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Alcoa Corp
NYSE:AA

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Alcoa Corp
NYSE:AA
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Price: 62.46 USD -1.12% Market Closed
Market Cap: $16.5B

P/E

15.9
Current
480%
Cheaper
vs 3-y average of -4.2

Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio shows how much investors pay for each dollar of a company`s earnings. It`s calculated by dividing the company`s market value by its total earnings.

P/E
15.9
=
Market Cap
$17.3B
/
Net Income
$1B

Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio shows how much investors pay for each dollar of a company`s earnings. It`s calculated by dividing the company`s market value by its total earnings.

P/E
15.9
=
Market Cap
$17.3B
/
Net Income
$1B

Valuation Scenarios

Alcoa Corp is trading above its 5-year average

If P/E returns to its 5-Year Average (7.3), the stock would be worth $28.78 (54% downside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
2/3
Maximum Downside
-54%
Maximum Upside
+123%
Average Upside
38%
Scenario P/E Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 15.9 $62.46
0%
5-Year Average 7.3 $28.78
-54%
Industry Average 35.5 $139.42
+123%
Country Average 22.9 $89.87
+44%

Forward P/E
Today’s price vs future net income

Today's Market Cap Net Income Forward P/E
$17.3B
/
Apr 2026
$1B
=
15.9
Current
$17.3B
/
Dec 2026
$1.5B
=
11.4
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2027
$1.6B
=
10.9
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2028
$1.4B
=
12
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2029
$936.3m
=
18.4
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2030
$806.6m
=
21.4
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2031
$843.6m
=
20.5
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2032
$882.2m
=
19.6
Forward
$17.3B
/
Dec 2033
$922.7m
=
18.7
Forward

Forward P/E shows whether today’s P/E still looks high or low once future net income are taken into account.

Market Distribution

In line with most companies in the United States of America
Percentile
32st
Based on 8 489 companies
32st percentile
15.9
Low
0 — 15.3
Typical Range
15.3 — 33.2
High
33.2 —
Distribution Statistics
the United States of America
Min 0
30th Percentile 15.3
Median 22.9
70th Percentile 33.2
Max 1 826 183.3

Alcoa Corp
Glance View

Alcoa Corporation, an enduring bastion in the aluminum industry, has a legacy that dates back over a century. Born from the innovations of Charles Martin Hall and the business acumen of Andrew Mellon, Alcoa stands as a prominent name in the mining and production of bauxite, the extraction of alumina, and the smelting of aluminum—a trio that forms the backbone of the company’s operations. This vertically integrated business model allows Alcoa to control every step of the aluminum production process, thereby reducing costs and increasing efficiency. With facilities strategically spread across the globe, the company sources its primary material, bauxite, from rich deposits in locations such as Brazil and Australia. Through its advanced refining processes, Alcoa transforms bauxite into alumina at its refining plants before smelting the alumina into aluminum, the key product that supports industries from automotive to aerospace. Profitability at Alcoa hinges on its ability to forecast and respond to global demand while managing the myriad challenges presented by fluctuating energy prices and environmental regulations. The company operates with an unwavering focus on sustainability, seeking to minimize its environmental footprint through technological innovations like the Elysis project—a partnership aimed at producing aluminum with zero direct carbon emissions. The financial health of Alcoa is also tied to the ups and downs of commodity markets, requiring keen market insight and strategic hedging to safeguard against volatility. By leveraging its economies of scale, Alcoa not only meets global aluminum demands but also positions itself as a leader in the production of high-quality recycled aluminum products, thus tapping into the burgeoning market for sustainable materials. Through these strategic maneuvers, Alcoa maintains its stature as a key player in shaping the future of the aluminum industry.

AA Intrinsic Value
58.58 USD
Overvaluation 6%
Intrinsic Value
Price $62.46
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