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Kajaria Ceramics Ltd
NSE:KAJARIACER

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Kajaria Ceramics Ltd
NSE:KAJARIACER
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Price: 1 272.15 INR 2.37% Market Closed
Updated: May 18, 2024

Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2024 Analysis
Kajaria Ceramics Ltd

Reduced Volume Growth and Stable Pricing

The company plans capital expenditures of INR 370 crores for FY23-24 and approximately INR 200-250 crores annually over the next three years. Despite a tough market, no price increases across segments have been observed, and demand has shown signs of weakness. However, the outlook for upcoming quarters is positive, with an expected average volume growth of around 9-10%, revised down from earlier projections of 13-15%. Exports in the first six months have surpassed INR 10,000 crores.

Growth Amidst Market Challenges

Kajaria Ceramics Limited showcased resilience with a 6.23% increase in volume, rising to 26.7 million square meters in Q2 FY '24 despite a weak domestic tile market. This period also saw a 4% climb in consolidated revenues to INR 1,122 crores year-on-year. Thanks to a reduction in fuel costs, EBITDA margins experienced a significant leap from 12% last year to over 16%.

Optimism for H2 FY '24

Management anticipates a positive shift in demand aligned with the growth of the real estate sector, laying the foundation for stronger volume growth in the latter half of FY '24.

Strategic Expansion and Modernization

Kajaria Ceramics completed key projects, adding 3 million square meters of GVT capacity in Sikandrabad and modernizing ceramic tile capacity by 1.92 million square meters at Gailpur. These actions, enhancing production efficiencies and energy savings, signal a robust push for growth.

Exports Surge Steering Global Leadership

A 25% boost in tiles exports to approximately INR 16,000 crores in FY '23 and projections of reaching INR 20,000 to INR 21,000 crores in FY '24 positions India, and by extension Kajaria, on a path to become a leading global tile exporter by FY '25.

Profitability and Efficiency Improvements

Kajaria Ceramics recorded a substantial 55% jump in Profit After Tax (PAT) reaching INR 108 crores for the quarter. Additionally, working capital days were reduced to 53, down from 62, signaling a more efficient capital utilization.

Forward-looking Statements and Guidance

With Q3 looking positive and Q4 expected to surpass it, the company's guidance on revenue is closely tied to volume growth. Management assures investors of maintaining EBITDA margins at the higher end of the 14% to 16% range given the current trajectory.

Fuel Cost Outlook and Regional Breakdown

Fuel costs averaged about INR 38 across all plants and are anticipated to remain stable, with a possible minor fluctuation of INR 1. Regional cost variations exist, but the reliance on bio coal should prevent these costs from escalating significantly.

Cost Savings and Passing Benefits to Trade

The expected full-year savings from power and fuel were projected at about INR 150 crores. The first half already promises better results, part of which will be passed onto the trade network, enhancing competitive positioning.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q2

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Q2 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call for Kajaria Ceramics Limited hosted by Equirus Securities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that the conference is being recorded.

Please note that certain statements made by the management may be forward-looking within the meaning of applicable laws and regulation. Actual results might differ substantially from those expressed or implied. Kajaria Ceramics Limited will not be in any way responsible for any action taken based on such statement.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Pranav Mehta. Thank you, and over to you, sir. Pranav Mehta? Pranav?

P
Pranav Mehta
analyst

Yes, can you hear me?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

P
Pranav Mehta
analyst

Yes. Yes. So just 1 minute just a moment sir, I got dropped off the call. Yes. Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining this call. Today, we have with us the management of Kajaria Ceramics Limited. From the management side, we have Mr. Ashok Kajaria, CMD; Mr. Rishi Kajaria, JMD. Mr. Chetan Kajaria, JMD; Mr. Sanjeev Agarwal, CFO; Mr. Nehal Shah, DVP Strategy; and Mrs. Pallavi Bhalla, GM Investor Relations.

Without wasting much time, I'll hand over the call to Mr. Ashok Kajaria for his opening remarks, after which we will open up the floor to question and answers. Yes, sir, over to you.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes. Thank you, Pranav. Good evening, everyone. We have already made the introduction, so I'll not do that again. We must acknowledge the ongoing challenges in the domestic tile market as the demand continues to remain weak. In quarter 2 F '24, our volume showed a modest year-to-year growth of 6.23%, reaching 26.7 million square meters. The consolidated revenue for the quarter amounted to INR 1,122 crores, reflecting a 4% increase compared to the same period last year. Our EBITDA margin strengthened, exceeding 16%, a notable improvement from 12% in quarter 2 F '23 primarily due to reduction in fuel costs.

