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Alcoa Corp
NYSE:AA

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Alcoa Corp Logo
Alcoa Corp
NYSE:AA
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Price: 52.75 USD +1.23% Market Closed
Updated: Jan 29, 2023

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AA stock under the Base Case scenario is 67.03 USD. Compared to the current market price of 52.75 USD, Alcoa Corp is Undervalued by 21%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of the two valuation methods:

AA Intrinsic Value
Base Case
67.03 USD
Undervaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Fundamental Analysis

AA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Alcoa Corp's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Low 3-Year Average ROE
Negative Net Income
Declining ROIC
Negative ROE
47/100
Profitability
Score

Alcoa Corp's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Alcoa Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low Altman Z-Score
Positive Net Debt
Long-Term Liabilities
Short-Term Liabilities
54/100
Solvency
Score

Alcoa Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Financials
Efficiency
18%
Gross Margin
11%
Operating Margin
-1%
Net Margin
3%
FCF Margin
-2%
ROE
1%
ROIC
Other

AA Capital Structure
Alcoa Corp

Market Capitalization 9.3B USD
Total Debt 1.8B USD
Minority Interest 1.5B USD
Preferred Equity 0 USD
Cash and Equivalents 1.4B USD
Short-Term Investments 0 USD
Enterprise Value 11.3B USD

Wall St
Price Targets

AA Price Targets Summary
Alcoa Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast AA stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AA is 51.65 USD with a low forecast of 41.41 USD and a high forecast of 65.1 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
41.41 USD
21% Downside
Average
Price Target
51.65 USD
2% Downside
Highest
Price Target
65.1 USD
23% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

AA Competitors
Alcoa Corp

AA Suppliers & Customers
Alcoa Corp

There is no information about
Alcoa Corp
key suppliers

Alcoa Corp has 6 key customers from 3 countries and 2 industries. The majority of these customers are located in Australia, with the largest number of customers in the Metals & Mining industry.

Ownership

AA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Alcoa Corp insiders have only sold shares in the past 12 months.

During the last 12 months Alcoa Corp insiders have not bought any shares, and sold 6.7M USD worth of shares. The last transaction was made on Jan 29, 2023 by Heeter Jeffrey D. (EVP & Gen. Counsel), who sold 866k USD worth of AA shares.

Sold
0-3
months
923k USD
2
3-6
months
0 USD
0
6-9
months
0 USD
0
9-12
months
5.8M USD
5
Bought
0-3
months
0
0 USD
3-6
months
No Insider Transactions
0
0 USD
6-9
months
No Insider Transactions
0
0 USD
9-12
months
0
0 USD
Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
923k USD
N/A
-922.9k
6 Months
923k USD
N/A
-922.9k
9 Months
923k USD
N/A
-922.9k
12 Months
6.7M USD
N/A
-6.7M
Purchases
10
Sales
28
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

AA Price
Alcoa Corp

1M 1M
+13%
6M 6M
+4%
1Y 1Y
-7%
3Y 3Y
+266%
5Y 5Y
-3%
Annual Price Range
52.75
52w Low
33.66
52w High
94.71
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 24.63%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 93.67%
Max Drawdown -91%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 9.3B USD
Shares Outstanding 176 936 992
Percentage of Shares Shorted 6.74%

Company Profile

Alcoa Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

9.3B USD

Dividend Yield

0.76%

Description

Alcoa Corp. engages in the production of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and currently employs 12,200 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-10-18. The firm is engaged in the production of bauxite, alumina and aluminum products. The Company’s operations consist of three reportable business segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. The Bauxite and Alumina segments primarily consist of a series of affiliated operating entities held in Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals (AWAC), which is a joint venture between Alcoa Corporation and Alumina Limited. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company’s aluminum smelting, casting, and rolling businesses, along with the energy production business. Its Bauxite segment consists of the Company’s global bauxite mining operations. The Company’s Alumina segment consists of the Company’s worldwide refining system, which processes bauxite into alumina. The Aluminum segment consists of its worldwide smelting and cast house system, a portfolio of energy assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. The company has over 28 operating locations across nine countries.

Contact

PENNSYLVANIA
Pittsburgh
201 Isabella St Ste 500
+14123152900.0
https://www.alcoa.com/global/en/home.asp

IPO

2016-10-18

Employees

12 200

Officers

Pres, CEO & Director
Mr. Roy C. Harvey
Exec. VP & CFO
Mr. William F. Oplinger
Exec. VP & COO
Mr. John D. Slaven
Exec. VP & Gen. Counsel
Mr. Jeffrey D. Heeter
VP of Investor Relations
Mr. James Dwyer
Sr. VP and Chief Ethics, Compliance & Privacy Officer
Ms. Catherine Garfinkel
Show More
Exec. VP & Chief HR Officer
Ms. Tammi A. Jones
Exec. VP & Chief Strategy Officer
Mr. Renato Bacchi
Exec. VP & Chief Innovation Officer
Mr. Benjamin D. Kahrs
Sr. VP of Tax
Ms. Heather Hudak
Show Less

See Also

Similar Stocks
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AA stock?

The intrinsic value of one AA stock under the Base Case scenario is 67.03 USD.

Is AA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 52.75 USD, Alcoa Corp is Undervalued by 21%.