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HCL Technologies Ltd
NSE:HCLTECH

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HCL Technologies Ltd
NSE:HCLTECH
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Price: 1 348.05 INR -0.93% Market Closed
Updated: May 5, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q3-2024 Analysis
HCL Technologies Ltd

Impressive Revenue and Margin Growth with Robust Guidance

Boasting its strongest revenue growth since Q1 2021, the company reported a 6% sequential and 4.3% year-on-year increase in constant currency, primarily fueled by services and software businesses. Operating margins hit a healthy 19.8%, a sequential growth of 126 basis points. Attrition decreased to 12.8%, marking the lowest point since FY '21. A noteworthy software business performance witnessed a 5% year-on-year rise, alongside a growing ARR at $1.06 billion, up 2.9%. Looking ahead, FY '24 revenue is projected at 5% to 5.5%, with operating margins forecasted between 18% and 19%. This positive momentum is underpinned by strong client relationships, industry recognition, and strategic investments in cloud and generative AI (GenAI) capabilities.

Investing in Talent and Skills for Growing Tech Demand

The company emphasized its commitment to investment in skills training and talent development, anticipating that technology spending will grow in the medium term. They are focusing on hiring entry-level talent, aiming to build a right-skilled workforce for long-term success. Notably, there has been a decline in attrition, reaching its lowest since Q1 FY21, which is a positive indicator for investor confidence.

Strategic Expansion and Client Priorities

Strategic expansion is ongoing, with the recent launch of a Global Delivery Center (GDC) in Romania, enhancing nearshore capabilities. The company is aligning with client priorities such as data modernization, leveraging generative AI (GenAI), SAP modernization, and cloud engineering. Enterprises are expected to focus on operational cost improvements and adopt low-code capabilities to boost efficiency and customer experience.

Opportunities with Generative AI

Although current generative AI (GenAI) projects are small, they are expected to scale over the coming quarters. The company is preparing foundations for leveraging GenAI, which includes cloud migration and establishing private GenAI stacks, emphasizing the potential for significant downstream work in areas like data modernization and security once GenAI adoption increases.

Financial Guidance for FY '24

Regarding financial guidance, the company projects a total revenue growth of 5% to 5.5% for FY '24, with services business growth potentially at the higher end of this range. Operating margins are forecasted to be between 18% and 19%.

Record Profitability and Revenue Milestones

The company reported a stellar quarter with significant achievements, including 6% constant currency growth quarter-on-quarter and reached record profitability with the highest-ever EBIT and net income for a quarter. Services revenue surpassed a milestone, indicating a healthy financial status that may be attractive to investors.

Robust Cash Position and Capital Efficiency

The company's gross cash stands at $2.9 billion, with net cash at $2.6 billion. The return on invested capital (ROIC) has continued to improve, reflecting a focus on profitability and efficient capital management. The services segment ROIC reached 40.1%, demonstrating strong returns in that business line.

Headcount and Hiring Strategy

The company is continuing its hiring efforts, notably with an increase in the number of freshers, in line with their growth and reflecting a comparatively stable workforce strategy, especially in contrast to some competitors who have reduced headcount over the past 12 months.

Closing Summary and Outlook

The management expresses strong confidence in their growth momentum and optimism despite uncertain demand conditions. With a balanced mix of services, talent strengths, and solid industry positioning, the company is poised to maintain growth and leverage opportunities in areas like GenAI.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q3

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the HCL Technologies Limited Q3 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Nitin Mohta, Head of Investor Relations. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

N
Nitin Mohta
executive

Thank you, Darwin. Good morning, and good evening, everyone. A very warm welcome to HCLTech's Q3 FY '24 Earnings Call. We have with us Mr. C. Vijay Kumar, CEO and Managing Director, HCLTech; Mr. Prateek Aggarwal, Chief Financial Officer; along with the broader leadership team to discuss the performance of the company during the quarter, followed by Q&A.