While first half of '24, witnessed weaker demand than anticipated, we have observed a gradual uptick in volumes in September. Furthermore, we expect a favorable shift in the demand environment, driven by the positive impact of the healthy growth in the real estate sector. This outlook [ arches ] well for an improvement in volume growth in second half of FY '24.

We are pleased to announce the successful commissioning of the Sikandrabad and Jaipur modernization cum expansion projects. These projects hold great promise for our future growth. In August '23, we commissioned 3 million square meters of GVT capacity in Sikandrabad, followed by the expansion cum modernization of our ceramic tile capacity by 1.92 million square meters at Gailpur in September '23. These newly operational facilities allow us to produce larger tires while achieving energy efficiency due to advanced fill technology. The recent commissioning of these projects signifies a positive step towards forward for our growth trajectory.

On the export front, India is becoming an invincible production hub for global exports being the lowest-cost producer in the world. India's exports grew 25% to approximately INR 16,000 crores in financial year '23, which is likely to reach INR 20,000 to INR 21,000 crores in FY '24. As compared to INR 12,750 crores in FY '22. India exports accounted for 15% of the world's tile -- total tile exports. If the current trend of India tile exports continues, India may aim towards becoming the largest tile exporter in volume terms by financial year '25.

Now for this quarter's financial performance. In quarter 2 FY '24, the company achieved a 4% year-on-year increase in consolidated revenue from operations, reaching INR 1,122 crores compared to INR 1,078 crores in quarter 2 F '23. Despite the challenging market condition the Bathware segment performed, while registering a notable 15% increase in revenue during quarter 2 F '24, reaching INR 85 crores compared to INR 74 crores in quarter 2 F '23. The plywood revenue increased by 21% during quarter 2 F '24 to INR 23 crores as compared to INR 19 crores in quarter 2 F '23. Revenue from adhesive grew by 35% to INR 13 crores in quarter 2 F '24 as compared to INR 10 crores in quarter 2 F '23. PAT for the year grew by 55% to INR 108 crores in quarter 2 F '24 as compared to INR 70 crores in quarter 2 F '23. As of 30th of September '23, the working capital days decreased to 53 days from 62 days as of 30th of June '23 -- September sorry, as of 30th of June '23. Looking forward, we remain steadfast on our growth strategy. This strategy entails a continued emphasis on expanding our reach in smaller terms and introducing innovative products. We are confident that our strong foundation and unwavering commitment to excellence will sustain our sales in the quarter to come.

With this, I take the opportunity of thanking you all for joining us today in spite of your busy schedule. Over to you, Pranav. Thank you.

P
Pranav Mehta
analyst

Yes. Operator, we can open up the floor for question and answers.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Rahul Agarwal from InCred Capital.

R
Rahul Agarwal
analyst

First question, essentially, sir, anything you would like to put as a revised guidance for tile volume growth and revenue growth and margins for this year?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, 2 things. As I said earlier, every quarter will be better than the earlier one, and that's what we are talking about. We are looking at a positive scenario for quarter 3 and quarter 4 should be better than quarter 3. As far as revenue guidance, it is linked to the growth of volume. So that -- and as far as margins are concerned, we are keeping that at 14% to 16%, but will be in the upper end, that much I can assure, because even if you see the 6% growth volume growth in this quarter, 7% in the first quarter. If we have been able to achieve this 16% margin, I think going forward, it would be slightly better. That's the way I look at it.

R
Rahul Agarwal
analyst

Got it, sir. And secondly, on the fuel pricing, if you could help us with the 2Q average and the outlook for second half of this year?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, as far as the second quarter is concerned, the total, if you take all the plants, it's about INR 38 and going forward, it will be more or less same plus minus INR 1, because as you all know, Brent has slightly increased in the international market. So it would be plus minus INR 1. Plus INR 1 like that. But at the same time, since we are using bio coal, so we are confident that it will not go beyond that.

R
Rahul Agarwal
analyst

And sir, the regional breakdown, if it is possible, for the North, South and West?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, right now, we are selling approximately 40% in North.

Gas is INR 40 in North. INR 38 in South, West is INR 33 and average is about INR 30 for quarter 2.

