Prince Pipes and Fittings Ltd
NSE:PRINCEPIPE
Earnings Call Analysis
Q3-2024 Analysis
Prince Pipes and Fittings Ltd
The company has acknowledged an underperformance in its operations, but corrective actions have been taken with an expectation for a turnaround by the June quarter of FY '25.
The company experienced market share loss at the retail level due to supply chain disruptions. Efforts have been focused on certain geographies where the problem was more apparent, and with the modernization of the supply chain, the company expects to regain market share and be back on track from the June quarter.
Growth in building materials has been stronger when compared to the agricultural sector, and this trend is likely to continue. While Agri will grow thanks to affordable PVC prices, the forecast indicates that growth will be higher in plumbing and building materials moving forward.
After addressing ERP challenges and identifying market share losses, the company adjusted its pricing strategy from an over-premiumization approach to one that is more aligned with the market. This realignment of pricing is a strategic shift rather than deep discounting, with visible effects expected from Q1 FY '25.
As for the future, the company projects that they will match industry growth rates, and over time, they aim to outpace the industry. The company has noted a healthy operational performance without providing specific quantification mid-quarter.
The Bathware segment recorded its first full quarter of sales with positive feedback from dealers and consumers, generating around INR 6 crores in sales and incurring INR 3 crores in expenses, marking a solid entry for the company in new market segments.
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Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Prince Pipes & Fittings Limited Q3 and 9M FY '24 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Antique Stock Broking. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference has been recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jenish Karia from Antique Stock Broking. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you. On behalf of Antique Stock Broking. I would like to welcome all the participants on 3Q and 9 months FY '24 Earnings Conference of Prince Pipes and Fittings Limited. From the management, we have on the call Mr. Parag Chheda, Managing Director; Mr. Nihar Chheda, Vice President, Strategy; Mr. Anand Gupta, CFO; and Mr. Karl Kolah, Head, Investor Relations. Without further ado, I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Parag Chheda for his opening remarks. Post which, we shall open the call for Q&A. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thanks, Jinesh. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for our quarter 3 and 9 months FY '24 earnings call. The presentation and the press release has been issued to the stock exchanges and appeared on our website. I hope everybody has been able to [indiscernible] the same. Our performance risk witness margins improved by [indiscernible] 12.2% and 6% year-on-year growth in profitability. Our [indiscernible] quarter stood at 42,655 metric tons. And overall, revenues were at INR [indiscernible] crores. The quarter was a challenge in terms of private volumes. However, we were resilient in protecting profit margins despite the high base effect of [indiscernible] in the last fiscal, which was a strong restocking in the distributor channel after the stabilization of PVC prices. We are aggressively focusing on driving volume growth through various efforts aimed at expanding distribution and [indiscernible] the channel network. We are also adding new products to build portfolio debt, strengthening our brand equity and building a robust presence in the project segment. With all the initiatives, we are focused on returning to the healthy volume growth in the next fiscal year. Aligned with our vision to expand, we are happy to share that our new integrated manufacturing facility as [indiscernible] is underway and we conducted the [indiscernible] in December to mark the efficient part of construction, which has already begun and is progressing well. I'm also happy to share that we have accomplished the first full quarter of sales in our bathware segment, and the initial response has been encouraging from dealers and consumers where our products have been installed. We continue to penetrate key Tier 2 and 3 markets of Northern India, like Srinagar, Punjab, [indiscernible], Delhi, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and Western India like Gujarat and rest of Maharashtra. We have also started participating at exhibition and even across the company, which has drawn a positive response. Our water bank segment continues to do well as we continue to leverage our multilocation manufacturing presence and achieve healthy traction in the first 9 months of this fiscal. We will soon be setting up the team manufacturing in Haridwar and Chennai, following which we will have [indiscernible] manufacturing locations. In addition to engaging our channel faster in industry exhibitions and events across India, our marketing prefers are also focusing on extending the B2B brand category to engage directly with the audiences through EPC contact program and events across India to build stronger brand recognition. During the quarter, we also introduced new products that building greater depth to the portfolio. We counted the Duratap range, including [indiscernible] and showers. Duratap is manufactured with PTT material which is a [indiscernible] that combines the advantages of both plastic and metal. Being a specialty engineering plastic, PMT has great advantages over the other materials in terms of functionality and nonutility and is in at the cost-conscious mark market. We also launched era subsurface drainage pipes and innovative solutions, addressing challenges related to excessive subset this quarter. Overcoming challenges like in the [indiscernible], shallow backdrop and dense [indiscernible] in our solution ensures rapid water circulation and the productive idea we are maintaining stability in agriculture and [indiscernible] as well. We continue to maintain a strong focus on our manufacturing processes and our Dadra plant has been floated in India Manufacturing Excellence Awards, [indiscernible] of Merit as part of [indiscernible] India Manufacturing Excellence award 2023. As you are aware, IMexI at the end framework, evaluate organizations on their manufacturing capability, supply chain reliability and technology adoption. In addition, our can plant won the IMexI commitment price for the continued excellence in operation. This is a previous program that recognizes efforts into facilitating operational excellence and building a sustainable improvement culture. Our business fundamentals continue to be healthy. As we focus on growth strategies, optimizing capacity utilization, expanding market penetration and optimizing our product mix, we are progressing aggressively and we will continue to focus efforts to capture market opportunities across our core segments of pipe and fittings, bathware and [indiscernible]. The [indiscernible] has been recently abled and broadly it has kept its focus on [indiscernible] as expected. The performance highlighted are in the right direction towards supporting the government team for transforming India into a [indiscernible] company by 2027. The government's strong contained to continue the development of 2 sectors of infrastructure, green, airport agriculture and housing, other well for the big material and [indiscernible] industries that through an active role by calling innovative solutions and technologies.