In the course of this call, certain statements that will be made are forward looking, which involve a number of risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in such forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements made herein are based on information presently available to the management and the company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement that may be made in the course of this call. In this regard, please do review the safe harbor statement in the formal investor release document and all the factors that can cause the difference.

Over to you, CVK.

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

Thank you, Nitin. Good evening, everyone, and a very happy new year to all of you. Thank you for joining us for our Q3 FY '24 earnings call. I'm very happy to share our results this quarter have been remarkably strong, driven by strong momentum in both services and software businesses, resulting in our revenue growing 6% sequentially and 4.3% year-on-year in constant currency.

This has been our highest revenue growth since the same quarter in 2021. Our services revenue grew 3.1% Q-o-Q in constant currency, even in a seasonally weak quarter for the services business. Our software revenue grew 5% year-on-year in constant currency. This is attributed to an impressive improvement in our subscription and support revenue. Our operating margins were strong at 19.8%, 126 basis points improvement sequentially and 16 basis point improvement year-on-year. And this is after taking into account the impact of wage hikes and the furloughs.

I'm also happy to share that we've had the highest number of awards at the ISG Star of Excellence this quarter, again, a demonstration of significant leadership in IT services space. Coming to our business segments. Our software business delivered an outstanding performance by growing 5% year-on-year in constant currency. This is attributed to an impressive improvement in our support and subscription-related revenue as we convert perpetual to term licenses and reduce our dependence on perpetual revenue.

Our ARR continues to grow, and it is at $1.06 billion, a growth of 2.9% year-on-year in constant currency. The software business delivered a strong profitability with the operating margins coming in at 32.9%. In our software products, our data business and digital experience business continues to grow well with several multiyear deals signed last quarter. HCL's software product strategy continues to focus on creating and embedding AI, specifically GenAI. As such, a strategic initiative in the works to empower HCL software clients by allowing them to leverage cloud of their choice, particularly for business applications like commerce and Unica are where we are seeing success.

Double clicking on our services business. Our ERS segment led the pack, growing 8.7% sequentially in constant currency. This growth includes our recent acquisition, ASAP, which was in line with our expectations. The ER&D business also delivered a healthy organic growth of 2.5% sequentially this quarter.

Our IT and Business Services segment grew 4.3% on a year-on-year basis and 1.9% from a quarter-on-quarter basis on a constant currency. Going to verticals and geographies. 5 of our 7 verticals grew this quarter with Telecom and Media business delivering an outstanding 25.9% growth Q-o-Q in constant currency, fueled by the large deal ramp up.

This was followed by manufacturing at 7.6% Q-o-Q in constant currency with ASAP contributing to a healthy portion of this growth. Our Financial Services business declined 1.3% Q-o-Q due to higher furloughs. It has registered a very impressive 12.9% year-on-year growth in constant currency. Retail CPG grew 2.9% on a Q-o-Q basis, but delivered a strong 11.7% growth on a year-on-year basis, all in constant currency.

From a geographic perspective, Europe delivered 5% growth Q-o-Q in constant currency, which included the ASAP acquisition. Europe also had a decent organic growth. Americas grew 3.1% Q-o-Q and 6.7% year-on-year in constant currency. Given the demand environment challenges, specifically in Americas, our growth has been very strong as we continue to expand our reach with more G2000 and Fortune 500 companies.

Our Rest of the World business declined 5.3% Q-o-Q in constant currency due to furloughs and ramp downs. On an LTM basis, we added 3 $100 million clients and 4 $50 million clients on a year-on-year basis.

Our bookings were a little lower this quarter compared to the last quarter. As you all know that we had a mega deal last quarter. The YTD booking stood at $7.5 billion, which is a 10% growth over the same period of last year. For your -- refreshing your memory, our bookings really are net new deals. It does not include renewals, rate cards, framework contracts, all of that is not included. These are consigned executable contracts which is new business that we count as bookings. We did a good number of large deals, 18 large deals, 6 in services and 12 in software business.