R
Rahul Agarwal
analyst

Got it, sir. And last question, sir, the savings from power and fuel, I think it was expected to be about INR 150 crores for the full year. How much was that in first half? Is it equal? Like is it INR 75 crores?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, no, it should be slightly better than that. I would say slightly better, and part of it will be passed on to the trade, as I said earlier.

R
Rahul Agarwal
analyst

Yes, I'm aware of that, sir, in terms of passing on to the trade, but should be like INR 80 crores, INR 85 crores, is it?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Approximately.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Sonali Salgaonkar from Jefferies.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Sir, my first question is regarding the CapEx. Any revision in the guidance for the CapEx or we hold to our guidance of last quarter?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

The CapEx guidance remains the same. I think this year, we should be spending close to about INR 370 crores in financial year '23-'24 and going forward, I think it should be about INR 200 crores, INR 250 crores every year for the next 3 years.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Understand. Sir, secondly, on the export front, you actually gave a very good summary of how India is selling well as a low cost producer. Sir, any updates on the Q2 exports how much have we grown and which are the new markets that Modi is currently targeting?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

You see total first 6 months exports are from India is about INR 10,000 crores plus.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Okay. Got it, sir. So any relevant pricing actions in Q2 that we have seen in either tiles or sanitary ware?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

[indiscernible].

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Relevant pricing action, pricing -- price, hike or reduction.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

The prices, as I said earlier, also the prices per se don't get reduced, but we pass on certain benefits to the traders or the dealers to sell more. Basically, that's what has been -- market. Sorry. What exactly the question in Bathware?

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

No, any relevant pricing actions across your product portfolio? Any segment where you have increased or probably rolled back the prices?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, I don't -- right now, there's been no price increase in any segment. No, not -- no change as such.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Okay. Got it. Sir, and just one last question. In your starting commentary, you said that demand is a bit weak. So if you could help us understand where is this weakness primarily coming from? Is this urban driven or Tier 2, Tier 3 rural driven?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, all of you have been saying that we are seeing has been good for the last 2 years, which we accept. Now what has happened is, firstly, as I said earlier, they have sold their own inventory, what was there. Second year, their new construction started. Our demand has started coming now. As I said, September has been better than last 5 months, and things are looking positive. First they used steel and cement and all kinds of things for making the building, cables and all that. Now a time has come that they have been using the finishing and where the tiles, and sanitary ware, ply and all kinds of things will come and paints and all that all will come in. So that's a scenario, which is now emerging, and I think it should be better from here. Now we are seeing the demand coming in the real estate sector. So going forward, things are going to be much better.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

I understand. Sir, if I'm correct, your revised volume guidance was 11% to 13%. Is that right for the full year?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, no, no. We are not saying that. What we are saying is, see, first quarter, we did the volume growth of 7%. Second quarter we did 6%. What we are honestly saying is with the market looking up, we should -- third quarter will be better -- definitely better than first and two and fourth quarter be better than third. So if you average it out, I think it would be close to about 9%, 10%. I think that's what we should look at.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

9%, 10%. Understood.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Shubham Agarwal from Axis Capital.

S
Shubham Agarwal
analyst

My questions have been answered.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Onkar from Shree Investment.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

My question was regarding the volume growth, earlier you targeted was around 15% to 20% at the start of the year. So now you are revising it to 9% to 10%. So any comments on that?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We never give a guidance of 15% to 20%. What we gave a guidance of 13% to 15% in volume terms at our May conference when we did our annual results. And all of you are also aware of what is happening in the industry, it's not that Kajaria has to do something, which is beyond expectations. Results have started coming from many multinationals. They're all saying that the markets have been very tough. So we are, whatever is the current scenario, looking at that with whatever we have revised, we just shared it.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

So just now you shared that now the things have started input for the tile sector, as earlier, I mean, the cable and wire sector or other sectors are doing well. So how confident are you about this recovery, which will be taking place? As the results from other players have been very strong. Other players in the other industry industries to real estate, I'm saying.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Don't make a general statement, talk about a specific industry where the results have been good. We are also aware of what is happening.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

I'm talking about infrastructure, I'm talking about cables and wires.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

As I said earlier, cables and wires are being used at the time of construction. Post construction tiles, sanitary ware, paints, ply, all these things coming. As far as [indiscernible] is concerned, you said they are also using an agriculture, don't forget agriculture is doing very well in India. So don't mix that. See, you should compare an apple to an apple, I would say that.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

So I was asking about the same thing. How confident are you that since the allied industries are doing...