Thank you for your time. I will now hand it over to Anand to take you through the key financial highlights.
Thank you, Parag, and good morning. We had our [indiscernible] looking on our Telangana plant yesterday and let [indiscernible] call today from Hyderabad. Taking a look at the quarterly highlights in this quarter, revenues were at INR 619 crores. Our finished good volume reported at [indiscernible] metrics tons. We delivered a healthy operating performance EBITDA at INR 76 crores. For the quarter, recording a growth of 9% on an basis. Our margins were enhanced by 2 basis points year-on-year at 12.2%. AMG spend for the quarter has increased to INR 12 crores. Our profit after tax for the corporate grew outspent reported at crore. We continue the divisions and our [indiscernible], we have made 3 presence distributors and we have increased a into channel patterns.
With this, we would like to open up for questions. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Achal from JM Financials.
Yes. Sir, my first question is with respect to the volume performance. So if you look at last 4, 5 quarters, it optically appears to us that we are kind of underperforming most of the peers. So if you could highlight in terms of how the industry growth could have been in the last 9 months? And what is dragging this underperformance? And the corrective actions you would have taken undertaking right now? That's my first question.
Thank you, sir. For the question, I think it's important to address this. So happy to look for the question on the call. So we clearly acknowledge the underperformance, obviously, that's been apparent over past 3 quarters. The way we see it is actually down to 2 factors. I think, of course, first quarter of the year, we saw challenges in supply chain because of the ERP challenges, which led to some market share loss. And we are in the process of regaining that market share. And the second is what I had stated in the previous quarter call is that there is some pricing action that we have taken to correction in pricing in some markets, key market treatment that we had demanded by competitors and that pricing actions we have taken. You will see that, that is actually visible in our full realizations per tonne, which have decreased, which has been a conscious effort to become more competitive or aggressive in the market. And both these factors will take some time to -- so the corrective action has been done, which is visible, but the results will take a couple of quarters. So I feel that by first quarter of next financial year, we should start performing in line with industry, if not being the [indiscernible] player in the industry. What I would also add is the fundamentals remain the same. We continue to work on network expansion, new product launches and continue to be aggressive in creating visibility for the brand. So none of that changes. It's the same team, the same product, the same market. So the fundamental [indiscernible] change. Those have been 2 factors, which we feel has led to the underperformance, and we are confident that the actions that we have taken, we will see results from the first quarter of next financial year. And to conclude, I can come to the table and say that the mind share and the efforts right from the end to the front line [indiscernible] continue to be the same. So there is no lack of mind share of efforts. We acknowledge that there is an underperformance. The action has been taken, and we are confident that the numbers are speaking from June quarter of FY '25. So hopefully, that brings some clarity to the question.
Just a clarification, did you say that the impact of the corrective actions will be seen from fourth quarter of FY '25? Did I get it right?
June quarter.
Okay. 1Q FY '25. Okay. The second question I had, is this market share loss, anything to do with the distributor switching or any particular geography where there is a loss of market share, if you could comment on the same as well?
Yes. Same thing. [indiscernible], it is not at the distributor level, which is more of the retail space. Our distributors continue to be loyal with us. We have supported them through thick and thin. And these are long-term relationships. So we are supporting the company in the challenging times of the first 2 quarters through that ERP transition. So we are confident that the primary relationships with our distributors are stronger than ever and that 1 or 2 challenging quarters cannot change that. This is more to do with market share loss at the secondary level at the retail level because of the supply chain disruptions we had, which impacted the supply chain of our distributors. And that is taking time to [indiscernible]. Yes, it has been more apparent in certain geographies, which we have identified and focused efforts have already focused actions have already started in those particular geographies. But to reclarify, 1 of the primary distribution actions are being impacted by the 1 or 2 disruptive quarters. And I think now with the complete modernization of supply chain and the rest of the efforts in the right direction. The market share will be gained back. And like I said, we'll be on track from June quarter.
Understood. Another question I had for the quarter, in terms of the inner loss and also in terms of the roles for agri and plumbing, how what is for the third quarter for us?
So I'll take the second part of the question first, and then Anand can take up the inventory loss. I think the growth, I think, continues to be stronger in building materials relative to Agri. Anyway, I think December quarter is not a very high quarter for equity, you will be very -- at an industry level, agri being more relevant in the March quarter or the June quarter because it's a seasonal business, unlike building material. And I think the way the estate and infrastructure is growing. I think for the foreseeable future, the building material part of the portfolio, we continue to grow at a faster pace. Agri will grow as well because PVC prices are now extremely affordable. So Agri will continue to grow, but I think the pace of growth will be higher in plumbing and segments for the foreseeable future.
So a for this quarter, the 1 loss will be [indiscernible]. And that is in the P&L [indiscernible].
Understood. I guess clarification, Anand...
Sorry to interrupt, sir. Please, limit your questions. [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Shubham Aggarwal from Axis Capital.
Just on the previous participant's question, you said that the corrective price actions that we've taken in Q2 will probably be visible to quarters, hence status in Q1 FY '25. So just to understand, can you elaborate on this? Like what leads to a 2-quarter lag for the growth to be seen? And if you can also elaborate what kind of price discount what was mispriced and how did you correct it? What kind of pricing actions are you taking? If you can elaborate more on this?