Among the wins, I want to call out a few wins, a Fortune 50 CPG company, expanded its digital transformation partnership with us, centered around modern operations, end-to-end full-stack hyperautomation and cloud native services. As a part of this expanded 5-year megadeal, HCLTech will expand its services to include GenAI-based modern op solutions powered by end-to-end hyper automation-led platforms. This will be in addition to our industry-leading digital foundation services, which we currently provide to this client.

A Euro-based financial services provider expanded its partnership with HCLTech to launch its new service offering. HCLTech will provide digital payments platform development services, customer service and operations and financial crime prevention operation functions to help the client launch new services across several markets globally.

A Europe-based global retailer selected HCLTech to accelerate business transformation across its sales, finance, distribution, manufacturing and planning domain. HCLTech will implement advanced digital technologies, leveraging SAP S4 HANA to modernize the client's legacy IT systems and business processes.

We also had a few deals. Actually, we had 30 wins in GenAI-related projects. I'm sharing a couple of them. We have a good report of this in our investor release. We've covered in a separate section all the GenAI, all the key GenAI wins. A U.S.-based health care provider selected us to develop multiple GenAI-based solutions for several strategic use cases, including clinical library research, after visits notes, transcript summarization, et cetera.

The solution will help the clinical staff optimize the time spent on these activities and significantly enhance clinician efficiency. A leading U.S.-based financial services firm has engaged HCLTech to evaluate GenAI solutions, integrating it with the cloud platforms and technologies.

These solutions are tailor-made for critical applications, featuring areas such as risk management, analytics, predictive modeling and anomaly detection. A U.S.-based chemical manufacturer partnered with us to enhance the sustainability efforts and develop a state-of-the-art solution for real-time ESG reporting and analytics using tools using GenAI.

HCLTech will deploy its Net Zero Intelligent Operations platform that aggregates complex enterprise and plant data and utilize reinforcement learning and employs human feedback for ESG metrics validation. On the software side of the business, a large Europe-based banking major has selected HCL softwares FinOps platform to enable end-to-end visibility across application and infrastructure monitoring.

This will significantly enhance the availability and performance of business-critical applications leading to faster time to market of new products as well as improved customer experience. A leading North American retailer selected HCL Commerce Cloud to fuel its digital growth and create a seamless omnichannel experience to delight customers.

Here, we are replacing one of the large SaaS providers with HCL Commerce Cloud. A Middle East-based telco selected HCL Unica and HCL BigFix to enable a robust web-based customer interaction platform. This deployment will help the client run real-time and event-driven campaigns to differentiate their marketing strategy.

Coming to pipeline. Our pipeline continues to remain healthy. It's probably -- it's not the highest, but it's still a very, very strong healthy pipeline, well distributed across large and medium-sized deals. It's still early days for GenAI, though we see a lot of PoCs and pilot projects across the verticals and geographies.

On the people front, we are continuing to make good progress to become an employer of choice in professional services across key geographies. Our current employee count is 224,756, a 1.6% increase on a sequential basis. We are continuing to invest in growing the talent and training them with the right set of skills as we believe that tech spending would only grow in the medium term. We are investing in entry-level talent freshers as we believe the right pyramid and skills for the long-term success.

Also, it's very notable that our attrition on an LTM basis stands at 12.8%, a Q-o-Q decline of 1.4%, and it is the lowest since April, May, June of FY '21. We recently launched our GDC in Romania continuing our strategic priority to grow our nearshore capabilities. As I look ahead into 2024, it continues to be an environment which presents a lot of opportunities as well as challenges.

Clients are having few strategic priorities like modernizing data driven by the emergence to leverage GenAI, modernizing SAP driven by time-bound programs, cloud engineering, especially focused on FinOps and evolving IT operating model apart from scaling GenAI for the future business models. While they do all this, enterprises will prioritize operational cost improvements as well as low-code capabilities that boost efficiency and improve customer experience.

While we see great potential in generative AI in the near-term programs in this segment will be small, but we are expecting them to ramp up over the coming quarters, especially around creating the foundations to leverage GenAI at scale, which includes cloud migration, which includes setting up private GenAI stacks, data modernization, security, privacy, all of this, a significant amount of surround work, which comes together to make -- to scale GenAI within an enterprise.