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

What we are saying is, in the consolidated 6 months, we had a volume growth of about 67%. And going forward, it will be better than that. Things are looking -- now things are looking better. And next 6 months are going to much better than the first 6 months.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

Just 2 questions from my end that's related to you, one is employee costs, you've seen sudden increase in employee cost jump. Any specific one-off? Or will it be now the new run rate?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We have made some provision for the increment in the quarter.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

I'm sorry, sir, we were not able to hear you.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We made some provision of increment in the Q2.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

Okay. So probably this run rate basically can continue for full year considering this increment will stay here.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes. So next quarter is going to be similar to Q2 slightly -- maybe very slightly higher than the Q2.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

Understood sir...

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

One thing you can [indiscernible] in selling cost in Q3 and Q4 what we have shown in Q2.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

Understood, sir. And secondly, sir, I just wanted to understand what has been the ad spend for first half as well as second quarter?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So we spent roughly INR 108 crores last year, we spent INR 60 crores in the first 6 months, our target is to increase this and have a total spend of INR 130 crores to INR 140 crores for the financial year ending '23-'24.

S
Sneha Talreja
analyst

Okay. So the second half with volumes improving there you will see an aggressive, that's right.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Achal Lohade from JM Financial.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

[Technical Difficulty]

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Not clear. You're not audible. You are not audible sir.

Operator

Sir your voice is not audible. Please, switch to the handset.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

I'm on handset only, is it audible now?

Operator

No, sir, your voice is not audible.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

It's not clear.

Operator

Mr. Achal, please go ahead.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Is it better?

Operator

No.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

I will fall back in the queue.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Dhananjay Kumar Mishra from Sunidhi Securities.

D
Dhananjay Mishra
analyst

Just wanted to know whatever demand we have done -- growth we have done in terms of volume 6%, 7%. So where -- from where this demand is coming, whether it is coming from replacement market upgradation or more coming from new builders? So do you have any estimate of that? And what kind of growth in both the segment is happening as of now?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

As you said, the first 6 month was 6% to 7%. And then next 7, 6 months will be definitely better than that in terms of volume terms. And the growth is coming from everywhere in good proportion, mainly from Tier 2, Tier 3 cities. The new houses are being built, let us move for renovation basically. That's the overall scenario. Dealers are making more showrooms and data stores in Tier 2, Tier 3 city. So we're looking at a much higher volume growth in the smaller towns.

D
Dhananjay Mishra
analyst

Okay. Okay. So -- and then the incremental demand will be coming once the -- as you said that we are expecting good demand once the project will come in completion stage, right?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Right.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Akash Shah, UTI Mutual Funds.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, sir you can go ahead.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Ashokji, just wanted to ask so we have -- we are sort of increasing our footprint in international market like let's say, Dubai and also we had set up a JV to sell products in U.K. market. So any sort of thoughts whether are we willing to ramp up our export sales? Or it would still remain small in the overall scheme of things?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, overall, we are very, very strong in the domestic market. Export will always be a small percentage of our overall sales. By doing -- by opening a showroom in Dubai, by opening a showroom in London, we are trying to see how we can get some share of the export market and increase our export sales. It will be a slow and gradual process, but we are putting our effort to get some share of the market.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Sure. And we would -- we will be selling product -- I mean, tiles in our own brand name, right?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Absolutely. It will be Kajaria product, be it sold in Dubai or London.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Okay. Okay. Sure. And just sorry, I missed that part. So we had the gas cost region wise. So what was the number for West and South?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

West is INR 33 and South is INR 38 and North is INR 40. And average is INR 30.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amit from Elara.

A
Amit Purohit
analyst

Yes. Sir, just wanted to understand that you highlighted that your strategy is to get...

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

[Foreign Language]

A
Amit Purohit
analyst

Sir, am I audible now?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes, yes.

A
Amit Purohit
analyst

So I was saying that I just wanted to know, you've been talking about getting into smaller towns aggressively and you also highlighted Tier 2 and Tier 3 market. I just wanted to know if you could share what would be the, I mean, revenue split like, if possible, or the dealer split like, if possible, in those for us -- for our existing current dealers or our current revenue?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, currently, macro is about 15%, 16%. Tier 1, what we call it is about 30%. Tier 2 would be about 30%, and Tier 3 will be the balance. Tier 4 will be hardly 2%.