Sure. Happy to give more clarity on this. So 1 is, I think there are 2 factors that we have identified internally. One is the challenges. The ERP challenges are through, but as a result of the challenges in the first half of the fiscal, we have lost some market share loss. And the market, it is not on and off, which it takes some time to recruit the market share that is lost. Whatever the reason for the market share losses. Again, I will reiterate, if not at the primary very, but is the secondary level. So that takes a couple of quarters. So we estimate that by June quarter, we would be in a position to perform at par with industry if not outfits, which is what we are used to as an organization. And the second is the pricing action, which we had highlighted in the September quarter. Our conference call is 1 that they're in certain markets. So we are not discounting to peers in certain markets, we said that we had over premiumized in our drive of premiumization which led to this kind of a challenging volume scenario. So it is that the pricing has now become realigned. So I would not say that we are doing any study 3 deep discounting or anything. We are very clear in terms of whatever growth that will be -- where it will be a profitable growth. So there's no deep discounting at set. It's more just a realignment of pricing to ensure their your competitors and market friendly. And again, that will just take, I think, 1 more quarter to really start showing in terms of results. But in terms of action, it has already been taken, which is visible on CCR realization per tonne has been correction, and that's a conscious correction that we have taken as we had stated in the previous quarter call. So keeping this in mind, I think from 1Q, we should be back on track.
Understood. Helpful, yes. So given this context and the corrective actions taken Al, what are you expecting? What kind of growth can we see in Q4 FY '23? How has January fared out for you in terms of growth? And what should we expect in FY '25?
So as FY '25, I think we will be at par with industry growth. And hopefully, we start outpacing industry growth in due time. And that can be in terms of the [indiscernible].
January and Q4 FY '24. Yes, '24, yes.
We have seen a -- I would say away from quantifying anything in the middle of the quarter. We have never done that as an organization, but we have seen a healthy operational performance in general.
Okay. Got it. And just on the bathware revenue loss that we've incurred this quarter. That's all. That's my last question.
So this was the first full quarter for sales in Bathware segment, and we have got the encouraging response from dealers and consumers. We have mega trends felt in more than 100 retail touch points as sort of continues to make on Tier 2 as well as the 3 markets of Northern India and Western India. So full quarter sales is around INR 6 crores, which we have listed that is in the top line. And on the expand side for this quarter, INR 3 crores.
This includes line power and A&P spending growth.
INR 3 crores is the net loss, you said. Did I get it right?
So [indiscernible] one of sales, that is INR 6 crores and the other side is the sale and the expense number, which includes employee costs and A&P spend that is INR 3 crores.
Our next question is from the line of Saurya Shah from Equirus Securities Private Limited.
[indiscernible] from Equirus. So first, I wanted to understand on the competition coming in from the unorganized kind of regional players, they are multiple new entrants that the industry has seen over the last 2, 3 years. So since the PMC prices has kind of rallied down significantly and have an affordable range now. I wanted to understand on that point.
Could you repeat your question? Actually, we are not clear on the question.
Sir, is this better?
Yes.
Sir, I wanted to understand on the competition or the competition coming in from the unorganized or regional players. The industry saw 2, 3 new players entering the industry in the last 2, 3 years. So wanted to understand first on that point.
So I think new entrants, we have always been a part and pass of this industry because we have typically been a high growth, high return kind of industry. We have always seen these new entrants coming in, so have done the ones [indiscernible] immense growth opportunity and seeing that kind of growth opportunity we have always seen to entrant. I continue to believe that this is an organized market with 65% of the market gain organized only consolidating at our own softer sales. As the end user becomes more and more brand conscious. Yes, we did see some unorganized players going out of the market because of the extreme volatility. And we will always prepare that a part of that would come back and part will permanently be out of the market. But I think fundamentals remain the same at the macroeconomic level for a builder, piping cost is less than 1%, 1.5% of overall cost. So builder will is always going to choose to invest in a good quality brand that is established and well known and visible in the market in package. So I believe this industry is already organized and we will continue to organize itself and consolidate and the big will continue to get bigger in the long term.
Understood, sir. Understood. And second, I wanted to understand on the demand movement coming in from the government schemes, I think some of them are nearing the completion deadline. So what's the revised outlook on that? Mainly on the government scheme demand?
Sure. So I think anyway, we have not been very aggressive in the government space because of the extended credit cycles. So -- and I do believe that this -- it depends on state to state, certain state programs are coming to an end, but then certain states will pick up. And we have traffic selectively participating in these programs for HDP pipe as well as agriculture pipes, but only when the credit cycle has been [indiscernible]. So I think every state has their own cycle. So -- and then there are certain cycles for ones, which are coming to an end and certain state, it's only now [indiscernible]. But overall, I think with the kind of focus that the government has on the data infrastructure, I think this is a space that will be become more and more significant over the next 3 years at least.
Understood, sir. And sir, lastly, on the channel destocking, there have been divergent views from multiple management of whether destocking did happen or the scale was low. What's your view on the quarter with respect to the channel stocking levels?