While we still don't see an uptick in the overall discretionary spend, there is still a portion of tech spend that should remain resilient like cloud migration, SAP, data modernization, cybersecurity, automation and advanced analytics. We believe once GenAI peaks clients eagerness to adopt GenAI should create lot more opportunities as I explained earlier.

While this environment looks dynamic, what gives me comfort is the strong support we get from our clients, employees and analysts. For example, recently, an analyst from TBR visited our cloud native and GenAI labs in London and made this comment, HCL considers the art of possible to be what clients can deploy at scale in the near term. HCLTech's cloud native and GenAI labs, the possible is grounded completely in what can be done, not what is theoretically possible.

Given these type of accolades and ISG Star of Excellence Awards, I strongly believe our propositions and our people would continue to provide us with extra advantage to grow strong in the medium term. Coming to Q4, we expect good growth in our services business, and we will see the seasonality impact in our software business.

With respect to FY '24 guidance, total revenue growth is expected to be in the range of 5% to 5.5%. We expect services business towards the higher end of this growth state. Operating margins are expected to be between 18% and 19%.

Looking ahead, we remain quite positive about our medium-term growth, enabled by our business mix, our people and a laser-sharp focus on delivering innovation and hyperautomation to our clients.

In summary, it's been a remarkable quarter with great all-round performance, be it growth across services and products business, margins in our desired range, strong growth in key geographies like Americas, good deal wins, healthy pipeline, lowest attrition in the last several quarters. Credit goes to the entire team at HCLTech, and I would like to thank them all.

Now before I hand over to Prateek would again wish you all a great year ahead, and over to Prateek for greater details on the numbers.

P
Prateek Aggarwal
executive

Thank you, CVK. And a very, very happy new year, happy and prosperous new year to all of you. And as we go into the festive season, the harvest season, Happy Lori, Happy Pongal, Makar Sankranti, Onam, Bihu, Baisakhi and then so many festivals coming up in the next 2 days. Coming to the numbers. Well, there's only one way to put this across very simply. We have delivered [indiscernible] with 6% constant currency growth quarter-on-quarter, 6% is also the net income growth in rupee terms. It is 6% in many other aspects. So the revenue at the end of the quarter for the quarter stands at 3,415, $3.4 billion, which is up 4.3% in CC terms year-on-year, and the ASAP acquisition contributed about 100 basis points of that in the Q-on-Q growth. So -- and the main driver of that was HCL Software, which was up 5% year-on-year in constant currency terms, which is a healthy growth rate compared to what we have seen in the past few quarters and years.

The third -- the second item, which was driving the revenue growth of 6% was really the U.S. telecom vertical, which showed -- I mean, the telecom vertical overall came in at 26%, 25.9% to be precise kind of a sequential growth. And the third one was ER&D, which also grew 8.7%, including the ASAP acquisition. But even on an organic basis, it grew 2.5% sequentially, which is on top of the organic growth of 1.6% they delivered last quarter. So 2 straight consecutive quarters. ER&D has started to show good organic growth as well as, of course, integrating the ASAP acquisition.

In -- I would also -- in software, I would also like to point out the last 12 months software revenue growth is now up 4.2% year-on-year in constant currency terms. You can contrast that to the last fiscal, where we grew at 1.8% leaving out the impact of the divested IT partnership with DXC. And the ARR, annual recurring revenue stands now at $1.06 billion, which is up 2.9% year-on-year in constant currency.

Coming to the services side, the services revenue crossed a significant milestone on a run rate basis of $12 billion, which also works out as INR 1 lakh crores on a run rate basis, so INR 25,000 for the quarter and $3 billion.

So service revenue came in at 3,011, $3.01 billion, up 3.1%, which was 2% organic and 1.1% delivered by the ASAP acquisition. On a year-on-year basis, it came in at 4.2%, which is 2.5% organic and 1.7% contributed by the acquisitions. ASAP acquisition had an impact of 110 bps, therefore, in the Q-on-Q growth.