A
Amit Purohit
analyst

Okay. Okay. And so our expansion plan, are we looking at Tier 4? Or are we seeing Tier 3, Tier 4 also...?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Tier 2, Tier 3 will be the stress. That's where the major construction is happening and partly into Tier 4 as we go along.

A
Amit Purohit
analyst

Okay. And in terms of our distribution current mix, what would it will -- should be similar to the revenue mix, right? That...

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes, yes, it will be similar to the revenue mix.

Operator

The next question is from the line of [indiscernible] from Niveshaay Investment Advisory.

U
Unknown Analyst

Am I audible?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, if you can give the set of revenue between tiles, Bathware and adhesives and their respective margin?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So can you please repeat your question, it's very soft, your voice.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sorry. Is it okay now?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

So can you please share the split of revenue between tiles, Bathware and adhesives and their respective margin?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

For the last 6 months.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So tiles is 90%. Bathware is 7%. Adhesives is 2% to 3%, plywood and adhesives together is 2% to 3%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And their respective margins?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So tiles got 16% EBITDA. The bathware got 9% EBITDA and plywood is negative 2%, 3%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Sir, how do we see the bathware demand coming up? I mean you did give some good guidance on tiles.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So bathware Industry -- bathware market for us, first half grew about 16%. The next 6 months are very much, much better than the first 6 months. So we are looking at a blended growth of 20% plus for the entire year.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. This is in the bathware alone?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

This is bathware segment, yes, bathware and sanitary are combined.

U
Unknown Analyst

All combined, we will see a volume growth of 9% to 10%, right?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, tiles is about -- tiles we are talking about 9% to 10%. For bathware we are talking about a 20% plus value growth.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And sir, can you please share the dealer numbers as on 30th September?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

For?

U
Unknown Analyst

Number of dealers. I mean, you had guided 150 additions this year. Are we on track on that?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We are very much very much. Right now, the current state of dealers is about 1,950, 1-9-5-0. We started with 1,840 current state is 1,950.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Sir and majority are in T2 and T3 cities?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, no, no, they are in metro, all over. Entire...

U
Unknown Analyst

How can they only be into Tier 2 and Tier 3. Sorry, sir, I missed can you repeat?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

They are all over India, Kajaria is sitting all over India, macro, Tier 1, Tier 2, Tier 3 and partly Tier 4. The addition will also be all over. But out of 110 dealers, which we added, you can see about 35 are exclusive Kajaria.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Lavanya Tottala from UBS.

L
Lavanya Tottala
analyst

Most of my questions are answered. Just wanted to check on other expenses. Even other expenses saw a spike in this quarter. Is there anything one-off or with higher outflows, it is at a higher rate?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We don't -- we can't hear you properly.

S
Sanjeev Agarwal
executive

Yes, yes, mainly because of individual expenses.

L
Lavanya Tottala
analyst

Okay. So it will be higher for the next half also with increased ad spend?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

It would be similar to what we have shown in Q2. Not -- there will not be the same increase in Q2, Q3, what we have showed in between Q1 and Q2.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ronald Siyoni from Sharekhan.

R
Ronald Siyoni
analyst

I just wanted perspective to all the Indian tile exports market. So as you said that India is poised to become the largest tile exporter by FY '25. So is it that only the lower gas prices compared to globally is what domestic exporters are getting benefits of? Or are there any other benefits compared to other Southeast Asian countries? I mean to say, during COVID and after -- just before the COVID, the global gas prices were much higher. So versus what are the pros and cons with respect to this cost versus the Southeast Asian exporters?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

See, gas prices, what they are today are also there internationally. Indian manufacturers are paying whatever is international prices. Last year, if I take you back in financial year, not calendar year '22, gas prices either be at 10x, 8x and 10x and India was about 1.5x, 2x but right now, everywhere the prices have come down more or less 2x or [ X x 1 ]. India purchase has become very competitive, and the credit goes to Modi, because there are almost 600 manufactures there. And out of that, you can say about 120 are focusing mainly on exports, because we are a very competitive producer as a country. So that's why your exports have picked up. And looking forward, I think we have a feeling that it should go further up as the time passes.

R
Ronald Siyoni
analyst

Okay. So this is a very sustainable trend that exports will continue because the gas prices are comparable.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Exactly.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Nikhil Agarwal from Vt Capital.

N
Nikhil Agrawal
analyst

I had a couple of questions. In quarter 2, your ad realization for subsidiaries has gone up and outsourcing has gone down quite significantly. So any reason behind that?