So the channel level right now would be, I would say, moderate I think the good part is that PVC prices are extremely affordable. And more importantly than affordable are altered stable. So any increase or decrease that we are seeing is not very sharp, which was not the case in the past 2 financial years. Luckily now apart from the affordability, the range is very, very low. So even if there is an increase or decrease, it has never been more than INR 1 or INR 2, which means that there is not very sharp restocking and maybe were very sharp restarting. And there is no shock to the channel. So not only will you not see major inventory gain or loss, but we will also see a more stable inventory levels through the channel, which I think is good for the long term. It makes it more sustainable and a more growth conducive environment. So to answer your question, even for the immediate term, I don't see immense destocking or restocking. I think channel and whatever I'm interacting with my distributors, I understand that it's moderate inventory, and we will continue to do that as long as the pricing environment [indiscernible]. And as an organization, we believe that PAT cases from here will be ranged down and you will not see immense volatility on both ways, even upward and downward, I think, there is a cap and we will be extremely stable and range down alone.
Our next question is from the line of Sneha from Nuvama.
Couple of questions from my end. Firstly, your market share loss, could you give us some sense where this loss has largely been? Is it on the PVC side? Has it been on the CPVC side just product-wise? And is there any specific geography where that you have seen market share losses?
Thank you, Sneha. If this market share loss has been specific to certain geographies and certain products which the team has identified and that data analysis has been done by the team. And the corrective action that we have taken, again, in terms of pricing, and even in terms of being slightly more aggressive with creating brand visibility is not something which is baked across-country across product categories. It is specific to certain geographies and certain products. So that has been identified by the sales function and that corrective action has already been [indiscernible], which is visible in our realization as well. So it is not across the market. It's in certain markets for certain product categories, which correct direction has been taken.
Could you give us some sense versus example, CPVC would have been dropped by what percentage approximate and what would have been the loss in PVC?
So I think our segmental margins, we don't give and segmental growth also we don't share. The actually, I can say building material has done better than I do, even at an industry level because of the growth drivers. But I don't think it would be fair for me to give a segment performance because we never have. It's even in -- whenever there has been good quarters or back quarter segmental we have stayed away from, and I would continue to do that.
Where would our pricing be at this point of time versus peers since you have taken those price correction measures?
Yes. So yes, that's a good question. I think it's important to say that we are not deep discounting to peers, gone are the days where we are going to do that to gain market share. This is more to realign the premiumization that we had done in markets where we felt we were outsized. We have corrected that to bring it to parity peers in the markets where we venture certain for certain markets and for PVC and CPVC. So this is not some deep discounting of credit repricing it's just a realignment of pricing. As you are aware, we had thrower going through a premiumization drive not only from a pricing point of view, but also from a brand point of view as kind of product conduct. And as a part of that drive in certain markets, we felt that we have become out, right, which then led to this kind of market share loss. So that correction has been done. So the action has been taken for it to translate into results and for the market to realize that and for that to translate into volume performance, we'll take a couple of -- will take 1 quarter, so which is why we are guiding from June quarter, we will be at industry growth.
Understood. In terms of our working capital acquirements, where do we stand in terms of our debtors and inventories?
Data is at 72 days and inventory is at around [indiscernible]. So...
The reason -- I could see our last con call, we've discussed our retort being at 63 days. So that's significantly up, in fact, even inventory. Is there any push which is happening in the channel at this point of time?
No, I don't think this is every quarter, there is a slight increase or decrease, but we are confident that it should come back to the in terms of betters. I think inventory anyway, we have guided for it to be around 70 days and currently is around 75 days. So I think inventory is at a normal level and payables is around 79 days, which puts our net working capital on 69 days for this quarter.
Our next question is from the line of Chirag from Valuequest.
My question was on PVC. If you can help us understand how is the volume growth for first 9 months there? And corrective pricing action? Is it the CPVC portfolio as well as it is restricted to fees?
It is -- so we have identified wherever the market share has been lost on account of pricing whether that if it was in PVC or in CPVC for the respective markets, we have taken that exit. So I would say from giving segmental breakup. But whatever has to be done has been done, which is why we are confident that the growth will come back. It's not restricted to a particular product or geography, whatever that requirement was where we have taken the action.
And if you can just call out our current capacity utilization currently?
So currently, we are at around 50%, 52% of capacity utilization at an installed level.
50%, 52%. And what would be our A&P for the quarter and first 9 months?
For the protect is around INR 12 crores and around INR 39 crores for 9 months by [indiscernible].
And just lastly, if you can just say gross debt and cash?
Sorry, can you repeat?
What would be our gross debt today and net cash balance?
Yes, broad base is around INR 50 crores, that is short term. And for the ad facility, we have taken long term as well, which we have started taking this person, that is very small in numbers right now. We are progressing in [indiscernible] construction [indiscernible] on a long-term data around on a short-term me. So that is our perspective.
Okay. And cash balance?
Cash balance is around INR 120 crores at the end of quarter.
Our next question is from the line of Keshav from HDFC Securities.
I want to understand on the HBP front. So what I remember earlier, we are more like a 3% of volume, which we expect to have increased to 7%, 8%, when that will be done, how is the progress happening on that front?
So our first set of expansion of HBP has taken place at Jet facilities. And machines are running at ideal capacity utilization for HPP at [indiscernible]. And I think once this is sustainable over the next 1 or 2 quarters. and the market demand seems to continue to head in the right direction. We will continue to expand HBP capacity as well. So the first phase at Get is complete. And once it is system, we are not opposed to increasing capacity in HBP with opportunity to be sustainable.
Okay. Understood. One thing you highlighted that you will grow in line with industry. So how should I read this comment like this year, your base is pretty low because of ERP issues and other things on the H1 side. So in line with industry FY '25, you're talking or you're talking in line with industry on a base of FY '23?