With that, just breaking it down to ITBS, IT services, IT and business services stood at 2,450, up 1.9% and 4.3% year-on-year. ERS I've already talked about. So moving on to the profitability metrics. EBIT came in at 19.8%, which was an overall improvement of 126 basis points sequentially and 16 1-6 basis points on a year-on-year basis as well.

Services margin reduced sequentially by about 48 bps. But on a year-on-year basis, it did increase 1-5, 15 bps. And the net income for the quarter came in at $522.7 million at 15.3% of the revenue and was up in dollar terms at 5.2% year-on-year. I would also like you to note that this is the highest ever EBIT and net income in a quarter in rupee term, EBIT was at INR 5,615 crores and profit after tax net income was at INR 4,350 crores.

To give you some color of how the margin movement happened quarter-on-quarter. As I said, the overall margin grew by 186 basis points sequentially, driven by the extra outperformance in software, which contributed 180 basis points at a company level and services margin was thus down about 50 basis points, which is entirely due to the increment impact of about 65 basis points and exchange benefit of about 15 basis points.

Return on invested capital is a key metric that we have been driving internally as well as communicating externally. Our ROIC continued to improve in this quarter as well, continued focus on profitability and managing our capital efficiently has been delivering this sequential and year-on-year growth.

Our LTM ROIC at the end of this quarter stands at 32.8% at a company level, which is up 3 percentage points year-on-year, and services is now at 40%, 40.1%, which is up 273 basis points year-on-year and software at 16.6% also continues to improve on ROIC as well.

The guidance is at 5 to 5.5 that is both at a HCLTech level and the services guidance as well. And there have been questions about the ask rate, so let me put it out there very clearly. At a company level, the ask rate just 1 quarter left is a range of 0.3% to 2.1%. And at a services level, 1.6% to 3.5%. And our EBIT guidance continues to be 18% to 19%.

Okay. Moving on to cash generation. Cash conversion continues to be very robust. Last 12 months, operating cash flow was 2,697 $2.7 billion and free cash flow $2.566 billion. So OCF was 142% of the net income and free cash flow at 135% of the net income.

Balance sheet continues to become stronger and stronger. Gross cash is now at $2.9 billion and net cash at $2.6 billion. Our DSO came in, there is a seasonality in the software business, which kind of leads to our seasonality in the DSO as well. The DSO, including unbilled came in at 86 days for the quarter, which is an improvement of 4 days year-on-year. And given the seasonality, that is the right way to -- right comparison point.

Last 12 months, diluted EPS now stands at 57.87 now 58, up 8.5% on a year-on-year basis. And the Board has declared a dividend at INR 12 per share for the quarter. You may remember in the last quarter, we had increased the run rate from INR 10 per share per quarter to INR 12, and that has been maintained for this quarter as well. The record date for that is 20th of Jan and the payment date shall be 31st Jan.

The last 12 months payout ratio with this INR 12 comes in at 90%, a little higher than the 88% that we have been doing in FY '22 as well as FY '23, a little higher than the commitment that we made.

With that, I'll turn it over to the moderator for questions. Thank you all very much.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Ravi Menon from Macquarie.

R
Ravi Menon
analyst

Congratulations on a really good quarter. It looks like your top 5, top 6 to 10 and top 11 to 20 clients all grew sequentially. So it seems that we were not affected at least in the top client segments by seasonality or furloughs. Or is there any impact of the ASAP Tech integration here?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

There is no impact of the ASAP integration in the top 20 clients.

R
Ravi Menon
analyst

So what explains this recurring, why is this unusually strong? Are there still -- are you still expanding wallet share? Or are there any new propositions that are gaining traction in this?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

Yes. So basically, we -- first of all, we had a very, very strong booking last quarter. I mean we are outside the mega deal, also it was a strong booking and some of them were under consolidation opportunities in existing clients. If you recall, we had called out a large deal in financial services in the U.S. where we are significantly expanding due to vendor consolidation.