P
Pallavi Bhalla
executive

Nikhil, there is some [indiscernible] from our end. And some numbers got added in the subsidiary instead of -- sorry, instead of a subsidiary, it got added in the outsourcing part. So now we have corrected the number. And going forward, this is going to be the trend.

N
Nikhil Agrawal
analyst

Okay. Okay. So the quarter 2 numbers that are reported, those are correct, right?

P
Pallavi Bhalla
executive

Yes. So every number in this earnings release are corrected. And now this is going to be the trend.

S
Sanjeev Agarwal
executive

We have regrouped the number of the previous quarter. To make it comparable with the Q2.

N
Nikhil Agrawal
analyst

Okay. Okay. Got it. And one more question. It was like on the gas cost, your gas cost as a percentage of the top line and the percentage of operating expenses, they have increased quarter-on-quarter. While you said that your average cost was 38% in quarter 1, it was 39%, if I'm not wrong. So like what could be the possibility?

P
Pallavi Bhalla
executive

No. So it has gone up slightly because of some increase in the power costs in one of our units in Rajasthan, there are some changes in the duty and it has increase the power cost slightly and gas costs is more or less same.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So if we look at the -- yes, if you look at production as well. The capacity utilization in Q2 is higher than Q1. So that's the reason power price has gone up quarter on quarter.

N
Nikhil Agrawal
analyst

Okay. Got it. Your capacity utilization in Q1 would be around -- Q2 would be around 95% plus if I'm not wrong?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Mohit Agarwal from IIFL.

M
Mohit Agrawal
analyst

Sir, just one question. Can you quantify the volume growth for the month of September? And if possible, could you give some color on October 15 days also, the demand side?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

September was roughly about 9%. And from October, then things should be a little better.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Jenish Karia from Antique Stock Broking.

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Am I audible?

Operator

Your voice is low, can you please come closer to the handset?

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Is it better now?

Operator

Yes, please go ahead.

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Yes. So last year, we were saying that Morbi would take annual shutdown. So are we -- is there any shutdown planned during the third quarter from Morbi?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

We would not know. You should ask somebody in Morbi. We would not know that.

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Okay. I thought you might be aware because we have JVs. No problem. Secondly, sir...

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Our JV is not taking any shutdown. Last year also when they had shut down, we didn't take any shutdown.

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Sure. So that's great. Secondly, sir, if you could just reiterate the CapEx guidance for FY '24? And where would we be spending it in the second half?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So we spent roughly INR 50 crores in the Gailpur modernization, INR 51 crores. SKD was INR 100 crores plus. The Nepal project will be INR 91 crores, and Kerovit global is roughly INR 80 crores and our corporate office will be around INR 50 crores and INR 26 crores will be the CapEx maintenance and miscellaneous with be INR 125 crores, that's INR 370 crores for this financial year.

J
Jenish Karia
analyst

Okay. And next year would be INR 200 crores, INR 250 crores each?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes. Correct, next 3 years around...

U
Unknown Executive

Next year no major expansion plan as of now for next year.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec.

R
Ritesh Shah
analyst

Sir, my first question is on this data pertaining to ceramic world review. What it surprisingly indicates is that India production and consumption actually in volumetric terms declined for CY '22 Sir, any thoughts over here that you would like to share? Is there something that one should read across?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, you are correct. What ceramic world review says, but it is actually for the calendar year. And when you look at this financial year, because in India, we do it financial year, that's where we have upgraded the export data also as per the Ministry of Commerce. And if you look at the financial year, we have been flat on domestic volumes and exports have grown from INR 12,500 to INR 16,000 crores.

Overall industry has been very tough last year. For calendar year '22, if you can see the ceramic world review data worldwide it has degrown by 9.6%, because the coal prices went up in certain parts of the world, 8x, 10x, 2x, depending on where you are. So that was the reason, but I think everything has come back 2x or maybe maximum of 1.5x. So that's a scenario. So the industry overall, the world should also do better.

R
Ritesh Shah
analyst

Right. And sorry, just to dig into it. Basically, it indicates 15% decline, even if it is CY,how should one this number? Is that something realistic? Or is it -- one should just roll the fact?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Whatever we have given, we can't argue on that. But after seeing the data when we went to the fair in September, they considered on emerging people also. They also felt that the industry has -- in spite of the shutdown last year, please note that they have shut down one month. And some of the units have, some of the units have not. They felt that per se, the production has been flat. You can say that. And some of the production has been diverted to exports, because production -- part of the production was domestic was flat, exports have grown up. So some of that production went to exports.