So this guidance that I've given is long term that we will be at par with the industry. Of course, if there is a base effect of positive case effect that will be favorable for us. I think it's very hard for me to quantify all that setting today. But we are confident that the actions have been taken. And in the right by June quarter that will start reflecting and the numbers will start stocking. And we have always been used to being the fastest growing player in the industry, and we are confident that the fundamentals remain the same and the mind share from the promoters and the efforts from the team. are the same as they used to be, if not better. So we are confident that the growth will be back on track.
Understood. Got it. Last 2 questions from my side. Firstly, on the CapEx side, the CapEx size has increased. So how will the CapEx it or Bihar will be? And what has been the CPVC price correction in Q4?
So [indiscernible] we are doing with the integrated facility. Earlier, we had announced that we will only come up with the piping facility. Now the 2 phases have been combined, and we will be coming out with piping as well as setting facility both in Bihar. So the CapEx has -- the proposed CapEx earlier was around INR 150 crores, margins around INR 20 crores. That is how the CapEx for Bihar will be. And as we see that the market is has been growing on a higher side, the capacity which we'll add in a will help us to gain the market share over there and the utilization will be at a healthy level once we have started going presenting. And so we are coming up with a facility as well. So that will also help us to have a better penetration in the tank market in the East of India.
Sir, my question was more towards the split of Bihar in FY '24 and FY '25. And CPVC price correction in Q4?
FY '24, it will be around INR 5 crores to INR 25 crores. Why I'm giving this range because it depends on the kind of execution during -- at the end of March. So on the top side, it will be around 25% to the still it excludes the land, which we have already taken in Q2. That is around INR 27 crores. I'm talking from the study point of view, and the rest will be in FY '25, the balance, which remains around INR 175 crores -- INR 170 to 175 in FY '25.
Got it. Got it. Sir, CPVC?
Just to add to what Anand is saying and connecting the dots from previous few questions. We will continue to be aggressive with adding capacity -- and with whatever current underperformance you are saying, we are not faced by that and as an organization we continue to be aggressive with adding capacity and none of those brands change, which I think unbinds the kind of confidence that we have in terms of [indiscernible] regaining our market share and becoming the fastest-growing port industry. In fact, we have added capacity in the December quarter as well as the [indiscernible] plant for FTD and Chennai plant for of PVC. So we have already added 10 more in the December quarter, taking our total installed capacity to 338,000 from 38,000 at the end of September. So we continue to debottleneck existing facilities, Invest in new products and continue to take the same pace of execution at Bear and in fact, increase the CapEx there across pipes, fittings and the other times, which underlines our confidence not only at the buoyancy of demand at the industry level, but our own ability to execute and grow at industry level.
Okay, okay. Sir, CPVC price correction?
Yes, there has been a correction in CPVC input cost, and that has been passed on to the market.
Okay. Would you like to quantify the numbers in Q4, Q3?
In Q3, I don't have the numbers offline, but I think it would be on the range of 5% to 7%, but happy to -- my team can get back to you on that.
[Operator Instructions]
I think the queue has been deleted and people who are there in the question to please be [indiscernible] again to read them. I think -- thank you.
[Operator Instructions]
Moderator, I think people are necessary saying that the star and 1 function is not working, can you check?
Okay, sire.
I think we've got a [indiscernible].
Our next question is from the line of Rakesh from Kumar from HDFC Securities.
My question pertains to first on the impact of muted government CapEx outlook towards the water infrastructure projects in the budget, how do you read these in terms of will this -- is it precursor demand slowdown in FY '25, '26?
Can you repeat the question? We're not able to hear you clearly.
Yes. Am I audible now?
Yes.
Am I audible?
Yes.
Yes. Sir, would you throw some understanding on this government, the budgetary expenditure outlook for FY '25, which has been kept at flattish level. How do you read these numbers? Will it slow down the industry growth going forward?
No, I think government continues to be bullish on water infrastructure cabin the long term which is going to be key drivers for growth at an industrial even. For print specifically, we have not been very aggressive with the participation in the government schemes because of the credit risk that's associated with it. So wherever there has been a favorable credit cycle we have participated. But otherwise, we have largely stayed away from this. And if you're talking in terms of opportunity for the industry, [indiscernible] For the long term, it continues to be buoyant. And I think that's clear that focus to bring pipe to water access to every rural household in the country is strong. And a few states could see end of the program because we have been successfully able to get access to rural housing. But I think still there is a large part of more states where water access to potable water is a challenge. I think those rates will now start picking up. So I don't see this as a major challenge.
Also talking on the inventory losses, could you quantify the 9 months, how much inventory loss we have booked in? And how much resin inventory do you maintain at company level, both for PVC and CPVC compound?
So we have around INR 10 crores of inventory loss for quarter 3. I don't have the 9-month number handy, but if you go through the transit June quarter and September quarter, we would get that you can react to call after the call, and we can share the [indiscernible]
Sure. How much is in inventory?
Yes. So I don't -- at any point of time, we have around 30 days of raw material inventory and 30 days of senior inventory as a broad company. CPVC, it would be lower than that because we buy [indiscernible], which is locally produced. So that would be around maybe 7 to 10 days of inventory. But overall, at an organization level, raw material inventory would be around 30 days as a turnaround and goodwill would be around [indiscernible].
Okay. Two more questions, sir. CPVC resin price, you mentioned 5% to 7% would have declined in Q3. What has been the trend in Q4?