We have been selected as the primary champion vendor. So that's definitely driving growth. And we are also seeing growth in some of the large tech clients who also contribute to the top 20, while the smaller clients, there are some challenges. Some of the big tech we see some increase. There has been some clients which -- where decline has also happened. But I think overall, top category is growing slightly better than the company's services growth rate.

R
Ravi Menon
analyst

And the software R&D spend, that seems to be pretty much the same. It's been maintained even as your revenue is growing. So should we think about this as a medium-term margin lever overall for the firm?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

No, software is -- sorry, ER&D continues to grow. I mean, we had a growth previous quarter. We have growth this quarter in the O&D quadrant. And we expect to have decent growth in the coming quarter as well. So I think the 3 data points generally gives us some comfort that we are seeing a growth momentum in the ER&D.

R
Ravi Menon
analyst

Sorry, I meant the software products business, the R&D expenditure that you expensed out, right? That is pretty much the same, while your revenue is expanding so revenue is up 10%...

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

It's -- the real point is we -- while the R&D spend is the same, we have expanded the R&D capacity. So it's also about leveraging the right locations. So we have continued to expand the R&D capacity, which has also helped us create more bandwidth to invest in product modernization. And actually, we are -- I mean right now, almost all the products, especially Unica and Commerce are getting embedded with GenAI and a lot of this work is getting done out of our facilities in India at this point.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Vibhor Singhal from Nuvama Equities.

V
Vibhor Singhal
analyst

Congrats on a great performance. So my question, I had a couple of questions. In terms of the ask rate opportunity that you mentioned, I mean, it appears to be a steak on the services side. So if I were to just take it back to the strong deal wins that we've had, is it a culmination of these deals actually getting into execution that makes us confident that we'll be able to do this in a quarter -- in the fourth quarter? Or is there any pickup on the ground level activity that you are basically seeing which could help us achieve that number?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

I think it's basically 4 factors contributing to the expected growth in Q4. Of course, the large deal will have 1 additional month of impact. that's 1 contributor. The second is there is going to be a reversal of furloughs. We said we are at a very high furloughs in December quarter.

So a lot of that will get reversed even though there will be a little bit of furloughs in the January as well, especially in Asia Pac. And the third element is growth momentum in the ER&D business and the fourth is the rest of the portfolio. These are the 4 components which will contribute to the growth in Q4. And ask rate, of course, Prateek said, it was -- services is 1.6 to 3.5. And as I indicated, we expect the services growth for the full year to be at the higher end. So we should expect something in that neighborhood from a Q4 perspective.

V
Vibhor Singhal
analyst

Got it. Got it. So taking on that momentum, how do you see the overall, let's say, the demand environment and the macro playing out? I think if you're going to end up, let's say, in that guided range of the services business, and as you said, maybe towards the close to the low -- towards the higher end, does that mean and does it translate into anything for FY '25?

Again, not asking for the guidance, but the overall environment per se that you're looking at, is it anyway different or, let's say, incrementally more positive from where we were 3 months ago in terms of, let's say, clients' discussions in terms of clients willing to start the deal discretionary spend being put on hold. Any changes whatsoever? Or is it pretty much the same as we were when we spoke last quarter?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

So okay, I'll divide this into two parts, from IT services the discretionary spend. I don't see any change. The situation is similar. It's a soft kind of discretionary spend in IT services. Engineering Services, we are seeing green shoots of growth as we said, 2 quarters, we grew and our third quarter also, we are looking to grow.

So I think a slight divergence between the 2 areas. And from FY '25 perspective, obviously, I'm not going to make any comments on that. But all that I can say is we feel confident to exist with a strong exit momentum this year. And we've had a reasonable booking, $1.9 billion to $6 billion this quarter. We have a good pipeline. We expect to do a strong booking in Q4 as well. So these are the data points that I can comfortably share, nothing more about FY '25.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Sandeep Shah from Equirus Securities.