U
Unknown Executive

Market share from the [indiscernible].

R
Ritesh Shah
analyst

That is helpful. Sir, second is we have given our volume guidance. But given we have bunching up of festivities this time of the year, we have Diwali Chhath Puja altogether, so do you hear or do you worry about concerns around labor availability, which can actually put it a concern on volume growth? And given there are multiple state-level elections, are there any historical trends from which basically has labor availability been a problem? Or is that okay, life goes on?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

If I take you back for the first 5 months, except for the month of July, where there was excessive rainfall in North. There were no major holidays. Still we couldn't do what we'd we like to do. But as you know, in the last 6 months of the year, if you take it historically for the last 10 years, at least, the growth has always been better. Whatever you plan happens. So holidays have always -- will always come Diwali will always come either in October and November, Chhath will be there always, elections per se are beneficial. Whenever local elections are there, national elections are there, there is more work in the system. They try to clear more projects so that work can take place. So basically, it's positive, positive, positive.

R
Ritesh Shah
analyst

Sure. And sir, lastly, if you could give some comments on the pricing and discounting trends of what we saw in Q2? And how do you see that in Q3.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Whatever has happened, has happened in Q2 because the cash prices were like that. Slightly gas prices have went up by INR 5 on 1st of September, 24th of August and 1st of September and -- in Morbi. But if you look at that, nothing much would happen in quarter 3, nothing much would happen as far as the pricing is concerned. We are not looking at any changes. We'll continue with whatever is going.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Akash Shah from UTI Mutual Fund.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Sir, we have recently seen that in plywood, there is a -- I mean the company would be able to give a bit higher loan to the subsidiary. So any sort of threshold limit that we have I mean the broad amount that we will invest in plywood business?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

So currently, last year, we did INR 77 crores turnover in plywood. This year trading, this year we are looking at INR 100 crore plus. And the loan limit, we are not exactly know. We look at a positive future going forward and it also should come down as we go ahead. So we'll take it as it comes, basically.

A
Akash Shah
analyst

Sure. Sure, sir. So as of now, the plan is to invest in this business as we see a huge opportunity in this business.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes. Because the plywood industry itself is INR 27,500 crores in the country, organized is only INR 7,000 crores, unorganized is INR 20,500. As the GST coming in, we see a lot of shift in the unorganized to the organized tiers so it's a big sized industry, and we are open on gaining some market share as we keep on moving forward.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Onkar from Shree Investment.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

I just wanted to know what the capacity utilization currently are working at?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Capacity utilization in the quarter 2 was 98%.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

98%.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Yes.

O
Onkar Ghugardare
analyst

You said 98%, right?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

98%.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of [ Ahluwalia from RoboCapital ].

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir my question relates to the Brent. So when can we expect the impact of natural gas to be corrected?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No. Natural gas is linked to Brent. And as you -- we are all aware, Brent prices have gone up recently it has touched as high as $97. The prices of gas for us in north would have been much higher, but fortunately, since we are using biofuel, we are saved by that. So that's what I said, the current price for the quarter 2 was INR 38 average. For quarter 3, we are looking at almost scenario, plus INR 1 max because otherwise, it would have been much higher. So that's a scenario. So that's where we are at.

Operator

The next question is from the line of [ Udit Gadiwala ].

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, just one question. Sir, earlier you had mentioned that there are no new capacities coming up in Morbi. But of late, we are seeing some signs of fresh investments coming in over there from the smaller or the unorganized players. So do we see this as the hindrance or you would attribute the same for the export group?

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

No, no, other information also says that almost 25, 30 plants are coming in Morbi. But mainly, they will be for exports. You are absolutely correct, there are 25, 30 plants coming. Good sized plants are coming, I was told, and mainly for exports because export market is really picking up, so they want a greater share and better share of that pie.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today. I will now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Ashok Kajaria for closing comments. Please go ahead, sir.

A
Ashok Kajaria
executive

Thank you very much for all the people, who have joined us today and spending their valuable time. I hope we have been able to answer a few of the questions that they have put to us. And any further questions can be sent to our team of Sanjeev, Nehal and Pallavi for more answers. Thank you very much for joining us today. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Equirus Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.