives.

Plus technology spending is also impacting. As I said, we have spent close to INR 112 crores in the technology side this year. So combined fact is that our cost income ratio has gone up. But I clearly see that after first half, we will see significant technology spend going down because a lot of initiatives will be come to the completion and only the enhancement for which will need a smaller amount of expenses to be incurred. So a combination of this, I think, we'll see a significant drop down after first half.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay, okay. The next question from my side is that what would be our contribution from MSME over next year?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

MSME contribution, so if you see, the MSME will continue to grow in the pace of about 15%, and gold loan will increase in the pace of about...

U
Unknown Executive

30%, 35%.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

30%, 35%. Home loan will also increase over 30%. So this is how the pace will go from the coming years.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Okay. Sir, one more thing I want to ask is about the demand around ruler automobile loan sector.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

I -- we had a new car loan distribution business. And if you look at the new car market is growing with the pace of economy, it is growing at about 10%, 12% every year. But we have set up the distribution across about 800, with the people about 750 locations pan-India, with either help of our DST network or with the DSA network. So our car loan business per se will increase about 20%.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our next question from the line of Professor Ajit Kaushal from GD Goenka University.

U
Unknown Attendee

And first of all, I would like to congratulate the entire team for successfully taking the company ahead. My question -- a part of my question has already been taken by one of the participants here.

My question is related to gold loan, its valuation and auditing. So I heard the CFO explaining about the evaluation of the gold loan. My question is that once the valuation is done, so after that, what is the system of assessment and auditing at a higher stage?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

I will ask my colleague Sanjeev to explain.

S
Sanjeev Srivastava
executive

Yes. A very important question, a good question to at least answer when there's so many regulatory aspects are going on. Basically, each of our branch is [ equipped by 5 ], where 3 of them have -- they know and understand how to value a gold. They have the competence to valuation. And if you look at our process, each gold is valued by 2 of the valuers. So there's a maker-taker control in the system building.

And both of them have to put their approval authority into the system through their user ID. So that takes care of that -- if there is any confusion or there is a lap which can be taken care of. Now coming to the audit piece of it, we have a trained audit staff of 100 people, who are responsible for auditing every gold, which is -- which we have underwritten on a regular basis.

In addition to that, we have also deployed some AI, ML trigger on the system, and we have built some 35-odd triggers, which gives me early warning signal on this valuation. In addition to that, what we have also created is cross audit and there is a price audit. So cross audit happens in the way that, suppose there is a rotation of auditors, then there is something -- particular branch is audited by X employee, then my team from the west will suddenly go to north and do the audit. So these kind of controls we have built in. Otherwise, we can proudly say that we have -- actually 100% of my packets of gold has been audited by my internal team.

U
Unknown Attendee

Okay. That's great. Sir, I am fully satisfied with your answer, and we have total trust in your managerial system. But we'd like to talk something further about the technology, which you are employing for the purpose of valuing and assessing the gold, which has been submitted for the gold loan, if there is something?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

For assessing the gold loan, there cannot be any technology as such because you have to physically patch the gold, use all the various methods of either putting the chemical or cutting it or using some machine to do that. So it has to be done manually. Assessing the gold cannot be done with any kind of technology.

Operator

We have a question from the line of Gaurav Sharma from HSBC.

G
Gaurav Sharma
analyst

Just one question on NIM outlook. So you mentioned that the cost of [indiscernible] also improved or increased so can you please give a NIM guidance for FY '25?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Guidance on?

G
Gaurav Sharma
analyst

Net interest margin, sir?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

So as you know, the net interest margin is still the more the leverage will happen, the net interest margin will continue to go down. So I think that may not be a right indicator always. The indicator is always spread. Currently, our spread is in the range of about 6.4%.

As I said, since our gold loan proportion is increasing in the overall AUM, our spread will improve from 6.4% to -- it should improve to -- in the range of about 6.8%, 6.9%. And that is where our margins will further improve. So assuming that we are able to achieve a significant hike in the gold loan business, it will continue to improve. Now improve 300 basis or 400 basis, that will depend on the -- how gold loan we are able to close by the March.

Operator

We'll take a follow-up question from the line of Aman from Dolat Capital.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes, sir, just a data keeping question. I wanted to know the BT number regarding gold loan and affordable housing, if you can share for this quarter and previous quarter and for the year?

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

And that number may not be readily available. You can separately contact us and get us after a week.

Operator

As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

R
Rajesh Sharma
executive

Thank you. So thank you for sparing time and showing the interest to know more about us. So as we'll continue to grow our secured lending business, which is -- and we are all in the sector which are very, very high growth, keeping in India's economy growth and the way that our economy has picked up the momentum across rules, semi-urban area, we'll continue to grow our book in MSME, home loan and gold loan and construction finance side.

And our fee income from the car loan and the insurance income will also significantly will contribute. Co-lending is another space where it will give us a good amount of fee income because we do not put any capital, but just originate and write and collect. So that model will continue to grow. Collectively, we see 2024-'25 will be a year which will define us the way we process our entire end-to-end loan processing.

Being property involved or the security involved, where legal valuation technicals are done, I think this is [indiscernible], which will put us in a very unique position, and this will result in lower -- in better productivity, resulting in ultimately the lower cost-to-income ratio.

So with this, I will say, this year, we'll see a good high growth, along with the lower cost-to-income ratio compared to the last year, and we should see some good numbers coming in.

Operator

On behalf of Go India Advisors, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.