There has been no correction yet.
No correction yet. And sir, lastly, on the Bihar expansion, could you quantify the size that we are adding both on the pipes as well as on the fittings?
So will be around in the range of [indiscernible], when we will do operational 1 combined capacity of in [indiscernible].
And this fitting how much you're looking at, sir?
[indiscernible]
Sorry, how much?
Pipes and fittings combined.
Pipes and fittings combined.
Specific. Yes.
Okay. Okay, understood. And lastly, could you talk about this -- most of those questions A&P expenses, you have already explained.
Our next question is from the line of Rahul Agrawal from Incred Equities.
Sir, 1 question broadly on the industry demand for pipes. It looks like within Building Materials, a lot of real estate under construction. Hence, pipes, cables and wires are actually seeing better demand versus [indiscernible] stock which is used much later. Stuff like tiles [indiscernible]. The commentary has been really weak from those guys. Question is -- do we see a scenario over the next 2 years where weaker products actually see higher demand and pipe slows down? Any study on lead indicators of real estate under planning stage, more on the drawing board that should help sustain pipe demand? That's my first question.
So if I answer the question right, in terms of sustainability of demand for pipes, the real estate demand. So we believe real estate demand is strong. I think the numbers are out in the open, [indiscernible] you know better than we do. And whatever ground-level interaction that I'm having with the pedal across the country and my sales team and project channel partners, I think this seems to be sustainable. And all of this is despite the cost of capital being higher, we believe once cost of capital readings you will see a more sustainable demand in real estate. So whatever interactions we've been having at the ground level, I think the real estate demand is here to stay. And as far as pipe is concerned, we come somewhere in the middle of the cycle of any new project. So we believe that at least for the next 2 to 3 years, if not more taking a longer term view, I think at least for 2 to 3 years. Overall real estate demand should do well and as a result of which demands are, I think, we believe, should be sustainable, and that's the reason we are [indiscernible] -- we have added capacity aggressively in [indiscernible] over the past 3, 4 years, we have added 50. And now we are adding 60. Initially, our plan was around copycat, which now we have scaled up to [indiscernible] for Bihar. So I think that more than anything shows our conviction in not only industry demand, but also our ability to participate and contribute in the growth of the Indian type industry.
Got it. Also, when you say we'll grow in line with the industry and gain back market share, my sense is if you gain back market share, obviously, your growth has to be higher than the industry, right? I mean, that's the only way to gain market share back for whatever you lost. Is that understanding correct?
Yes.
Okay. And a few clarifications, the Bihar CapEx, INR 220 crores, that includes the tank CapEx, right?
That includes what?
The water tank CapEx?
Yes. It includes water tank as well.
Okay. And Bathware, Anand, you said INR 6 crores top line and INR 3 crores EBITDA loss for the quarter. Is that understanding correct?
So I said before top line [indiscernible] expense since comparison of employee costs and A&P spend.
Okay. So then it means that we made INR 3 crores positive EBITDA for the quarter?
So we'll have to -- we don't have to see quarter-to-quarter, we could see as a long-term growth we have to see in the bathware.
To add to Anand, I think this could go up, we have guided for around INR 20 crores of annualized expense or market. And as we expand to lease out in June quarter, that will further increase. And at some point, we would have company-owned company-operated showrooms as well. And at a pan-India level, the expenses will increase. Today, we are only in 2 zones from June quarter, we will go into 4 rooms. So I think it's very important to see that from a long-term point of view. We believe that in 6 quarters from now, we should look at breaking even before that the focus should only be on appointing distributors reaching as many retail touch points as possible and being able to establish a strong brand visibility, which will take time. And we have the luxury of a strong balance sheet to be able to take these kind of long-term bets. And really use the brand equity that we've created and the distribution network to cross that bathware.
I completely understand. What I was trying to gauge is the pipe profitability. Hence, I was just trying to add back whatever you lost in Bathware to the pipe to see the actual EBITDA. But I get what you're saying. And last question from my side is given building battery has actually done better than agri over the 9 months, the CPVC revenue mix would have grown faster. Any sense on PVC, CPVC revenue mix for 9 months? Is that possible to share?
No, we will not share a segmental breakup. Sorry. Just to address the previous question before we come to -- I think I just understood your question on I think if you look at a normalized performance, there's a INR 10 crore inventory loss and a INR 3 crore expense in Bathware. So that will give you a normalized earnings performance. And no, I think I'll stay away from giving breakup in terms of revenue, but directly, again, building material is going better than agri.
Our next question is from the line of Utkarsh from Bank of Baroda.
Sir, my first question is that if we see our debtor period has gone up from 40 days in FY '20 to 73, 74 days in 9 months of FY '24, and whereas the debtor period for our major peers has remained relatively stable or it has come down during the same period. And going ahead, we expect to perform in line with the industry from June quarter onwards. So wanted to reconfirm from you whether we can protect our market share without diluting margin and increase our debtor period further? And if you can provide the margin guidance range for FY '25?
Yes, I think that's a good question. So yes, we will start normalized performance from June quarter without impacting our EBITDA guidance of of 12% to 14%. I think that we will reiterate that guidance in terms of operating margin on an annualized level, 1 quarter there very possible. But on a 4-quarter basis, I think 12% to 14% operating margin, we are still confident of and the debtor days will continue to reduce without impacting our market share. A as now it will come back to around the 60s, which is what it was. So I think that's that will be visible. And to answer your question, to sum it up, yes, we will be regaining our market share without impacting our guidance on margins or dated is. We are confident.