S
Sandeep Shah
analyst

Most of my questions have been answered. Just one question in terms of margins. Prateek, I think in one of the conversation earlier, you have shown that the medium-term aspiration as being 19% to 20%. Can you throw more light in terms of time lines and how we can reach to that kind of an aspiration. And which segment of margin will pull that trigger?

P
Prateek Aggarwal
executive

Thanks for reminding me, Sandeep. Yes, that absolutely remains our aspiration and hopefully sooner than later, but medium term is what we have been saying, and I will continue to say that. The environment is not the most conducive to increasing margins at this point in time.

Obviously, when we have a growth quarter like what software delivered in this quarter, it helps because most of that revenue percolates down to the profit line, as is the nature of that business. But we continue to go through the tunnel. There is probably some light at the end of the tunnel, but it's a long tunnel still.

S
Sandeep Shah
analyst

Okay. Okay. And the second question in terms of ARR scale in the products and platform business is going up. Is it fair to say the growth pickup could be better entering into FY '25 versus earlier year? Or still it sometime away, and we can continue to grow at a low single digit on a Y-o-Y basis?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

So Sandeep, we will reserve our commentary on the future prospects of the software business. We are very happy that our strategy is playing out exactly as we planned. Our objective was to convert perpetual licenses to subscription and support model, which makes the need for the product much more stronger and the clients much more sticky. And that strategy is working out very well. Obviously, the strategy can also have some dynamics from a revenue perspective, but it is absolutely the right strategy from a long-term perspective. So it's still early days to really kind of call out a strong trend in the software.

But our strategy is working, both price realization and the whole renewal subscription model, all of that is working well. And a couple of products, Unica and Commerce we've kind of implemented an Ascent program where customers can deploy these products in the cloud of any choice, which pretty much gives them fast functionality with GenAI capabilities. So we're seeing strong traction for some of these products. And these were all the work that we did in the past, which is definitely showing some optimism here.

S
Sandeep Shah
analyst

Okay. And last question, book keeping Prateek, what could be the rate hike charges in the fourth quarter, impact on the margin?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

No, no. This quarter is 65, he is asking next quarter.

P
Prateek Aggarwal
executive

It will be much smaller than this. I don't remember the number, but it's about 20, 25 basis points.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Manik Taneja from Axis Capital.

M
Manik Taneja
analyst

Once again, congratulations for the great performance. First one a bookkeeping question, if you could help us understand what was the head count increase due to the Verizon deal or the people takeover transaction over there? And the second bit, just wanted to understand your hiring strategy. Some of your peers have continued to cut head count over the course of last 12 months, while even we have done some corrections, but we are faring much better. If you could help us understand what's different between them and us in terms of the delivery model on that front?

P
Prateek Aggarwal
executive

Yes. Thanks, Manik. First of all, we would not like to talk about client-specific data points, so I'll kind of pass that one. I will just draw your attention that the number of freshers that we hired is little ahead of that 3,617 that you see, it was around 3,816 or thereabout. So that gives you some color, but obviously, we don't want to talk about client-specific data.

In terms of hiring, we did have 2 quarters of 2,500 2,300 kind of decline. But like we had mentioned in the last year, last quarter con call as well, we do expect that we did have hiring in this quarter. And that is in line with the growth that we are experiencing. And we are transparently giving out the ask rate for the next quarter as well. So that itself should -- head count at best is a leading indicator, and we had guided towards it. I'll leave it there. On a year-on-year basis also, we have positive head count 2024 compared to 2022 or something like that.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have the next question from the line of Girish Pai from Nirmal Bang Equities Private Limited.

G
Girish Pai
analyst

I had 1 question on GenAI and a couple of questions on ER&D. CVK, you mentioned about surround services with respect to GenAI. So for $1 spent on GenAI, how much will be the downstream work on surround services like data modernization?

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

So it's a very big number, Girish, I don't know exactly but I mean to streamline the data estate to kind of create, I think there are also clients who are looking at private open AI stack, right? Based on NVIDIA's Tesla processor -- that's -- if they go for that approach, then it's a pretty big investment. And the security and others are also there.