Sir, for December quarter is -- if you do the adjustment of interim inventory loss, then our EBITDA margin came at around 14%. But -- so why we are guiding a range of 12% to 14% for FY '25?
Because we have historically always done that given that guidance and been conservative with all our guidances. So I will fit to that. It's not that we have come up with this guidance at the end of this quarter. This is something we have been giving for the past couple of years now, and I will stick to that guidance.
Okay. And sir, lastly, what would be our CapEx guidance for FY '24 and '25?
So for FY '24 [indiscernible] exclude behalf on this for FY '24, we will be in the range of funded INR 110 crores to INR 120 crores and in FY '25, it will be in the range of INR 90 crores to INR 100 crores. It doesn't include that capacity, which will be adding [indiscernible]. The R&D will be INR 220 crores, which will be playing [indiscernible] FY '24 and FY '25.
Our next question is from the line of Dhananjay from ASK. Our next question is from the line...
Can we move to the next question?
Aasim from DAM Capital.
So just coming back to the price correction commentary you had made earlier. So you've talked about price corrections done in Q2 and Q3 because you were outpriced within peers. This would just be on the CPVC side, right? Not on the PVC per se?
It is across PVC and CPC depending on geography property. Wherever we talk that we had over premium. Again, I want to reiterate that this will not keep the company. We are not resorting to discounting for growth, which is the realignment of [indiscernible] ensure that we are competitive with the market and market friendly. So wherever it was required in whichever it in whichever product category we have taken that call and that is reflected in our correction in realization per ton for the tender quarter, which is a conscious strategy. And that we are confident will translate into regaining of market share from the [indiscernible].
No, I'm just trying to understand, I mean, in PVC price changes from the supplier side to [indiscernible] the change in price is almost immediate. So how did we end up becoming more premium vis-a-vis peers? That's what I was trying to understand.
Yes, just to explain you how the industry works. Whenever there is a pass-through in PVC prices, there is an action taken. So whenever there's an increase of decrease in raw materials, you pass that on to the finished good and in certain markets, we have started leveraging our brand to pass on more than what the cost was. Or if there is a decrease, we are not passing on. And in a lot of the markets, it was accepted, which is why you have seen an increase in operating margin. And this is not something which has started 3 or 4 quarters ago, this is a drive that started 2 or 3 years ago, and that is reflected in our operating margin performance, what it was 4 or 5 years ago and what it is today. One of the reasons that the past 10 product makes sense to be their operating leverage has been better pricing power. But in certain markets, that is not as well absorbed as across in other markets, where we are happy to take the correction in the company of market. So hopefully, that's to your clarity.
Okay. Just 1 more thing. I mean, we also had this ERP issue in Q1. April and May was significantly impacted. But I think you've caught up quite well in June. So was there some kind of volume push into the channel back then and that could also hamper volume performance in Q2 and Q3?
No, I think once -- I think that was just the channel. I don't think it was some volume push it was the fact April, May was disrupted by supply chain. So the regular supply that we have to our market was disrupted. So naturally, you're going to have a vacuum in the market. And after 2 months of disruption, 1 month will go in sort of filling that an I don't think that is the reason. And we are certain that we not the reason for the volume.
Our next question is from the line of Praveen Sahay from Prabhudas.
So the first on the Bihar expansion, is it the final number respecting that the 50 kt metric ton or is there a scope for further increase in capacity out there?
This will be the cost base. So first phase will be lost at INR 200 crores. So that is certain this number will not change now. This includes pipe capacity, fitting capacity and sand capacity. So for the short to medium term. Now this first, we have to execute this. And now after that, once we start growing in the east, we have the line time to grow that over the long term. So we have invested in around 35 acres of land, which will help us to expand easily over the 5- to 7-year horizon. That's the current number of 50 to 52 kt for around INR 220 crores of CapEx is not going to go to any kt.
Sir, next question might be [indiscernible]. But your realization for a quarter has been down more than 10%. So is it possible to give any color like how much is because of the price correction you have taken? And how much is from the RM prices down?
Yes. So I think 1 is that you see the September call. We had said that we are going to -- we have taken pricing action because in certain markets, we were outpriced. So that is reflected in this. Of course, this kind of 10% correction is not on account only of price correction. It's a function of both the pass-through in the reduction in cost and the pricing action that we have taken. So if you see that the peers, our realization cut is the highest. So it's a function of both the reasons. It's hard for me to quantify how much is because of pricing action and how much is the other cost reduction because there are multiple geographies, multiple categories, but it's a combination of both the [indiscernible].
And in your press release, you have mentioned I witnessed a strong restocking in the distribution channel. So is that the current scenario? And also, I'm just referring to your peers also given similar kind of commentary or 35% of growth for the fourth quarter. So you are also witnessing the similar kind of things in the business?
Praveen, currently, channel inventory is model. Like I said, yes, we saw some correction in the December quarter, which is where channel inventory was lower, which I think has come back to moderate. I think more importantly than immediate term, let me focus on long term. I think PVC prices are going to be stable. There's going to be range down as a result of which you will not see major ups and down in channel inventory, which I think is a very good environment, a very growth conducive environment. So I think more important than short term in starting to look at long term. PVC prices are affordable and [indiscernible], which I think -- and that I think is here to stay. So that's how we see it. And I think the strong restocking that we were talking about was about the base quarter of Q3, which was of last Q3. We are not talking about current Q3. We go through the quick set that will be clear. If you have [indiscernible] can speak to you after the call and give that to you.
And just 1 clarification. Your Chennai plant capacity from the quarter-on-quarter, the capacity code is changing. So from the fourth quarter last year, to now the third quarter. Every quarter, the capacity number is changing. Why is it so?
Yes. So that's normal. I think we are adding capacity in Chennai. So from 42 in September corporate has come to 270. I think there is a realignment of capacity we've done in our new course of business.
Earlier you reduced and now we are [indiscernible].
This is the alignment of capacity -- let me. Based on the market forces of demand and supply. So the current capacity is around INR 38, including the SBP expansion at [indiscernible] and the Chennai capacity coming. That takes the total to [indiscernible].
Okay. And 1 more just to clarify on. You had also mentioned in the press release expanding the distribution and strengthening the channel network. So can you quantify the numbers, how much of the restriction you have right now?
I don't have the numbers of end. Karl will connect with you post the call to give the details.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Rakesh Kumar from HDFC Securities.
Just 2 follow-up questions. First, on the -- could you share the updates on how is the project sales team ramping up? How is -- how much of your revenues are coming from project sales? And second is, could you share the capacity which you have mentioned total broker between your capacity CPVC, PVC and SDP? Could you repeat the question?
I'm not able to hear you actually.
My first question pertains to, could you share how has been the ramp-up in your project sales which earlier you have been talking about, you're trying to improve the project sales? And second is, can you share the product-wise capacity across CPVC, PVC and HBP?
So I think that project sales is doing well. We have made entry into a lot of the accounts over the past quarter and the 9-month period, which helps us make reference targets and further increase our penetration in the process spend. We have also been able to significantly increase number of specifications and brand approvals in the approved list of mix, which is a step wanted then tracking the project. So we have got significant brakes, and we are well poised and we continue to expand to new centers for the project vertical, apart from those metrics. Now we are looking at Tier 2 project markets like [indiscernible]. So I think that's on track.
And second part of your question, I think, is segmental capacity, which I think it will be -- it's hard to give a number because there is a possibility between PVC and CPVC. But broadly, it would be a function of our product mix, with lion's share being PVC, CPVC being around 20% to 25%. And the PPR being 5% to 7% and HBP being 4% to 5%. So I think it will be broadly a function of us but hard to quantify because of the fungibility between one-way fungibility between CPVC and PVC.
And sir, this GP product, which you have earlier guided that this revenue share will ramp up to 7%, 8% in Q2. I think you touched upon that in an earlier participant's question. So are you seeing that on track, 7%, 8% in Q4? And is this a better margin product compared to your average 12% to 14% margin range, which you share?
So I think we had creditor 7% to 8%, but that's over the long term. That's not for Q4.
We understood, not for Q4.
For in terms of capacity at [indiscernible], which we are total to get capacity at around and the machines are running and I do peak capacity utilization for HDP. And once this first phase of expansion in SPP effect seems sustainable and sources of demand are sustaining. We have the infrastructure to add HBP at our new facilities. So Phase 1 is complete and at least for now, the utilization is high. So that's I think the last question was in terms of margins. I think SBPs, is more everyone is even more of a volume product, not a 1 other product. But at an organization level, we will stick to the guidance of 12% to 14%, which includes the capacity expansion in HDP.
And lastly, this working capital increase, which has happened. Are you confident that in March, these numbers will again moderate towards normal levels?
Yes.
Our next question is from the line of Shubham Aggarwal from Axis Capital.
I just wanted 1 clarification. I got confused in the numbers. Is the EBITDA loss for bathware or is it the A&P and manpower cost in bathwares?
A&P and bathware -- A&P and manpower costs for bathware segment is INR 3 crores for December quarter.
Right. So you've not actually shared the EBITDA loss for that segment, right?
Correct.
Okay. That was all.
[indiscernible] at the top line and the expense over December quarter.
Our next question is from the line of Aasim from DAM Capital.
Just 1 more question. Not sure if I got it right when discussed earlier, but how do we protect market share or gain market share vis-a-vis industry and cut your receivable days at the same time in the near term or in FY '25?
Yes. So like we said, we have over premiumize in certain markets. So it's not that we are lead discounting. It is reducing that premium, which is already factored in the realization has decreased, which shows that we have recent pricing action for that to translate into volume growth would take a couple of quarters because market is not like a [indiscernible] take some time. So we are not deep discounting. We are just becoming competitive and we lining up prices in certain markets for [indiscernible].
But how does your receivable days also decline from the current level of 73?
We will be using channel finance. Even in December quarter, we have added 20 distributors, and we will continue to increase [indiscernible] so that we are not it's not a payoff between sales or receivables, ensuring that the channel is a equity finance help ensure that growth is there, but not at the cost of credit. So to answer your question, how that happens is through becoming more aggressive with channel from which now luckily is the complete recourse has been of our book for some time. Now we will -- we have started becoming more direct in [indiscernible] and other channel becomes more -- better capitalized that ensure that it's not a pull off between sales and credit.
But we have been doing this for some time, right? Is the channel financing extended only to a small part of the channel still?
Of course, we still have to -- there is a certain due diligence process that we have internally. So we will not visit to each and every distributor. There is a certain criteria that the internal finance team has and that the banks have. So it took process. This cannot happen overnight.
Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for the day. I now hand the conference over to management for the closing comments.
Thank you to all for attending the call. Thank you.