I think it's like in 25x or something in that range, if I want to consider a very high-level guess, it is the surround services is where the real opportunity is. Of course, they have to lead with the right propositions from a GenAI perspective, and I would really encourage all of you to read the TBR report.

The way they are driving this is we have our first GenAI lab in London, where we bring customers, we bring the business stakeholders from our client organization. They come in the morning. They can go back in the evening with 5 or 6 practical use cases.

That creates a lot of excitement in the business from what is possible, and that's how the programs are starting. And we've also launched a new proposition called Co-Force, which is bringing all the support and software development life cycle optimization.

I think that's also seeing traction. So these are the 2 broad areas where we see this growing. The most important thing is you need to bring the GenAI capabilities as the tip of the iceberg, and then you can probably get a lot of surround work. What was your question on ER&D? You've got...

G
Girish Pai
analyst

I had two questions. One, what is your right to be in the auto ER&D side? You've done the ASAP acquisition, but why should a customer come to you compared to going to a pure play auto ER&D player like a KPIT or a Tata Tech or something like that? And the second question on ER&D is I think you started off your life that is HCLTech probably started off its life as a ER&D player 40, 45 years back. But that's still just a $2 billion, $2.2 billion business even after doing multiple acquisitions.

So it's not come to the size of, say, the business IT services business. So what's ailing the ER&D business to why it has not grown to the level of the business IT services side? Just those two questions.

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

Yes. I have Vijay Guntur, President of the ER&D business. I would request him to response.

V
Vijay Guntur
executive

Thank you, Girish. So your first question is on auto segment. Our acquisition strategy of ASAP is twofold. One is to get into the e-mobility space, which is obviously a space that most automotive and even off-highway equipment companies are investing into. So that's our first rationale to fill that gap and get access into this market.

Second is most of this business today we have is based out of Germany in ASAP and the similar capabilities are required by our customers in U.S., in Japan and other markets. So to expand into other markets, the services that ASAP has and of course, to our existing customers, cross-sell our other services into the business, which is going to take us some time beyond engineering services as well.

So that's your first question on automotive and ASAP rationality. The reason we are a full service provider beyond certain specific automotive capabilities is to help transform into the case services that customers require, which is around connected, autonomous and shared capabilities that we have, the e-mobility space is already there. So that is what is our full service capability that we are building on and that is what is attractive to customers in this space.

Your second question, just to be, I think we entered this market when it was a very nascent market. And we see significant potential in this space. ER&D spend is expected to grow in the digital space at about 10%, whereas the traditional is expected to grow at about 2% year-on-year. Those are the numbers for growth in this market space. And overall, we see that as an attractive opportunity for us to grow. And this market is maturing. So we are there early in this space and very diversified. So we will grow certainly in this space.

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

And just one more dynamics from a sourcing perspective, ER&D sourcing is not a structured sourcing as an IT services. In IT services, you have a lot of advisory firms trying to help clients with the structured sourcing process. In the ER&D, it's still nascent.

That also kind of mandates that it's more of a land and expand strategy rather than a large scale strategy. So I think that also possibly contributed to a slightly lower growth in some periods of time.

V
Vijay Guntur
executive

Just to add, CVK, our long-term growth in ER&D has been at about 10.5%.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was our last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. C. Vijay Kumar for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

C
C. Vijayakumar
executive

Thank you. And in summary, we had a remarkable quarter, great growth, 6% sequential growth. Our operating margin performance has been stellar. Our attrition has been the lowest, we've grown well in North America organically, which is the biggest market, and we continue to add head count to fuel the growth in the coming quarters.

So we remain optimistic even though there is an uncertain demand environment, I think our balanced mix of services, our talent and our strong industry positioning as reflected in a lot of analysts writing including our leading position that we have been positioned in GenAI, I do feel confident we will capture some reasonable spend, and we'll continue to maintain our growth momentum.

Thank you, everyone, and wishing you a good holiday season, and happy new year again. Good evening.

P
Prateek Aggarwal
executive

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of HCL Technologies Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.